daily report 20150121
DESCRIPTION
reportTRANSCRIPT
Change %
(Day)YTD change %
MSE - Top20 MN 14,426.63 -1.21 -2.88
DJIA US 17,515.23 0.02 -1.73
S&P 500 US 2,022.55 0.15 -1.77
Nasdaq US 4,654.85 0.44 -1.71
S&P/TSX comp CN 14,308.44 -0.03 -2.21
FTSE 100 UK 6,620.10 0.52 0.82
S&P/ASX 200 US 5,378.10 1.33 -0.61
Hang Seng HK 23,951.16 0.90 1.47
Bloomberg/asia.pac ASIA 184.51 1.45 0.24
COMMODITY PRICES
Change %
(Day)YTD change %
Prime Coking Coal /Tianjin 136.73 0.00 -1.16
Zinc Spot /LME 2,095.00 1.01 -3.32
Iron Ore 58%/Tianjin 68.80 -49.33
Copper Spot /LME 5,722.00 0.23 -10.14
Oil 46.88 0.88 -12.00
Gold Spot /LME 1,293.02 -0.18 9.17
Silver Spot /LME 17.98 -0.08 14.46
MONGOLIAN ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Date LastYoY change
%
RGDP /bln. MNT/ 2014.09 11,094 7.0
NGDP /bln.MNT/ 2014.09 16,517 18.8
Inflation 2014.11 11.5
Foreign reserve /mln. USD/ 2014.11 1,352.1 -41.5
Policy rate July 31 ,2014 12.00
DEBT MARKET
Bonds - Coupon
Amt.
issued mln
USD
Last Yield Maturity date
DBM bond - 5.75 580 94.00 8.854 3/21/2017
MMC bond - 8.875 600 66.50 31.164 3/29/2017
Mongol 2018 - 4.125 500 89.93 7.669 1/5/2018
Mongol 2022 - 5.125 1,000 81.04 8.150 12/5/2022
TDBM 2015 - 8.5 300 99.50 9.267 9/20/2015
TDBM 2015 - 12.5 25 98.25 13.271 11/17/2015
TDBM 2017 - 10 dim sum 115 96.19 11.893 1/21/2017
DBM bond - 1.52 sam. 290 104.88 0.922 12/25/2023
INDICES CHANGE
MSE TOP 5 MOST TRADED
Trade value '000
MONGOLIAN RELATED NEWS
Exploration license applications to be available on January 26
The Mineral Resource Authority (MRA) will start accepting applications for exploration licenses on
January 26. The MRA reports that they plan to issue exploration licenses for nine million hectares in
the western half of Mongolia. Exploration licenses will be issued in accordance with the policy of
Mongolia’s infrastructure development, green development policy, and the sustainability of
investments. Exploration licenses will be given for areas covering 31 million hectares (19.9 percent of
Mongolian territory), of which 20.9 million hectares (13.4 percent) will be issued by application, and
10.1 million hectares by a selection procedure. Places prohibited from exploration comprise 71.5
percent of Mongolian territory. Parliament approved amendments to the law on minerals on July 1,
2014, and the Cabinet determined areas approved for licenses in coordination with Cabinet resolution
No. 239, issued on July 28, 2014. With the aim to keep state actions transparent and open, and limit
bureaucracy in state services, a “one window” service will be available for receiving and reviewing
applications for the exploration licenses. Application numbers will be given electronically.
http://ubpost.mongolnews.mn/?p=13129
Mongolia to build secondary schools with Chinese grant
Mongolia will build 21 secondary schools with a Chinese grant of 300 million yuan ($50 million), local
reports said Tuesday. The new schools, built with one model design, would help reduce burdens on
existing schools, where students are studying in three shifts, and upgrade old school buildings. In the
2014-2015 school year, there are 22 schools that have three shifts in Mongolia, 21 of which are
located in Ulan Bator. Also, 26 secondary schools in the country need to be upgraded. Mongolia has
dire needs for new school and kindergarten buildings. Many of the existing buildings are old and can't
accommodate increasing number of students.
http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/903024.shtml
Prophecy Announces Approval of Zeltura Road Feasibility Study
Prophecy Development Corp. is pleased to announce the approval, via Resolution No. 16, of the
Ministry of Roads and Transportation of Mongolia for the Road Feasibility study previously submitted
by the Company for the construction of a 17km road to connect Prophecy's Ulaan Ovoo mine to the
Zeltura Russian border. The Company intends to work with the Mongolian Customs General
Administration for the establishment of a customs inspection and clearance area at its Ulaan Ovoo
mine for possible future coal shipment to Russia through the Zeltura border.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/prophecy-announces-approval-of-zeltura-road-feasibility-study-
2015-01-20-9173641?reflink=MW_news_stmp
GLOBAL NEWS
Asian Stocks Retreat Before BOJ Decision as Consumer Shares Fall
Asian stocks fell, led by consumer-discretionary shares, ahead of a Bank of Japan statement on
monetary policy. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) dropped 0.2 percent to 138.29 as of 9:03 a.m.
