covid-19 windsor and essex county: march 20, 2020 to april ... · distribution of covid-19 cases by...

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COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April 16, 2020 ***Please note on Slide 7 “Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality” a correction was made to the number of residents in Kingsville and Lakeshore. The previous version of the slide showed 20% of COVID-19 cases were from Lakeshore whereas now only 4% are in Lakeshore. This is due to at the time of investigation, addresses pertaining to a long-term care home were close to the border of Kingsville and Lakeshore without a municipality identified (e.g., Woodslee). As a result a determination was made to allocate these cases to the nearest possible municipality which was identified as Lakeshore instead of Kingsville at the time. The figure has now been updated to reflect this change from Lakeshore to Kingsville result in a change in the distribution. Purpose Providing an epidemiologic summary of COVID-19 activity in Windsor and Essex County (WEC) to date Highlights At the time of reporting, there are 427 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in WEC between March 20 th and April 16 th . While cases in the community have started to decrease, more cases are being identified in long- term care and retirement homes in WEC. The incident rate of COVID-19 in WEC is higher compared to Chatham-Kent but slightly lower compared to Lambton County. o The incident rate of COVID-19 in WEC is higher compared to Ontario. Between April 6 th and April 12 th , approximately 16% of the tests returned as positive for COVID- 19 when tested for COVID-19 The age of the cases range from 8 to 99 years (median of 55 years) with females accounting for approximately 60% of all cases compared to approximately 40% in males. o Among females, 25% of all female cases were among those 80 years or older o Among males, 19% of all male cases were among those 50 to 59 years of age Approximately 63% of the cases reside in the City of Windsor. Just under 30% of the cases reported close contact with a confirmed case as a potential source of exposure to COVID-19. 31% of the cases are healthcare workers and of these 134 healthcare workers, 31% travelled to Michigan prior to becoming ill. Of the COVID-19 cases reporting a risk factor, 22% had a cardiovascular condition while 11% were obese and another 11% had asthma. Fever (83%) was the most commonly reported symptom among cases with COVID-19 reporting any symptoms followed by a cough (74%) and feeling fatigued (64%). Approximately 46% of cases are still in self-isolation while 13% of cases have resolved. 56% of cases that have died either had a chronic medical condition or had both, a chronic medical condition and were immunocompromised. The trajectory of the doubling rate for COVID-19 in Windsor is closer to three days.

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Page 1: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April 16, 2020

***Please note on Slide 7 “Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality” a correction was made to the number of residents in Kingsville and Lakeshore. The previous version of the slide showed 20% of COVID-19 cases were from Lakeshore whereas now only 4% are in Lakeshore. This is due to at the time of investigation, addresses pertaining to a long-term care home were close to the border of Kingsville and Lakeshore without a municipality identified (e.g., Woodslee). As a result a determination was made to allocate these cases to the nearest possible municipality which was identified as Lakeshore instead of Kingsville at the time. The figure has now been updated to reflect this change from Lakeshore to Kingsville result in a change in the distribution.

Purpose

• Providing an epidemiologic summary of COVID-19 activity in Windsor and Essex County (WEC) to date

Highlights

• At the time of reporting, there are 427 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in WEC between March 20th and April 16th.

• While cases in the community have started to decrease, more cases are being identified in long-term care and retirement homes in WEC.

• The incident rate of COVID-19 in WEC is higher compared to Chatham-Kent but slightly lower compared to Lambton County.

o The incident rate of COVID-19 in WEC is higher compared to Ontario. • Between April 6th and April 12th, approximately 16% of the tests returned as positive for COVID-

19 when tested for COVID-19 • The age of the cases range from 8 to 99 years (median of 55 years) with females accounting for

approximately 60% of all cases compared to approximately 40% in males. o Among females, 25% of all female cases were among those 80 years or older o Among males, 19% of all male cases were among those 50 to 59 years of age

• Approximately 63% of the cases reside in the City of Windsor. • Just under 30% of the cases reported close contact with a confirmed case as a potential source

of exposure to COVID-19. • 31% of the cases are healthcare workers and of these 134 healthcare workers, 31% travelled to

Michigan prior to becoming ill. • Of the COVID-19 cases reporting a risk factor, 22% had a cardiovascular condition while 11%

were obese and another 11% had asthma. • Fever (83%) was the most commonly reported symptom among cases with COVID-19 reporting

any symptoms followed by a cough (74%) and feeling fatigued (64%). • Approximately 46% of cases are still in self-isolation while 13% of cases have resolved. • 56% of cases that have died either had a chronic medical condition or had both, a chronic

medical condition and were immunocompromised. • The trajectory of the doubling rate for COVID-19 in Windsor is closer to three days.

