corporate presentation · 9/9/2018 · september 2018. tsx/nyse fnv ... regulatory, political or...
TRANSCRIPT
Corporate Presentation
September 2018
TSX/NYSE FNV
Cautionary StatementForward Looking StatementsThis presentation contains “forward looking information” and “forward looking statements” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws and the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, respectively, which mayinclude, but are not limited to, statements with respect to future events or future performance, management’s expectations regarding Franco-Nevada’s growth, results of operations, estimated future revenues, carrying value of assets, futuredividends and requirements for additional capital, mineral reserve and mineral resource estimates, production estimates, production costs and revenue, future demand for and prices of commodities, expected mining sequences, business prospectsand opportunities and the completion of previously announced transactions, including Cobre Panama. In addition, statements (including data in tables) relating to reserves and resources and gold equivalent ounces are forward looking statements, asthey involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, and no assurance can be given that the estimates and assumptions are accurate and that such reserves and resources and gold equivalent ounces will be realized. Suchforward looking statements reflect management’s current beliefs and are based on information currently available to management. Often, but not always, forward looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects”,“is expected”, “budgets”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “predicts”, “projects”, “intends”, “targets”, “aims”, “anticipates” or “believes” or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases or may be identified by statementsto the effect that certain actions “may”, “could”, “should”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results,performance or achievements of Franco-Nevada to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward looking statements. A number of factors could cause actual events or results todiffer materially from any forward looking statements, including, without limitation: fluctuations in the prices of the primary commodities that drive royalty and stream revenue (gold, platinum group metals, copper, nickel, uranium, silver, iron-oreand oil and gas); fluctuations in the value of the Canadian and Australian dollar, Mexican Peso and any other currency in which revenue is generated, relative to the U.S. dollar; changes in national and local government legislation, including permittingand licensing regimes and taxation policies, and the enforcement thereof; regulatory, political or economic developments in any of the countries where properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest are located orthrough which they are held; risks related to the operators of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest, including changes in the ownership and control of such operators; influence of macroeconomicdevelopments; business opportunities that become available to, or are pursued by Franco-Nevada; reduced access to debt and equity capital; litigation; title, permit or license disputes related to interests on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; whether or not Franco-Nevada is determined to have “passive foreign investment company” (“PFIC”) status as defined in Section 1297 of the United States Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended;potential changes in Canadian tax treatment of offshore streams; excessive cost escalation as well as development, permitting, infrastructure, operating or technical difficulties on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, streamor other interest; actual mineral content may differ from the reserves and resources contained in technical reports; rate and timing of production differences from resource estimates, other technical reports and mine plans; risks and hazardsassociated with the business of development and mining on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest, including, but not limited to unusual or unexpected geological and metallurgical conditions, slopefailures or cave-ins, flooding and other natural disasters, terrorism, civil unrest or an outbreak of contagious disease; and the integration of acquired assets. The forward looking statements contained in this presentation are based upon assumptionsmanagement believes to be reasonable, including, without limitation: the ongoing operation of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent withpast practice; the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or operators of such underlying properties; no material adverse change in the market price of the commodities that underlie the asset portfolio; Franco-Nevada’songoing income and assets relating to determination of its PFIC status; no material changes to existing tax treatment; the expected application of tax laws and regulations by taxation authorities; the expected assessment and outcome of any audit byany taxation authority; no adverse development in respect of any significant property in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; the accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of underlying properties thatare not yet in production; integration of acquired assets; risks related to the completion of previously announced transactions, including Cobre Panama; and the absence of any other factors that could cause actions, events or results to differ fromthose anticipated, estimated or intended. However, there can be no assurance that forward looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements andinvestors are cautioned that forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Franco-Nevada cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward looking statements and investors should not placeundue reliance on forward looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein. For additional information with respect to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of Franco-Nevada’s most recent AnnualInformation Form filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities on www.sedar.com and Franco-Nevada’s most recent Annual Report filed on Form 40-F filed with the SEC on www.sec.gov. The forward-looking statements herein are madeas of the date herein only and Franco-Nevada does not assume any obligation to update or revise them to reflect new information, estimates or opinions, future events or results or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.
