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D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E February 21, 2007 1 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Iraq Weekly Status Report February 21, 2007 Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs US Department of State

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Page 1: D E A R Iraq Weekly Status Report · D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E February 21, 2007 1 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED Iraq Weekly Status Report February 21, 2007 Bureau of Near Eastern

DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

1 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

Iraq Weekly Status Report

February 21, 2007

Bureau of Near Eastern AffairsUS Department of State

Page 2: D E A R Iraq Weekly Status Report · D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E February 21, 2007 1 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED Iraq Weekly Status Report February 21, 2007 Bureau of Near Eastern

DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

2 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Table of Contents

SLIDESECTIONHighlights1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic

Government4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential

Services5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights7. Increase International Support for Iraq8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and

Public Isolation of the Insurgents Sources and Contact InformationNotes and Source Citations

This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars of US government policy for victory in Iraq.

3568

10

13212225

2627

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

3 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Highlights1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents

Soldiers from the 5th Iraqi Army Division captured a suspected al-Qaida in Iraq cell leader February 15. The suspect is believed to be responsible for coordinating and carrying out several improvised explosive device and rocket attacks targeting civilians and Iraqi Security Forces in the area.

2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-RelianceThirty-seven firefighters from throughout Iraq are participating in an urban search and rescue program conducted at the Basrah Training College by an international team of urban search and rescue experts.

3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic GovernmentIraq's Council of Representatives unanimously endorsed a resolution supporting the new phase of the Baghdad Security Plan: “Operation Law and Order” and Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has pledged that there will no longer be any political interference in military operations, adding that the operation is Iraqi-planned and is supported fully by the Iraqi government.

4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential ServicesAccording to the engineer at the 132Kv substation, Fallujah is getting 16 hours of power daily to distribute to the 17 sectors of the city. He also said the city sectors are getting between 6-8 hours per day (two on/ four off), a remarkable improvement considering Fallujah was getting about one hour of electricity per day just two weeks ago.

Page 4: D E A R Iraq Weekly Status Report · D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E February 21, 2007 1 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED Iraq Weekly Status Report February 21, 2007 Bureau of Near Eastern

DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

4 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its EconomyFrom January 28-31, USAID’s Izdihar Private Sector Development Project conducted a workshop in Amman to prepare the Government of Iraq inter-ministerial World Trade Organization (WTO) committee for their first WTO Working Party meeting in Geneva, which is likely to take place in March.

6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of LawThe Central Criminal Court of Iraq convicted 13 terrorists February 2-10 for various crimes, including possession of illegal weapons, possessing fake identification, violating terrorism laws and illegal border crossing.

7. International Support for Iraq Syria rejected a US proposal to discuss the Iraqi refugee crisis with Damascus, saying it would only talk with the US if the two countries spoke about all regional issues. The state-run al-Thawra newspaper said in an editorial that the US “when it raised the issue of dialogue” with Syria only wanted to discuss the repercussions of the Iraqi refugee problem while “ignoring the cause.”

8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents President Bush told reporters at a White House news conference February 14 that the Baghdad Security Plan is on track and the Iraqi government is meeting benchmarks necessary for continued Coalition cooperation.

Highlights

Page 5: D E A R Iraq Weekly Status Report · D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E February 21, 2007 1 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED Iraq Weekly Status Report February 21, 2007 Bureau of Near Eastern

DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

5 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency

AQI Leader Captured:

• Soldiers from the 5th Iraqi Army Division captured a suspected al-Qaida in Iraq (AQI) cell leader February 15. The suspect is believed to be responsible for coordinating and carrying out several improvised explosive device and rocket attacks targeting civilians and Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) in the area.

• During the operation, in which Coalition Forces (CF) accompanied the ISF in an advisory role, several munitions caches were recovered. No civilian, ISF or CF casualties were reported.

US Post Raided by Insurgents:

• Insurgents launched a raid February 19 on a US military outpost north of Baghdad, killing two US soldiers and wounding another 17. Authorities said at least one suicide car bomber either rammed into or drove up beside two trucks carrying fuel into the base, igniting an explosion. Insurgents then opened fire with rockets mounted on a truck and from a nearby building.

• According to Iraq police officials and witnesses, US helicopters landed at least five times to evacuate casualties.

• The Iraqi Islamic State has claimed responsibility for the attack.

