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36 th National Convention of Company Secretaries “Global Meltdown – Challenges & Opportunities” Private Equity Industry Perspective November 7, 2008

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Page 1: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

36th National Convention of Company Secretaries

“Global Meltdown – Challenges & Opportunities”Private Equity Industry Perspective

November 7, 2008

Page 2: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

2

State of Private Equity Industry

Issues arising from “Global Meltdown”

Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective

Page 3: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Global PE investments touched USD 297 billion in 2007, showing 4x growth in 10 years

Global Investment Trend (US$ billion)

191

103

157

297

235

70

12387 117

112

0

100

200

300

400

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Page 4: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Fund raising by global PE industry reached an all time high of USD 459 billion in 2007

Funds raised - Global (US$ billion)

133 154

262

177

93 88134

277

437459

327

0

100

200

300

400

500

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 H12008

c

Fund raising continued to be buoyant in first half of 2008

Page 5: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Indian PE market crossed USD 17 bn in 07Early Stage Investments Phase Depression Phase Revival Phase Take-off Phase

− Beginning of PE/VC activity in India− Largely VC in nature− Peaked in 2000, backed by the IT boom− Main sectors were IT and Telecom

− Decline in activity post ‘dot-com’ bubble

− A risk-averse approach taken by most players

− Revival of interest

− Expansion beyond IT

− India growth story firmly established

− Incr. in liquidity

20 80 250 500937 591 470

1,6502,183

7,460

1,160

17,140

8.4

4.04.4 4.2 4.7 4.1

8.5

7.6

15.0

24.9

37.0

23.2

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007-

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

PE Investment (USD mn) Average Deal Size

Source: Edelweiss Private Equity Report, 2007

Page 6: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

6

India was the third largest recipient of PE funds globally in 2007

USD billion

Country Investment value

1 USA 105.7

2 UK 40.1

3 India 17.5

4 Japan 14.7

5 Australia 14.6

6 France 14.4

7 China 10.6

8 Germany 8.7

9 Malaysia 5.4

10 Singapore 5.4

Page 7: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Increasing maturity in regulatory & financial markets has facilitated private equity activity in all aspects• Possible to create off shore or domestic cum off shore funds

• Regulatory guidelines are in place for different routes : Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Foreign Institutional Investment (FII), Foreign Venture Capital Investment (FVCI)

• Barring few sectors, most sectors don’t have restrictions on foreign investments / FDI caps

• Buy-outs are permitted although commercial banks have restrictions in providing leverage for equity purchase

• Diverse investment instruments including equity capital, preference capital, convertible debentures are used in the Indian markets enabling efficient structuring of transactions

• There is a well developed ecosystem of investment banks, legal advisors, financial and tax advisors, regulatory advisors, capital market participants, etc

Page 8: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

8

Indian Private Equity industry has a large presence of global and local players

Global players want more of IndiaIndian private equity players are

growing bigger

Page 9: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

9

State of Private Equity Industry

Issues arising from “Global Meltdown”

Industry response-ICICI Venture Perspective

Page 10: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

10

Financial markets could impact a PE player in 4 broad areas

Existing Portfolio Exits

Fresh Investments

Fund raising

Page 11: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Key portfolio issues at a macro levelDoes the business require a fundamental rethink on strategy?Have the ‘growth drivers’ of the company undergone a change?

Business operations

Financing of operations

Is any company facing potential financial distress?Are the expansion plans impacted by lack of availability of financing ?Is there a major impact of rise in interest rate ?

Are the exit plans adversely affected by the change in capital market scenario ?

Divestment time-frame

ValuationsImpact of changing growth expectations and macro environment on the ‘exit-realizations’ ?

Page 12: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Illustration of impact at a Micro level

Macro Factor

Sectors significantly impacted

The portfolio is likely to witness some delay in exits and potentially lower realisations due to changed market conditions

Sector Particulars

Media & Services

• Reduced domestic consumption might impact growth rates

•Fall in market valuations

Metals & Mining

•Fall in commodity prices

Financial Services

• Slowdown in retail consumer demand • Decline in retail broking activity•Fall in market valuations

Retail• Constraint in availability of funds• Fall in market valuations • Reduced discretionary spend affecting demand

Liquidity constraints in the financial market impacting growth, availability of finance & valuations

Page 13: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Decline in market indices has eroded portfolio value for PIPE investorsCompany PE Firm Entry Date Deal value Entry Price Current Price* Mark-to-Market

