chicago and cook county survey - amazon s3...chicago and cook county survey conducted december 8-9,...

Chicago and Cook County Survey

Conducted December 8-9, 2015 of 1,155 likely Democratic voters

by Public Policy Polling

A Joint Survey From

December 8-9, 2015Survey of 1,155 likely Democratic primary votersDecember 8-9, 2015Survey of 1,155 likely Democratic primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Cook County Survey Results

Q1 This March there will be a Democratic primary election for President, U.S. Senate, and other important offices. How likely would you say you are to vote in the Democratic primary next March: are you certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50/50, or will you probably not vote?

93% Certain to vote ................................................

7% Will probably vote ...........................................

0% Chances are 50/50 .........................................

0% Will probably not vote......................................Q2 If the primary election for Cook County State

Attorney were today, and the candidates were Anita Alvarez, Kim Foxx, and Donna More, who would you vote for?

33% Anita Alvarez...................................................

24% Kim Foxx.........................................................

11% Donna More ....................................................

32% Not sure ..........................................................Q3 Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve,

somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Cook County State Attorney Anita Alvarez is doing?

19% Strongly approve.............................................

25% Somewhat approve .........................................

26% Somewhat disapprove ....................................

24% Strongly disapprove ........................................

6% Not sure ..........................................................Q4 If the primary election for Cook County State

Attorney were today, would you vote to re-elect Anita Alvarez, or do you think it’s time for someone new?

30% Vote to re-elect Anita Alvarez..........................

55% It’s time for someone new ...............................

15% Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job the Chicago Police Department is doing?





4% Not sure ..........................................................Q6 The Chicago Police Department had video of

the shooting of Laquan McDonald for over a year before it was released. Do you think the Police Department deliberately withheld the video from the public, or not?

64%

The Police Department deliberately withheld the video of the shooting of Laquan McDonald from the public ...............................

21%

The Police Department did not deliberately withhold the video of the shooting of Laquan McDonald from the public ...............................

15% Not sure ..........................................................Q7 Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve,

somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Mayor Rahm Emanuel is doing?





4% Not sure ..........................................................Q8 If there was an election for Mayor of Chicago

today, would you vote for Mayor Rahm Emanuel or would you vote for someone else?

28% Rahm Emanuel ...............................................

51% Someone else .................................................

21% Not sure ..........................................................

December 8-9, 2015Survey of 1,155 likely Democratic primary votersDecember 8-9, 2015Survey of 1,155 likely Democratic primary voters





Q9 Did you vote in the election for Mayor last April, or not?

97% Yes..................................................................

3% No ...................................................................Q10 (Asked of April 2015 election voters) If you’d

seen the video of the shooting of Laquan McDonald before the election for Mayor last April, would it have changed your vote for Mayor, or not?

28%

Seeing the video of the shooting of Laquan McDonald would have changed your vote for Mayor..............................................................

56%

Seeing the video of the shooting of Laquan McDonald would not have changed your vote for Mayor.........................................................

15% Not sure ..........................................................Q11 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

If you don’t identify as either gender, press 3. 56% Woman ...........................................................

40% Man.................................................................

4% Don’t identify as either gender ........................Q12 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.

82% Democrat ........................................................

4% Republican......................................................

14% Independent / Other ........................................

Q13 Do you consider yourself to be very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

21% Very liberal ......................................................

30% Somewhat liberal ............................................

39% Moderate.........................................................

8% Somewhat conservative..................................

3% Very conservative ...........................................Q14 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If

African American, press 3. If other, press 4. 18% Hispanic ..........................................................

41% White ..............................................................

35% African American.............................................

7% Other...............................................................Q15 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to

65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3. 24% 18 to 45...........................................................

47% 46 to 65...........................................................

29% Older than 65 ..................................................Q16 If you live in the city of Chicago, press 1. If you

live somewhere else in Cook County, press 2. 59% Live in the city of Chicago ...............................

41% Live somewhere else in Cook County.............

December 8-9, 2015survey of 1,155 Democratic primary votersDecember 8-9, 2015survey of 1,155 Democratic primary voters





Base

Gender

Woman ManDon’t identify as

either genderState Attorney PrimaryVote

Anita Alvarez

Kim Foxx

Donna More

Not sure

33% 29% 38% 44%

24% 24% 23% 25%

11% 11% 12% 7%

32% 37% 27% 23%

Base

Gender


either genderAlvarez Approval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

19% 18% 20% 15%

25% 23% 27% 29%

26% 26% 27% 21%

24% 25% 22% 21%

6% 8% 4% 14%

Base

Gender


either genderRe-elect Alvarez /Someone New

Vote to re-elect AnitaAlvarez

It’s time for someonenew

Not sure

30% 26% 35% 29%

55% 56% 54% 53%

15% 18% 11% 17%

Base

Gender


either genderChicago PoliceApproval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