Non-IFRS MeasuresAdjusted Net Income, Adjusted EBITDA and Margin are intended to provide additional information only and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with International FinancialReporting Standards (“IFRS”). They do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS, and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Management uses these measures to evaluate the underlying operating performanceof the Company as a whole for the reporting periods presented, to assist with the planning and forecasting of future operating results, and to supplement information in its financial statements. The Company also uses Margin in its annual incentivecompensation process to evaluate management’s performance in increasing revenue and containing costs. Management believes that in addition to measures prepared in accordance with IFRS such as Net Income and Earnings per Share (“EPS”), ourinvestors and analysts use these measures to evaluate the results of the underlying business of the Company, particularly since the excluded items are typically not included in guidance. While the adjustments to Net Income and EPS include items thatare both recurring and non-recurring, management believes these measures are useful measures of the Company’s performance because they adjust for items which may not relate to or have a disproportionate effect on the period in which they arerecognized, impact the comparability of our core operating results from period to period, are not always reflective of the underlying operating performance of our business, and/or are not necessarily indicative of future operating results. For areconciliation of these measures to various IFRS measures, please see the end of this presentation or the Company’s most recent Management’s Discussion and Analysis filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities on www.sedar.com andwith the SEC on www.sec.gov.This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any security in any jurisdiction.
2
TSX/NYSE FNV
FNV – The Gold Investment that Works
3
Proven Track Record
Sustainable Dividends
Built-in Growth
Long Duration Assets
Lower Risk
Optionality
FNV, S&P/TSX Global Gold Index converted to USD.
Chart as of August 31, 2018.
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
FNV
Gold
S&P/TSX
Global Gold
Index-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
450%
500%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
FNV
GOLD
S&P/TSXGlobal Gold Index
TSX/NYSE FNV
Competitive Market ReturnsCompounded Annual
Total Returns Summary1-Year 5-Year
Since FNV
Inception1
Franco-Nevada - US$ basis - 21% 9% 16%
Gold Bullion ETF - 10% - 3% 4%
GDX - 24% - 7% - 7%
TSX 10% 8% 5%
S&P 500 20% 14% 9%
NASDAQ 28% 19% 12%
Russell 25% 13% 9%
1. FNV Inception – December 20, 2007 Compounded annual total returns to August 31, 2018
Source: TD Securities; Bloomberg4
TSX/NYSE FNV
Outperforming in Bull and Bear Markets
5Source: TD Securities; Bloomberg All returns are in US$
Total return assumes reinvestment of dividends over designated period
32%
(6%)
15% 14%
(14%)
4%
1%
(33%)
12%
(40%)
(20%)
–
20%
40%
Bull Market
(2008 - 2012)
Bear Market
(2013 - 2015)
Bull Market
(2016 - Present)
TSX/NYSE FNV
Performance Since IPO
61. Please see notes on Appendix slide – Non-IFRS Measures
Free cash flow business
High margins
Low overhead
Scalable
Free from operating concerns
Focus on capital allocation
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
GEOs1
(000s)
Revenue(US$ millions)
Capitalization(US$ billion)
Adj. Net Income1
(US$ per)
G&A(% of capitalization)
Adj. EBITDA1
(US$ million)
TSX/NYSE FNV
Growing Ounces
7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Precio
us M
eta
l R
EU
s (
Millio
n u
nit
s)
M&
I
In
ferred
2012 2013 2016
P&
P
2014 20172015
+11%+70%
-27%
-12%-14%
+17%
+6%+4%
+4%+2%
17% growth in REUs1 to 13.6
Moz Aueq
Undiscounted EBITDA of $18B
Not included are 230 other
mineral properties and 57 O&G
assets
1. Measured as “Royalty Equivalent Units”. Refer to 2018 Asset Handbook at www.franco-nevada.com
TSX/NYSE FNV
8
Diversified Portfolio
51
35
209
57
25
3771
1. As at August 8, 2018
TSX/NYSE FNV
Q2 2018 Revenue Sources
9
84% Precious Metals 81% from Americas
US22%
Canada19%
Latin America
40%
Rest of World19%
Geography
Gold67%
Silver11%
PGM6%
Other2%
O&G14%
Commodity
TSX/NYSE FNV
Exploration Optionality
101. Ounces associated with FNV assets are not FNV reserve ounces. Refer to 2018 Asset Handbook at www.franco-nevada.com. Mineral Resources are exclusive of Mineral Reserves. Includes estimates of Mineral Reserves &
Resources made under JORC code and SAMREC code.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2007 2017
Re
serv
es
& R
eso
urc
es1
(Mo
z)
Re
serv
es
& R
eso
urc
es1
(Mo
z)
P&
P
M&
I
Infe
rred
P&
P
M&
I
Infe
rred
Gold ounces1 at time of IPO Gold ounces1 of same assets as reported Dec.
