conceptual framework for understanding climate change in decision making

8/9/2019 Conceptual Framework for Understanding Climate Change in Decision Making

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Cpnikhou jc Eakinrf

Emnhof Nbn|rnrkjh

Rmf skfwu f}|pfuufb kh rmku |pfufhrnrkjh npf rmf skfwu jc rmf nvrmjp-u+ nhb bj hjr hfefuunpka{ pfcafer rmf

skfwu jp |jakekfu jc rmf Nuknh Bfsfaj|ifhr @nhg -NB@+! jp kru @jnpb jc Bkpferjpu jp rmf ojsfphifhru

rmf{ pf|pfufhr( NB@ bjfu hjr ovnpnhrff rmf ujvpef! jpkokhnakr{! neevpne{! eji|afrfhfuu jp pfakn`kakr{ jc

nh{ urnrfifhr! khcjpinrkjh! bnrn! ckhbkho! khrfp|pfrnrkjh! nbskef! j|khkjh! jp skfw |pfufhrfb! hjp bjfu kr

ingf nh{ pf|pfufhrnrkjh ejhefphkho rmf unif(


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Evrrkho rmf Nbn|rnrkjh Engf

Hvifpjvu bkccfpfhr wn{u jcvhbfpurnhbkho n||pjnemfu rj

EEN(

Rmf cjaajwkho ku n ejhef|rvna rfemhk~vf rj bkuevuu

n||pjnemfu rmnr npf mkoma{ jsfpan||kho(

F}rfphna Khrfphna

\pfbker #

\pjskbf

Eakinrf Pkug

InhnofifhrPfukakfhef Pjjr Envufu jc

Svahfpn`kakr{ N nhb @

K\EE Urnhbnpb

N||pjnemfu jp

Rj| Bjwh

K\EE

Svahfpn`kakr{

N||pjnemfu jp

@jrrji V|

K\EE Khrfopnrfb

N||pjnemfu


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\pfbker nhb \pjskbf


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\pfbker nhb \pjskbf4 Jsfpskfw

Svahfpn`kakr{ npkukho cpji `kj|m{ukena*hnrvpna*

urpvervpna cnerjpu

Nbn|rnrkjh rj f}rfphna cnerjpu

Fi|aj{u eakinrjajo{! ifrfjpjajo{! hnrvpna

mntnpbu inhnofifhr! fhokhffpkho! |jukrkskurke

Ajho rfpi |fpu|ferksf @nufb jh mntnpbu nhb f}|juvpf

Rj| bjwh


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\pfbker nhb \pjskbf4 F}ni|af jc Rjjau

Eakinrf Emnhof Uefhnpkju

Ijbfaakho


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\

pfbker nhb\

pjskbf4 @fhfckru

Ki|neru cfar pfanrksfa{ ~vkega{

Fnukfp rj inhnof! ijhkrjp nhb f}fevrf

Kh efprnkh enufu rmfuf npf rmf anur akhf jc

bfcfhef


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\pfbker nhb \pjskbf4 Skfw jc Vhefprnkhr{

Ikhkikukho*jsfpejikho vhefprnkhr{ rmpjvom

cjevu jh uj|mkurkenrfb ijbfaakho nhb uefhnpkju(


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\pfbker nhb \pjskbf4 F}ni|afu jc\pnerkef

VHF\ nhb KEKIJB4 Bpnkhkho oanekna

angfu rmpjvom vukho fhokhffpkho nhb

mnpb ujavrkjhu

Ojsfphifhru4 Ikopnrkjh bvf rj EE

ki|neru cpji kuanhb ejvhrpkfu rj Hfw

Tfnanhb

Rkbna wnaau rj |pjrfer nonkhur ufn afsfa

pkuf cjvhb nepjuu rmf oaj`f


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\pfbker nhb \pjskbf4 Epkrk~vf

Vuvnaa{ jsfpajjgu ejiivhkr{ |pkjpkrkfu

Bjfu hjr ejhukbfp ujekna! evarvpna nhb |jakrkena

cnerjpu

Vuvnaa{ efhrpnakufb

Uferjpna * j|fpnrfu ukaju

Pkokb! bjfu hjr neghjwafbof vhghjwhvhghjwhu


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Eakinrf Pkug Inhnofifhr


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Eakinrf Pkug Inhnofifhr4 Jsfpskfw

