crop production - downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu€¦ · 42 percent above 2002. based on june 1...

Cr Pr 2-2 (6-03)

Washington, D.C.

CropProduction

Released June 11, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department ofAgriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Winter Wheat Production Up 4 PercentAll Orange Production Virtually Unchanged

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.63 billion bushels, up 4 percent from the May 1 forecast and42 percent above 2002. Based on June 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 44.6 bushels per acre, up1.7 bushels from the previous forecast. Grain area totals 36.4 million acres, unchanged from May 1.

Hard Red production is up 7 percent from a month ago to 1.01 billion bushels. Soft Red is down 1 percentfrom last month, and now totals 368 million bushels. White production totals 253 million bushels, up1 percent from last month.

The U.S. all orange June 1 forecast for the 2002-03 crop is 11.5 million tons, virtually unchanged from theMay 1 forecast but 8 percent below last season’s utilization. Florida’s all orange forecast, at 201 millionboxes (9.05 million tons), is up 0.5 percent from the previous forecast but 13 percent below last season’s finalutilization. If attained, it will be the lowest utilized production since the 186 million boxes of the 1998-99season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 112 million boxes (5.04 million tons),unchanged from the May 1 forecast but 12 percent less than last season. Harvest of these varieties iscomplete. Florida’s Valencia forecast is 89 million boxes (4.01 million tons), 1 percent above the previousforecast but 13 percent less than last season’s final utilization. Arizona, California, and Texas orangeproduction forecasts are carried forward from April 1.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield is projected at 1.52 gallons per box at 42.0 degreesBrix. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.49 gallons per box. The projected season average yieldfor the Valencia oranges is lowered to 1.56 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume that theprocessing relationships this year will be similar to those of the past several years.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics BoardJune 2003 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on June 11, 2003.

Acting Secretary ofAgriculture

James R. Moseley

Agricultural Statistics BoardChairpersonRich Allen


ContentsPage

Apricots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Cherries, Sweet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

Citrus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7

Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25

Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15

Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

Maple Syrup . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Peaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

Pears, Bartlett . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30

Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10

Sugarcane . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

Wheat, Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Wheat, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4


Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Stateand United States, 2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 20022003

2002 2003May 1 Jun 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

ARCACODEGAIDILINKSKYMDMIMSMOMTNENYNCOHOKORPASCSDTNTXVAWAWY

Oth Sts 1

US

840300

1,65058

200690650330

8,100340180490205760750

1,520128480810

3,500710185190625300

2,700170

1,750120

920

29,651

610350

2,20047

230710780420

9,700300150660125780

1,7001,650

119420960

4,700940160200

1,440300

3,700160

1,800160

976

36,447

46.075.022.070.041.079.049.053.033.053.066.067.044.045.028.032.058.042.062.028.041.054.037.029.046.029.063.059.019.0

41.3

38.5

52.070.030.065.053.079.056.064.040.059.064.066.046.051.036.038.063.041.068.034.053.053.040.039.052.031.059.062.026.0

44.2

42.9

51.075.033.062.050.082.056.063.044.057.064.066.050.051.038.044.060.041.068.036.053.053.039.040.050.029.058.062.028.0

44.2

44.6

38,64022,50036,300

4,0608,200

54,51031,85017,490

267,30018,02011,88032,830

9,02034,20021,00048,640

7,42420,16050,22098,00029,110

9,9907,030

18,12513,80078,30010,710

103,2502,280

37,963

1,142,802

31,11026,25072,600

2,91411,50058,22043,68026,460

426,80017,100

9,60043,560

6,25039,78064,60072,600

7,14017,22065,280

169,20049,820

8,4807,800

57,60015,000

107,3009,280

111,6004,480

43,152

1,626,376 1 Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary."


Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Stateand United States, 2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 20022003

2002 2003May 1 Jun 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZCAMTND

Oth Sts 2

US

8990

5651,950

9

2,703

10395

95.0100.0

23.025.0

27.8

29.4

97.090.0

94.0100.0

8,4559,000

12,99548,750

250

79,450

9,6829,500

1 Area harvested for the U.S. and remaining States will be published in "Acreage" released June 30, 2003. Yield and productionwill be published in "Crop Production" released July 11, 2003.

2 Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary."

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2001-2002and Forecasted June 1, 2003 1

YearWinter Spring 2

Total 2HardRed

SoftRed White Hard

Red White Durum

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

200120022003

766,795609,243

1,005,205

399,670332,275368,294

195,014201,284252,877

475,515356,597

36,49337,592

83,55679,450

1,957,0431,616,441

1 Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are usedthroughout the forecast season except in Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska, which have been updated with current data.

2 Spring wheat production by class and total production will be published in "Crop Production" released July 11, 2003.


Sweet Cherries: Total Production by State, and Total,2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003

StateTotal Production

2001 2002 2003 1

Tons Tons Tons

CA OR WA

Total

55,30040,000

106,000

201,300

55,50031,00086,000

172,500

60,00040,00090,000

190,000 1 The first production forecast for sweet cherries in ID, MI, MT, NY, PA, and UT and tart cherries in CO, MI, NY, OR, PA, UT,

WA, and WI will be published in the "Cherry Production" released on June 26, 2003.

Peaches: Total Production by Crop, State, and Total,2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003


2001 2002 2003

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

CA All Clingstone 1

FreestoneGASC

Total

1,727.0952.0775.0140.0100.0

1,967.0

1,920.01,124.0

796.0110.0160.0

2,190.0

1,950.01,180.0

770.0125.0130.0

2,205.0 1 CA Clingstone is over-the-scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery diversions.


Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,2000-2001, 2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 1 2

Crop and StateUtilized Production

BoxesUtilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges Early Mid & Navel 3

AZ 4

CA 4

FL TX 4

US Valencia AZ 4

CA 4

FL TX 4

US All AZ 4

CA 4

FL TX 4

USTemples FLGrapefruit White Seedless 5

FL Colored Seedless FL All AZ 4

CA 4

FL TX 4

USTangerines AZ 4 6

CA 4 6

FL 7

USLemons 4

AZ CA USTangelos FLK-Early Citrus 8

FL

48035,500

128,0002,000

165,980

42019,00095,300

235114,955

90054,500

223,3002,235

280,935

1,250

18,700

27,300

2506,300

46,0007,200

59,750

6502,2005,6008,450

3,60022,60026,200

2,100

40

27034,000

128,0001,530

163,800

25020,500

102,000210

122,960

52054,500

230,0001,740

286,760

1,550

18,900

27,800

1606,000

46,7005,900

58,760

6202,2006,6009,420

2,80019,00021,800

2,150

30

20040,000

112,0001,400

153,600

20022,00089,000

180111,380

40062,000

201,0001,580

264,980

1,300

16,200

22,500

1005,600

38,7005,500

49,900

4002,5005,5008,400

2,90023,00025,900

2,350

181,3315,760

857,194

16713

4,28810

5,027

342,044

10,04895

12,221

56

795

1,160

8211

1,955288

2,462

2483

266373

137859996

95

2

101,2755,760

657,110

9769

4,5909

5,377

192,044

10,35074

12,487

70

803

1,182

5201

1,985236

2,427

2383

314420

106722828

97

1

81,5005,040

606,608

8825

4,0058

4,846

162,3259,045

6811,454

59

689

956

3188

1,645220

2,056

1594

261370

110874984

106

1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early

Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small

quantities of tangerines in TX. 4 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5 Includes seedy. 6 Includes tangelos and tangors. 7 2000-01 through 2001-02 includes Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst, Dancy, and Honey varieties; 2002-03 includes Fallglo, Sunburst,

and Honey varieties only. 8 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.