2017
+92%
+34%
+19%
Dec. 2007 2008 – 2017 Dec. 2017
>31 Moz produced>$1.3B revenue to FNV from portfolio
IPO$1.2B paid for portfolio
Reserves have doubled since IPO at no cost
2007
2017
Gold ounces1 at time of IPO
Gold ounces1 of same assets as reported Dec. 2017
TSX/NYSE FNV
Recent Investments Are Outperforming
AntaminaSilver +21%2
Underground potential
Cobre PanamaPlanned initial throughput +47%
Contained copper in reserves1 +31%
CandelariaGEOs +8%2
LOM Gold +100%3
Silver +80%2
AntapaccayGEOs +3%2
Advancing new
Coroccohuayco
deposit
111. Balboa Deposit added to reserves in 2012
2. Based on FNV sales from inception of stream through H12018 vs. acquisition guidance
3. Comparing Technical Reports July 28, 2014 to Mineral Resources and Reserve estimate June 30, 2018 and including depletion
TSX/NYSE FNV
Cobre Panama
12Detailed stream terms can be found in the purchase and sale agreement filed by First Quantum March 2018 under its SEDAR profile
Stream economics are protected to ensure
a minimum 5% return on funds if the
project has not achieved 58Mtpa of
throughput capacity by the start of 2019
58 mtpa
74 mtpa85 mtpa
> 100 mtpa
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012 plan 2015 plan 2018 plan 2022 plan
Initial Mill Throughput
TSX/NYSE FNV
Organic Portfolio Growth
13
NEAR TERM
2018
Tasiast (Mauritania) phase 1 expansion
Subika/Ahafo (Ghana) commercial production
Cerro Moro (Argentina) start-up
Brucejack (British Columbia) production ramp-up
Sissingue (Côte d’Ivoire) start-up
2019
Cobre Panama (Panama) ramp-up
Candelaria (Chile) recovery from pit slide
Ity (Côte d’Ivoire) CIL production
Dublin Gulch (Eagle) (Yukon) ramp-up
Subika/Ahafo (Ghana) mill expansion
Musselwhite (Ontario) materials handling project
2020
Cobre Panama (Panama) ramp-up
Tasiast (Mauritania) phase 2 expansion
Orion O&G (Alberta) phase 2B + 2C expansions
2021
Stillwater (Montana) Blitz production adds >50%
EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT
South Arturo (Nevada)
Macassa (Ontario)
Rosemont (Arizona)
West Detour (Ontario)
Hardrock (Ontario)
Agi Dagi/Camyurt (Turkey)
Castle Mountain (California)
STACK/SCOOP O&G (Oklahoma)
Permian Basin O&G (Texas)
EXPLORATION GROWTH
Hemlo (Ontario)
Bald Mountain (Nevada)
Tasiast Sud (Mauritania)
Guadalupe (Mexico)
Marigold (Nevada)
Duketon (Australia)
Canadian Malartic (Quebec)
Tasiast
Stillwater
Permian Basin
TSX/NYSE FNV
Evolving Investment Opportunities
14
since
2011
since
1985 Existing 3rd Party Royalties• Cerro Moro – Yamana Gold
• Brucejack – Pretium Resources
since
2008
since
2013
since
2016
By-Product Funding• Palmarejo – Coeur Mining
• Cobre Panama – First Quantum
Primary Product Funding• Kirkland Lake – Kirkland Lake Gold
• Stibnite Gold – Midas Gold
M&A Funding• Sabodala – Teranga Gold
• Fire Creek/Midas – Klondex Mines
Commodity Diversification• STACK/SCOOP O&G – Oklahoma
• Delaware O&G – Permian/Texas
since
2015
since
2018 Partnering with Operators • STACK/SCOOP O&G – Continental
Recapitalization• Antamina – Teck Resources
• Antapaccay – Glencore
• Orion O&G – Alberta
• Midland O&G – Permian/Texas
• Hardrock – Premier Gold Mines
• Karma – True Gold Mining
• Candelaria – Lundin Mining
• Cobre Panama – First Quantum
TSX/NYSE FNV
U.S. Oil & Gas ~$560M invested to date
$300M commitment 2019 - 2021
Focused on most economic and active shale basins
Transitioning from held-by-production to full-field development
15
Expect 20 - 40 years of development
Diversified operatorship
