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Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Tucson, Arizona September 12, 2007

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Page 1: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Circles of ConcernCircles of Concern

Mike Treder

Executive Director

Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Mike Treder

Executive Director

Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Tucson, Arizona

September 12, 2007

Tucson, Arizona

September 12, 2007

Page 2: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

You are here

Page 3: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 4: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 5: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 6: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Home to 6,617,422,670 humans

Home to 6,617,422,670 humans

And approximately 14 million other species of

life

And approximately 14 million other species of

life

Page 7: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

But for how long?

But for how long?

Page 8: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

“We have seen a massive acceleration… The glacier is now moving at 15km a year into the sea…”

Page 9: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 10: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

How long?How long?

genetically engineered viruses

nanotechnological arms races

catastrophic nuclear war

superintelligent AI indifferent to humans

physics disaster in a particle accelerator

supervolcano explosion blocks out the sun

genetically engineered viruses

nanotechnological arms races

catastrophic nuclear war

superintelligent AI indifferent to humans

physics disaster in a particle accelerator

supervolcano explosion blocks out the sun

Page 11: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

physicsphysics

chemistry

chemistry

astronomy

astronomy

geologygeology

biologybiologyanthropology

anthropology

sociology

sociology

psychology

psychology

philosophy

philosophy

Page 12: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Bio

biological technologies

biological technologies

nanoscale technologiesnanoscale

technologies

molecular manufacturing

molecular manufacturing

Nano

Impacts

Page 13: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Timing

Power

Impacts

Possible substrates and potential capabilities

Possible substrates and potential capabilities

Projected pathways and

timelines

Projected pathways and

timelines

Societal and environmental implications

Societal and environmental implications

Molecular ManufacturingMolecular Manufacturing

Page 14: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Timing

Power

Impacts

The Little CircleThe Little Circle

What We Know Now What We Know Now

Page 15: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Timing

Power

Impacts

The Little CircleThe Little Circle

Knowledge

Page 16: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Timing

Power

Impacts

The Little CircleThe Little Circle

Knowledge

Page 17: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Timing

Power

Impacts

The Circle of KnowledgeThe Circle of Knowledge

Knowledge

Page 18: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Timing

Power

Impacts

The Solution SpaceThe Solution Space

Knowledge

Page 19: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Energy

Energy

Conflict

ConflictHea

lthHea

lth

Page 20: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Energy

Energy

Conflict

ConflictHea

lthHea

lth

Page 21: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Energy

Energy

Conflict

ConflictHea

lthHea

lth

Page 22: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

NanotechNanotech

GeneticsGenetics

BiotechBiotech

Cogno-techCogno-tech

Info-techInfo-tech

RoboticsRobotics

Page 23: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

physicsphysics

chemistry

chemistry

astronomy

astronomy

geologygeology

biologybiologyanthropology

anthropology

sociology

sociology

psychology

psychology

philosophy

philosophy

Page 24: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Governance

Arts /Expression

Security

Sustainability

Expansion

Technology

Economics

Rights and Responsibilities

Civilization

Page 25: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

CommercialCommercialGuardianGuardian

InformationalInformational

Systems of ActionSystems of Action

See

http://crnano.org/systems.htm

See

http://crnano.org/systems.htm

Page 26: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Circles of InfluenceCircles of Influence

can control

may affect

can’t control

Individuals

Corporations

Governments

Non-state actors

Page 27: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology

Circles of ConcernCircles of Concern

Page 28: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 29: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 30: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 31: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 32: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 33: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 34: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
Page 35: Circles of Concern Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology