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Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO Péter Kaderják SEERMAP training March 7, 2017 Athens, Greece

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Page 1: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the

grid - TSO

Péter Kaderják

SEERMAP training

March 7, 2017

Athens, Greece

Page 2: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Overview

2

• Ensuring system security under liberalized market

circumstances

• Challenges from connecting massive RES-E

resources to the grid

• Managing increased flexibility needs and costs

• Network planning and development to support RES-

E integration

Page 3: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Under any market model the transmission

system operator has a central role

3

Takes care over system security and balance, otherwise…

Page 4: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Operational

imbalance (e.g.

outage of generation

unit)

The origin of the balancing responsibility of the

TSO: potential for system imbalance

Clearing metering interval

Aggregate schedule

Load curve

Balancing energy = Load curve – aggregate schedule – operational imbalance

4

Page 5: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

System balancing before unbundling

and market liberalization

• Before market liberalization the vertically integrated utility

(VIU) provided system balancing by relying on its own

demand forecast and generation portfolio

• Regulating capacities were built and centrally dispatched

by the VIU

• Balancing and related system reserve costs were

recovered by bundled regulated tariffs

• Utility focus on system security but less on related costs

5

Page 6: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

System balancing by a VIU by its own

generation

Load curve

Baseload generation (90-95%)

Load following generation

(30-40%)Load following

Peaking units

(5%)

Hours

Generation /

load, MW

6

Page 7: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

The big change for the TSO after unbundling:

decentralised load and dispatch scheduling

7

Balance

Responsible

Party 1

Balance

Responsible

Party 2

Balance

Responsible

Party 3

Transmission System Operator (TSO)

Responsible for system security and balance

Day-ahead aggregate schedule

Operation of ancillary services and balancing market

Self-scheduling: L ≡ G

for each BRP!

GG

G GL

L

L L

E / I

Need for separate ancillary services products / market emerges

Page 8: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

• Unbundling and the introduction of competitive markets

required that balancing and ancillary services be clearly

defined and monetized.

• Markets have been created for several ancillary services

in order to minimize the cost of maintaining system

reliability

• Also a separate balancing market is created to meet

customers’ balancing energy needs

• Pricing of these services might be market based or

regulated, depending on the level of market

concentration

8

Balancing and ancillary services provision after

unbundling (market liberalization)

Page 9: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Ancillary services

• Ancillary services are some reserved services, controlled (owned or

procured) by the TSO, for keeping a balance between supply and

demand, stabilizing the transmission system and maintaining power

quality.

• Two main characteristics of the electricity system that need to be

regulated:

• Frequency

• Voltage

• Types of ancillary services

• Frequency regulation by maintaining a constant balance between

generation and load using active power reserves

• Voltage and reactive power control

• Black start capability: ability to restart a grid following a black-out

• Islanding capability

9

Page 10: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Active Power Reserves for frequency

regulation

(Formerly Primary

Reserve)

0-30 sec.

(Formerly

Secondary Reserve)

30 sec. – 15 min

(Formerly Tertiary

Reserve)

over 15 min

10

Page 11: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

The link between the balancing process and active

power reserves procurement by the TSO after

unbundling

TSO

Reserves Balancing

Power

Plant

Power

Plant

Large

consumer

Balance

group

Balance

group

Balance

group

Capacity fee, Ft/MW

Energy fee, Ft/kWh

Long term: year/month

Per settlement periods

11

Page 12: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

System regulation reserves market

• On these markets the TSO buys an option from

accredited market players to dispatch them at a given

time to increase or decrease their generation (or

consumption) with a given amount.

• Demand side of the market: the TSO is a single buyer;

the amount and composition of the needed regulation

reserve is defined by the TSO.

• Supply side of the market: mainly power plants;

sometimes a few large customers that are able and

willing to decrease or increase their consumption for

short notice.

• Regulatory reserve prices are either regulated or market

based

12

Page 13: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Balancing market

• On these markets the TSO supplies balancing energy to

system users / balance groups that can not meet their

schedules.

