credit markets update - kpmg corporate finance llc · 2020-02-26 · we are pleased to provide this...
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Credit Markets Update March 31, 2018
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
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Credit Markets Update as of March 31, 2018We are pleased to provide this summary update of the U.S credit markets through the first calendar quarter ending March 31, 2018 to our clients and friends:
— The fundamental backdrop for the overall credit market remained volatile in the first quarter, as rising interest rates triggered pain for some fixed income investors. However, leveraged loan volume remained strong with terms continuing to favor issuers, countervailed by bonds weaker performance
— Newly issued leveraged loan volume showed a rise of 28.0% in the first quarter of 2018 over the last quarter, standing at $167 billion after three consecutive quarterly declines in 2017
— New-issue covenant-lite loan volume decreased by 13.8% to $102 billion in the first quarter of 2018 from $119 billion in the corresponding quarter of previous year
— Non-investment grade B rated first lien pro rata and institutional syndicated leveraged loans remain attractive to investors with spread of L+346 and L+344, respectively, in the first quarter of 2018
— Number of LBO transactions and volume rose by 10.3% and 7.0% from the first quarter of 2017 to reach 43 and $54 billion, respectively, in the first quarter of 2018. First quarter transactions and volume numbers are up 95.5% and 87.6%, respectively, over the last quarter
— Purchase price multiples for middle market LBOs increased to 10.5x in the first quarter of 2018 from 8.3x in the corresponding quarter of last year, indicating a sign of strong leveraged loan market
— Debt multiples of middle market and large corporate LBO loans stood at 5.4x and 5.9x, respectively, in the first quarter of 2018, almost flat at levels seen in full year 2017
— Equity contribution to LBOs decreased to 39.2% of the purchase price in the first quarter of 2018 from 41.3% in 2017. However, the contribution when compared with the first quarter of 2017 is higher by 0.7%
— Second lien loan issuance volume stood at $6 billion in the first quarter, an increase of 61.8% over the last quarter, while a 14.3% dip from the corresponding quarter of 2017
— High yield bond issuance volume decreased in the first quarter of 2018 to $64 billion from $82 billion and $68 billion in the corresponding quarter a year ago and the last quarter, respectively. Out of total volume in the first quarter, more than 15.4% was used to support M&A and LBO transactions
— High yield bond pricing increased to 6.6% in the first quarter of 2018 from 6.5% and 6.4% in the corresponding quarter a year ago and the last quarter, respectively
— Funds flows into leveraged loan funds increased to $36 billion in the first quarter of 2018 from $31 billion in the previous quarter
— CLO volume increased to $32 billion in the first quarter of 2018, up 84.6% from $17 billion in the corresponding quarter a year ago, and spreads tightened to L+104
— Distress indicators eased during the quarter, with the dollar amount and number of facilities of all outstanding first lien loans trading in the secondary market at prices of L+1000 or greater falling to 2.3% and 2.9%, respectively
— Percentage of leveraged loans in default or in bankruptcy fell to 1.9% in the first quarter of 2018 from 2.1% in the corresponding quarter of last year, marking improvements in credit fundamentals
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
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$97$3 $3 $8