Svahfpn`kakr{ npkukho cpji `kj|m{ukena*hnrvpna* urpvervpna

cnerjpu

\pjefuu jc khejp|jpnrkho eakinrf khcjpinrkjh khrj

bfekukjhu

Inhnokho evppfhr eakinrf pkug nu n urf| kh inhnokho

ajhofp rfpi pkug cpji eakinrf emnhof

Cjevu jh nhna{ukho eakinrf khcjpinrkjh

Bkccfpfhef cpji \pfbker nhb \pjskbf) \#\ ku ajhofp rfpi! afb `{ rmf rkifuenafu oksfh `{ rmf

eakinrf emnhof uefhnpkj ijbfau

EPI ku ijpf nakohfb rj rkifuenafu nuujeknrfb wkrm

f}kurkho bfekukjh ingkho cpnifwjpgu


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Eakinrf Pkug Inhnofifhr4 F}ni|af jc

Rjjau

Jpemkb

Snpkjvu inkhurpfnikho

rjjau


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Eakinrf Pkug Inhnofifhr4 @fhfckru

Afuu pkug jc inanbn|rnrkjh bvf rj khrfopnrkjh jc

khcj jh eakinrf snpkn`kakr{

_jpgu wkrm |nur! |pfufhr nhb cvrvpf snpkn`kakr{

rj ikhkikuf pkug

Jha{ nbn|rnrkjh j|rkjh kh efprnkh ukrvnrkjhu


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Eakinrf Pkug Inhnofifhr4

Skfw jc Vhefprnkhr{

Cjevu jh ikhkikukho vhefprnkhr{ `{ khrfopnrkho

|nur! |pfufhr nhb cvrvpf eakinrf emnhof

khcjpinrkjh(


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Eakinrf Pkug Inhnofifhr4

F}ni|afu jc\pnerkef KCPE4 vuf jc ki|pjsfb ifrfjpjajokena

khcjpinrkjh cjp ki|pjsfb BPP nhb

|pf|jukrkjhkho pfakfc urjegu(

NB@4 Khrfopnrkho khcjpinrkjh jh EE

ki|neru jh e{eajhf! wkhb u|ffb nhb ufn

afsfau khrj bfukoh jc `pfngwnrfp(

Gfh{n4 ufnujhna cjpfenuru naajw cnpifpu

rj pfbvef f}|juvpf7 ajhofp rfpi rpfhbu

naajw cnpifpu rj onvof pj`vurhfuu jc

khsfurifhru


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Eakinrf Pkug Inhnofifhr4 Epkrk~vf

Afnbu rj hjr |anhhkho cjp cnkavpf

Bjfu hjr fhonof wkrm vhghjwh vhghjwhu

Urpfuufu jh eakinrf khcjpinrkjh pnrmfp rmnh

ejiivhkr{ |pkjpkrkfu

Vuvnaa{ rj| bjwh nhb efhrpnakufb

Vuvnaa{ uferjpna

@nufb jh f}|juvpf


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Pjjr Envufu jc Svahfpn`kakr{ -N+Ujekna*Evarvpna


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Ujekna*Evarvpna4 Jsfpskfw

Svahfpn`kakr{ npkukho cpji ujekna*evarvpna* cnerjpu

Nbn|rnrkjh nu |pjefuu jc fhonokho wkrm khrfphna cnerjpu

Fi|aj{u ujekna uekfhrkcke n||pjnemfu bpnwkho cpji

ejiivhkr{ # |nprkek|nrjp{ bfsfaj|ifhr! ujekjajo{!

nhrmpj|jajo{! hjpinrksf

Nbn|rnrkjh bfrfpikhfb `{ nhna{ukho ujekj)fejhjike

khf~vkr{! ofhbfp bku|npkrkfu! eanuu! ejiivhkr{

fi|jwfpifhr

@nufb jh ufhukrkskr{


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Ujekna nhb Evarvpna4 F}ni|af jc Rjjau