• Demand side of the market: producers, customers or

their aggregators (balance groups) that can not meet

their production or load schedule in a given hour

• Supply side of the market: usually the TSO is the central

provider of balancing energy; however, the balance

group responsible often offers for its members balancing

energy options

• Balancing energy prices are either market based or

regulated

13

Page 14: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Balancing market operation and its relation to

the regulation reserve market - Hungary

14

TSO procure

reserve capacity

The selected market

participants must provide their

capacity on the daily auctions

Daily balancing

auctions

Other market

players

T-year/month/week/etc. T- x hours T

One of the balancing

group can not meet its schedule

Cheapest market

player provide

balancing energy

Energy fee

(€/MWh,etc)

TSO pays

capacity fee (€/MW)

Page 15: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Overview

• Ensuring system security under liberalized market

circumstances

• Challenges from connecting massive RES-E

resources to the grid

• Managing increased flexibility needs and costs

• Network planning and development to support RES-

E integration

15

Page 16: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

1. Is there a problem here?

16

Page 17: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

RES-E potentials for the EU: North Sea

wind, North Africa solar

1717

Page 18: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Problem 1: distance from load

• High quality RES-E resources often located far from load

centres

• Connecting high quality RES-E requires massive investment

into new HV transmission

• Questions:

• Who should pay for the costs of connection?

• Is there any reason to socialize the connection cost for some new

market participants?

• Should the cost of connection depend on the location of the

connection point?

• What to do with excess demand for connection at a connection

point (substation)?

• How to establish priorities for new connection?

• How to plan for the expansion of the grid?

18

Page 19: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

KARADENİZ

AKDENİZ

EREĞLİ

AMBARLI

BULGARİSTAN

FILIPPI

H.UĞURLUKAYABAŞI

ÇANKIRI

TİREBOLU

BORÇKA

GÜRCİSTANBATUM

ERMENİSTAN

GUMRI

BALIKESİR

SOMA

ALİAĞA

DENİZLİ

YATAĞAN

KEMERKÖYOYMAPINAR

SEYDİŞEHİR

KONYA

ADANAERZİN

G.ANTEP

ANDIRIN

ELBİSTAN

KANGAL

YEŞİLHİSAR

KAYSERİ

ÇAYIRHAN

GÖLBAŞI

KEBAN

KARAKAYA

ATATÜRK

DİYARBAKIR

Ş.URFA

BATMAN

KARS

ÖZLÜCE

ERZURUM

HORASAN

IĞDIR

D.BEYAZIT

DIMODICHEV

SURİYE

DERİNER

İSKENDERUN

İRAN

IRAK

HALEP

PS3

ZAKHO

KHOY

BAZARGAN

BABEK

KALKANDERE

KOCATEPE

TEİAŞ-APK 2010

220 kV EİH

154 kV EİH

HES (PLANLANAN)

HES (MEVCUT)

TS (MEVCUT)

TL (MEVCUT)

TL (PLANLANAN)

TS (PLANLANAN)

Y.TEPE

ALİBEYKÖY

TUNÇBİLEK

D.PAŞA

KARABİGA

ADA-GEBZE

PAŞAKÖY

OSMANCA

GÖKÇEKAYA

TEMELLİ

SİNCAN

BABAESKİHAMİTABA

T

ÜMRANİYE

BURSA

AYDIN

YENİKÖY

BİRECİK

SEYİTÖMER

IŞIKLAR

ADAPAZARI

KIZILTEPE

AĞRI

Z.KÖY

TEPEÖREN

UNIMAR

HİLVAN

ILISU

CİZRE

VAN

ERMENEK

MERSİN

HATAY

İKİTELLİ

A.ALANI

KAPTAN

UZUNDERE

SİVASDEÇEKO

YUSUFELİ

KAVŞAK

İSDEMİR

BOYABATAMASRA

BEYKOZ

ÇARŞAMBA

HOPA

VARSAK

MANİSA

HABİPLER

SAMSUN DGKÇ

BORASCO

ÇAN

İÇDAŞ

İÇDAŞ

AKSA

SİLOPİ TES

K.KALE DGKÇ

İÇANADOLU DGKÇ

BAĞLUM

KAYRAKTEPE

YEDİGÖZE

İSPİR

ARKUN

AKINCI

ORDU-2

SİİRTÇETİN

MUSUL

V.ŞEHİR

AHALTSIKHE

400 kV network - Turkey

19

Page 20: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Location of wind license applications –

Turkey

20

Page 21: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Solar radiation map – Turkey

21

Page 22: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Connection cost allocation example

Source: Swinder (2008)