$57 $98 $262 $237 $178$245
$375 $119 $102
75.0% 79.0%
(20.0%)0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%
$0B$80B
$160B$240B$320B$400B
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
New-Issue Cov-Lite Loans ($bn)
Volume Percent of all Institutional loans
186188
84 78
47 55 44
11 16 16 18 2743
66 5472
141120
53 62
11588
126137
189164
127127
168159
134
6794
140113
7491
128141
119
210
166145
131
167
$0B
$44B
$88B
$132B
$176B
$220B
1Q'0
72Q
'07
3Q'0
74Q
'07
1Q'0
82Q
'08
3Q'0
84Q
'08
1Q'0
92Q
'09
3Q'0
94Q
'09
1Q'1
02Q
'10
3Q'1
04Q
'10
1Q'1
12Q
'11
3Q'1
14Q
'11
1Q'1
22Q
'12
3Q'1
24Q
'12
1Q'1
32Q
'13
3Q'1
34Q
'13
1Q'1
42Q
'14
3Q'1
44Q
'14
1Q'1
52Q
'15
3Q'1
54Q
'15
1Q'1
62Q
'16
3Q'1
64Q
'16
1Q'1
72Q
'17
3Q'1
74Q
'17
1Q'1
8
New Issue Leveraged Loan Volume - Quarterly ($bn)
Institutional Pro Rata
$535
$157$77
$236$377
$466$607
$528$423 $478
$652
$210 $167
$0B$140B$280B$420B$560B$700B
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
New Issue Leveraged Loan Volume - Annual ($bn)
Institutional Pro Rata
Leveraged Loans
Total Volume: $210B Total Volume: $167B
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data
Refinancing45%
M&A26%
LBO14%
Recap9%
Others6%
Leveraged Loan Issuance by Purpose - 1Q'17
Refinancing43%
M&A30%
LBO17%
Recap7%
Others3%
Leveraged Loan Issuance by Purpose - 1Q'18
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
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346
344
L+150
L+230
L+310
L+390
L+470
L+550
1Q'0
72Q
'07
3Q'0
74Q
'07
1Q'0
82Q
'08
3Q'0
84Q
'08
1Q'0
92Q
'09
3Q'0
94Q
'09
1Q'1
02Q
'10
3Q'1
04Q
'10
1Q'1
12Q
'11
3Q'1
14Q
'11
1Q'1
22Q
'12
3Q'1
24Q
'12
1Q'1
32Q
'13
3Q'1
34Q
'13
1Q'1
42Q
'14
3Q'1
44Q
'14
1Q'1
52Q
'15
3Q'1
54Q
'15
1Q'1
62Q
'16
3Q'1
64Q
'16
1Q'1
72Q
'17
3Q'1
74Q
'17
1Q'1
8
New Issue First Lien Spreads B+/B - Quarterly
Pro Rata Institutional
228
265
L+100
L+170
L+240
L+310
L+380
L+450
1Q'0
72Q
'07
3Q'0
74Q
'07
1Q'0
82Q
'08
3Q'0
84Q
'08
1Q'0
92Q
'09
3Q'0
94Q
'09
1Q'1
02Q
'10
3Q'1
04Q
'10
1Q'1
12Q
'11
3Q'1
14Q
'11
1Q'1
22Q
'12
3Q'1
24Q
'12
1Q'1
32Q
'13
3Q'1
34Q
'13
1Q'1
42Q
'14
3Q'1
44Q
'14
1Q'1
52Q
'15
3Q'1
54Q
'15
1Q'1
62Q
'16
3Q'1
64Q
'16
1Q'1
72Q
'17
3Q'1
74Q
'17
1Q'1
8
New Issue First Lien Spreads BB/BB - Quarterly
Pro Rata Institutional
Leveraged Loans (continued)
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
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LBO62%
Refinancing22%
Recap/Dividend13%
Acquisition3%
Total New-Issue Volume by Purpose - 1Q'18
$29
$8$5
$11$14
$10$13 $15
$10 $9$13
$3 $2
$0B
$7B
$14B
$21B
$28B
$35B
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Leveraged Loan Volume- Annual ($bn)
Institutional ProRata
Leveraged Loans – Middle Market
Total Volume: $2.4B
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & DataNote: Middle market refers to companies with EBITDA of $50 million or less
$8
$13
$5$3
$4$2 $1
$0 $1 $1 $1$2 $2
$4$2
$3$5 $5
$3$2 $2 $3 $3 $3 $3 $4 $3
$4$3
$4$5
$3$2
$4$3
$1$2 $2
$1
$4 $3$3
$5$3 $2
$0B
$3B
$6B
$9B
$12B
$15B
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
3Q16
4Q16
1Q17
2Q17
3Q17
4Q17
1Q18
Leveraged Loan Volume- Quarterly ($bn)
Institutional ProRata
LBO37%
Refinancing32%
Recap/Dividend16%
Acquisition9%
Other6%
Total New-Issue Volume by Purpose - 1Q'17
Total Volume: $2.7B
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
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9.3x8.3x
6.6x
8.4x 8.2x 7.9x8.8x
9.6x10.7x 10.2x
11.6x
8.3x
10.5x
0.0x
2.4x
4.8x
7.2x
9.6x
12.0x
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Average Purchase Price Multiple – Middle Market LBOs(1)
Senior Debt/EBITDA Sub Debt/EBITDA Equity/EBITDA Others
9.7x 9.1x
7.7x 8.5x 8.8x 8.7x 8.8x
9.7x 10.3x 10.0x