Svahfpn`kakr{ En|nekr{

Nuufuuifhr

\nprkek|nrjp{ Pvpna N||pnkuna


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Ujekna*Evarvpna4 @fhfckru

\jrfhrkna cjp urpvervpna rpnhucjpinrkjh

_kbf pnhokho bfsfaj|ifhr onkhu

Ijpf pjji rj neejiijbnrf ejiivhkr{

ejhefphu

Epfbfhef rj vuvnaa{ kohjpfb ujekna* evarvpna

cnerjpu


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Ujekna*Evarvpna4 Skfw jc vhefprnkhr{

Hj jsfpr fhonofifhr wkrm vhefprnkhr{

Nuuvi|rkjh rmnr EE `pkhou vhefprnkhrkfu rj nh{ ufrrkho

Uffgu rj `vccfp nonkhur kr `{ wjpgkho rj ki|pjsf

ugfwfb ujekna nhb evarvpna b{hnikeu


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Ujekna* Evarvpna4 F}ni|af jc\pnerkef

VHB\4 Ejiivhkr{ bfsfaj|ifhr

ejiikrrffu! ejiivhkr{ |nprkek|nrkjh

-kheavbkho wjifh+ ! fbvenrkjh!

khcjpinrkjh nhb hfrwjpgkho nunbn|rnrkjh

J}cni4 Ofhbfp fi|jwfpifhr nu

nbn|rnrkjh

Ejpbnkb4 in||kho rmf svahfpn`kakrkfu

nhb urvb{kho rmf ej|kho ifemnhkuiu

jc Bnakru


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Ujekna* Evarvpna4 Epkrk~vf

Rkif ejhuvikho4 `fhfckru nhb nbn|rnrkjh

wkrhfuufb jsfp ajho rkif uenafu

Npbvjvu4 ifrkevajvu pfufnpem nhb |anhhkhopf~vkpfb rj vhbfpurnhb ejiivhkr{ ufrrkho

Mkoma{ pfanrksf4 fnem ufrrkho pf~vkpfu n vhk~vf

eji`khnrkjh jc nerkskrkfu(

Inanbnb|rksf* khsfurkho rjj ivem kh jhf pfnakr{


24/40

Pjjr Envufu jc Svahfpn`kakr{ -@+Fejhjike*\jakrkena


25/40

Fejhjike*\jakrkena4 Jsfpskfw

Jsfpan| wkrm |pfskjvu n||pjnem `vr uf|npnrfb cjp onkhkho n

`frrfpvhbfpurnhbkho

Nbn|rnrkjh pf~vkpfu fhonofifhr wkrm |pj`afiu f}kurkho

wkrmkh n u{urfi

Svahfpn`kakr{ npkukho cpji |jakrkena! fejhjike nhb khurkrvrkjhna

cnerjpu

Fejhjikeu! fejhjifrpkeu7 |jakrkena nhb khurkrvrkjhna nhna{ufu

@nufb jh ufhukrkskr{


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Fejhjike*\jakrkena4 @fhfckr

\jrfhrkna cjp urpvervpna rpnhucjpinrkjh

Afnbu rj EEN nhb pfbvefb |jsfpr{

Pfnakurke nu kr neghjwafbofu rmf ki|jprnhef jc

|jakrkeu wmkem ku vuvnaa{ kohjpfb


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Fejhjifrpkeu

Aksfakmjjb nuufuuifhru

\jakrkena fejhji{ nhna{uku

Opjwrm bknohjurkeu

Bpksfpu jcemnhof

Fejhjike*\jakrkena4 F}ni|af jc Rjjau


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Fejhjike*\jakrkena4 Skfw jc Vhefprnkhr{

Hjr efhrpnaa{ ejhefphfb wkrm in||kho nhb

pfbvekho vhefprnkhr{ `vr wkrm ejppferkho ugfwfb

|jakrkena)fejhjike urpvervpfu


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Fejhjike*\jakrkena4 F}ni|af jc\pnerkef

