critical energy infrastructure after the arab springm [read-only]
TRANSCRIPT
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Critical Energy Infrastructure after the Arab Spring
NATO Advanced Studies Antalya October 2015
Dr Cyril Widdershoven
Middle East Specialist and Security Advisor
BD Manager MENA Oil & Gas
[email protected]/ Mob: +31-6-53819265
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About us Our capabilities Our experience
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TNO
TNO is a Dutch company with over 80 years experience in technology development and technical consultancy
TNO Facts• Independent
• Technology development, consulting and contract R&D
• Approximately 4000 employees
• Revenue: ⅔ from industry, ⅓ from Dutch government
Markets• Energy, Defence Safety & Security, Transport & Mobility, Information Society, Medical and Built Environment
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Partners
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Defence: main R&D contractor Dutch navy
Space: design of satellites, telescopes, mars pathfinder
High-tech Industries: main R&D contractor ASML lithography
Automotive: leading car crash testing Europe
Oil & Gas: Partner of leading oil & gas companies
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Setting The Scene: 2010-2015
• Overview MENA region
• Critical Infrastructure MENA
• Arab Spring effects 2010-2013
• Syria, Egypt, Libya, Algeria
• Spreading of extremism and effects of terrorism
• Critical Energy Infrastructure Incidents and Effects
• Possible out of the box solutions
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World Oil Producers 2014-2015
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How I Like MENA Oil & Gas
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European Energy Supply/Import Lines
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European Power Imports?
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Algeria-EU pipelines
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Turkey Pipelines
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Potential Supply EU
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Saudi Oil Fields
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Saudi Pipelines
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REALITY HITS IN?
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New Arc of Instability
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Increased Terrorist Attacks
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ISIS MENA
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ISIS Operations & Regional Refineries
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Regional Critical Incidents 2014
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MENA Critical Incidents 2014
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Algeria Critical Incidents 2014
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Algeria
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Algeria Critical Incidents over Time
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Algeria Weapons Type
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Egypt
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Egypt Sinai Situation
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Egypt Critical Incidents 2014
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Egypt Weapons Type
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Egypt Critical Incidents over Time
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Iraq Sectarian Divisions
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Iraq Kurdish Issue
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Kurdish Issues Iraq
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Iraq Energy Infrastructure
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Iraq Critical Incidents 2014
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Iraq Critical Incidents over Time
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Libya
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Libyan Militia Map
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Libya Critical Incidents 2014
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Libya Weapons Type 2014
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Libya Critical Incidents over Time
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Saudi Critical Incidents 2014
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Syria Critical Incidents 2014
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Tunisia Critical Incidents 2014
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Turkey Critical Incidents 2014
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Turkey Critical Incidents Over Time
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Turkey Incidents Weapon Type
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MEA-Risk Critical Incidents Monitoring
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Maghreb Incidents Monitoring
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Maghreb Critical Incidents Aug 10 – Sept 14 2015
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Critical Incidents North Africa (MEA-
Risk.com) July 24 – Sept 30 2015
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How to Counter Threats?
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Conventional Approack to
Infrastructure Protection As of Today
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First Two Layers
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First Four Layers
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Offshore Security Approach
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Integration of All?
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Taking Security Step Further:
ISIS = Darth Vader?
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Social Media Tracking as New Security
Layer?
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Open Source As Data Mining Security
Aspect
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Snaptrends to Target Terrorists or
Security Threats?
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Implementation of Social Media for
Security: Everyone Online = Target!
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