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COVID-19 VACCINATION IN MANITOBA TECHNICAL BRIEFING May 19, 2021

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Page 1: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

COVID-19 VACCINATION IN MANITOBATECHNICAL BRIEFING

May 19, 2021

Page 2: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

COVID-19 DOSE DELIVERY SCHEDULE

As of May 19, 2021Janssen shipment of 10,900 doses for the week of May 3rd is delayed, ETA is still pending.

0.0 K

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60.0 K

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160.0 K29

-Mar

-21

31-M

ar-2

12-

Apr-

214-

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2110

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-21

12-A

pr-2

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-21

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-Apr

-21

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ay-2

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-21

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May

-21

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ay-2

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-May

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-May

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ay-2

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-21

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ay-2

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-May

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ay-2

128

-May

-21

30-M

ay-2

11-

Jun-

213-

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215-

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217-

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219-

Jun-

2111

-Jun-

2113

-Jun-

2115

-Jun-

2117

-Jun-

2119

-Jun-

2121

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2123

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2125

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2127

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2129

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211-

Jul-2

13-

Jul-2

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111

-Jul-2

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Aug-

21

29-Mar-21 5-Apr-21 12-Apr-21 19-Apr-21 26-Apr-21 2021-05-03 2021-05-10 2021-05-17 2021-05-24 2021-05-31 2021-06-07 2021-06-14 2021-06-21 2021-06-28 2021-07-05 2021-07-12 2021-07-19 2021-07-26 2021-08-02Janssen 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 10.9 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 KAstraZeneca/COVISHIELD 54.6 K 11.5 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 23.8 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 KModerna Doses 0.0 K 0.0 K 28.4 K 0.0 K 22.1 K 0.0 K 36.3 K 37.6 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 KPfizer Doses 41.0 K 37.4 K 37.4 K 37.4 K 37.4 K 73.7 K 73.7 K 73.7 K 73.7 K 87.8 K 87.8 K 87.8 K 87.8 K 87.8 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 KTotal 95.6 K 48.9 K 65.8 K 37.4 K 59.5 K 84.6 K 110.0 K 135.1 K 73.7 K 87.8 K 87.8 K 87.8 K 87.8 K 87.8 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K 0.0 K

Vaccine Deliveries Expected

Page 3: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

DOSE INVENTORIES

3

666,748 DosesAdministered

42,000Doses

Delivered

54,776Doses BeingAdministered

43% 57%

Data as of May 17 To First Nation partners, medical clinics and pharmacies

Page 4: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

DOSE INVENTORIES

4

All 54,776 doses are being administered in the next five days

* Additional shipments of vaccine this week will meet

this demand

Data as of May 17

Administered byMay 18 – 13,079

Administered by May 20 – 41,402

Administered byMay 21 – 53,339

Administered by May 22 – 64,224*

Page 5: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

VACCINE DISTRIBUTION

5

Where Manitoba's Doses Have Gone

Allocated data, not administeredAs of May 18

63%9%

2%

5%

11%

10%

Vaccine Distribution

Supersites

Pop-Up Clinics

Personal Care Homes

Congregate Living

First Nation Partners

Distributed Channel Model

Page 6: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

WEEKLY DOSE ADMINISTRATION PROJECTION

Last WeekMay 10 – May 16

This WeekMay 17– May 23

Next WeekMay 24 – May 30

Supersites 70,386 74,749 83,959

Focused Immunization Teams 588 1,520 2,540

Pop-Up & Urban Indigenous Clinics 13,238 9,498 10,232

Total 84,212 85,676 96,731

Planning data as of May 186

Page 7: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

DOSE ADMINISTRATION PROJECTION

7 Projected as of May 18

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

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Daily Doses Administered - ProjectionDoes not include doses allocated to Partners

Supersites FIT Popup Clinic Total Cumulative

Page 8: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

Target: 70% uptake rate (12+)

Low Supply Scenario:Dose 1 June 9Dose 2 July 31

High Supply Scenario:Dose 1 June 7Dose 2 July 29

IMMUNIZATION FORECAST SCENARIO

Projected as of May 178

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

2020-12-16 2021-01-16 2021-02-16 2021-03-16 2021-04-16 2021-05-16 2021-06-16 2021-07-16 2021-08-16

IMMUNIZATION FORECAST

Low Scenario - Dose 1 % Manitobans Vaccinated Low Scenario - Dose 2 % Manitobans Vaccinated

High Scenario - Dose 1 % Manitobans Vaccinated High Scenario - Dose 2 % Manitobans Vaccinated