10.6x 9.7x 10.2x
0.0x
2.4x
4.8x
7.2x
9.6x
12.0x
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Average Purchase Price Multiple - All LBOs
Senior Debt/EBITDA Sub Debt/EBITDA Equity/EBITDA Others
$50 $54
0
15
30
45
60
75
$0B
$32B
$64B
$96B
$128B
$160B
1Q'0
72Q
'07
3Q'0
74Q
'07
1Q'0
82Q
'08
3Q'0
84Q
'08
1Q'0
92Q
'09
3Q'0
94Q
'09
1Q'1
02Q
'10
3Q'1
04Q
'10
1Q'1
12Q
'11
3Q'1
14Q
'11
1Q'1
22Q
'12
3Q'1
24Q
'12
1Q'1
32Q
'13
3Q'1
34Q
'13
1Q'1
42Q
'14
3Q'1
44Q
'14
1Q'1
52Q
'15
3Q'1
54Q
'15
1Q'1
62Q
'16
3Q'1
64Q
'16
1Q'1
72Q
'17
3Q'1
74Q
'17
1Q'1
8
Num
ber o
f Dea
ls
Volu
me
($bn
)
LBO Transaction Volume - Quarterly ($bn)
LBO Summary
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data(1) Middle market refers to companies with EBITDA of $50 million or less
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
7
30.9%
38.9%
45.7%41.4%
38.0% 37.7%35.6%
37.0%40.5% 40.8% 41.3%
38.6% 39.2%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Equity Contribution - All LBOs
5.6x
4.5x
3.3x
4.2x 4.3x 4.5x 4.8x5.3x 5.4x 5.2x 5.5x
NA
5.4x
0.0x
1.2x
2.4x
3.6x
4.8x
6.0x
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Average Debt Multiples of Middle-Market LBO Loans(2)
FLD/EBITDA SLD/EBITDA Other Sr Debt/EBITDA Sub Debt/EBITDA
6.2x
4.9x
4.0x 4.7x
5.2x 5.3x 5.4x 5.8x 5.7x 5.5x 5.8x 5.7x 5.9x
0.0x
1.3x
2.6x
3.9x
5.2x
6.5x
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Average Debt Multiples of Large Corporate LBO Loans(1)
FLD/EBITDA SLD/EBITDA Other Sr Debt/EBITDA Sub Debt/EBITDA
LBO Summary (continued)
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data(1) Middle market refers to companies with EBITDA of $50 million or less.(2) Large corporate refers to companies with EBITDA of more than $50 million.
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
8
659
1,069
1,480
1,0621,085 1,064928 898
996 968
829 835 782
L+0
L+300
L+600
L+900
L+1200
L+1500
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
1Q'1
7
1Q'1
8
Average New Issue Second-Lien Spreads
LIBOR Floor Upfront Fee Spread
178
19 1131
46
89
152
198
85
62
131
3544
0
40
80
120
160
200
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
1Q'1
7
1Q'1
8
Second-Lien Loans New-Issue Volume(Number of Deals)
$11$14
$2 $2$1 $1 $1 $0 $0$0
$1$0 $1 $1 $0
$3$1
$4
$1$0
$4$3 $4
$6$5
$11
$6 $7
$12$13
$8
$4$2
$3$4
$1 $1 $1
$3$5
$7
$5
$10
$4
$6
$0B
$3B
$6B
$9B
$12B
$15B
1Q'0
72Q
'07
3Q'0
74Q
'07
1Q'0
82Q
'08
3Q'0
84Q
'08
1Q'0
92Q
'09
3Q'0
94Q
'09
1Q'1
02Q
'10
3Q'1
04Q
'10
1Q'1
12Q
'11
3Q'1
14Q
'11
1Q'1
22Q
'12
3Q'1
24Q
'12
1Q'1
32Q
'13
3Q'1
34Q
'13
1Q'1
42Q
'14
3Q'1
44Q
'14
1Q'1
52Q
'15
3Q'1
54Q
'15
1Q'1
62Q
'16
3Q'1
64Q
'16
1Q'1
72Q
'17
3Q'1
74Q
'17
1Q'1
8
Second Lien Loan New-Issue Volume - Quarterly ($bn)
$30
$3 $2 $5$7
$18
$29
$37
$11 $10
$25
$7 $6
$0B
$8B
$16B
$24B
$32B
$40B
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Second-Lien Loan New-Issue Volume - Annual ($bn)
Second-Lien Loans
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
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6.1% 4.4%13.4% 10.2% 6.8% 10.3% 14.1% 9.9% 9.9% 7.1% 5.9% 4.3% 6.7%
16.2%2.4%
5.9% 12.5% 15.3% 15.6% 15.7% 22.3% 29.8%
14.0% 16.3% 19.2% 13.4%
35.4%
42.9% 4.8% 7.1% 5.5% 5.2% 3.8%3.3%
5.8% 4.0% 2.8% 2.0%
29.2% 42.0%
75.5% 62.8% 54.4% 58.1% 50.3% 48.5%46.3%
63.7% 64.9% 70.0% 73.0%
13.2% 8.3% 5.2% 9.8% 16.5% 10.5% 14.7% 15.5% 10.6% 9.4% 8.9% 3.7% 4.9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
High Yield Bond Issuance by Purpose
Corp Purpose M&A/Acquisition M&A/LBO Refinancing Others
6.6%
0.0%
2.8%
5.6%
8.4%
11.2%
14.0%
1Q'0
73Q
'07
1Q'0
83Q
'08
1Q'0
93Q
'09
1Q'1
03Q
'10
1Q'1
13Q
'11
1Q'1
23Q
'12
1Q'1
33Q
'13
1Q'1
43Q
'14
1Q'1
53Q
'15
1Q'1
63Q
'16
1Q'1
73Q
'17
1Q'1
8