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

6 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces

Firefighters Learn Search and Rescue Techniques:

• Thirty-seven firefighters from throughout Iraq are participating in an urban search and rescue program conducted at the Basrah Training College by an international team of urban search and rescue experts.

• The 18-day course is designed to build the capacity to enter buildings that have collapsed and save the lives of people buried below the rubble. The program also trains the firefighters to assess a collapsed building’s structural integrity so they can implement the correct steps to make it safe before entering to search for survivors.

• Coalition forces have provided more than $1.2 million in equipment to conduct the training.

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

7 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces

Ministry of Interior Forces Ministry of Defense Forces

Data as of February 20, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)

* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27

ministries

Total Trained & Equipped ISF:

~323,180****

~134,920**TOTAL

OPERATIONALCOMPONENT

~1,135NAVY

~929AIR FORCE

~132,856***ARMY

~ 24,400NATIONAL POLICE

~188,260**TOTAL

TRAINED & EQUIPPEDCOMPONENT

~28,860OTHER MOI FORCES

~135,000***POLICE

Page 8: D E A R Iraq Weekly Status Report · D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E February 21, 2007 1 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED Iraq Weekly Status Report February 21, 2007 Bureau of Near Eastern

DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

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UNCLASSIFIED

[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government– Developments

CoR Unanimously Supports New Security Plan:• Iraq's Council of Representatives (CoR) unanimously endorsed a resolution

supporting the new phase of the Baghdad Security Plan: “Operation Law and Order”and Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has pledged that there will no longer be any political interference in military operations, adding that the operation is Iraqi-planned and is supported fully by the Iraqi government.

Iraqi President Claims Mahdi Army Leadership Ordered to Leave Iraq:• Prime Minister Maliki has determined that any members of militias in Iraq must give

up that membership or face being targeted under the new Iraq security plan. Iraqi President Jalal Talabani said he didn't know whether Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr was in Iraq, but he said members of Sadr's Mahdi militia had been told to leave the country. He added that he “think(s) that there are many senior members of the Mahdi army (that) had received orders to leave Iraq to ease the security forces’ mission to implement their plan.”

UN Welcomes US Refugee Plan:• The UN has welcomed the USG plan to accept up to 7,000 Iraqi refugees over the

next 6-9 months. The USG has also pledged $18 million to the UN High Commissioner for Refugees to help Iraqi refugees in the region, 30% of its annual appeal. The USG refugee plan will also afford special treatment to those Iraqis employed by the USG or with close association to the USG.

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

9 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

Abd al-Samad Rahman Sultan

Minister of Displacement & Migration

Karim Wahid

Minister of Electricity

Khudayyir al-Khuza’i

Minister of Education

Bayan Jabr

Minister of Finance

Narmin ‘Uthman (F)

Minister of Environment

Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili

Minister of Higher Education

Bayan Daza’I (F)

Minister of Housing & Construction

Wijdan Mikha’il (F)

Minister of Human Rights

Hoshyar Zebari

Minister of Foreign Affairs

Ali al-Shammari

Minister of Health

Fawzi al-Hariri

Minister of Industry & Minerals

Jawad al-Bulani

Minister of Interior

Hashim al-Shibli

Minister of Justice

Riyad Ghurayyib

Minister of Municipalities & Public Works

Mahmud Muhammad Jawad al-Radi

Minister of Labor & Social Affairs

Husayn al-Shahristani

Minister of Oil

Ali Baban

Minister of Planning

Ra’id Fahmi Jahid

Minister of Science & Technology

Abd al-Falah al-Sudani

Minister of Trade

Akram al-Hakim

Minister of State for National Dialogue Affairs

Jasim Muhammad Ja’far

Minister of Youth & Sports

‘Abd al-Latif Rashid

Minister of Water Resources

Adil al-Asadi

Minister of State for Civil Society

Shirwan al-Waili

Minister of State for National Security Affairs

Karim Mahdi Salih

Minister of Transportation

Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf al-Hashimi

Minister of State for Governorates Affairs

Liwa Sumaysim

Minister of State for Tourism and Antiquities

Fatin Abd al-Rahman Mahmud (F)

Minister of State for Women’s Affairs

Nuri al-Maliki

Prime Minister

Jalal Talabani

President

Tariq al-Hashimi

Deputy President

Salam al-Zawba’i

Deputy Prime Minister

‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi

Deputy President

Barham Salih

Deputy Prime Minister

Abdul Qadir Muhammed Jasim

Minister of Defense As’ad Kamal

Muhammad Abdallah al-Hashimi

Minister of Culture

Muhammad Tawfiq Allawi

Minister of Communications

Ya'rub Nathim

Minister of Agriculture

[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government - Iraqi National Unity Government