Target 70%

Target: 70% update (18+)HIGH

HIGH

LOWLOW

Page 9: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

WORKFORCE RECRUITMENT

9

CURRENT WORKFORCE

4,007STAFF

143

As of May 18 2021

this week

ImmunizersClinic ManagersClinical LeadsNavigatorsObservers

2,6414545

1,22056

Page 10: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

VACCINE APPOINTMENTS UPDATE

Page 11: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

VACCINE APPOINTMENTS • More than 347,000 appointments

booked over the last 31 days

• Approx. 67% of appointments booked online

• Average time on hold: 2 minutes

• Average time to make an appointment by phone: 8.8 minutes

• May 14th shattered the previous booking high with 41,784 or 61% more appointments booked

Phone & Online Booking

11

Page 12: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

VACCINE APPOINTMENTS • Over 181,000 appointments

currently booked at supersites and pop-up sites from today until mid-June

• This includes:• 130,066 Winnipeg supersites• 13,362 Brandon• 716 Thompson• 13,349 Selkirk• 7,578 Morden• 1,094 Dauphin• 9,353 Steinbach• 999 Gimli• 4,957 pop-ups

Phone & Online Booking

12

Page 13: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

SECOND DOSE UPDATE

Page 14: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

SECOND DOSES• First group starts booking May 21.

• People with certain health conditions to be prioritized, including:

• hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis

• liver cirrhosis due to any cause or portal hypertension

• severe heart failure• certain cancers, specific

cancer treatments• certain medications

• have received or are on the list to receive a solid organ transplant

• have received a stem cell transplant or CAR-T therapy at least three months ago

• Down syndrome• Human immunodeficiency

virus (HIV)• individuals receiving home

care more than four times/week

• people receiving 24/7 CLDS supports (or as per family physician determination of equivalent levels of family support)

Booking Criteria – Priority Conditions

14

Page 15: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

SECOND DOSES• Remember the date, kind of vaccine

you received for a first dose• Until studies complete, data

released, will be ensuring people receive same vaccine for first and second doses

• Data can be found on online portal at https://sharedhealthmb.ca/covid19/test-results/, can also call local public health offices

• Print, fill out, bring a second consent form

• Makes sure health status has not changed since last shot

• Call centre will have processes in place to ensure shots being given at appropriate intervals

Booking Appointments – Things to Know

15

Page 16: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

UPTAKE AND ACCESS

Page 17: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

VACCINE DATA

DataMB Updates – Vaccination Uptake Rates by Regional Health Authority, Health District

17

Page 18: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

VACCINE DATA

DataMB – Age, Sex Breakdown

18

Page 19: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

KNOWLEDGE TRANSLATION AND PLANNING

Aggregating, analysing and acting on data

• A coordinating table that includes Data Science, Public Health, Communications and Engagement and Vaccine Task Force officials meets weekly to evaluate current outcomes and data, identify data needs and recommend policy and communications responses.

• A full picture of uptake and hesitancy is being gathered through past vaccination behaviour (influenza, H1N1), public opinion results and actual vaccination data.

• This allows us to identify communities, populations and demographics that are falling behind on vaccination.

• In some cases, this will result in targeted advertising, in others it will require unique community outreach, and in many cases it will require a policy or service response.

• Continuous review, research and recommendation will help to advance vaccination results.

19

Page 20: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

VACCINATED MANITOBANS

KEENERSWill get the vaccine as soon as they are able

ACCESSIBLELikely to get the vaccine, but not in a rush

BARRIERS / SKEPTICSAmbivalent about vaccination, has

concerns and is undecided, or faces barriers to access

INACCESSIBLE

20

Page 21: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

55%50%

57% 56%

69%

59%65%

76%

19%

33%

19% 17% 16% 16%13% 12%15% 11% 14%

15%

9%14% 12%

7%12%6%

10% 12%7%

11% 10%5%

Nov-13-20 Nov-26-20 Jan-19-21 Feb-9-21 Feb-21-22 Mar-2-21 23-Mar-21 21-Apr

Have/will sign up Will get vaccine, not in a rush Not sure if will get vaccine Will not get vaccine

KEENERS

ACCESSIBLESKEPTICS INACCESSIBLE

Vaccine Intention RisingLongitudinal analysis across POR online survey and EngageMB results

21

Page 22: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

PLANNING AND INITIATIVES

• Unique service-delivery models

• Outreach and leadership profiles

• Targeted communications campaigns

• Translation and community-specific material development

Based on data emerging through the knowledge transfer and planning table:

22

Page 23: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

NEW SURVEY ON ENGAGEMB

• Questions on personal experiences with COVID-19, views on vaccines

• Also asking about plans to vaccination eligible children

• Seeking feedback on provincial vaccine program

• Data will allow us to implement new plans, adjust others based on public feedback

Using public engagement to understand vaccine experience, perceptions

23

Page 24: COVID-19 Vaccination in Manitoba Technical Briefing - May ...€¦ · Target: 70% uptake rate (12+) Low Supply Scenario: Dose 1 June 9. Dose 2 July 31. High Supply Scenario: Dose

COVID-19 VACCINATION IN MANITOBAQUESTIONS?