16% 15% 18% 10%

28% 29% 28% 23%

27% 28% 26% 25%

25% 24% 24% 33%

4% 3% 3% 9%






Base

Gender


either genderChicago PoliceWithheld VideoYes/No

The Police Departme-nt deliberately withhe-ld the video of the sh-ooting of Laquan Mc-

Donald from the publi-c

The Police Departme-nt did not deliberatelywithhold the video of

the shooting of Laqua-n McDonald from the

public Not sure

64% 66% 61% 62%

21% 19% 25% 22%

15% 15% 14% 16%

Base

Gender


either genderEmanuel Approval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

15% 17% 14% 11%

25% 27% 24% 20%

29% 26% 31% 38%

26% 26% 27% 24%

4% 5% 4% 8%

Base

Gender


either genderEmanuel / Someoneelse

Rahm Emanuel

Someone else

Not sure

28% 31% 23% 22%

51% 48% 56% 53%

21% 21% 20% 26%

Base

Gender


either genderVote in April ElectionYes/No

Yes

No

97% 96% 98% 100%

3% 4% 2% -






Base

Gender


either genderMcDonald VideoChanged Vote Yes/No

Seeing the video ofthe shooting of

Laquan McDonaldwould have changed

your vote for MayorSeeing the video of

the shooting ofLaquan McDonald

would not havechanged your vote for

MayorNot sure

28% 25% 33% 22%

56% 57% 57% 30%

15% 18% 9% 48%

Base

Party

Democrat RepublicanIndependent

/ OtherState Attorney PrimaryVote

Anita Alvarez

Kim Foxx

Donna More

Not sure

33% 33% 54% 25%

24% 25% 2% 22%

11% 10% 23% 11%

32% 31% 21% 42%

Base

Party


/ OtherAlvarez Approval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

19% 19% 37% 14%

25% 25% 35% 24%

26% 27% 16% 23%

24% 23% 11% 32%

6% 7% 1% 6%

Base

Party


/ OtherRe-elect Alvarez /Someone New



Not sure

30% 30% 58% 22%

55% 56% 32% 56%

15% 14% 10% 22%

Base

Party


/ OtherChicago PoliceApproval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

16% 14% 58% 14%

28% 29% 20% 28%

27% 28% 12% 30%

25% 26% 6% 25%

4% 4% 4% 3%






Base

Party


/ OtherChicago PoliceWithheld VideoYes/No





public Not sure

64% 64% 42% 68%

21% 21% 45% 18%

15% 15% 13% 15%

Base

Party


/ OtherEmanuel Approval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

15% 17% 13% 9%

25% 26% 17% 27%

29% 29% 27% 25%

26% 25% 29% 34%

4% 4% 14% 5%

Base

Party


/ OtherEmanuel / Someoneelse

Rahm Emanuel

Someone else

Not sure

28% 30% 10% 18%

51% 51% 61% 52%

21% 19% 29% 31%

Base

Party


/ OtherVote in April ElectionYes/No

Yes

No

97% 97% 100% 95%

3% 3% - 5%






Base

Party


/ OtherMcDonald VideoChanged Vote Yes/No






MayorNot sure

28% 28% 28% 30%

56% 56% 64% 57%

15% 16% 8% 13%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatliberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

State Attorney PrimaryVote

Anita Alvarez

Kim Foxx

Donna More

Not sure

33% 28% 33% 35% 26% 53%

24% 26% 29% 19% 27% 10%

11% 12% 9% 13% 7% 8%

32% 33% 29% 33% 40% 30%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Alvarez ApprovalStrongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

19% 19% 17% 19% 18% 32%

25% 19% 29% 27% 18% 26%

26% 23% 26% 27% 31% 25%

24% 34% 23% 20% 23% 12%

6% 5% 5% 7% 11% 5%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Re-elect Alvarez /Someone New



Not sure

30% 27% 32% 30% 23% 38%

55% 63% 53% 51% 61% 49%

15% 10% 15% 19% 16% 12%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Chicago PoliceApproval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

16% 14% 13% 17% 21% 42%

28% 20% 37% 29% 23% 12%

27% 30% 27% 24% 39% 27%

25% 31% 21% 27% 14% 12%

4% 5% 2% 4% 4% 6%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Chicago PoliceWithheld VideoYes/No





public Not sure

64% 75% 64% 59% 62% 46%

21% 15% 22% 24% 20% 31%

15% 11% 13% 17% 18% 23%






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Emanuel ApprovalStrongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

15% 20% 13% 14% 17% 28%

25% 19% 36% 22% 19% 21%

29% 19% 29% 32% 40% 17%

26% 36% 19% 28% 16% 32%

4% 5% 3% 4% 8% 2%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Emanuel / Someoneelse

Rahm Emanuel

Someone else

Not sure

28% 28% 32% 24% 22% 51%

51% 58% 44% 53% 56% 41%

21% 14% 24% 24% 21% 8%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Vote in April ElectionYes/No

