china topic analasys
TRANSCRIPT
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7/25/2019 China Topic Analasys
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Bouncer efect/CFIUS
CFIUS- us has largest econ and lots o consumers, china not allowed.
China has own bouncers, can do the same
Most are not a threat
Increases the chance china ma do the same
Most li!el M"# rom #merican to China
Most high $ro%le
o C&''C
o (uawei
o )alls
CFIUS re*ected +ubai orts orld b/c it was rom the U#
Most inestment is not reiewed, man submit the $lans in adance
)eseres the right got inoluntar reiew
0oo!ing or
o US does not want to s$ell it out, wants 1e2 " ambiguit
o ro2imit to militar instalments
o Sensitie techs that could be transerred to other nations
'rdered to diest i ount to be a ris!
olitics/ lection
Middle class can ote re$. with hard econ or actories
3rum$ seems unrealistic and e2$erts are conused
China ma not be $o$ular
Fuc! china, we need to be tough It4s not the truth it4s the s$in
BI3 negotiation treat $arts
&egatie list 5done 6/78/96:
ho rules dis$utes
()/nironment laws
3rans$arent &S)
0ess &S)
Fewer e2ce$tions or S's Finish beore 3rum$
Senate needed to a$$roe the treat
;can #f %at congress
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o (istoricall true
o Interde$endent
o
Man other releant and im$ortant issues
o #lwas there
o
&eed stabilito )'C
o >a$an
o Climate
o &orth ?orea
China more li!el to be coo$erated with than US, regime change
could be good im$act
rotectionism
More su$$ortie o own com$anies than other4s
o #ll about degrees
o
3arif/@uota are e2am$leso Subsidies to domestic are good
Causes tit-or-tat res$onse
o Chinese CFIUS created
+ecrease $rotectionism to hel$ tarif arms race
China4s conom
(ow could ta!eof be bad
o Militar
o roide resources to gie to &?
o nironmental damage
o Bu US businesseso Com$le2 econbubbles, ectA .
?irb is conused
(aards within
o Ciil unrest
o +iersionar war theorcause war and $oint anger o $eo$le at
otherso &et efect o econom
>a$an could get angr either wa
o Bro!e chinabad stuf
3he $ressure C
ngagement containment
o Containment wants to !ee$ China in control
o Use $ower to sa that the need to change something about their
behaioro Could irritation could be used to ma!e China change
o CFIUS could be used as $ressure
o #merican mar!et is so wanted that $ressure ma wor!
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o Could go bad
&eolib.
eo$le used to want to colonie
&o longer oertl demanding change
&ow using consumers to $ressure cultures to change ressuring countries to ma!e small changes to orce bigger ones with mar!et
$ressure
Using economics to leerage changes and homogenie culture
Change the wa things are runA increase wage ga$
&ew mar!ets could hel$ or hurt
eo$le who enter with the most get the most