(F) = Female

Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi

Minister of State for Foreign Affairs

Safa al-Safi

Minister of State for CoR Affairs

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STATE

February 21, 2007

10 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2

As of February 20, 2007As of February 20, 2007

Apportioned(Millions of USD)

Apportion Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change

Security and Law Enforcement $5,002.59 $4,988.66 $4,988.67 $0.00 $4,986.20 $4,986.20 $0.00 $4,721.36 $4,723.95 $2.59

Electricity Sector $4,239.51 $4,224.15 $4,224.15 ($0.00) $4,081.68 $4,081.96 $0.28 $3,075.68 $3,090.09 $14.40

Oil Infrastructure $1,724.70 $1,677.11 $1,677.11 $0.00 $1,583.54 $1,583.54 $0.00 $1,341.68 $1,344.47 $2.79

Justice, Public Safety and Civil Society $1,304.15 $1,303.93 $1,303.93 $0.00 $1,297.72 $1,297.72 $0.00 $1,014.00 $1,016.49 $2.49

Democracy $1,001.85 $1,001.80 $1,001.80 $0.00 $1,001.73 $1,001.73 $0.00 $894.28 $894.93 $0.65

Education, Refugees, Human Rights, Governance $401.50 $401.26 $401.26 $0.00 $401.26 $401.26 $0.00 $355.27 $355.34 $0.07

Roads, Bridges and Construction $333.60 $331.94 $331.94 $0.00 $324.58 $324.58 $0.00 $212.39 $214.23 $1.84

Health Care $818.90 $817.58 $817.58 $0.00 $802.53 $803.07 $0.54 $629.00 $632.32 $3.32

Transportation and Communications $464.12 $464.09 $464.09 $0.00 $458.28 $458.29 $0.016 $341.91 $342.59 $0.68

Water Resources and Sanitation $2,131.08 $2,119.78 $2,119.79 $0.01 $2,048.37 $2,049.94 $1.57 $1,456.13 $1,481.97 $25.83

Private Sector Development $813.95 $813.95 $813.95 $0.00 $813.95 $813.95 $0.00 $766.61 $766.99 $0.39

Admin Expense (USAID, STATE) $213.00 $212.45 $212.45 $0.00 $212.45 $212.45 $0.00 $164.24 $164.24 $0.00

Total $18,448.95 $18,356.72 $18,356.73 $0.01 $18,012.29 $18,014.69 $2.40 $14,972.57 $15,027.63 $55.05

IRRF II Construction $10,572.55 $10,572.53 ($0.02) $10,249.96 $10,252.36 $2.40 $8,142.19 $8,191.54 $49.35

IRRF II Non-Construction $6,782.36 $6,782.39 $0.03 $6,760.60 $6,760.60 $0.00 $5,936.10 $5,941.16 $5.05

IRRF II Democracy $1,001.80 $1,001.80 $0.00 $1,001.73 $1,001.73 $0.00 $894.28 $894.93 $0.65

IRRF I Total $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $0.00 $2,232.3 $2,232.3 $0.00 $2,139.00 $2,139.0 $0.00

Grand Total IRRF I & II $20,922.25 $20,830.02 $20,830.03 $0.01 $20,244.59 $20,246.99 $2.40 $17,111.57 $17,166.63 $55.05

Sector

DisbursedObligatedCommitted

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February 21, 2007

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UNCLASSIFIED

• During the week of February 15-21 electricity availability averaged 5.3 hours per day in Baghdad and 9.3 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 4% below the same period in 2006.

[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Electricity Overview

Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

1/1/04

1/31/04

3/1/04

3/31/04

4/30/04

5/30/04

6/29/04

7/29/04

8/28/04

9/27/04

10/27/04

11/26/04

12/26/04

1/25/05

2/24/05

3/26/05

4/25/05

5/25/05

6/24/05

7/24/05

8/23/05

9/22/05

10/22/05

11/21/05

12/21/05

1/20/06

2/19/06

3/21/06

4/20/06

5/20/06

6/19/06

7/19/06

8/18/06

9/17/06

10/17/06

11/16/06

12/16/06

Date

Dai

ly L

oad

Serv

ed (M

Wh)

Actual 7-day Average Estimated Demand

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

12 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –Electricity

Electricity:

• Officer in Charge Major Angel Ortiz visited the US Army-funded-132Kv substation in Fallujah February 4. The engineer at the station told Major Ortiz that Fallujah is getting 16 hours of power daily to distribute to the 17 sectors of the city. He also said that city sectors are getting between 6-8 hours per day (two on/four off). That is a remarkable improvement over the situation just two weeks ago when Fallujah was getting about one hour of electricity per day.

