SEISMICITY

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COMMUNITYPLANNING

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INFRASTRUCTURE

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SOCIETALRESPONSE

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2014

Conference ProceedingsC a s c a d i a H a z a r d s I n s t i t u t e

Central Washington University

SEISMIC HAZARDS AND THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT

APRIL 4

Page 1

Given the nature of human expansion over the past hundreds of years and the need to support people’s mobility, consumption of energy, thirst for fresh water, and desire to live where they want (even if it is in a known area for landslides, earthquakes, flooding or tsunamis), more attention is being paid to the place where people live and what is known about the natural hazards that could adversely impact their livability. Larger and more frequent natural hazard events are impacting human infrastructure such as dams, bridges, roads, and buildings. On April 4, 2014 the Cascadia Hazards Institute hosted an all day conference on Seismic Hazards and the Built Environment. The format for the conference included a keynote address by Dr. Mary Lou Zoback delivered the keynote address, Reducing Natural Hazards Risk and Increasing Resilience, followed by three panels comprised of CWU faculty experts and a CWU faculty member as moderator. Bringing together Central Washington University faculty with expertise in the intersection of seismic hazards and their potential to cause disruption or harm to the built environment, the Cascadia Hazards Institute showcased current research and knowledge sharing via three topical panels: Seismic Hazards Prediction, Adaptation and Resilience; Seismic Hazards and Decision-Making; and Education and Societal Response to Seismic Hazards.

The conference keynote address was delivered by Dr. Mary Lou Zoback, a consulting professor at Stanford University, former VP for seismic hazards for Risk Management Solutions, Inc., and past USGS senior research scientist; followed by three panels:

Panel 1 | Moderator: Carey Gazis, PhD. Chair and Professor of Geological Sciences

Seismic Hazards Prediction, Adaptation and Resilience

Mike Pease, PhD. Warren Plugge, PhD. Timothy I. Melbourne, PhD.Assistant Professor Professor Professor

Geography Construction Management Geological SciencesPresentation Title:

A Problem Not Even Duct Tape can Fix? Hazards, Infrastructure, and

Resilience

Presentation Title:

An evidence-based approach to infrastructure risks

Presentation Title:

Using crustal deformation to gauge future earthquakes

SEISMIC HAZARDS AND THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT CONFERENCE

Page 2

Panel 2 | Moderator: Roy Savoian, PhD. Director, Institute forInnovation and Entrepreneurship

Seismic Hazards and Decision-Making

Toni Sipic, PhD. Yvonne Chueh, PhD. Carlo Smith, PhD.Assistant Professor Professor Associate Professor

Economics Actuarial Science Supply Chain Management

Presentation Title:

Risk Communication and Natural Hazards

Presentation Title:

Earthquake Damage Modeling (estimation) Practice in Hazards

Insurance

Presentation Title:

The Influence of Seismic Activity on Supply Chain Management:

Preparation and Response

Panel 3 | Moderator: Ethan Bergman, PhD. Associate Dean and Professor of Nutrition

Education and Societal Response to Seismic Hazards

John Bowen, PhD. Pam McMullin-Messier, PhD. Anne Egger, PhD.Associate Professor and interim

ChairAssistant Professor Assistant Professor

Geography Sociology Geological SciencesPresentation Title:

Seismic Risks, Transportation Networks, and Resilient

Communities in a Globalized Economy

Presentation Title:

What Contributes to the Building of Resilient Communities?

Interdisciplinary Integration of Knowledge, Risk Perception, and Awareness of Social Vulnerability

Presentation Title:

Engaging students in evaluating risk using real-

time hazards data

The Cascadia Hazards Institute wishes to thank the Central Washington University Foundation’s Len Thayer Small Grant Program, the CWU College of the Sciences, and Central Washington University for their support.

