computer hardware industry analysis
DESCRIPTION
Industrial Economics presentation on Computer Hardware Industry in India.TRANSCRIPT
COMPUTER HARDWARE INDUSTRY
SEC: DEF, TOPIC NO. 7
PUNYASHLOK DWIBEDY (2012223)
RAHUL MISHRA (2012229)
R SUSHANT SINGH (2012233)
RAKESH DUTTA (2012234)
RASHMI RANI (2012236)
S. PREET KARAN BHATIA (2012250)
SHIVAM KUMAR (2012296)
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
COMPUTER HARDWARE INDUSTRY IN INDIA
• 32,500 Cr market – Accounting 32% of IT industry in
India
• Some of the industry metrics
• PC unit sold
• $/storage
• Avg. PC revenue
• Price to free cash flow
• Sales/Employee
Computer H/W
Industry
Personal Computers
Network Equip,
Computer Peripherals
Storage Devices
32.50%
13.70%
11.80%
10.40%
2.80%
28.80%
Market Share
HP Lenovo Dell Acer HCL Others
Data source: Gartner, 2013RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
5.0
5 6.3
4 7.3
4
6.8
0 8.0
3 9.3
1 10
.82
11
.31
2006-07, 26%
2007-08, 16%
2008-09, -7%
2009-10, 18%
2010-11, 16%
2011-12, 16%
2012-13, 5%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Gro
wth
in
%
In M
illion
Units
PC Sales in Volume
Data source: IMRB & MAIT
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
PRICE TRENDS
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
4/1/20
04
6/1/20
04
8/1/20
04
10
/1
/2
004
12
/1
/2
004
2/1/20
05
4/1/20
05
6/1/20
05
8/1/20
05
10
/1
/2
005
12
/1
/2
005
2/1/20
06
4/1/20
06
6/1/20
06
8/1/20
06
10
/1
/2
006
12
/1
/2
006
2/1/20
07
4/1/20
07
6/1/20
07
8/1/20
07
10
/1
/2
007
12
/1
/2
007
2/1/20
08
4/1/20
08
6/1/20
08
8/1/20
08
10
/1
/2
008
12
/1
/2
008
2/1/20
09
4/1/20
09
6/1/20
09
8/1/20
09
10
/1
/2
009
12
/1
/2
009
2/1/20
10
4/1/20
10
6/1/20
10
8/1/20
10
10
/1
/2
010
12
/1
/2
010
2/1/20
11
4/1/20
11
6/1/20
11
8/1/20
11
10
/1
/2
011
12
/1
/2
011
2/1/20
12
4/1/20
12
6/1/20
12
8/1/20
12
10
/1
/2
012
12
/1
/2
012
2/1/20
13
4/1/20
13
6/1/20
13
8/1/20
13
10
/1
/2
013
12
/1
/2
013
WPI vs. Computer & Peripherals Price Index
Wholesale Prices Computers Computer Peripherals
INFINF Index
INWICMPU Index
INWICOPE Index
Data source: Bloomberg
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
FDI INFLOW
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
3/1/20
04
5/1/20
04
7/1/20
04
9/1/20
04
11
/1
/2
004
1/1/20
05
3/1/20
05
5/1/20
05
7/1/20
05
9/1/20
05
11
/1
/2
005
1/1/20
06
3/1/20
06
5/1/20
06
7/1/20
06
9/1/20
06
11
/1
/2
006
1/1/20
07
3/1/20
07
5/1/20
07
7/1/20
07
9/1/20
07
11
/1
/2
007
1/1/20
08
3/1/20
08
5/1/20
08
7/1/20
08
9/1/20
08
11
/1
/2
008
1/1/20
09
3/1/20
09
5/1/20
09
7/1/20
09
9/1/20
09
11
/1
/2
009
1/1/20
10
3/1/20
10
5/1/20
10
7/1/20
10
9/1/20
10
11
/1
/2
010
1/1/20
11
3/1/20
11
5/1/20
11
7/1/20
11
9/1/20
11
11
/1
/2
011
1/1/20
12
3/1/20
12
5/1/20
12
7/1/20
12
9/1/20
12
11
/1
/2
012
1/1/20
13
3/1/20
13
5/1/20
13
7/1/20
13
9/1/20
13
FDI Inflow
FDI Inflow in India FDI inflows in Computer & IT industries
INFDCUMU
IFDSCOMP
Data source: Bloomberg
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
POTENTIAL GROWTH
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
PORTER’S 5 FORCES
Moderate because of
• High price Sensitivity
• Low Player Differentiation
Bargaining power of buyers
Strong due to
• Limited number of suppliers
• Suppliers are large, international companies
Bargaining power of suppliers
Reasonably easy for new entrant to get moderate success because
• Online shopping has grown in popularity over the years.