Bartlett Pears: Total Production by State and Total,2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003


2001 2002 2003

Tons Tons Tons

CAORWA

Total

275,00070,000

201,000

546,000

264,00058,000

167,000

489,000

235,00070,000

185,000

490,000

Miscellaneous Fruits, California: Total Production by Crop,2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003

CropTotal Production

2001 2002 2003

Tons Tons Tons

Prunes (Dried Basis) 1

Apricots

150,000

77,000

171,000

85,000

190,000

85,000 1 2002 revised.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2002-2003

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested2002 2003

2002 2003 2002 2003

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AprMay

2,4802,475

2,2552,250

1,9351,935

1,7401,740

2,9953,210

3,7253,125

1 Utilized fresh production.


Hops: Area Harvested by Variety, State, and United States,2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003

Stateand

Variety

Area Harvested Strung for Harvest

2001 2002 2003

Acres Acres Acres

ID Chinook Cluster Galena Mt. Hood Nugget Willamette Zeus

Other Varieties

Total 1

OR Cascade Glacier Golding Liberty Millenium Mt. Hood Nugget Perle Sterling Willamette

Other Varieties

Total

WA Cascade Chelan Chinook Cluster Columbus/Tomahawk Galena Golding Hallertauer Horizon Magnum Millenium Mt. Hood Northern Brewer Nugget Perle Tettnanger Tillicum Vanguard Willamette YCR-5(WarriorTM) Zeus

Other Varieties

Total

US

120234552

3254

215477

1,785

3,469

- * - -

117257

2,268491

912,434

445

6,103

1,003317535534

4,9154,375

4576

33942

1,382333

974,109

20960

36954

3,5711,3702,186

418

26,339

35,911

3,399

217 - -

36421243

1,967452

861,912

243

5,577

1,216295422480

3,6633,239

2676

337 -

1,455107

971,288

12448

194 -

3,639988

2,265

374

20,333

29,309

3,429

269245

95 - -

2171,529

45084

2,224

635

5,748

2,074180453429

2,7252,863

2253

124 -

1,3863263

933104

-194

-3,7071,1732,090

571

19,176

28,353 1 Beginning with the 2002 crop, only State totals will be published for Idaho to avoid disclosure of individual operations.

- Included in Other Varieties to avoid disclosure of individual operations.* Unknown or none.


Sugarbeets: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, Production,Price, and Value by State and United States, 2001-2002 1

StateArea Planted Area Harvested Yield

2001 2002 2 2001 2002 2 2001 2002 2

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons

CACOIDMIMNMTNENDOHORWAWY

US

46.641.5

199.0180.0468.0

57.448.6

261.00.8

11.97.2

48.5

1,370.5

50.243.9

212.0179.0505.0

58.057.0

265.01.9

11.34.0

40.0

1,427.3

44.736.8

179.0166.0426.0

53.541.4

237.00.69.77.1

41.6

1,243.4

49.939.5

210.0177.0476.0

55.942.0

258.01.8

11.04.0

36.0

1,361.1

35.722.425.919.418.321.520.318.120.029.935.620.6

20.7

39.520.124.318.118.619.618.118.620.627.435.018.3

20.4

Production Price per Ton Value of Production

2001 2002 2 2001 2002 3 2001 2002 3

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

CACOIDMIMNMTNENDOHORWAWY

US

1,596824

4,6363,2207,7961,150

8404,290

12290253857

25,764

1,971794

5,1033,2048,8541,096

7604,799

37301140659

27,718

33.4034.2040.5034.8040.3038.8036.9046.1035.5040.5040.5039.70

39.80

53,30628,181

187,758112,056314,179

44,62030,996

197,769426

11,74510,24734,023

1,025,306 1 Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in

central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. 2 Revised. 3 Estimates are not available. U.S. marketing year average price, value of production, and parity price will be published in

"Agricultural Prices" released July 31, 2003. State estimates will be published in "Crop Values" to be released February 2004.


Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, Production, Price,and Value by State and United States, 2001-2002

StateArea Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2001 2002 2 2001 2002 2 2001 2002 2

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

For Sugar FL HI LA TX

US

For Seed FL HI LA TX

US

For Sugar and Seed FL HI LA TX

US

445.019.3

460.046.0

970.3

20.01.5

35.01.0

57.5

465.020.8

495.047.0

1,027.8

442.021.3

465.043.6

971.9

19.01.4

30.00.9

51.3

461.022.7

495.044.5

1,023.2

35.197.329.042.1

33.8

35.936.229.025.0

31.5

35.192.929.041.7

33.7

38.399.028.339.1

34.9

38.135.528.330.0

32.2

38.395.128.338.9

34.7

15,6201,878

13,3401,937

32,775

71854

1,01525

1,812

16,3381,932

14,3551,962

34,587

16,9292,109

13,1601,705

33,903

72450

84927

1,650

17,6532,159

14,0091,732

35,553

For Sugar For Sugar and Seed

Price per Ton Value of Production Value of Production 3

2001 2002 4 2001 2002 4 2001 2002 4

Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

FLHILATX

US

31.7030.8025.7028.90

29.00

495,15457,842

342,83855,979

951,813

517,91559,505

368,92456,702

1,003,046 1 Yield and production refer to net weight. 2 Revised. 3 Price per ton of cane for sugar used in evaluating value of production for seed. 4 Estimates are not available. U.S. marketing year average price, value of production, and parity price will be published in

"Agricultural Prices" released July 31, 2003. State estimates will be published in "Crop Values" to be released February 2004.


Maple Syrup: Taps, Yield, and Productionby State and United States, 2002-2003 1

StateNumber of Taps Yield per Tap Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Taps 1,000 Taps Gallons Gallons 1,000 Gallons 1,000 Gallons

CTMEMAMINHNYOHPAVTWI

US

511,085

215320345

1,414376337

2,170440

6,753

501,095

205360325

1,340387364

2,090400

6,616

0.1570.2120.2090.2060.2170.1840.1990.1630.2300.180

0.206

0.1600.2420.1710.1640.1750.1570.1320.1320.2060.190

0.187

8230

456675

2607555

50079

1,393

8265

355957

2105148

43076

1,239 1 2002 revised.