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

13 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job CreationOil Update:• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending February 16 closed with the

following prices:– Basrah Light at $49.64/barrel – Dated Brent at $56.17/barrel– WTI Cushing at $58.45/barrel – Oman/Dubai at $54.468/barrel

Employment Update:

Data as of February 20

CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.

`Iraqis Last

WeekIraqis This

Week%

change

Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA) 22,812 22,812 0.00%

US Agency for International Development (USAID) 33,868 19,279 -43.08%Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)2 3,973 3,973 0.00%

Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I) 10,950 12,104 10.54%Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction 6,396 6,396 0.00%

GRAND TOTAL 77,999 64,564 -17.22%

Iraqi Employment Per Organization

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

14 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking SectorCentral Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:• The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since

April. Since September, the Central Bank has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, to tackle the past year’s rampant inflation. This welcome increase in the dinar's value against the dollar is reflected in the figure below.

US $ Sold (Weekly Avg) The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)

Central Bank of IraqUSD Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – February 20, 2007

$0.0

$10.0

$20.0

$30.0

$40.0

$50.0

$60.0

$70.0

$80.0

$90.0

April 2

- 6

April 1

2 - 12

April 1

6 - 17

April 1

9 - 23

April 2

6 - 30

May 2

- 8May

9 - 1

6

May 2

1 - 22

May 2

4 - 30

May 3

1 - Ju

n 5

Jun

6 - 12

Jun

13 -

20

Jun

25 -

29Ju

l 2 -

6Ju

l 9 -

13

Jul 1

6 - 20

Jul 2

3 - 25

Jul 2

6 - 30

Jul 3

1 - A

ug 7

Aug 8

- 10

Aug 1

1 - 22

Aug 2

3 - 29

Aug 3

0 - S

ep 5

Sep

6 - S

ep 1

2

Sep

13 - S

ep 19

Sep

21 - S

ep 25

Sep

26 - O

ct 2

Oct 3

- Oct

10

Oct 11

- Oct

18

Oct 19

- Oct

29

Nov 4

- Nov

7

Nov 8

- Nov

14

Nov 15

- 28

Nov 29

- Dec

1

Dec 6

- Dec

12

Dec 13

- Dec

18

Dec 20

- Dec

26

Jan

8 - Ja

n 16

Jan

17 -

Jan

22

Jan

23 -

Jan

29

Jan

30 -

Feb

5

Feb

6 - Fe

b 13

Feb

14- F

eb 2

0

USD S

old

(Mill

ions

)

1,250

1,300

1,350

1,400

1,450

1,500

NID

Exc

hang

e Rat

e

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

15 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities MarketsTrading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to

approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’current yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.

Trading High = $73.98 (January 24) Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)

Iraqi Commercial Bond SalesJune 1, 2006 - February 16, 2007

$62.00

$63.00

$64.00

$65.00

$66.00

$67.00

$68.00

$69.00

$70.00

1-Ju

n8-

Jun

15-Ju

n22

-Jun

29-Ju

n6-J

ul13

-Jul

20-Ju

l27

-Jul

3-Aug

10-A

ug17

-Aug

24-A

ug31

-Aug

7-Sep

14-S

ep21

-Sep

28-S

ep5-

Oct12

-Oct

19-O

ct26

-Oct

2-Nov

9-Nov

16-N

ov23

-Nov

30-N

ov7-

Dec14

-Dec

21-D

ec28

-Dec

4-Ja

n11

-Jan

18-Ja

n25

-Jan

1-Feb

8-Feb

15-F

eb

Bon

d Pr

ice

in U

SD

8.60%

8.80%

9.00%

9.20%

9.40%

9.60%

9.80%

10.00%

Yiel

d Pe

rcen

tage

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

16 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events

USAID Prepares Inter-Ministerial Committee for Iraq’s First WTO Accession Meeting:

• From January 28-31, USAID’s Izdihar Private Sector Development Project conducted a workshop in Amman to prepare the Government of Iraq (GOI) inter-ministerial World Trade Organization (WTO) committee for their first WTO Working Party meeting in Geneva, which is likely to take place in March.