22

Germany: 100% socialisation of the cost of connecting

North Sea offshore wind

Page 23: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Load curve

Hours

Generation /

load, MW

Intermittent

generation

2. Is there a problem here?

Residual load = system load – intermittent generation

23

Page 24: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

2. Is there a problem here?

24Volker Quaschning, 2010

Page 25: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Share of intermittent generation in

installed capacity, EU, 2015

25

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

DE

DK IE LT ES

PT

GR

BE

EU

26 IT

RO

UK SE

BG

NL

PL

FR

AT

CZ

EE

HR

LU SK SI

FI

HU LV

Szé

l, i

lle

tve

na

pe

rőm

űve

k b

pít

ett

ka

pa

citá

sán

ak

ará

nya

a t

elj

es

be

ép

íte

tt k

ap

aci

tásh

oz

vis

zon

yít

va

, %

Szél Nap

Win

d a

nd P

V c

apacitie

s c

om

pare

d to insta

lled c

apacity, %

wind PV

Page 26: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Problem 2: increased demand for

system flexibility

• As intermittent renewables penetrate, the residual

load to serve by conventional generation decreases

and becomes volatile

• Financial viability of conventional generation

deteriorated

‣ Reduced utilization rate (natural gas)

• Negative electricity wholesale prices appear

‣ High cost of down regulating conventional units

(nuclear, coal)

26

Page 27: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

TSO questions

• What to do when intermittent generation (IG)

falls well below system load?

• What to do when intermittent generation (IG) far

exceeds system load?

• Which market participants can best help me (the

TSO) keeping system security?

• How to discover the cost of flexibility providers?

27

Page 28: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Relationship between intermittent

capacity and reserve needs?

28

Change in installed intermittent

capacities and reserves between 2008-14

Source: Hirth – Ziegenhagen, 2015

Literature Germany

Source: Ziegenhagen, 2013

1% increase in installed intermittent capacity

Implies 0.01-0.08 % additional reserve

Page 29: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Overview

• Ensuring system security under liberalized market

circumstances

• Challenges from connecting massive RES-E

resources to the grid

• Managing increased flexibility needs and costs

• Network planning and development to support RES-

E integration

29

Page 30: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Reducing demand for flexibility: gate

closure, intraday markets

30

• Wind forecasting improves close to real time -> allow gate closure close

to real time -> reduced need for balancing and additional reserves

Source: Madsen (2005)

Page 31: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Integrating and remunerating flexibility

providers

• Main flexibility providers:

• Flexible generation – CCGT

• Demand – response

• Storage

• …?

• Remuneration:

• unlimited price spikes?

• capacity remuneration mechanism (CRM)?

• EU proposal: CRM only if

• regional inadequacy proved

• CRM should be open for cross-border participants

31

Page 32: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Electricity balancing markets to be

integrated cross-border

• Currently in Europe most balancing activity is carried out on a national

level.

• In order to start a harmonization process in 2012 September ACER

published the Framework Guidelines on Electricity Balancing in which

Target Models of Balancing Energy has been framed

• ACER has proposed a gradual process

• integrated market for all types of balancing energy within 6 years after the

entry into force of the Network Code on Electricity Balancing (NC EB) which

is currently under revision by ENTSO-E

• The main advantage of the integration of balancing market is that larger

markets allow the different resources available in Europe to be used in a

more effective way. This brings down the balancing costs and enhances

security of supply.

• The NC EB would like to encourage a greater number of parties to offer

balancing services including demand side response and intermittent

sources → higher number of market players → more competitive

balancing markets32

Page 33: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

„Clean energy for all Europeans”

package – November 2016

33

• To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector

• 40% GHG reduction by 2030

• Help market integration of decentralized and intermittent

generation

• Share of RES-E to increase from present 29% to 50% by 2030

• Adopt electricity markets to integrate reshaped

generation fleet

• Increase flexibility of DA and ID markets; more disciplined system

balancing; network development at TSO / DSO level

• Enhance demand side flexibility

• Contracts with dynamic pricing and smart metering; aggregators

and local energy communities; storage and e-mobility

Page 34: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Regional Operation Centers (ROC) –

functions with regional relevance

ROC

SUPPLY SECURITY, MARKET INTEGRATION

Common CB capacity

calculation

Coordinated supply

security analysis

Scoping of balancing

capacity at the regional level

Support procuring balancing

capacity at the regional level

Defining maximum entry

capacity for foreign players

for CRM

TSO

TSO/NEMO

Procurement of

balancing energy (?)