Maple Syrup: Price and Valueby State and United States, 2001-2002 1

StateAverage Price

per GallonValue of

Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars


US

45.7018.7040.6029.7040.0029.5031.3025.3030.8029.20

28.60

47.2019.4039.5032.5041.1026.3032.3026.7027.0029.30

27.60

4113,7401,3801,7821,8005,6943,0051,7468,4701,986

30,014

3784,4601,7782,1453,0836,8382,4231,469

13,5002,315

38,389 1 Price and value for 2001 are revised. Price and value for 2003 are not available until June,

2004.

Maple Syrup: Percent of Sales by Type and State, 2001-2002

StateRetail Wholesale Bulk

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent


855

7068705469443542

855

5065703976452542

105

2019201510

91526

105

30151521

6191524

5901013103121475032

5902020154018366034


Maple Syrup: Price by Type of Sales and Size of Containerby State, 2001-2002 1

Typeand

State

Gallons 1/2 Gallons Quarts Pints 1/2 Pints

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars

Retail CT ME MA MI NH NY OH PA VT WI

Wholesale CT 2

ME MA 2

MI NH NY OH PA VT WI

35.4032.1033.1033.0034.5029.9029.3028.3032.4027.80

28.7026.7030.3025.6028.7025.8024.7026.7028.8027.60

37.5034.0035.0031.0033.3029.7029.8029.1031.4027.80

30.3028.2025.8025.0028.3026.9024.1027.0025.0026.40

20.3018.3019.9018.4019.8017.3017.0016.7019.0015.30

17.5014.20

15.6015.8015.6014.7014.5016.2015.30

21.2018.6020.4017.5019.0017.7017.8016.5018.2015.50

16.8016.8016.5015.3017.2014.8014.3016.0016.2014.50

11.7010.2011.6010.3011.3010.10

9.709.60

11.408.30

10.308.009.408.509.008.658.408.209.208.10

11.8010.5012.3010.1011.30

9.9010.20

9.7011.30

8.50

9.208.409.108.70

10.408.009.208.709.307.90

6.905.906.806.006.806.306.005.707.005.10

5.404.605.404.705.205.054.804.905.204.60

7.306.507.906.006.806.506.305.707.105.30

5.204.805.704.905.604.705.604.905.404.50

4.404.004.303.903.904.204.603.504.703.30

2.803.502.703.103.003.803.003.303.00

4.604.205.204.104.104.204.103.604.503.30

3.403.003.803.403.502.903.203.203.402.80

Bulk All Grades Bulk All Grades All Sales

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Dollars per Pound Dollars per Pound Dollars per Gallon Dollars per Gallon Equivalent per Gallon Equivalent per Gallon

Bulk CT 2

ME MA MI NH NY OH PA VT WI

1.201.451.401.801.601.401.551.401.901.50

1.501.501.501.401.301.451.301.701.40

13.2016.0015.4019.6017.6015.6017.2015.1020.9016.00

16.5016.5016.8015.4014.3016.0013.8018.7015.00

45.7018.7040.6029.7040.0029.5031.3025.3030.8029.20

47.2019.4039.5032.5041.1026.3032.3026.7027.0029.30

1 Prices for 2001 are revised. 2 Data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations.


Sweet Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield,and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 1

StateArea Planted Area Harvested

2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ALCAGA 2

LAMSNJNCSCTXVA

US

3.010.0

0.524.016.7

1.237.0

2.04.20.5

99.1

2.910.4

21.016.0

1.240.0

1.73.50.5

97.2

2.910.0

0.422.016.0

1.236.0

1.63.80.5

94.4

2.710.4

15.012.3

1.237.0

1.13.30.5

83.5

Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

ALCAGA 2

LAMSNJNCSCTXVA

US

170230100140150105155

80100220

155

180265

125160125130110180210

154

4932,300

403,0802,400

1265,580

128380110

14,637

4862,756

1,8751,968

1504,810

121594105

12,865 1 2002 Revised. 2 Estimates discontinued in 2002.


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003(Domestic Units) 1

CropArea Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay Barley Corn for Grain 2

Corn for Silage Hay, All Alfalfa All Other Oats Proso Millet Rice Rye Sorghum for Grain 2

Sorghum for Silage Wheat, All Winter Durum Other Spring

Oilseeds Canola Cottonseed Flaxseed Mustard Seed Peanuts Rapeseed Safflower Soybeans for Beans Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton, All Upland Amer-Pima Sugarbeets Sugarcane Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Austrian Winter Peas Dry Edible Beans Dry Edible Peas Lentils Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc. Coffee (HI) Ginger Root (HI) Hops Peppermint Oil Potatoes, All Winter Spring Summer Fall Spearmint Oil Sweet Potatoes Taro (HI) 3

5,073.079,054.0

5,005.0450.0

3,240.01,395.09,580.0

60,358.041,735.0

2,909.015,714.0

1,459.0

785.0191.0

1,358.03.4

219.073,758.0

2,585.0

13,957.913,714.0

243.91,427.3

21.51,922.1

302.7221.0

1,310.015.887.862.2

1,144.2

97.2

5,379.079,022.0

4,828.0

3,038.0

9,451.0

61,697.044,308.0

2,833.014,556.0

1,249.0

1,244.0

73,182.02,517.0

14,253.014,053.0

200.01,399.3

1,522.8

15.085.1

93.5

4,135.069,313.0

7,490.064,497.023,135.041,362.0

2,098.0220.0

3,207.0286.0

7,299.0352.0

45,817.029,651.0

2,703.013,463.0

1,275.0

704.0175.0

1,296.73.1

196.072,160.0

2,205.0

12,426.612,184.0

242.61,361.11,023.2

428.7

11.61,726.9

279.7209.0

6.20.3

29.380.2

1,275.715.786.159.1

1,114.818.083.5

0.4

63,552.0

2,204.0

36,447.0

417.5

28.4

14.882.9

1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for thefull 2003 crop year.

2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.


Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003(Domestic Units) 1

Crop UnitYield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay Barley Corn for Grain Corn for Silage Hay, All Alfalfa All Other Oats Proso Millet Rice 2

Rye Sorghum for Grain Sorghum for Silage Wheat, All Winter Durum Other Spring

Oilseeds Canola Cottonseed 3

Flaxseed Mustard Seed Peanuts Rapeseed Safflower Soybeans for Beans Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton, All 2

Upland 2

Amer-Pima 2

Sugarbeets Sugarcane Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Austrian Winter Peas 2

Dry Edible Beans 2

Dry Edible Peas 2

Lentils 2

Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc. Coffee (HI) Ginger Root (HI) Hops Peppermint Oil Potatoes, All Winter Spring Summer Fall Spearmint Oil Sweet Potatoes Taro (HI) 3

Bu"Ton"""Bu"CwtBu"TonBu"""

LbTonBuLb"""BuLb

Bale""Ton"Lb

Cwt""""

Lb"""Cwt""""LbCwtLb

54.9130.0

14.02.343.191.8656.812.5

6,57824.450.7

9.535.338.529.429.3

1,218

17.9705

2,5611,4611,520

37.81,133

665651

1,34220.434.7

2,055

1,4141,7361,5171,200

1,37045,000

1,99085

363268271304374108154

44.6

281269

226,8739,007,659

104,979150,962

73,82477,138

119,1322,755

210,9606,985

369,7583,360

1,616,4411,142,802

79,450394,189

1,552,5206,183.912,569

123,4503,320,490

4,530297,980

2,729,7092,497,236

17,208.616,530.3

678.327,71835,553

880,734

16429,974

4,2422,508

457

8,50014,400

58,336.66,818

462,7134,206

23,29417,985

417,2281,942

12,8656,100

1,626,376

4,15322,305

1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for thefull 2003 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.


Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003(Domestic Units) 1

Crop UnitProduction

2001 2002 2003

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

Grapefruit K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

Lemons Oranges Tangelos (FL) Tangerines Temples (FL)

Noncitrus Apples Apricots Bananas (HI) Grapes Olives (CA) Papayas (HI) Peaches Pears Prunes, Dried (CA) Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc. Almonds (CA) Hazelnuts Pecans Pistachios (CA) Walnuts (CA) Maple Syrup

Ton""""""

1,000 LbsTonLbTon"Lbs1,000 LbsTon""

LbTonLb"TonGal

2,4622

99612,221

95373

56

9,428.782.5

28,000.06,569.6

134.055,000.0

2,433.31,001.8

150.021.2

830,00049.5

338,500161,000

305.01,049

2,4271

82812,487

97420

70

8,592.190.1

19,500.07,144.0

99.045,900.0

2,575.4911.5171.0

15.9

1,085,00018.0

178,400300,000

282.01,393

2,056

98411,454

106370

59

190.0

920,000

1,239 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003(Metric Units) 1

CropArea Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay Barley Corn for Grain 2

Corn for Silage Hay, All 3

Alfalfa All Other Oats Proso Millet Rice Rye Sorghum for Grain 2

Sorghum for Silage Wheat, All 3

Winter Durum Other Spring

Oilseeds Canola Cottonseed Flaxseed Mustard Seed Peanuts Rapeseed Safflower Soybeans for Beans Sunflowers


Upland Amer-Pima Sugarbeets Sugarcane Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Austrian Winter Peas Dry Edible Beans Dry Edible Peas Lentils Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc. Coffee (HI) Ginger Root (HI) Hops Peppermint Oil Potatoes, All 3

Winter Spring Summer Fall Spearmint Oil Sweet Potatoes Taro (HI) 4

2,052,99031,992,360

2,025,470182,110

1,311,200564,540

3,876,930

24,426,28016,889,740

1,177,2406,359,300

590,440

317,68077,300

549,5701,380

88,63029,849,130

1,046,120

5,648,6205,549,920

98,700577,610

8,700777,850122,500

89,440

530,1406,390

35,53025,170

463,050

39,340

2,176,83031,979,410

1,953,840

1,229,450

3,824,730

24,968,16017,931,000

1,146,4905,890,670

505,460

503,430

29,616,0201,018,600

5,768,0505,687,110

80,940566,280

616,260

6,07034,440

37,840

1,673,39028,050,280

3,031,13026,101,290

9,362,50016,738,790

849,04089,030

1,297,840115,740

2,953,830142,450

18,541,68011,999,460

1,093,8805,448,340

515,980

284,90070,820

524,7601,250

79,32029,202,430

892,340

5,028,9204,930,740

98,180550,820414,080173,470

4,690698,860113,190

84,580

2,510130

11,86032,460

516,2606,350

34,84023,920

451,1507,280

33,790170

25,718,860

891,940

14,749,740

168,960

11,470

5,99033,550


2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.


Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003(Metric Units) 1

CropYield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay Barley Corn for Grain Corn for Silage Hay, All 2

Alfalfa All Other Oats Proso Millet Rice Rye Sorghum for Grain Sorghum for Silage Wheat, All 2

Winter Durum Other Spring

Oilseeds Canola Cottonseed 3

Flaxseed Mustard Seed Peanuts Rapeseed Safflower Soybeans for Beans Sunflowers


Upland Amer-Pima Sugarbeets Sugarcane Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Austrian Winter Peas Dry Edible Beans Dry Edible Peas Lentils Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc. Coffee (HI) Ginger Root (HI) Hops Peppermint Oil Potatoes, All 2

Winter Spring Summer Fall Spearmint Oil Sweet Potatoes Taro (HI) 3

2.958.16

31.425.257.154.182.040.707.371.533.18

21.402.372.591.981.97

1.36

1.120.792.871.641.702.541.27

0.750.731.50

45.6577.89

2.30

1.581.951.701.35

1.5450.44

2.230.10

40.6530.0330.3234.1141.95

0.1217.27

3.00

31.4530.16

4,939,580228,805,080

95,235,350136,950,420

66,972,01069,978,420

1,729,20062,480

9,568,990177,430

9,392,2903,048,140

43,992,31031,101,970

2,162,27010,728,070

704,2105,609,940

319,27056,000

1,506,1502,050

135,16074,290,500

1,132,730

3,746,7303,599,050

147,68025,145,35032,253,140

399,490

7,4401,359,600

192,410113,760

20,730

3,8606,530

26,4603,090

20,988,310190,780

1,056,600815,790

18,925,140880

583,5502,770

44,262,700

188,3801,011,740


2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.


Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003(Metric Units) 1

CropProduction

2001 2002 2003

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

Grapefruit K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

Lemons Oranges Tangelos (FL) Tangerines Temples (FL)

Non-Citrus Apples Apricots Bananas (HI) Grapes Olives (CA) Papayas (HI) Peaches Pears Prunes, Dried (CA) Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc. Almonds (CA) Hazelnuts Pecans Pistachios (CA) Walnuts (CA) Maple Syrup

2,233,4901,810

903,56011,086,700

86,180338,380

50,800

4,276,79074,81012,700

5,959,840121,560

24,9501,103,730

908,800136,080

19,230

376,48044,910

153,54073,030

276,6905,240

2,201,740910

751,15011,328,020

88,000381,020

63,500

3,897,31081,770

8,8506,480,930

89,81020,820

1,168,180826,850155,130

14,380

492,15016,33080,920

136,080255,830

6,960

1,865,170

892,67010,390,890

96,160335,660

53,520

172,370

417,310

6,190 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.