New issue High yield Bond yield to Maturity
$64
$0B
$22B
$44B
$66B
$88B
$110B
1Q'0
73Q
'07
1Q'0
83Q
'08
1Q'0
93Q
'09
1Q'1
03Q
'10
1Q'1
13Q
'11
1Q'1
23Q
'12
1Q'1
33Q
'13
1Q'1
43Q
'14
1Q'1
53Q
'15
1Q'1
63Q
'16
1Q'1
73Q
'17
1Q'1
8High Yield Bond Issuance – Quarterly ($bn)
Secured Unsecured Subordinated
$144
$68
$164
$287
$218
$345$322 $310
$262$229
$276
$82 $64
$0B
$80B
$160B
$240B
$320B
$400B
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
High Yield Bond Issuance – Annual ($bn)
Secured Unsecured Subordinated
High Yield Bonds
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
10
$3.2
$0.4$0.3
$2.8$2.5
$0.8
$3.0
$1.8
$0.9
$1.5
$0.5$0.5
$0.3
$0.0B
$0.7B
$1.4B
$2.1B
$2.8B
$3.5B
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
1Q'1
71Q
'18
Middle-Market Dividend Related Volume- Annual ($bn)
Institutional ProRata
$0.5 $0.3
$0.0B
$0.4B
$0.8B
$1.2B
$1.6B
$2.0B
1Q'0
73Q
'07
1Q'0
83Q
'08
1Q'0
93Q
'09
1Q'1
03Q
'10
1Q'1
13Q
'11
1Q'1
23Q
'12
1Q'1
33Q
'13
1Q'1
43Q
'14
1Q'1
53Q
'15
1Q'1
63Q
'16
1Q'1
73Q
'17
1Q'1
8
Middle-Market Dividend Related Volume- Quarterly ($bn)
Institutional ProRata
$26
$21
$1 $1 $1 $2$0 $0 $0 $0 $2 $1
$7$5
$8
$19$17
$16
$2 $1
$16
$8
$16 $16$18
$27
$14$11
$17$18
$13
$4$7
$15$13
$3$0
$14 $13
$22$20
$7
$15$14
$13
$0B
$6B
$12B
$18B
$24B
$30B
1Q'0
72Q
'07
3Q'0
74Q
'07
1Q'0
82Q
'08
3Q'0
84Q
'08
1Q'0
92Q
'09
3Q'0
94Q
'09
1Q'1
02Q
'10
3Q'1
04Q
'10
1Q'1
12Q
'11
3Q'1
14Q
'11
1Q'1
22Q
'12
3Q'1
24Q
'12
1Q'1
32Q
'13
3Q'1
34Q
'13
1Q'1
42Q
'14
3Q'1
44Q
'14
1Q'1
52Q
'15
3Q'1
54Q
'15
1Q'1
62Q
'16
3Q'1
64Q
'16
1Q'1
72Q
'17
3Q'1
74Q
'17
1Q'1
8
Dividend or Stock Repurchase Loan Volume- Quarterly ($bn)
Institutional ProRata
$49
$3 $3
$38 $36
$56
$70
$53
$38
$50$56
$20$13
$0B
$14B
$28B
$42B
$56B
$70B
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Dividend or Stock Repurchase Loan Volume- Annual ($bn)
Institutional ProRata
Dividend Recapitalization
$0.0
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
11
$3 $4
($10)
($2)
$9
($5)($9)
($2)
$8
($4)
$6 $2
($6) ($1) ($1)($9)
($19)
($20B)
($14B)
($8B)
($2B)
$4B
$10B
1Q'14 2Q'14 3Q'14 4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 3Q'16 4Q'16 1Q'17 2Q'17 3Q'17 4Q'17 1Q'18
Flows into High Yield Bond Funds - Quarterly ($bn)
$12
$54
$83
$124
$99
$72
$118
$17$32
0
50
100
150
200
250
$0B
$25B
$50B
$75B
$100B
$125B
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Annual CLO Volume ($bn)
Volume ($B) Count
$23
$38$32 $31 $31 $29
$19 $20$8
$18 $20$26
$17
$35 $30$36 $32
$9
($5)($12) ($17)
($4)($2) ($7)
($13) ($8) ($1)
$3
$14
$16
$4
($1) ($5)
$4
($20B)
($7B)
$6B
$19B
$32B
$45B
1Q'14 2Q'14 3Q'14 4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 3Q'16 4Q'16 1Q'17 2Q'17 3Q'17 4Q'17 1Q'18
Flows into Leveraged Loan Funds - Quarterly ($bn)
CLO issuance Prime fund flows
Funds Flows
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
12
0.94x 0.92x
0.81x 0.82x0.85x 0.88x
0.93x1.00x 0.99x
0.95x 0.94x0.89x
0.85x
0.00x
0.20x
0.41x
0.61x
0.82x
1.02x
1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 3Q'16 4Q'16 1Q'17 2Q'17 3Q'17 4Q'17 1Q'18
Public BDCs - Price to Book Value Multiple - Quarterly
104
0
40
80
120
160
200
1Q'1
3
2Q'1
3
3Q'1
3
4Q'1
3
1Q'1
4
2Q'1
4
3Q'1
4
4Q'1
4
1Q'1
5
2Q'1
5
3Q'1
5
4Q'1
5
1Q'1
6
2Q'1
6
3Q'1
6
4Q'1
6
1Q'1
7
2Q'1
7
3Q'1
7
4Q'1
7
1Q'1
8
Libo
r +
U.S. CLO Spreads
Funds Flows (continued)
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
13
2.9%
0.0%
16.0%
32.0%
48.0%
64.0%
80.0%
Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Percent of First-Lien Loans with Secondary Spreads of L+1000 or HigherBy Number of Facilities
2.3%0.0%
16.0%
32.0%
48.0%
64.0%
80.0%
Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Percent of First-Lien Loans with Secondary Spreads of L+1000 or HigherBy Amount Outstanding