TMS level CRM

DAM/IDM

Balancing market

Capacity market

34

Page 35: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Overview

• Ensuring system security under liberalized market

circumstances

• Challenges from connecting massive RES-E

resources to the grid

• Managing increased flexibility needs and costs

• Network planning and development to support RES-

E integration

35

Page 36: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Network upgrade financing models 1 –

Merchant or private lines

• Exclusive use of capacity by developers

• No (or negotiated) third party access - no regulated

access tariff

• Line pays back from the price difference between

the markets it connects

Estlink

36

Page 37: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Network upgrade financing models 2 –

Public purpose lines

• Main rule: regulated third party access (rTPA)

• Line pays back from regulated tariff set by national

regulator(s)

• In case of new major infrastructure development:

Commission / ACER might provide exemption from

rTPA

North Sea

offshore grid

37

Page 38: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Infrastructure regulation – building missing

infrastructure of common EU interest

• Problem: missing infrastructure to support full EU

internal electricity market integration

• EU response:

• TYNDP by ENTSO-E

• Regulation 347/2013 on developing trans-European

energy infrastructure development

• Connecting Europe Facility (5 Mrd Euro)

• Main measures:

• Projects of Common Interest (PCI) selection process

• Decision supported by system-wide Cost Benefit

Analysis

• Cost sharing: Cross Border Cost Allocation based on

benefit distribution38

Page 39: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

EU Energy corridor development priorities

39

Page 40: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Proposed Projects of Energy

Community Interest (2016)

40

Page 41: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

E-highway 2050

41

Page 42: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Appendix

42

Page 43: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

43

Basic characteristics of reserve procurement

and balancing in Hungary I.

Primary Secondary Tertiary

Who can provide reserve?

Domestic and foreign power plants, traders, consumers –accreditation is needed

Domestic and foreign power plants, traders, consumers –accreditation is needed

Domestic and foreign power plants, traders, consumers –accreditation is needed

Needed capacity TSO declares TSO declares TSO declares

Procurement method Yearly auction Multistep auction: yearly/quarterly/weekly auctions

Yearly auction

Contract type Yearly Market maker Yearly Market maker,

Yearly option contract

Yearly Market maker,

Yearly option contract

Form of payment Capacity fee Capacity fee + energy fee

Capacity fee + energy fee

Page 44: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

Basic characteristics of reserve procurement

and balancing in Hungary II.

• Multistep auction:

• First step: procurement on yearly/quarterly/weekly auctions

• Second step: usage according to the result of day-ahead auction

• There are two types of contracts:

• Market maker (dominant form)

• The market player must provide its capacity on the daily auctions at a non-higher price than defined in the contract

• The TSO must accept it

• Option contracts (for the market players who do not get an offer for a market maker contract)

• The market player can make an offer on the daily auction

• The TSO can accept it

• Because of the characteristics of the market maker contracts, the importance of the option contracts is not so significant, and the daily auctions only play role in the defining of the mobilization order and the balancing energy fees.

44

Page 45: Challenges of massive RES-E integration to the grid - TSO · • To meet climate objectives in the electricity sector • 40% GHG reduction by 2030 • Help market integration of

The cost of the procurement of

reserves in 2009-12

• The total cost of securing system level reserves has escalated

• The costs of BS and U/Q (Voltage and reactive power control) are

negligible

• Secondary and tertiary reserves have the largest share (~96%) → TSO

launched auctions from 2013, sharp price decrease!

Source: MAVIR data

45

Average

quantity

[MW]

Total cost

[million Ft]

Average

quantity

[MW]

Total cost

[million Ft]

Average

quantity

[MW]

Total cost

[million Ft]

Average

quantity

[MW]

Total cost

[million Ft]

40 1 122.1 40 1 162.3 40 1 634.0 40 1 822.9

Upw ard 340 13 423.6 301 11 747.7 310 19714.9 257 26 085.2

Dow nw ard - - 172 19 037.7 145 15 957.8 137 12 120.3

Upw ard 524 13490.3 464 23534.7 455 24807.6 500 11 758.0

Dow nw ard - - 77 1476.5 - - - -

115.3 151.5 119 186

15.3 18.0 91.8 45.7

28 169.6 41 937.5 46 209.6 52 018.1

Categories

Years

2009 2010 2011 2012

Black Start

U/Q

Sum

Primary (+/-)

Secondary

Tertiary