Opportunity rich – over 12 million private royalty owners
Permanent title – most secure in world
Benefit of U.S. tax reform
TSX/NYSE FNV
Continental Partnership
16
Continental Resources Inc, (EV: ~$29 Billion)• Leading SCOOP/STACK operator with +16 rigs and ~1.1 million net reservoir acres in the
SCOOP/STACK
• 2018 Capex plan: $2.7 Billion
• Corporate production targeted to grow at 20% CAGR to 2020
Two Components:• Upfront purchase of already acquired mineral rights for $220M
• Funding of acquisition vehicle to acquire additional mineral rights (FNV portion is up to $100M/yr for 3 years)
Strategic Rationale• Enhanced value through alignment with operator
• Focus is on CLR operated acreage
• CLR has announced accelerated development which is expected to benefit existing mineral rights
Transaction economics• Downside protection for FNV by linking revenue distributions to target volumes
• Expect to achieve >10% after-tax IRR (@ spot or strip pricing)
• Long term life of >30 years plus a long tail
• Potential upside in undeveloped horizons and enhanced oil recovery
FNV50%
CLR25%
FNV/CLR Variable Split
25%
Revenue Distribution
FNV CLR FNV/CLR Variable Split
TSX/NYSE FNV
Oklahoma Texas – Permian Basin
17
~212,980 Gross Acres1,2 ~633,600 Gross Acres1
1. Gross acres represent the total exposure to drilling and spacing units.
2. Does not include acreage acquired from and/or with Continental.
TSX/NYSE FNV
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 E 2022 E
Re
ven
ue
% f
rom
Pre
cio
us
Me
tals
Active Management of Commodity Mix
181. For 2018 outlook: Assumes midpoint of 440,000 to 470,000 GEO guidance, midpoint of $65 to $75 million oil & gas revenue guidance and other mineral revenue to be stable and equal to that generated in 2017
2. For 2022 outlook: Assumes midpoint of 565,000 to 595,000 GEO guidance, midpoint of $120 to $140 million oil & gas revenue guidance and other mineral revenue to be stable and equal to that generated in 2017
3. Commodity prices for 2018 and 2022: $1,250/oz Au, $16.00/oz Ag, $850/oz Pt and $950/oz Pd, $65/bbl WTI and $4.80/bbl price differential
Minimum 80% precious metals target
Added: Palmarejo, Gold Quarry
Added: Weyburn
Added: Candelaria, Antamina, Antapaccay
Expected with Cobre Panama and US Oil & Gas
> 80% precious metals for foreseeable future
TSX/NYSE FNV
Updated Guidance
19
2017
Actual
2018
YTD
Revised
Guidance
GEOs1,2 497,745 223k 440k – 470k
Oil & Gas Revenue2 $47M $42M $65M – $75M
Oil & Gas guidance increased due to higher prices and increased production
GEO guidance Candelaria has delivered less gold and silver ounces due to lower grades and recoveries
from stockpile ore. Production levels to recover in 2019
1. Please see notes on Appendix slide – Non-IFRS Measures
2. Commodity price assumptions used $1,250/oz Au, $16.00/oz Ag, $850/oz Pt and $950/oz Pd, $65/bbl WTI
TSX/NYSE FNV
Updated 2022 GuidanceGEOs
20
Oil & Gas Revenue
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2022
GE
Os
(0
00
s)
+ 17%
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2022
Oil
& G
as
Re
ve
nu
e ($
mil
lio
ns
)
+ 155%
TSX/NYSE FNV
Available Capital
21
Working Capital1,2 $158.4 M
Marketable Securities1 $142.9 M
Credit Facilities $1,100 M
Continental $(220 M)
Available Capital US$1.2 B
1. As at June 30, 2018
2. Please see notes on Appendix slide – Non-IFRS Measures
Cobre Panama – Mill Site
TSX/NYSE FNV
11 consecutive years of dividend increases
>$1B paid since IPO1
IPO investors now realizing 6.3% yield (U.S.)