Distress and Defaults
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
14
10
44
74
29
139 12
913 14 12
15 16
0
16
32
48
64
80
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Number of Issuers in Payment Default or Bankruptcy
0.6%
3.7%
10.7%
5.0%
2.3% 2.2%1.2%
2.9%3.5%
1.6% 1.1%2.1% 1.9%
0.0%
2.4%
4.8%
7.2%
9.6%
12.0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Percent of Outstanding Leveraged Loans in Default or Bankruptcy
$3
$22
$57
$25
$12 $12$8
$24
$31
$14$10
$18 $19
$0B
$12B
$24B
$36B
$48B
$60B
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q'17 1Q'18
Par Amount of Leveraged Loans in Payment Default or Bankruptcy ($bn)
Distress and Defaults (continued)
Source: Standard & Poor | Leveraged Commentary & Data
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
15
• Primary Service Offerings
Debt
and
equi
tyca
pita
lrai
ses — Senior debt financing, refinancing or amendments
— Acquisition and growth capital
— Dividend recapitalizations and minority buyouts
— Mezzanine/junior subordinated financing
— Structured and minority equity
— Project financing
— Capital for special situations, including bankruptcies
Capital Advisory PracticeWe are a leading global financial advisor with real time knowledge of the capital markets. We advise on a wide range of transactions involving both debt and equity, including raising financing for acquisitions, buyouts, dividend recapitalizations, growth capital, special situations, and DIP and exit financing in bankruptcies
We maintain close relationships with debt, mezzanine and equity capital providers, including banks, BDCs, specialty finance companies, insurance companies, family offices, credit and equity funds and other private investors
Value added advisor— Unbiased and objective advice— Local market insight with strong relationships across all
tranches of capital— Experienced deal team— Flexible and innovative approach— Fully integrated service offering— KPMG global advisory network
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Value added advisor
Primary service offerings
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For more information, contact:
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Vice PresidentCapitalAdvisory [email protected]
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Managing DirectorGlobal Head of M&A [email protected]
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DirectorCapitalAdvisory [email protected]
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Managing DirectorCapitalAdvisory [email protected]
©2018 KPMG Corporate Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. Member FINRA and SIPC. KPMG Corporate Finance LLC is a subsidiary of KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
16
Important notice
The information contained in this newsletter is of a general nature and is not intended to address thecircumstances of any particular individual or entity including their investment objectives or financial needs. Inpreparing this newsletter, we have relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracyand completeness of all information available from public sources. Although we endeavor to provide accurateand timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it isreceived or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act or rely on the information in thisnewsletter without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.The information contained in this newsletter does not constitute a recommendation, offer, or solicitation tobuy, sell or hold any security of any issuer. Past performance does not guarantee future results.