• Reduced fixed costs for all shoppers.
Threat of new entrant
Reasonably low but
• Replaceable technology for gaming consoles
• Tablet technology
Threat of substitutes
Moderate
• Consumers have numerous options to choose from and switching costs for them are low.
• storage costs are high so quick product turnaround is vital
Rivalry
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
SWOT
Strengths
• Many companies have strong portfolio offerings.
• Research and development - Patent
• Ex: HP
Weakness
• Alternatives to PC’s
• Computer Manufacturing Industry is a worldwide market and subjected to instability of economies in various countries.
Opportunities
• Opportunities for growth and advancement as developing countries increase their need for technology.
Threats
• Likely decline for PCs
• intense competition between the large companies within the industry which make it difficult for new, smaller companies to become effective.
• Governments all around the world pose threats to this industry because of environmental regulations and currency fluctuations.
S W
O T
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
COMPUTER H/W WILL GROW AS IT WILL GROW
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
PRICING POLICIES
• Use price competition as their products have been commoditized.
• Keep product at as many price points as possible
• Examples are LG,LENOVO, ACER.
• Price discrimination
• large corporate, SMEs, personal PCs
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
PRICING OPTIONS
• Promotional and bundling pricing strategies.
• For example
1. With HP DESKTOP PC worth Rs. 24,990
Get accessories bundle worth Rs. 2873 @ Rs. 999
And three years onsite warranty.
2. With HP ink cartridge worth Rs 317
Free HP Glossy Photo Paper Pack worth Rs 50
3. Printer + Scanner
• EMI Option
• Segment Visitors According to Their Purchasing Power
• Inter-temporal policy
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
DELL VS. HP
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
MARKET BARRIERS (ENTRY & EXIT)
• Entry
• Everybody can start a home-based
mail order business for computer parts
• It takes little government permits
• Wholesaler are open for every
reseller
• There is no need to keep large stock
• Exit
• Investment in specialist equipment
• Specialized skills
• High fixed costs
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
NON-PRICE COMPETITION
• Nibbler Approach
• Go-to-Market Strategy
• Online sales opportunity
• Hardware maintenance services
• Warranty
• Patent Wars
• Apple vs. Samsung
• Embedded Software Licensing
• Hardware(vertical) differentiation is not enough.
• Example APPLE, SONY.RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
COLLUSIVE BEHAVIOR OF EXISTING FIRMSTHE SITUATION WHERE A DUOPOLY ACTS AS A MONOPOLIST
• Methods -
• Bidding Collusion
• Price Fixing
• Establish or adhere to price discounts.
• Hold prices firm.
• Adopt a standard formula for computing prices.
• Maintain certain price differentials between different types, sizes, or quantities of products.
• Adhere to a minimum fee or price schedule.
• Fix credit terms.
• Not advertise prices.
• Technology Collusion: Holding back the release of existing technologies so that people upgrade in small
increments
• Ex: DDR II RAM, Overclocking of CPUs etc.
• Deliberate control of supply to inflate pricesRAKESH DUTTA © 2014
UNIQUENESS
• Existing Secondary Market.
• Ebay, OLX, Quickr
• High R&D expenses.
• Mostly products are vertically differentiated.
• PCs are now like cars - Predefined consumer preferences, price sensitive & self awareness.
• Many repeat purchasers.
• Vendors contend with high bankruptcy rates
• Low inventory.
• No inventory (JIT) – Dell (CCC: -14 days)
• Rapid technological changes lead to disruptive innovation.
• rapid price fluctuations
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014
THE END
RAKESH DUTTA © 2014