COVID-19 Weekly Report Public Report

Version last updated: 8th December 2020

Public Health Team

(PublicHealth@Barnet.gov.uk)

Introduction

• We have updated the format of the information provided to

the public to give clearer and a more comprehensive picture

of number of COVID cases within Barnet. The slides cover:

• Key Messages (summary across Barnet)

• Current Situation

• Changes on Previous Week (trends and analysis)

• Mortality Data

• Hospital Admissions Data

Key Messages29 November – 5 December 2020

• Average cases per day are increasing again following recent reductions.

• The population rate for the last 7 days is likely to be around 175 per 100,000

population, when full test data results are published, which is a increase of

around 15% on the 150 per 100,000 population seen in the previous week.

• There has been an increase in cases in both men and women.

• Most age groups are seeing an increase in cases except in those aged 30-39

which are now showing a decrease.

• In care home settings, there have been 20 new cases in residents and 12 new

cases in staff*

• Brunswick Park, Edgware, Golders Green & Hendon wards seem to be

consistently around or above the Barnet average rate per 100,000 population.

• The rate per 100,000 population in Barnet remains similar to the London rate

which is now around 200 per 100,000 population.

*Source: Care Quality Team – Adults & Health Directorate, Barnet Council

Current Situation Across BarnetKey Statistics – Pillar 2 Contain Dashboard

Week 48

(date 28/11)

Week 49

(date 5/12)

Tests Undertaken (Pillar2) 6,225 7,598

Positive Tests (Pillar 2) 588 687

7 Day Infection Rate (per 100k population) 150.3 175.6

Positivity Rate (Pillar 2) 9.4% 9.0%

Calls to NHS 111 123 123

Contact Tracing (Cases who provide details of contacts) 81.5%

Contact Tracing (Contacts who are asked to self isolate) 71.6%

KEY HEADLINES:

• Number of tests conducted remains has increase to over 7,000, positivity percentage has stabilised at around 9%.

• Calls to 111 seem to be stabilising.

• Contact tracing seems to be improving with 71.6% of contacts asked to self isolate which is similar to the England (71.4%)

and London (68.6%) average. For cases asked to provide details of contacts Barnet remains around 80% which is slightly

lower than the England (86.4%) and London (86.3%) averages.

Source: NHS Digital, Pillar 2 contain dashboard; Extracted 8th December 2020

& NHS T&T, Week 26 reporting, extracted 7h December 2020

Cases in settings last week

Care Homes:

• There are currently 5 outbreaks in care homes and one day centre

• 32 cases in the last 7 days, 20 residents and 12 staff members

tested positive for COVID-19

• 1 death was reported

Schools:

• 42 schools and nurseries reported new cases among students and

staff

• Overall 62 schools have bubbles or cases self isolating

• Currently around 5,000 pupils attending Barnet schools are self

isolating because of cases in schools

Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in BarnetSource: Public Health England

• Total confirmed cases from HM Government (Coronavirus -19) in the UK as at 5th December 2020.

• Pillar 1 – is tests from cases in hospital and health & care workers

• Pillar 2 – is tests from mobile testing units, private laboratories & home testing kits.

Numbers may increase

Source: PHE Case Data by specimen date; 22nd November to 5th December; Extracted 8th December 2020

Barnet Positive Case per 100,000 populationTrend

Source: PHE Case Data by specimen date; 26th September to 5th December; Extracted 8th December 2020

Change AnalysisWard Comparator - Rates

KEY HEADLINES:

• Brunswick Park, Edgware, Golders Green & Hendon seem to be consistently around or above the Barnet average

• Garden Suburb, Totteridge & Underhill seem to be consistently around or lower than the Barnet average.

Source: PHE Case Data by specimen date; 26th September to 5th December; Extracted 8th December 2020

Change AnalysisWard Comparator - Numbers

Source: PHE Case Data by specimen date; 26th September to 5th December; Extracted 8th December 2020

Sup = Suppressed as a result of low numbers

Sup

Sup

ContextBreakdown of Barnet Cases by Testing Pillar 1 and Pillar 2

KEY HEADLINES:

• Testing levels have increased in the last week with the introduction of lateral flow testing at Middlesex University. The

majority of tests remain within Pillar 2

Note: Pillar 1 is tests from cases in hospitals and health and care workers, Pillar 2 is tests from mobile testing units, private laboratories, home testing kits

Source: PHE London Report for Barnet Council, 23rd November 2020

Measures of deaths from COVID

2 measure of mortality data have been provided:

• The Office for National Statistics registered deaths which includes a

count of the number of deaths which mention COVID-19 on the

death certificate. This is the more authoritative source but takes

longer for this data to be shared by ONS.

• The more timely but simple measure from Public Health England

which is simply counts of deaths within 28 days of a positive

COVID-19 test. This will miss some deaths from COVID where

individuals had a longer illness and will include some people who

died from other causes but within 28 days of a test.

ImpactONS Mortality Data

KEY HEADLINES:

• This shows the mortality data as published by ONS for deaths up to 27th November and registered by 5th December

• There have been a total of 498 deaths registered mentioning COVID-19, in the last published week there were 11 deaths

registered.

Source: ONS Weekly mortality data; Deaths up to 20th Nov Registered by 28th Nov; Extracted 1st December 2020

ImpactPHE Mortality Data

KEY HEADLINES:

• This shows the mortality data as published by PHE for deaths within 28 days of a positive COVID-19 test result. up to 5th

December. In total there has been 363 deaths using this methodology in Barnet.

• The chart shows the daily number of deaths from the 1st September of which there was in 47, with 6 of them occurring in

the last week.

Source: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/; 8th October to 5th December; Extracted 8th December 2020

Hospital Admissions with COVID

• NHS England publish weekly, the number of

admissions to Hospital Trusts in England. The data

shows the number of admissions and the number of

beds, split by general and mechanical ventilation

which are currently occupied by patients with COVID-

19

• The data provided is for all 3 sites of the Royal Free

NHS Foundation Trust and includes all patients not

just Barnet residents.

ImpactHospital Admissions – Royal Free NHS FT

KEY HEADLINES:

• This shows the number of beds occupied across all the sites of the Royal Free Trust for patients with COVID-19 from the 28th

September to the 1st December. A subset of these beds would be occupied by Barnet’s residents.

• On the 1st December there were 76 patients with COVID-19 in general beds and 17 in mechanical ventilation beds. In the 7 days to

the 30th November the average number of admissions per day was around 7.

• The Royal Free NHS Trusts has around 900 General & Acute Beds, during the first phase of the pandemic the Royal Free Trust had an

average of 215 beds occupied, and 55 ventilation beds occupied by patients with a positive COVID-19 diagnosis.

Source: NHS England Weekly Hospital Admissions for COVID-19; Extracted 30th November 2020