May Weather Summary

East of the Rockies, the only large-scale area of concern for dryness was the western Gulf Coast region, wherelittle rain fell. In contrast, the interior South and much of the Southeast was inundated with near-record torecord May rainfall, causing fieldwork delays and lowland flooding. Farther north, early- to mid-May rainsslowed Midwestern corn and soybean planting, but largely eradicated long-term precipitation deficits. Dryweather returned to the Corn Belt during the second half of the month, allowing corn planting to nearcompletion, promoting an acceleration of soybean planting, and providing nearly ideal conditions for summercrop germination and establishment. Meanwhile on the northern and central Plains, soil moisture remainedmostly adequate, despite a late-month drying trend. On the southern Plains, late-month showers eased stresson pastures, immature winter wheat, and rain-fed summer crops. In the West, cool, showery conditions earlyin the month suddenly yielded to hot, dry weather. Toward month’s end, high temperatures boosted irrigationdemands and left some dryland crops in need of rain.

Late-May heat offset the effects of earlier cool weather in California and the Northwest, resulting in near-normal monthly temperatures. Heat was more persistent across the Southwest and in the Gulf Coast region,producing month readings generally 2 to 6 degrees F above normal. In contrast, persistently cool weatherblanketed the northern Plains, Midwest, and Northeast, slowing crop development and holding monthlytemperatures as much as 6 degrees F below normal.

May Crop Summary

May began with seasonally heavy rains in the Pacific Northwest, but warmer weather later in the monthbenefited crop development. Above-normal temperatures and dry weather arrived in California’s CentralValley at mid-month, favoring fieldwork and crop development, particularly for rice and cotton. Subsoilmoisture conditions remained dry in the central and northern Rockies and generated increased irrigationdemands as minimal rainfall was recorded. Hot, dry weather through May boosted irrigation demands in theSouthwest as those conditions prevailed in a band from southern California to Texas and Oklahoma andthrough southern Louisiana, despite scattered showers across the western Gulf Coast late in the month. Dailytemperatures on the southern Great Plains reached as high as 100 degrees F and depleted topsoil moisture. Soil moisture levels were mostly adequate on the central Great Plains, where scattered showers and warmtemperatures favored winter wheat development and crop emergence. Warm, dry weather in the northernGreat Plains after mid-month promoted crop emergence and development. Rain across the Corn Belt slowedprogress early in the month, but mild, dry weather after mid-month spurred winter wheat development,favored spring crop emergence, and allowed growers to accelerate planting of corn and soybeans, particularlyin Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Continued wet soils and cool conditions slowed fieldwork and cropdevelopment in parts of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley regions. Fieldwork was hampered by continued wetconditions across a wide swath of the interior South, from the northern Delta to the Tennessee Valley untillate in May. Fieldwork was significantly affected by persistent rainfall along the Atlantic Coastal Plainsduring May. Soil moisture was adequate in Florida with heavy rainfall reported in many areas. As theplanting season got underway in the Northeast, fieldwork slowly gained momentum as wet conditionspersisted most of May.

Corn planting was 95 percent complete as of June 1, ahead of last year’s pace by 3 percentage points but1 point behind the 5-year average. The crop was 81 percent emerged, 9 points ahead of last year but 4 pointsbehind the 5-year average. Producers in the Corn Belt made rapid planting progress early in May, but mid-month rains slowed activity. The pace of fieldwork accelerated again at month’s end as clear but cool weathercovered the region. As May drew to a close, planting was complete in Kansas and Texas, and virtuallycomplete in Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska, while half of the 18 major-producing States were either at orahead of their normal planting pace. Pennsylvania remained 14 points behind their normal planting pace dueto continued wet conditions throughout May. Clear, dry conditions allowed producers in Indiana, Michigan,North Dakota, and Wisconsin to increase planting by at least 10 points during the final week of May. Emergence gained momentum in most areas, especially in Colorado, Nebraska, and South Dakota, each ofwhich showed gains of at least 30 points under improved conditions during the last week of the month.

Seventy-four percent of the soybean crop was planted by June 1, ahead of last year’s pace by 7 percentagepoints but 3 points behind normal for this date. The crop was 38 percent emerged, 2 points ahead of last yearbut 15 points behind the 5-year average. Eleven of the 18 major-producing States were behind their 5-yearaverage planting pace at the end of May, with planting progress more than 1 week behind normal in Indiana,


Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, and Tennessee. With adequate soil moisture and clear weather duringthe last week of May, growers took advantage of conditions to advance planting by at least 30 points inKansas, Michigan, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin. Wet soil conditions early in Mayhalted fieldwork, but as drier conditions developed later in the month, double-digit planting increases wererecorded in Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee. Most Statesremained significantly behind their 5-year average emergence pace at month’s end, with only Mississippiahead of their average. Fourteen States recorded at least a 10 point increase in emergence during the lastweek of May, topped by Minnesota with a 34 point rise.

By June 1, the Nation’s winter wheat was 84 percent headed, 2 percentage points ahead of last year’s pace butequal to the 5-year average. Winter wheat was completely headed in Arkansas, California, Kansas, andOklahoma, and almost completely headed in Missouri and Texas as May ended. Development accelerated inthe Corn Belt and yielded double-digit increases in the percentage headed during the final week of May forIndiana, Nebraska, and Ohio. With adequate soil moisture and clear conditions, crop development advancedrapidly during May in South Dakota. Little progress was made in Montana, where only a few fields wereheaded, and progress trailed the normal pace as May ended. Eight of the 18 major-producing States werebehind their 5-year average pace at month’s end, with Michigan significantly behind.

Cotton planting advanced to 82 percent complete as of June 1, four percentage points behind last year and3 points behind the 5-year average. As May ended, planting was completed in California and Virginia, andvirtually complete in Louisiana. Only California, Oklahoma, and Virginia were at or above their 5-yearaverage planting pace at month’s end. Producers in Tennessee boosted planting by 34 points during the finalweek of May as drier weather allowed for an increase in field activity. Drier conditions after mid-monthallowed double-digit planting gains in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, SouthCarolina, and Texas.

Sorghum planting advanced to 56 percent complete as of June 1, equal to last year but 5 points behind the5-year average. Of the 11 major-producing States, only Arkansas, Colorado, and South Dakota were ahead oftheir 5-year average pace at the end of May. Planting accelerated in late May with cool, clear weather inColorado, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, New Mexico, and South Dakota. Nebraska led the way with a one-week, 38 point planting increase, under warmer, drier conditions after mid-month, but remained 16 pointsbehind their 5-year average pace at the end of the month.

On June 1, ninety-five percent of the rice crop had been planted, 2 percentage points behind both last year andthe 5-year average. The crop was 85 percent emerged, 6 percentage points behind last year and 5 pointsbehind the average. Prevailing warm, dry conditions after mid-May in California allowed planting to increaserapidly, but still remained behind the normal pace at month’s end. Warm weather over the last two weeks ofMay promoted emergence in California, but emergence lagged well behind both last year and the averagepace. As May ended, planting was complete in Texas and neared completion in the Delta.

