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Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnership Coconino Plateau Technical Advisory Committee Sustainable Water Management Plan Overview and Status July 29, 2016

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Page 1: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Coconino Plateau

Watershed Partnership

Coconino Plateau Technical Advisory Committee

Sustainable Water Management Plan

Overview and Status

July 29, 2016

Page 2: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

CPWP Boundary

Page 3: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

Background & Purpose

CPWAC Strategic Plan

Strategic Direction “Environmental and Sustainable Use”

Strategic Direction “Sustainable Regional WaterPlanning” = high priority

Page 4: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

Structure

Three-legged Stool

All three legs areequally important.

https://bekindtoustrolls.files.wordpress.com/2012/07/three-legged-stool.jpg

Page 5: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

StructureNested and interdependent spheres: • Environment (Natural Capital)

provides ecosystem services and natural resources for survival.

• Society or human capital sphere

• Economy governed by rules, regulation, and structures of Environment and Society

https://placeshakers.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/sustainability-nesting.jpg.

Page 6: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

http://opensiuc.lib.siu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1094&context=jcwre, July 27, 2016

CPTAC:• Chose to develop

SWM planning based on a structure using criteria, indicators and measures

• Developed by Universities Council on Water Resources, Kranzetal. 2004

• Added criteria for social

Page 7: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

SWM planning to protect and enhance water resources, striving to achieve balance between ecological, economic, and social needs.

Criteria: Point of reference

e.g. adequate municipal water supply

Indicator: The factor that may be changing

e.g. groundwater levels

Measure: A variable measured to assess progress

e.g. depth to groundwater

Page 8: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

Framework

Criteria• Community water supply• Ecosystem water supply• Social and economic measures• Add “adaptation strategies for climate

change”

Page 9: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

Page 10: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

Framework

Ecological threshold

e.g. spring dries up and loss of species in ecosystem

Social threshold

e.g. reduced stream flow and inability to sport fish

Economics threshold

e.g. increased pumping costs due to declining groundwater levels

Page 11: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water ManagementProposed monitoring

Indicators to be developed:

ecologic thresholds – no data, this is a big deal

socio economic thresholds – economists and public polls

Ecosystem threshold data is not available for the region.

Data collection may require a minimum monitoring period of three years.

Socio economic thresholds require analysis of commercial water use, including minimums, and public perceptions of water needs for quality of life.

Page 12: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

SWM Reports and Compilation

Page 13: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

Appraisal Study

Report of Findings2006

Page 14: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

Referred to as “NARGFM”

Northern Arizona Regional Groundwater Flow Model

Page 15: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water ManagementCPWAC/CPTAC developed three future water demand scenarios. USGS used NARGFM to model each scenario to simulate the results.

USGS pending publication: Simulation of Groundwater Withdrawal Scenarios for the Redwall-Muav and Coconino Aquifer Systems of Northern and Central Arizona

Page 16: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

Report for SWM

byNatalie CostonNAU Student

Page 17: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

Water Demand/Supply

Page 18: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

NCAWSFS - COF prepared

groundwater flow model to assess potential RGR-Leupp pumping

Refined grid in vicinity of RGR

Page 19: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water ManagementData

compilation for SWM

Prioritizing At-Risk Waters

ByCoconino

Plateau At-Risk Waters Project

Core Team

Page 20: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

SWM and Social and Economic impactsUnder shortage, how long do businesses function?What is impact on social well being?

Page 21: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

CPTAC unsuccessfully applied for grant funds in 2013 and 2014 for SWM work.

Page 22: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

CPTAC - SWM Presentations by Others

Establishing Relationships and Potential Collaborations

Page 23: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

DLCC - Regional collaboration for data sharing and database repository that could be used

for Water Source Menu maps

Page 24: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

WRRCArizona

Environmental Water NeedsMethodology

Guidebook

Page 25: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

WRRC: Roadmap for Considering Water for Arizona’s Natural Areas

Page 26: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

WRRCArizona Desert Flows Database

Check what data are (are not)

available in your region.

Page 27: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water ManagementIn the 1900’s studies began to assess how much groundwater can be sustainably pumped. Safe yield versus sustainable yield are described with a variety of definitions.

USGS used the “Importance of scale”, “…sustainability of groundwater use is measured by the effect pumping has on specific surface-water and riparian features and by society’s willingness to accept those effects (Gungle et al., in press)

Published any day now!

Page 28: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

CPTAC developed framework for SWM planning.

Framework cannot be completed due to lack of data.

Establishing ecologic thresholds for two locations could take 3 to 5 years.

Establishing social and economic thresholds will require additional expertise.

What do other SWM planning efforts look like?

Page 29: Coconino Plateau Watershed Partnershipcpwac.org/presentationfiles/07_29_2016SWM overview.pdf · Sustainable Water Management Proposed monitoring Indicators to be developed: ecologic

Sustainable Water Management

QUESTIONS/COMMENTS

Deborah Tosline Ron Doba

[email protected] [email protected]

623-773-6277 480-299-5764