• Ten GOI officials from various ministries and one representative from the Iraqi Kurdistan region participated in simulations of Iraq’s first Working Party meeting. Participants were also given advice and training on related future multilateral and bilateral negotiations.

Ministry of Planning Moving on Budget Execution:

• On February 15, Minister of Planning and Development Cooperation Dr. Ali Baban told Ambassador Tim Carney that two proposals for improving capital budget execution and contracting had been passed by the Council of Ministers.

• Minister Baban accepted Ambassador Carney’s suggestion to consider deploying one or more mobile budget execution teams to assist multiple provinces in budget execution.

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DEPARTMENT

OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

17 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

2.14 2.172.23

1.99

1.72

1.21

1.70

1.992.05 2.09

0.00

0.40

0.80

1.20

1.60

2.00

2.40

2.80

December11-17

December18-24

December25-31

January 1-7

January 8-14

January15-21

January22-28

January 29- February

4

February 5-11

February12-18

Mill

ions

of B

arre

ls P

er D

ay

Production Target

• Weekly Average (February 12 – 18) of 2.09 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production

2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD

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OF

STATE

February 21, 2007

18 UNCLASSIFIED

UNCLASSIFIED

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export

• 2006 Revenue Estimate: $31.3 Billion• 2007 Revenue Estimate: $2.8 Billion (Year to Date)

$2.25

$3.02 $2.92 $3.03

$3.41 $3.44

$2.73$2.45

$2.19$2.46

$1.89

$1.20

$0.90

1.32

1.601.51

1.67 1.68 1.681.62

1.551.44 1.45

1.30

1.51

0.00

0.60

1.20

1.80

2.40

Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07

Mill

ions

of B

arre

ls p

er D

ay

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

USD

(Bill

ions

)

Revenue (US$B) Projected Exports (MBPD)

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95%89%

70%

49%

5%11%

30%

51%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Diesel Kerosene Gasoline LPG

Perc

enta

ge o

f Sha

re o

f Wee

kly

Fuel

Sup

plie

s

Domestic Production Import

• Diesel: 9.9 ML supply of 21.0 ML target• Kerosene: 5.5 ML supply of 15.5 ML target

• Gasoline: 12.6 ML supply of 22.1 ML target• LPG: 3,126 tons supply of 5,500 tons target

Note: This is a daily average for the week of February 12 – 18

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product Supplies

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• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels

3 34

1

3 32

1

45

21

0

5

10

15

20

25

Diesel Kerosene Gasoline LPG

Day

s

Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Goal

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[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–Iraqi Judicial SystemCCCI Convicts 13 Insurgents:• The Central Criminal Court of Iraq (CCCI) convicted 13 terrorists February 2-10 for

various crimes, including possession of illegal weapons, possessing fake identification, violating terrorism laws and illegal border crossing.

• The trial court found an Iraqi man guilty of violating the Anti-Terrorist Law. On November 24, 2004, the Iraqi Army and Coalition Forces (CF) were searching vehicles at a gas station near Khalidiyah when CF approached the defendant’s vehicle and asked him to open the trunk. Forces discovered a 130mm artillery round along with wires, detonation strips and an improvised explosive device behind the driver’s seat. On February 7, the trial panel found the defendant guilty and sentenced him to death.

• Since its reorganization, under an amendment to Coalition Provisional Authority order 13, in April 2004, the CCCI has held 1,867 trials for Coalition-apprehended insurgents. The proceedings have resulted in the conviction of 1,607 individuals with sentences ranging up to death.

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[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments

Syria Rejects US Proposal to Hold Refugee Talks:

• Syria rejected a US proposal to discuss the Iraqi refugee crisis with Damascus, saying it would only talk with the US if the two countries spoke about all regional issues. The state-run al-Thawra newspaper said in an editorial that the US "when it raised the issue of dialogue" with Syria only wanted to discuss the repercussions of the Iraqi refugee problem while “ignoring the cause.”

Iraqi Quality of Life Deteriorating for Decades:• According to a study released by a division of the Iraqi government and the United

Nations Development Program, one-third of Iraqis live in poverty and Iraqi living standards deteriorated considerably compared with the 1970s and 1980s, particularly in the area of access to, and quality of, water, electricity and sanitation, as well as employment, income, and asset ownership.