Yes

No

97% 97% 96% 98% 99% 95%

3% 3% 4% 2% 1% 5%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

McDonald VideoChanged Vote Yes/No






MayorNot sure

28% 32% 29% 27% 24% 27%

56% 58% 59% 56% 48% 50%

15% 10% 12% 17% 28% 23%

Base

Race

Hispanic WhiteAfrican

American OtherState Attorney PrimaryVote

Anita Alvarez

Kim Foxx

Donna More

Not sure

33% 53% 37% 19% 26%

24% 24% 16% 35% 15%

11% 6% 9% 14% 22%

32% 17% 38% 32% 38%

Base

Race


American OtherAlvarez Approval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

19% 31% 20% 11% 17%

25% 29% 29% 18% 24%

26% 22% 24% 31% 28%

24% 12% 19% 35% 26%

6% 6% 8% 5% 5%






Base

Race


American OtherRe-elect Alvarez /Someone New



Not sure

30% 48% 36% 16% 19%

55% 44% 45% 72% 58%

15% 9% 20% 12% 23%

Base

Race


American OtherChicago PoliceApproval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

16% 32% 15% 9% 19%

28% 35% 33% 21% 19%

27% 10% 30% 34% 25%

25% 22% 18% 33% 29%

4% 1% 4% 3% 8%

Base

Race


American OtherChicago PoliceWithheld VideoYes/No





public Not sure

64% 51% 58% 77% 61%

21% 39% 25% 9% 20%

15% 10% 17% 14% 19%

Base

Race


American OtherEmanuel Approval

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

15% 17% 14% 14% 24%

25% 13% 32% 25% 22%

29% 35% 29% 27% 17%

26% 30% 21% 29% 31%

4% 5% 4% 4% 6%

Base

Race


American OtherEmanuel / Someoneelse

Rahm Emanuel

Someone else

Not sure

28% 30% 26% 27% 34%

51% 58% 47% 52% 47%

21% 12% 27% 21% 19%

Base

Race


American OtherVote in April ElectionYes/No

Yes

No

97% 97% 98% 97% 97%

3% 3% 2% 3% 3%






Base

Race


American OtherMcDonald VideoChanged Vote Yes/No






MayorNot sure

28% 35% 17% 35% 25%

56% 57% 68% 47% 54%

15% 8% 15% 18% 20%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Anita Alvarez

Kim Foxx

Donna More

Not sure

33% 43% 29% 32%

24% 24% 26% 20%

11% 12% 10% 12%

32% 22% 35% 36%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

19% 22% 17% 20%

25% 28% 23% 25%

26% 26% 26% 26%

24% 19% 27% 22%

6% 5% 6% 7%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65




Not sure

30% 35% 26% 32%

55% 54% 57% 51%

15% 11% 16% 17%






Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

16% 28% 13% 13%

28% 28% 28% 28%

27% 19% 28% 33%

25% 22% 27% 22%

4% 3% 3% 4%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65






public Not sure

64% 56% 66% 67%

21% 38% 17% 15%

15% 6% 17% 18%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

15% 17% 12% 20%

25% 16% 26% 33%

29% 30% 29% 27%

26% 32% 28% 17%

4% 4% 5% 4%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Rahm Emanuel

Someone else

Not sure

28% 32% 24% 31%

51% 50% 58% 42%

21% 17% 18% 27%

Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65


Yes

No

97% 100% 96% 97%

3% - 4% 3%






Base

Age

18 to45

46 to65

Olderthan 65







MayorNot sure

28% 24% 31% 29%

56% 69% 54% 49%

15% 7% 15% 22%

Base

Live in City Yes/No

Live in the cityof Chicago

Live somewhereelse in Cook County


Anita Alvarez

Kim Foxx

Donna More

Not sure

33% 31% 35%

24% 27% 19%

11% 9% 13%

32% 32% 32%

Base

Live in City Yes/No




Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

19% 18% 20%

25% 23% 28%

26% 29% 23%

24% 24% 23%

6% 6% 6%

Base

Live in City Yes/No






Not sure

30% 27% 34%

55% 58% 50%

15% 15% 16%

Base

Live in City Yes/No




Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

16% 17% 15%

28% 29% 27%

27% 28% 27%

25% 23% 27%

4% 3% 5%






Base

Live in City Yes/No








public Not sure

64% 62% 66%

21% 22% 20%

15% 15% 14%

Base

Live in City Yes/No




Somewhat approve

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Not sure

15% 17% 13%

25% 23% 29%

29% 28% 29%

26% 28% 23%

4% 4% 5%

Base

Live in CityYes/No



Rahm Emanuel

Someone else

Not sure

28% 28%

51% 51%

21% 21%

Base

Live in CityYes/No



Yes

No

97% 97%

3% 3%






Base

Live in CityYes/No








MayorNot sure

28% 28%

56% 56%

15% 15%

chicago and cook county survey - amazon s3...chicago and cook county survey conducted december 8-9,...

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