(INR mn) (INR) (INR) Losses (%)AllSec Technologies Carlyle 23-Aug-06 786 260.0 27.4 89.5%Sical Logistics IDFC PE 24-Apr-07 1100 222.0 39.4 82.3%India Infoline Orient Global 24-Dec-07 5,550 300.0 58.6 80.5%BAG Films & Media Fidelity 24-Oct-07 676 60.2 16.4 72.8%Development Credit Bank Tata Capital & Others 10-Jul-07 850 105.0 30.5 71.0%Nagarjuna Construction Blackstone 3-Oct-07 6150 202.5 49.8 75.4%Havells Warburg Pincus 7-Dec-07 4394 625.0 246.2 60.6%Gokaldas Exports Blackstone Group 20-Aug-07 6760 275.0 90.0 67.3%Yes Bank Orient Global 4-Dec-07 3310 225.0 80.7 64.2%Great Offshore Shipping Carlyle 20-Jul-07 1650 861.0 296.4 65.6%Infotech Enterprises General Atlantic 6-Jun-07 3000 360.0 145.9 59.5%JRG Securities Baring India 27-Jul-07 1400 48.0 23.1 52.0%

*Price as on Oct 16, 20081 Price adjusted for share split

Page 14: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Fund raising environment for PE players has become more challenging

• Large international investors are adopting a ’wait and watch’ approach

• New fund managers are finding it difficult to raise funds

• New funds from existing fund managers are taking longer to achieve closure

• Size of new fund raisings being scaled down

• Domestic HNI investors continue to show interest, but currently form a smaller part of the market

Page 15: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Despite challenges, PE activity in India continues to show resilience in 2008

Overall PE investment activity levels in India continued to be buoyant.

A total of 227 deals with an aggregate value of USD 10.0 billion were announced during the Jan-Sept 2008 period.

Maximum deal activity was seen in the Real Estate and Telecom sectors in value terms and IT & Real Estate in volume terms

Page 16: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Indian PE industry is less impacted by global conditions than western world

Focus of western PE industry over the past few years was on Leveraged Buyouts (LBO) due to availability of plenty of debt financing at very attractive rates

LBO deals have been a small segment of the Indian PE market so far due to various factors - regulatory issues, cost of debt, conservative nature of Indian banks, lack of enough opportunities, philosophy of retaining leverage potential in portfolio companies, etc

Due to global liquidity constraints and risk averseness of banks, LBO activity of PE industry has been adversely hit

On the other hand, Indian PE industry will be impacted to a much lesser extent due to its focus on growth capital investing using their own resources

Page 17: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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State of Private Equity Industry

Issues arising from “Global Meltdown”

Industry response-ICICI Venture Perspective

Page 18: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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In the short term, PE investors will become more cautious

Rate of new investments may slow down in the coming 12 months, although appetite may continue to be strong

Investors will seek better terms

Promoters without a credible track record will find it tougher to tap PE as a source of capital

Hunt for ‘differentiated’ investment opportunities will intensify

Page 19: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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PE focus on unlisted companies is becoming greater, once again

20

40

60

80

100

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 YTD Sept2008

%

Value terms Volume terms

Unlisted company deals as % of total deals

Source: JM Financial

Page 20: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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In the long term, the India opportunity will continue to be vibrant

Demand drivers strongly in place.

Rising Income, Geographical Spread

Key Sectors still under penetrated

Healthcare, Retail, Financial Services,

Strong financial markets impetus

Exit tract record, Larger deals etc

Global aspirations of Entrepreneurs and Financial Market Strength

Potential buyout market in family owned businesses

(with second generation ownerships)

Strong future for Indian private equity industry

Page 21: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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Indian alternate assets market is expected to grow at a phenomenal rate over the next 5 years

33

30

19 145

10

1538

Growth Buyout Mid-cap Infra Real Estate Others Total

Total market potential (2007-2012 cumulative)

US$ bn

Market opportunities expected to grow beyond the core private equity space with real estate and infrastructure presenting very large opportunity sets

Core private equity = US$ 63 bn

Real Estate & Infra = US$ 63 bn

Source: Mckinsey Estimates

Page 22: Company · PDF fileCompany Secretaries “Global Meltdown ... Issues arising from “Global Meltdown” Industry response - ICICI Venture Perspective. 3 ... zAre the expansion plans

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ICICI Venture endeavors to continue being the leader in this high potential market

Innovative bets and differentiated deal structuring / execution

Buyout and control situation focus across deal sizes

Dedicated and large investment team to ensure high involvement

Aligning with the market trend of larger size transactions

Continued leadership in our space in the Indian Private Equity market

ICICI Venture proposes to raise new Funds to address this opportunity