Page 2: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

APRIL 17, 2020

Page 3: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

COVID-19 Epidemiological SummaryContent covered:• Epidemic curves

• By 1) overall; 2) community vs. LTCH and; 3) healthcare workers)

• Regional & provincial rates• Percent positivity of COVID-19 tests• Age & sex distribution• Distribution by Municipality• Exposure history• Travel History• Healthcare worker status• Risk Factors• Symptoms• Outcomes• Breakdown by deaths• Doubling time

2020-04-17

Page 4: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Epidemic Curve by Community vs. LTCH/RH

2020-04-17

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

# o

f co

nfi

rmed

CO

VID

-19

cas

es

Most recent episode date (e.g., sympton, date tested, date reported)

Community LTCH

Page 5: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Regional & Provincial Rates

2020-04-17

Windsor-Essex Chatham-Kent Lambton Middlesex-London Ontario

93.7 23.5 96.2 49.3 60.3

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

Rat

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er 1

00

,00

0 p

op

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n

Region

Page 6: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Percent Positivity of People Tested for COVID-19

2020-04-17

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

% o

f te

sts

po

siti

ve f

or

CO

VID

-19

Tota

l # o

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sts

Date

Page 7: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Age & Sex Distribution

2020-04-17

0 to 19 years 20 to 29 years 30 to 39 years 40 to 49 years 50 to 59 years 60 to 69 years 70 to 79 years 80+ years

Males 1% 11% 12% 17% 19% 12% 11% 17%

Females 1% 13% 13% 11% 20% 11% 7% 25%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

% o

f kn

ow

n c

on

firm

ed c

ases

Page 8: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality

2020-04-17

Amherstburg4%

Essex2%

Kingsville16%

LaSalle4%

Lakeshore4%

Leamington3%

Tecumseh4%

Windsor63%

Please note a correction was made to this slide to what was presented.

Page 9: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Exposure History

2020-04-17

22%

29%

26%

24%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Travel Contact of a confirmed case Community Acquired Unknown

% o

f C

OV

ID-1

9 c

ases

Exposure

Page 10: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

COVID-19 Cases by Healthcare Worker

2020-04-17

41

93

24

134 135

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Healthcare worker Visited a health care facility Not applicable Unknown

# o

f co

nfi

rmed

CO

VID

-19

cas

es

Healthcare worker status

Travelled to Michigan

All other HCWs

Page 11: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Risk Factors

2020-04-17

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Chronic MedicalCondition

Immunocompromised Chronic MedicalCondition &

Immunocompromised

Pregnant Not applicable Unknown

% o

f C

OV

ID-1

9 c

ases

Risk Factor

Page 12: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Top 5 Risk Factors

2020-04-17

22%

11%11%

10% 10%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Cardiovascular Asthma Obesity Diabetes Smoker

% o

f C

OV

ID-1

9 c

ases

rep

ort

ing

a ri

sk f

acto

r

Risk Factor

Page 13: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Symptoms

2020-04-17

74%

64% 63%

58%

83%

48% 48%

41% 40%38%

33%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Cough Fatigue Malaise Headache Fever Chills Shortnessof Breath

Diarrhea Nasal Con Loss ofappetite

Sore throat

% o

f co

nfi

rmed

CO

VID

-19

cas

es

Symptom

Page 14: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Outcomes

2020-04-17

13%

4%

46%

7%

1%

28%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Resolved Deceased Self-isolating Hospitalized ICU Unknown

% o

f C

OV

ID-1

9 c

ases

Outcome

Page 15: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Breakdown of Deaths

2020-04-17

Chronic Medical Condition39%

Chronic Medical Condition/ Immunocompromised

17%

None11%

Unknown33%

Page 16: COVID-19 Windsor and Essex County: March 20, 2020 to April ... · Distribution of COVID-19 Cases by Municipality. 2020-04-17. Amherstburg 4% Essex 2% Kingsville 16% LaSalle 4% Lakeshore

Doubling Time

2020-04-17

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

1000000

10000000

100000000

1000000000

10000000000

Mar-20 Mar-25 Mar-30 Apr-04 Apr-09 Apr-14 Apr-19

Tota

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ase

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OV

ID-1

9

Days Since First Case Reported

WEC Cumulative Cases