Spring wheat planting progressed to 97 percent on June 1, one percentage point ahead of last year and2 points ahead of the 5-year average. The crop was 87 percent emerged, 14 points ahead of last year and5 points ahead of the 5-year average. As warmer, drier weather developed late in May, planting in NorthDakota advanced to 95 percent complete, while it rose in Montana to 98 percent complete. Planting wascompleted during May in Idaho, South Dakota, and Washington, and virtually complete in Minnesota andMontana. Emergence increased by 18 points or more in Montana and North Dakota during the last week ofMay.

The barley crop was 98 percent seeded on June 1, compared with last year’s 97 percent and the 5-yearaverage of 95 percent. The crop was 87 percent emerged, 11 percentage points ahead of last year and 6 pointsahead of the 5-year average. As May ended, planting was complete in Washington and virtually complete inIdaho, Minnesota, and Montana. Favorable weather late in the May pushed emergence by 35 points in NorthDakota and 31 points in Montana over the last two weeks of the month.

The oat crop was 98 percent seeded and 92 percent emerged on June 1. Planting was equal to last year’s paceand emergence was 9 percentage points ahead of last year. Planting was complete in Iowa, Nebraska, Ohio,and South Dakota, and virtually complete in Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin at the end of May. North Dakota’s planting progress advanced to 95 percent complete at month’s end, equal to last year but


2 points ahead of average. Emergence increased by 18 points in North Dakota and 17 points in Wisconsinduring the final week of May. On June 1, peanut planting was 89 percent complete, 1 percentage point behind last year but equal to the5-year average. Planting progress accelerated during late-May in Alabama, Florida, and Georgia, despiterainy conditions throughout the month. Continued rainy weather conditions slowed progress in NorthCarolina and Virginia.

Sunflower planting progressed to 47 percent in the 4 major-producing States on June 1, behind last year’space by 4 percentage points. Planting was most advanced at the end of May in North Dakota at 64 percentcomplete, 2 percentage points behind last year’s progress, but 2 points ahead of their average pace. SouthDakota’s progress was about 1 week behind last year’s pace, but Colorado and Kansas were ahead of lastyear’ pace as progress increased 31 and 23 points, respectively, over the last week of May.

Winter Wheat: Area for 2003 grain harvest is forecast at 36.4 million acres, unchanged from May 1 but up23 percent from 2002. As of June 1, heading had reached 84 percent in the 18 major States. Harvest wasunderway in the southern-most portions of the growing area.

Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield survey in the 6 Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas,Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are above last year’s final counts. Indicated average head weightsare also above last year’s level, except in Texas. Most of the growing region received adequate moistureduring the past month, except in Texas where dry conditions continue to persist. In Kansas, widespread rainsreceived statewide during May helped to boost crop conditions in the central and eastern parts of the State. Continued dry weather in Texas has caused deterioration of the crop. In Oklahoma, excellent conditionratings continued in the northern half of the State, while the Panhandle and southwest districts remained inmostly fair to poor condition. Nebraska crop conditions are above both last year and the 5-year average. TheSouth Dakota crop is progressing well with most areas receiving adequate moisture. In Montana, rainfall wasreceived on a regular basis during May, increasing crop prospects. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield survey in the 3 Soft Red Winter States (Illinois, Missouri,and Ohio) are well below last year’s final counts. Indicated average head weights are above last year. Excessive spring precipitation across this region reduced crop condition ratings during May.

The Pacific Northwest States’ (Washington, Oregon, and Idaho) winter wheat yield prospects are unchangedfrom a month ago in Washington and Oregon, but improved in Idaho. Idaho experienced a rapid transitionduring late May from cool, wet weather to warm, dry conditions. Precipitation during late April and earlyMay was above average for most areas, boosting yield expectations. Oregon conditions declined slightlyduring May, but are still better than last year. Rainfall during the month helped fill wheat kernals, howeverstress is still visible in some dryland fields. In Washington, warmer temperatures in late May acceleratedgrowth.

Durum Wheat: Production of Durum wheat in Arizona and California is forecast at a collective 19.2 millionbushels, up 3 percent from May 1, and 10 percent above their 2002 total of 17.5 million bushels. Development remains well behind normal in Arizona, where only 50 percent of the crop was mature as ofJune 1. California crop condition was rated mostly good, with harvest underway.

Peaches: The 2003 peach crop in California, Georgia, and South Carolina is forecast at 2.21 billion pounds,up 1 percent from 2002 and 12 percent above two years ago.

The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.18 billion pounds, up 4 percent from the May 1 forecast and5 percent above 2002. The State experienced fewer than adequate chilling hours during the winter, whichmostly affected the Stanislaus variety. Set is reported to be lighter in the Modesto area than in the northernareas of the State. Growers reported some hail damage in the southern Modesto area. Harvest is expected tobegin around the middle of June.

The California Freestone crop is forecast at 770 million pounds, unchanged from the May 1 forecast but3 percent below 2002. Fewer than adequate chilling hours during the winter resulted in a lengthy bloom


period. Set in the early varieties looks good, while set in the middle to late season varieties is down slightlyfrom last season. Harvest of the Freestone crop began during the first week of April.

The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 130 million pounds, down 19 percent from last year but30 percent above 2001. Persistent rains have given the State surplus precipitation for the first time in years,but excessive rainfall reduced fruit set during peak bloom. Some peach producing areas received marble toquarter size hail. Also, a late season freeze caused some damage, and fruit drop has been greater thanexpected. However, fruit size is good.

Georgia’s peach crop is forecast at 125 million pounds, up 14 percent from 2002 but 11 percent below 2001. Winter weather provided adequate chill hours for a good fruit set. There was no cold weather damage duringthe spring. However, rainfall has been above normal, especially in May, when several locations set recordhigh amounts for the month. The rainfall has increased disease pressures and may have affected pollination insome orchards. Harvest of the early varieties began in late April. As of June 1, harvest was 18 percentcomplete for the State.

Bartlett Pears: Production of Bartlett Pears in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at490,000 tons, virtually unchanged from last year but 10 percent below 2001.

Production in California is forecast at 235,000 tons, down 11 percent from 2002 and 15 percent below twoyears ago. Cool, wet spring weather was experienced throughout the Bartlett pear growing regions. Harvesting is expected to begin on schedule. In Oregon, growers expect to harvest 70,000 tons, up 21 percentfrom 2002 but unchanged from 2001. The major producing areas in the State experienced a cool, wet springwhich is expected to delay harvest approximately 1 week in Jackson County. Sporadic scab infections havebeen reported in most areas of the Hood River Valley. Washington’s Bartlett crop is forecast at 185,000 tons,up 11 percent from 2002 but 8 percent below two years ago. Washington growers experienced no significantdamage during the February freeze. Full bloom was experienced during the third week of April. Good bloomdensities and fruit set are reported. Water for irrigation should be available this year as most reservoir levelsare at or above average.