Additional Australian Trainers “Will Help Secure Iraq”:

• Australian Defense Minister Brendan Nelson confirmed February 20 that Australia will send around 70 extra trainers to Iraq in response to a request from Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki last year to assist the Iraqi Army and police. Treasurer Peter Costello said the 70 additional Australian trainers heading to Iraq are needed to allow Iraqi forces to take hold of security. “If the Iraqis are going to manage the situation, they have to have trained security forces which can take over from Australian troops and other troops.”

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[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments

Lithuania “Seriously Considering” Withdrawing Troops from Iraq:• A Lithuania government spokeswoman said February 21 that Lithuania is

“seriously considering” withdrawing its 53 troops from Iraq.

Britain to Cut Forces to 5,500 in 2007:• British Prime Minister Tony Blair said February 21 that Britain would reduce its

troop levels in Iraq by 1,600 over the coming months. British troops will remain in Iraq through 2008.

Denmark to Withdraw Iraq Contingent in August: • Denmark’s Prime Minister Fogh Rasmussen said his country will withdraw its 460-

member contingent from Iraq by August and transfer security responsibilities to Iraqi forces. Rasmussen said Denmark will replace the troops with surveillance helicopters and civilian advisors.

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34 Countries and NATO*(including US)

Support Iraqi Stability Operations

25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)

TOTAL ~ 14,010 Forces

Data as of February 19, 2007

[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi Stability Operations

Albania

Armenia

Australia

Azerbaijan

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bulgaria

Czech Republic

Slovakia

South Korea

Ukraine

UK

Denmark

El Salvador

Estonia

Georgia

Japan

Kazakhstan

Latvia

Lithuania

Macedonia

Moldova

Mongolia

Poland

Romania

Singapore

*Note: Fiji participating as a part of the UN mission in Iraq.

*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey

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[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents – DevelopmentsPresident Speaks to Reporters about BSP:• President Bush told reporters at a White House news conference February 14

that the Baghdad Security Plan (BSP) is on track and the Iraqi government is meeting benchmarks necessary for continued Coalition cooperation.

• The president added that Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki has his top commander in place and forces are busy setting up a command-and-control headquarters in Baghdad. Bush cautioned, however, that the plan is still in its early stages.

• Bush also noted that other benchmarks met by the Iraqi government include the recent passing of its $41 billion budget, and the fact that Iraqi lawmakers are working to pass the country’s oil revenue law.

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Iraq Weekly Status – General Information

• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the following pages.

• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:[email protected]

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Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)Slide 5:

– The Advisor, “Iraqi Army Captures al-Qaida Cell Leader,” February 17– The Los Angeles Times, “Insurgents Strike US Outpost in Iraq,” February 20

Slide 6:– The Advisor, “Learning Urban Search and Rescue,” February 17

Slide 7:

– DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report February 21, 2007

Slide 8:– http://www.gxonline.com/gxintelnews?id=38481 – http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/02/18/iran.sadr/– http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6362289.stm

Slide 9:

– NEA Political Section, [email protected]

Slide 10:

– IRMO Weekly Report, February 20, 2007

Slide 11:

– POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815

– The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24 hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours of power, but this is due in part to an influx of new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect of increased generation capacity on actual results.

Slide 12:

Electricity:– USACE Daily Report – 15 February 07

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Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)Slide 13:

– Oil Prices are sourced from BloombergEmployment Update:– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – February 20, 2007. – CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.

Slide 14:– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org

Slide 15:– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg

Slide 16:– http://www.baghdad.state.gov NEA-OI for February 14, 2007– DoS IIC- Feb 16- Unclassified

Slide 17:– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

Slide 18: – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

Slide 19:– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

Slide 20:– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

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Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)Slide 21:

– http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9915&Itemid=21

Slide 22:

– http://www.un.org

– http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21255705-1702,00.html

Slide 23:

– http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070221/ap_on_re_eu/lithuania_iraq;_ylt=AvBYIAjVMEotzTLZe.KbD0JWbBAF

– http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070221/wl_mideast_afp/iraq_10;_ylt=Ao479KYspKP2x6iZI5keSyyaOrgF

Slide 24:

– DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly

Slide 25:– The Advisor, “Bush Says Baghdad Security Plan on Track,” February 17