@PNE4 Afhbkho ejhbkrkjhna jh

nbj|rkjh jc m{`pkb epj| snpkfrkfu

-unakhf pfukurnhr+ cjp `jjurkho epj|

|pjbverkjh

_jpab @nhg4 _jpgkho wkrm cnifpu rj

ijbfphktf kppkonrkjh! ki|pjsf wnrfp

vuf nhb khepfnuf cnifpu neefuu rjrfemhjajo{! ckhnhekho nhb inpgfru

BCKB4 AC\


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Eji|af} nhb rkif ejhuvikho

Kh cjevuukho jh fejhjike nhna{ufu enhujifrkifu kohjpf ujekna nhb evarvpna

envufu*ujavrkjhu

Hjr fccferksf kh efprnkh ukrvnrkjhu

Fejhjike*\jakrkena4 Epkrk~vf


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Pfukakfhef


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@jppjwu cpji jrmfp n||pjnemfu `vr ujif khhjsnrksf

kbfnu

Gf{ rfhfru kheavbf4 caf}k`kakr{ -pnrmfp rmnh j|rkikukhopfujvpefu+! |pf|npfbhfuu! pfbvhbnhe{! hj urn`af

urnrf! fccferksf afnphkho

Jrmfp emnpnerfpkurkeu kheavbf4 mkom afsfa jc bksfpukr{!fccferksf ojsfphnhef nhb khurkrvrkjhu! neef|rkho

vhefprnkhr{! ejiivhkr{ khsjasfifhr! ujekna snavfu!

f~vkr{! epjuu uenanp |fpu|ferksf

Ajho rfpi

Pfukakfhef4 Jsfpskfw


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Rpnhucjpinrksf |jrfhrkna

Afnbu rj pfukakfhef rj snpkjvu bkurvp`nhefuwmkem in{ ki|ner bfsfaj|ifhr

Eji|pfmfhuksf nu kr neghjwafbofu b{hnikuikh ujekj)fejajokena u{urfiu

Pfukakfhef4 @fhfckru


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Uffgu rj mfa| u{urfiu nerksfa{ fi`pnef

nhb wjpg wkrm vhefprnkhr{

Neghjwafbofu rmnr rmfpf npf vhghjwhvhghjwhu

Pfukakfhef4 Skfw jc Vhefprnkhr{


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Pjegfcfaafp Cjvhbnrkjh4 NEEEPH

BCKB4 Frmkj|kn

Hf|na4 HN\N' nhb \\EP

Pfukakfhef4 F}ni|afu jc\pnerkef


36/40

Umnpfb Afnphkho Bknajovfu4

Pfukakfhef4 F}ni|af jc Rjjau


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Pfukakfhef4 Epkrk~vf

Aneg jc fskbfhef

_kbf pnhokho nhb kr ku vheafnp nr wmnr urnof n urnrf jcpfukakfhef ku nemkfsfb

Pfukakfhef bkuevuufb kh rmf ejhrf}r jc u{urfiu `vr

vheafnp wmnr rmf akikru jc n u{urfi npf

Pfukakfhef khepfnukhoa{ vufb nu enrem naa cjp nbn|rnrkjh


38/40

Cjp cvprmfp bkuevuukjh)

Rmnifu 0>


39/40

Ajw enp`jh bfsfaj|ifhr4 khsjasfu ofhfpnrkhofhfpo{ cpji ajw)enp`jh ujvpefu -f(o( pfhfwn`afu+!

|pjrferkho enp`jh urjpfu -f(o( cjpfuru+! fhejvpnokho rmf

bfsfaj|ifhr jc ajw)enp`jh rfemhjajokfu nhb khepfnukho

fhfpo{ ufevpkr{(

Mnphfuukho u{hfpokfu wkrm EEN4 |juuk`af wkh)wkh

ujavrkjhu) Fo( Nbn|rkho rj khepfnufb mfnr `{ ejjakho`vkabkhou rmpjvom ki|pjsfb umnbkho(

Fo( Ejiivhkr{ cjpfurp{ cjp ki|pjsfb

aksfakmjjb nhb ikrkonrkjh(

Cjp cvprmfp bkuevuukjh((((


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Cjp cvprmfp bkuevuukjh((((

F}rfphna Khrfphna

Rpnhucjpinrksf

Ikhkikukho

Bninof

_jpg kh |pjopfuu)

conceptual framework for understanding climate change in decision making

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