Sweet Cherries: The 2003 sweet cherry production for California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at190,000 tons, up 10 percent from 2002 but 6 percent below 2001. Washington’s 2003 production is forecastat 90,000 tons, up 5 percent from last year. Washington’s cherry crop experienced cool, windy weatherduring pollination. Frost was a problem in all areas of the State as cool temperatures persisted into late Apriland early May. The increase in Washington’s crop size is expected because of new area coming intoproduction and the increased potential of young plantings. The California crop, at 60,000 tons, is up8 percent from 2002. An increase in bearing acreage contributed to the increased California crop. Cool, wetweather slowed crop development and delayed the beginning of harvest by one week. While the early crop inTulare and Kern Counties was hurt by the weather, growers in Stanislaus and San Joaquin Counties reportedonly scattered damage to their crop. Fruit quality is reported to be excellent. Sweet cherry production inOregon is forecasted to be 40,000 tons, up 29 percent from last year’s freeze reduced crop. In Oregon, a cool,wet spring delayed crop development.

Prunes: California’s 2003 prune production is forecast at 190,000 dried tons, up 11 percent from last year’srevised crop of 171,000 tons and 27 percent above 2001. The 2003 crop encountered favorable weatherconditions during May. Limited hail damage was reported in both the Sacramento and San Joaquin Valleys.

Apricots: California’s 2003 production is forecast at 85,000 tons, equal to last year but 10 percent greaterthan 2001. Cooler weather hampered fruit growth and maturity of early apricots. However, rains increasedsize of late variety apricots compared to a year ago.

Florida Citrus: Rainfall during May was about average, however, most of it fell within a 3 to 5 day periodlate in the month. Temperatures early in May were mild with hot weather arriving at the end of the month. Growers in all areas used irrigation to maintain good tree condition. New crop fruit is progressing with goodsizes evident in most groves. Valencia harvest continued to be very active during most of May, withmovement of the late oranges slowing at the end of the month. Grapefruit movement was very slow with themajority of fruit going to processing. Most fresh fruit packinghouses have closed. Harvest of Honeytangerines ended for the year. Caretakers were actively cutting cover crops prior to harvest and for fire


protection. Hedging and topping continued in harvested groves. Dead and dying trees were pushed out andburned. Some young trees are being planted in larger groves with permanent irrigation systems. Summersprays and fertilizers are being applied. Summer herbicides are being applied in areas with major weedproblems. Vines are being cut out of trees where they are out of control.

California Citrus: Bloom was complete in most citrus groves by month’s end. Foliar nutrient applicationswere being made in some citrus groves. Navel orange picking neared completion by the end of May. TheValencia orange harvest remained active throughout the month but was slowed in response to competitionfrom the stone fruit harvests. Lemons were harvested in Ventura County. Marsh Ruby and Rio Redgrapefruit harvests were active in the Coachella Valley, while the Star Ruby grapefruit harvest was active inthe southern coastal areas.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Cultural activities in tree fruit orchards continued throughout themonth of May. Growers irrigated, thinned fruit, and applied pesticides to vineyards and orchards. Pickingand packing of stone fruit gained momentum as warm weather and sunny skies prevailed throughout most ofMay. Peaches, nectarines, plums, apricots, and pluots were picked and packed during May. Cherry harvestcontinued. Bloom in wine, raisin, and table grape vineyards was widespread by month’s end. Growerscultivated, fertilized, and treated vineyards with fungicides and insecticides as necessary. Table grapes wereharvested in the Coachella Valley. Grapevines were piled for burning or chipping in many former vineyards. Mission figs were beginning to develop good color by month’s end. Bright red blooms were open in manypomegranate orchards in Fresno County. Blueberries were harvested in the San Joaquin Valley. Strawberryharvesting for processing neared completion in the Central Valley. Avocado and olive bloom nearedcompletion by month’s end. Some olive growers began setting up olive fruit fly traps. Walnut, pistachio,almond, and pecan orchards showed good crop development throughout the month.

Grapefruit: The 2002-03 U.S. grapefruit crop is forecast at 2.06 million tons, down 1 percent from theprevious forecast and 15 percent below last season’s final utilization. Florida’s grapefruit forecast is38.7 million boxes (1.65 million tons), down 1 percent from the previous forecast and 17 percent below lastseason. The all white grapefruit forecast was decreased 300,000 boxes to 16.2 million boxes (689,000 tons),down 2 percent from last month and 14 percent less than last season’s final utilization. Colored grapefruitutilization is unchanged at 22.5 million boxes (956,000 tons) but is 19 percent below last season’s finalutilization. The row count survey indicated 4 percent of white grapefruit and 3 percent of the colored rowsremain unharvested. Fruit on most of these rows are considered unusable. Arizona, California, and Texasgrapefruit forecasts are carried forward from April.

K-Early Citrus: K-Early citrus has been dropped from the citrus estimation program. This fruit type hasbeen declassified by the Florida Citrus Commission and forecasts have been discontinued.

Tangerines: The 2002-03 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 370,000 tons, up 1 percent from the previousforecast but 12 percent below last season’s utilization of 420,000 tons. Florida’s tangerine forecast is up2 percent, at 5.50 million boxes (261,000 tons) but 17 percent lower than last season’s utilization. Harvest isvirtually complete. The 2002-03 Florida tangerine forecast includes only the Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honeytangerines. It does not include the Robinson and Dancy varieties as in previous seasons. This programchange was implemented because of the declassification of Robinson and Dancy tangerines by the FloridaCitrus Commission. Arizona and California tangerine forecasts are carried forward from April.

Tangelos: Florida’s 2002-03 tangelo forecast is final at 2.35 million boxes (106,000 tons), unchanged fromthe previous month but 9 percent more than last season’s utilized production. Utilization is higher than theprevious three seasons, but below any others since the 1968-69 season. Harvest is complete.

Temples: Florida’s Temple production is final at 1.30 million boxes (59,000 tons) for the 2002-03 season,unchanged from last month but 16 percent below last season. This final utilization is the second lowestutilization in the series since it began in 1951-52. The 2000-01 utilized production, at 1.25 million boxes,was the smallest crop on record.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.13 million pounds for May, down 16 percent fromlast month and 3 percent lower than May 2002. Area in crop totaled 2,250 acres, virtually unchanged fromlast month but 9 percent less than a year ago. Harvested acres totaled 1,740 acres, unchanged from last month


but 10 percent below a year ago. Weather conditions were variable over the papaya producing areas. Rainfallduring May maintained adequate soil moisture levels in non-irrigated orchards.

Hops: Area strung for harvest in 2003 for Washington, Oregon, and Idaho is forecast at 28,353 acres,3 percent less than the 2002 crop of 29,309 acres, and 21 percent less than the 2001 crop of 35,911 acres. Washington, with 19,176 acres for harvest, accounts for 68 percent of the U.S. total acreage, 6 percent lessthan a year ago. Oregon hop growers plan to string 5,748 acres or 20 percent of the U.S. total for 2003. Idaho hop growers account for the remaining 12 percent, or 3,429 acres strung for harvest. Both Oregon andIdaho increased their hop acreage over last year, 3 percent and 1 percent, respectively.