SEISMIC HAZARDS AND THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT CONFERENCE

Page 3

Mary Lou Zoback, Consulting Professor, Stanford University

Dr. Zoback is a seismologist and a consulting professor in the Geophysics Department at Stanford

University. From 2006 to 2011, she was Vice President for Earthquake Risk Applications with

RiskManagementSolutions,aprivatecatastrophe-modelingfirmservingtheinsuranceindustry.Inthatrole,

she utilized the company’s commercial risk models to explore the societal role of earthquake insurance

andtoquantifythecostsandbenefitsofriskreduction.Shepreviouslywasaseniorresearchscientistat

the U.S. Geological Survey in Menlo Park, California, where she served, among other positions, as Chief

Scientist of the Western Earthquake Hazards team. Her research interests include the relationship between

active faulting, deformation and state of stress in the earth’s crust, quantifying earthquake likelihood, and

characterizing natural-hazard risk.

Dr. Mary Lou Zoback delivered the keynote address, Reducing Natural Hazards Risk and Increasing Resilience,

to over seventy people at the CHI Conference on April 4, 2014.

Dr. Zoback’s slide presentation

Keynote Address

Page 4

Panel 1 | Moderator: Carey Gazis, PhD. Chair and Professor of Geological Sciences

Seismic Hazards Prediction, Adaptation and Resilience

Mike Pease, PhD. Warren Plugge, PhD. Timothy I. Melbourne, PhD.Assistant Professor Professor ProfessorGeography Construction Management Geological SciencesPresentation Title:

A Problem Not Even Duct Tape can Fix? Hazards, Infrastructure, and Resilience

Presentation Title:

An evidence-based approach to infrastructure risks

Presentation Title:

Using crustal deformation to gauge future earthquakes

Presenter: Dr. Mike Pease

BIOSKETCH: Dr. Mike Pease is an Assistant Professor of Geography at Central Washington University. Before his arrival in Ellensburg in 2009, he worked as an Environmental Consultant in Albuquerque, New Mexico and a visiting scholar at the University of New Mexico. Dr. Pease holds a PhD in Environmental Resources and Policy from Southern Illinois University Carbondale. His research sits at the confluence of the bio-physical realities of resource management, law, and economics. Recently he was asked to write a brief of amici curiae for the Supreme Court of the United States for a case involving a proposed transfer of water between Oklahoma and Texas. Dr. Pease also serves as the new director of the recently recreated Public Policy program at CWU.

Dr. Pease’s slide presentation

Presenter: Dr. Warren Plugge

BIOSKETCH: Dr. Warren Plugge is an Associate Professor of Construction Management at Central Washington University and the Program Coordinator for the Construction Management Program. Dr. Plugge earned his Ph.D. at Colorado State University in Fort Collins, Colorado. His research focus areas are on Evidence-Based Risk Analysis on Construction Project Delivery, infrastructure management and civil construction education. He has also presented topics on risk analysis in Dubai, UAE. In addition to his educational experience, he also has held several positions across the United States in the field of construction for public agencies and companies like Rocky Mountain Prestress, PCL Construction Services, Granite Construction and Kittitas County.

Dr. Plugge’s slide presentation

Presentations

Page 5

Presenter: Dr. Timothy Melbourne

BIOSKETCH: Professor Timothy Melbourne is the Director of the Cascadia Hazards Institute and Profes-sor of Geophysics at Central Washington University. Dr. Melbourne has numerous publications on seis-micity and seismic hazards in Cascadia, and currently manages projects grant funded by the U. S. Geo-logical Survey, National Science Foundation, and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Dr. Melbourne holds a bachelor and PhD in Geophysics from the California Institute of Technology.

Dr. Melbourne’s slide presentation

Panel 2 | Moderator: Roy Savoian, PhD. Director, Institute forInnovation and Entrepreneurship

Seismic Hazards and Decision-Making

Toni Sipic, PhD. Yvonne Chueh, PhD. Carlo Smith, PhD.

Assistant Professor Professor Associate Professor

Economics Actuarial Science Supply Chain Management

Presentation Title:

Risk Communication

and Natural Hazards

Presentation Title:

Earthquake Damage Modeling

(estimation) Practice in

Hazards Insurance

Presentation Title:

The Influence of Seismic Activity on Supply

Chain Management: Preparation and

Response

Presentations

Page 6

Presenter: Dr. Toni Sipic

BIOSKETCH: Dr. Toni Sipic is an assistant professor of economics at Central Washington University. His primary field of interest is environmental economics, with a special focus on the impacts of natural disasters on the economy and political decision making. Dr. Sipic received his Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Oregon, Master degree in Economics from the University of Nevada, Reno, and Bachelor degrees in Business Economics and Computer Information Systems from Northland College.

