Critical Infrastructure Protection:

Beating the Odds Dr. Kevin Rosner,

Senior Fellow, Institute for the Analysis of Global Security (www.iags.org)

&

Editor-in-Chief,

Journal of Energy Security (www.ensec.org)

United States Energy Security Concil

Target Energy Critical Energy Infrastructure Protection, Washington D.C.

October 31-November 1, 2013

Sample of Journal of Energy Security Asian Coverage

• Exploring the Asian Premium in Crude Oil Markets

• India’s Electricity Blackout and a Myanmar Fuel Solution

• Pakistan's Struggle for LNG

• Energy-Development-Security Nexus in Afghanistan

• Critical Energy Infrastructure Protection: The Case of the Trans-ASEAN Energy Network

Conference Question

“How secure is Asia’s energy infrastructure: Hydro Power Dams, transmission

infrastructure and inter and intra-state pipelines, oil refineries, gas and oil rigs, oil

depots and LNG Terminals”

Trotsky

“ You might not be interested in war, but war is interested in you.”

Main Conclusions

• Regardless of the ownership structure of energy infrastructure, these assets provide a public good

• The protection of these goods require public-private dialogue

• The dialogue on IP must be along the entire energy pathway

• Cooperation-national, regional or international is essential to success

• Solutions: prevention, mitigation through resiliency, and response to emergencies (depending on magnitude) will ultimately involve civil defense organizations ( nat. mil/collective security organizations)

CEIP OBJECTIVES

• To deter threats

• To mitigate vulnerabilities

• To minimize consequences

• Question: Are we talking today about the structural security of CEIP or are we talking about an ‘all hazards’ approach that involves addressing of the above?

First, a Few Words on Critical Energy Infrastructure Protection (CEIP)

• Efforts towards protecting a nation’s critical infrastructure preceded our current dialogue on energy security. Ex.

• Different nations have different definitions of CEIP but by and large they focus on the definition of criticality. Ex.

• In Asia, writ large, nations must decide criticality and then take measure to protect these assets. This decision can be either nationally or regionally inspired, transmitted, and adhered to.

Qualifiers for CEIP

• Not all components of an given infrastructure protection are ‘critical’ Ex.

• Criticality is in itself hard to determine Ex.

• Critical Infrastructure is a nested system within other, even larger systems. Ex.

• Play video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJyWngDco3g

Photo of Industrial Control Systems Linked to the Internet in the US

CEIP MAIN VULNERABILITY PATHWAYS

VULNERABILITIES SOLUTION OBJECTIVES

• NATURAL DISASTERS MITIGATION AND RESPONSE

• TECNOLOGICAL FAILURE MAINTENANCE AS A FUNCTION OF INVESTMENT

• HUMAN FAILURE EDUCATION AND TRAINING

• HUMAN EVENTS FOCUS ON EMPLOYEES

• HUMAN EVENTS TERRORISM

GIS LAYERED MODELING