or 8.3% yield (CDN)
FNV’s 2017 Dividends of $168M - Highest in Global Gold Industry
22
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
(US
$ M
illio
ns)
pe
r a
nn
um
1. Includes DRIP and Q3 2018 dividends declared
Quarterly Dividend increase to US$0.24
TSX/NYSE FNV
Canada
35%
Barbados
44%
US
18%
Australia
3%
By Legal Ownership
Franco-Nevada Tax Attributes
Company has a diverse business
> 370 royalties and streams
51 producing mineral and 57 Oil & Gas assets
11 streams of which 3 are held in Canada
Company’s tax history Taxes paid in Canada, US, Australia and Barbados
$38.2M in cash tax paid in 2017 (> $300M to date)
18% normalized effective tax rate in 2017
23
Our business and corporate structure is diversified
Adjusted
EBITDA
By Legal
Ownership
1. As at year ended December 31, 2017
TSX/NYSE FNV
Business Model Benefits
24
FNV Provides Yield & More Upside Than a Gold ETF With Less Risk Than an Operator
Taca Taca
TSX/NYSE FNV
Why Buy Franco-Nevada?
25
Proven Track Record
Sustainable Dividends
Built-in Growth
Long Duration Assets
Lower Risk
Optionality
FNV, S&P/TSX Global Gold Index converted to USD.
Chart as of August 31, 2018.
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
FNV
Gold
S&P/TSX
Global Gold
Index-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
450%
500%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
FNV
GOLD
S&P/TSXGlobal Gold Index
TSX/NYSE FNV
Appendix – Non-IFRS Measures
26
1. GEOs include our gold, silver, platinum, palladium and other mining assets. GEOs are estimated on a gross basis for NSR royalties and, in the case of stream ounces, before the payment of the per ounce contractual price paid by the Company.
For NPI royalties, GEOs are calculated taking into account the NPI economics. Platinum, palladium, silver and other minerals are converted to GEOs by dividing associated revenue, which includes settlement adjustments, by the relevant gold
price. The gold price used in the computation of GEOs earned from a particular asset varies depending on the royalty or stream agreement, which may make reference to the market price realized by the operator, or the average price for the
month, quarter, or year in which the mineral was produced or sold. For years 2010 through 2016, please refer to the relevant Annual MD&A for a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measures.
2. Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income per share are non-IFRS financial measures, which exclude the following from net income and net income per share: foreign exchange gains/losses and other income/expenses; impairment charges
related to royalty, stream and working interests and investments; gains/losses on sale of royalty interests; gains/losses on investments; unusual non-recurring items; and the impact of income taxes on these items. Please refer to the Q2 2018
MD&A for details as to the relevance of these non-IFRS measures, and to the following appendix for a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measures.
3. Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA per share are non-IFRS financial measures, which exclude the following from net income and net
income per share: income tax expense/recovery; finance expenses; finance income; depletion and depreciation; non-cash costs of sales;
impairment charges related to royalty, stream and working interests and investments; gains/losses on sale of royalty interests; gains/losses
on investments; and foreign exchange gains/losses and other income/expenses. Please refer to the Q2 2018 MD&A for details as to the
relevance of these non-IFRS measures, and to the following appendix for a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measures.
Gold Silver Platinum Palladium
Q2 2017 $1,257/oz $17.26/oz $940/oz $819/oz
Q2 2018 $1,306/oz $16.57/oz $904/oz $979/oz
Adjusted EBITDA
4. Margin is defined by the Company as Adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue. Please refer to the Q2 2018 MD&A for details as to the
relevance of these non-IFRS measures, and to the following appendix for a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measures. For years
2010 through 2016, please refer to the relevant Annual MD&A for a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measures.
5. The Company defines Working Capital as current assets less current liabilities.
6. Fiscal years 2010 through 2018 were prepared in accordance with IFRS. Fiscal years 2008 and 2009 were prepared in accordance
with Canadian GAAP.
Margin
Adjusted Net Income
TSX/NYSE FNV
Board of Directors
27
Pierre Lassonde Chair
Franco-Nevada
David Harquail CEO
Franco-Nevada
The Hon. David R. Peterson
Former Premier of Ontario
Tom AlbaneseFormer CEO
Rio Tinto
Derek EvansCEO
MEG Energy
Louis GignacFormer CEO
Cambior
Randall OliphantFormer CEO
Barrick Gold
Dr. Catharine FarrowFormer CEO
TMAC Resources
Graham Farquharson President
Strathcona Mineral Services
Honourary Director