Dr. Sipic’s slide presentation

Presenter: Dr. Yvonne Chueh

BIOSKETCH: Yvonne Chueh is Professor and Director of CWU Actuarial Science program and the author of Efficient Stochastic Modeling in Insurance, and Small Sample Stochastic Tail Modeling. She has a passion for teaching others about the power of mathematics to drive change in the world. Growing up in Taiwan, she became a council member of the Society of Actuaries, a Wildcat, and UCONN Huskies fan.

Dr. Chueh’s slide presentation

Presenter: Dr. Carlo Smith

Carlo D. Smith (Ph.D., University of Tennessee) is an associate professor of supply chain management and the Chair of the Department of Finance & Supply Chain Management & Department of Economics at Central Washington University. Prior to completing his Ph.D., Dr. Smith spent more than a decade working in the private sector including positions as a management consultant and executive educator with E3 Associates; Director of Inventory Management for West Marine Products; and a Principal with CSC Federal Systems. Dr. Smith has published articles in a variety of outlets that include the Journal of Business Logistics, the International Journal of Forecasting, Business Horizons, the Journal of Business Forecasting the Journal of Supply Chain Management and the Journal of Transportation Management. His most recent research investigates the impact of sustainable practices on supply chain performance. Dr. Smith is Director of CWU’s Supply Chain Management Institute.

Dr. Smith’s slide presentation

Presentations

Page 7

Panel 3 | Moderator: Ethan Bergman, PhD. Associate Dean and Professor of Nutrition

Education and Societal Response to Seismic Hazards

John Bowen, PhD. Pam McMullin-Messier, PhD. Anne Egger, PhD.

Associate Professor and interim Chair

Assistant Professor Assistant Professor

Geography Sociology Geological Sciences

Presentation Title:

Seismic Risks, Transportation

Networks, and Resilient

Communities in a Globalized

Economy

Presentation Title:

What Contributes to the Building

of Resilient Communities?

Interdisciplinary Integration of

Knowledge, Risk Perception, and

Awareness of Social Vulnerability

Presentation Title:

Engaging students in evaluating

risk using real-time hazards data

Presenter: Dr. John Bowen

BIOSKETCH: Dr. John Bowen is an associate professor and interim chair in the Department of Geography. He earned his Ph.D. at the University of Kentucky and taught at several institutions in the United States and Singapore before joining CWU in 2008. Dr. Bowen’s research has emphasized transportation systems, including the spatial structure of transport networks and the relationships between transportation systems and the societies they serve. Most of his research has focused on air transportation, culminating in his book The Economic Geography of Air Transportation: Space, Time, and the Freedom of the Sky which was published by Routledge in 2010 and re-released in paperback this year.

Dr. Bowen’s slide presentation

Presentations

Page 8

Hosted by

Financial Support from the CWU Foundation's Len Thayer Small Grant Program

CWU is an an AA/EE O/ Title IX Institution. For accommodation e-mail at DS@cwu. edu

Presenter: Dr. Pamela McMullen-Messier

BIOSKETCH: Dr. Pamela McMullin-Messier joined CWU as an Assistant Professor of Sociology in 2009; she completed her Ph.D. in the Department of Sociology at the University of Southern California in 2006. While at Central, Pam has served in a number of roles, including on the advisory boards for Women’s and Gender Studies, Environmental Studies, Resource Management, and Cascadia Hazards Institute. She is also actively involved with the Curriculum for the Bioregion Initiative through the Washington Center at Evergreen College. Dr. McMullin-Messier’s research and teaching revolves around three areas of specialization: environment, gender, and population. Her current areas of research include environmental justice, conflict resolution, collective behavior, and hazards studies.

Dr. McMullen-Messier’s slide presentation

Presenter: Dr. Anne Egger

BIOSKETCH: Anne Egger is an assistant professor at CWU who joined the faculty in 2011. She holds a joint appointment in Geological Sciences and Science Education. Her research in geology involves mapping fault systems to better understand the geologic history, geothermal potential, and seismic hazard potential of regions. In addition, she is involved in a national community effort to develop curricular materials that places geoscience in the context of societal issues, such as natural hazards.

Dr. Egger’s slide presentation