In the hop producing States, water supplies are expected to be adequate this year. In Washington, winter wasrelatively mild. However, crop progress is a little slower than normal due to cool spring temperatures andoccasional rain interspersed with some warm days. Vines are mostly one-third to one-half to the wire. Concerns with powdery mildew are less than in recent years. Oregon’s crop is also slightly behind normal. InIdaho, hop growers are being very proactive with powdery mildew management.

Sugarbeets: Production in 2002 is revised to 27.7 million tons, slighty higher than the January end of seasonestimate but 8 percent above 2001. Area harvested totaled a revised 1.36 million acres, fractionally higherthan the January estimate and 9 percent above the previous year. The revised yield is 20.4 tons per acre, up0.2 ton from the January estimate but 0.3 ton below the 2001 yield.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2002 is revised to 35.6 million tons, down1 percent from the March 1 estimate but up 3 percent from the previous year. Area harvested for sugar andseed totaled 1.02 million acres, fractionally below both the previous estimate and 2001. The estimated yieldfor sugar and seed production is revised to 34.7 tons per acre, 0.4 ton below the March 1 estimate but 1.0 tonabove the 2001 yield.

Production of sugarcane for sugar is revised to 33.9 million tons, 1 percent below the March 1 estimate but3 percent above 2001. Area harvested for sugar production totaled 971,900 acres, fractionally less than theprevious estimate but fractionally above 2001. Yield of sugarcane for sugar is 34.9 tons per acre, down from35.2 tons on March 1 but 1.1 tons above 2001.

Sweet Potatoes: The revised estimate of 2002 crop year sweet potato production is 12.9 million cwt, up3 percent from the annual estimate made in January but 12 percent below 2001. Area harvested, at83,500 acres, is up 200 acres from January but 12 percent below a year earlier. The average yield, at 154 cwtper acre, is 4 cwt above the January estimate but 1 cwt below 2001.

The sweet potato crop estimate in California, at 2.76 million cwt, is up 13 percent from January on thestrength of record high yields. Conditions throughout the growing season were excellent. Texas productionincreased 6 percent as yields turned out higher than earlier expected. South Carolina’s harvested acreageestimate was increased 200 acres from the January Annual Crop Summary.

Maple Syrup: The 2003 U.S. maple syrup production totaled 1.24 million gallons, down 11 percent fromlast year’s production of 1.39 million gallons. The number of taps is estimated at 6.62 million, down2 percent from the 2002 total of 6.75 million, while the yield per tap is estimated to be 0.187 gallons, down9 percent from 2002.

Vermont led all States in production with 430,000 gallons for 2003, a decrease of 14 percent from last season. New York’s production, at 210,000 gallons, decreased 19 percent from 2002. Production decreases inVermont and New York are attributed to cold weather early in the spring, and then temperatures warming tooquickly later in the season. Heavy snowcover made tapping trees and running tubing more difficult this year. Some producers decided not to tap due to the heavy amounts of snow received. Maine produced265,000 gallons, 15 percent above 2002. Maine was the only State to show an increase over last season. Weather in Maine was very similar to that of Vermont and New York. However, producers in northernMaine experienced a heavy sap run in mid-April, which enabled the State’s production to show the increaseover 2002.


Maple syrup production is down in Massachusetts, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, andWisconsin. In Connecticut, production is unchanged from last year. These States also cited extremely coldweather conditions early, followed by temperatures that warmed too quickly. In some areas of these States,producers decided not to tap due to excessive snow cover.

Temperatures were generally unfavorable for good sap flow and syrup production in all of the mapleproducing States. Overall, the 2003 season lasted an average of 50 days. This compares to 52 days in 2002and 29 days in 2001. Season length ranged from 85 days in Connecticut to 15 days in Ohio.

Sugar content of the sap for 2003 was higher than last year. Approximately 41 gallons of sap was required toproduce one gallon of syrup. This compares with 45 gallons in 2002 but unchanged from 2001. Most syrupwas dark and medium colored, with only a small quantity of light syrup produced.

The 2002 U.S. average price per gallon was $27.60, down $1.00 from the 2001 price of $28.60. The U.S.value of production, at $38.4 million for 2002, was up 28 percent from 2001. Prices increased inConnecticut, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, with each of the othermaple producing States showing a price decrease.


Reliability of June 1 Crop Production Forecast

Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between May 24 andJune 5 to gather information on expected yield as of June 1. The Objective Yield survey was conducted in10 States that accounted for 67 percent of the 2002 winter wheat production. Farm operators wereinterviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sampleplots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop'smaturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made topredict the number of heads that will be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous yearsto develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. Theplots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. Afterthe farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvestingloss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personalinterviewers. Approximately 6,200 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questionsabout the probable yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season toprovide indications of average yields as the season progresses.

Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the June 1 forecast was conducted inFlorida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, the number of bearingtrees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement andfruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, andTexas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for navel oranges and in March forValencia oranges.

Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data werereviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewedconsidering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each StateStatistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published June 1 forecasts.

Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed forerrors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida State Statistical Office submitsits analyses of the current situation to the ASB. The ASB uses the Florida survey data and their analyses toprepare the published June 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texaswere also used for setting estimates. The June 1 orange production forecasts for these three States are carriedforward from April.

Revision Policy: The June 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be madeeach month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At theend of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports,millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or otheradministrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September’s CitrusFruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketingseason, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances aremade for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June 1 production forecast, the "Root MeanSquare Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between theJune 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. Theaverage of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of theaverage becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerningexpected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factorsaffecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.


The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 winter wheat production forecast is 5.3 percent. This meansthat chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the finalestimate by more than 5.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the differencewill not exceed 9.2 percent. Differences between the June 1 winter wheat production forecast and the finalestimate during the past 20 years have averaged 75 million bushels, ranging from 8 million to 242 millionbushels. The June 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does notimply that the June 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 orange production forecast is 1.4 percent. This means thatchances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimateby more than 1.4 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will notexceed 2.5 percent. Differences between the June 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past20 years have averaged 113,000 tons, ranging from 5,000 tons to 368,000 tons. The June 1 forecast fororanges has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. The difference does not imply that theJune 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.


Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Serviceto contact for additional information.

Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops SectionGreg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526Troy Joshua - Hay, Oats (202) 690-3234Roy Karkosh - Barley, Sorghum, Sugar Crops (202) 690-8140Terry O’Connor - Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-4288Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops SectionJim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas,

Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Terry O’Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940Betty Johnston - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202) 720-4215Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries (202) 720-2157

The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on July 11, 2003.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis ofrace, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital orfamily status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternativemeans for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA’sTARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, WhittenBuilding, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

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crop production - downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu€¦ · 42 percent above 2002. based on june 1...

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