in Tokyo. All 33 economists surveyed by Bloomberg forecast no change to BOJ bond-buying after it
expanded the already unprecedented program in October. Japanese shares slid in Tokyo. Japan’s
Topix index sank 0.4 percent. South Korea’s Kospi index added 0.1 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX
200 Index jumped 1.2 percent. New Zealand’s NZX 50 Index climbed 0.4 percent. Markets in China
and Hong Kong have yet to open. The European Central Bank sets monetary policy tomorrow as
speculation increases that it will expand asset purchases. President Mario Draghi will probably
announce a 550 billion-euro ($635 billion) program of quantitative easing, economists said in a
Bloomberg survey.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-21/asian-stocks-retreat-before-boj-decision-as-consumer-
shares-fall.html
Rio Tinto Iron Ore Output Misses Estimates as Price Falls
Rio Tinto Group (RIO), the world’s second-biggest mining company, reported lower output of minerals
including aluminum and copper amid a commodity price slump that’s forcing suppliers to cut spending
and rein in expansions. Output of 10 of Rio’s 13 key materials fell in the three months to Dec. 31 from
a year earlier, the London-based company said today in a statement. Iron ore production, the biggest
contributor to Rio’s earnings, rose to 79.1 million metric tons, missing the 82.2 million-ton median
estimate of three analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. The price of copper tumbled 6.2 percent last
week, the biggest drop since 2011, as the World Bank cut its forecast for the global economy. A
Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) of 22 raw materials last year declined 18 percent, the fourth
straight annual decline and the longest slump since at least 1991. Coking and thermal coal,
diamonds, bauxite and alumina were among units to report declines, led by a 50 percent slide in
refined copper output, Rio said. Uranium and borates were the only commodities with iron ore to
record an increase in the quarter.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-19/rio-tinto-iron-ore-output-rises-12-adding-to-global-
surplus.html
2015-01-21
21 January 2015Daily Report
PerformanceLastCountryIndex
Indicator
PerformanceLast
USDCommodity
NEWS & ANALYSIS
-2.88
-1.73
-1.71
-2.21
0.82
-0.61
1.47
4.61
-1.02
YTD %
-1.21
0.02
0.44
-0.03
0.52
1.33
0.90
0.14
-0.54
MSE - Top20
DJIA
Nasdaq
S&P/TSX comp
FTSE 100
S&P/ASX 200
Hang Seng
DAX
Nikkei 225
Change % (Day)
826
250
1,175
2
391
0 500 1,000 1,500
APU
DHU
EER
ETR
GOV
-1.25%
0.00%
-1.26%
-1.04%
-1.63%
-2% -2% -1% -1% 0%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
Janu
ary
-13
Feb
ruary
-13
Ma
rch
-13
April-1
3
Ma
y-1
3
June
-13
July
-13
Augu
st-
13
Sep
tem
ber-
13
Octo
be
r-1
3
No
ve
mbe
r-13
De
ce
mbe
r-13
Janu
ary
-14
Feb
ruary
-14
Ma
rch
-14
April-1
4
Ma
y-1
4
Jun
e-1
4
July
-14
Augu
st-
14
Septe
mb
er-
14
Octo
be
r-1
4
No
ve
mbe
r-14
De
ce
mbe
r-14
Janu
ary
-15
Th
ou
san
ds
Volume MSETOP Index
Daily Report | 2015.01.20
21 January 2015 2
MONGOLIAN RELATED COMPANIES
Name Sym Currency Last Chg day % YTD %Trade value
000 USD
Market cap
mln USD/52w high 52w low
Currency
cross
Turquoise Hill TRQ US Equity USD 2.940 7.69 -5.16 8,191.2 5,916.16 4.36 2.65 1.00
Centerra Gold CG CN Equity CAD 6.620 -2.50 9.60 11,130.2 1,293.59 7.07 3.16 1.21
MMC 975 HK Equity HKD 0.285 0.00 -16.18 384.2 340.50 0.84 0.29 7.75
Denison Mines Corp DML CN Equity CAD 1.080 -3.57 -4.42 814.6 451.59 1.95 1.02 1.21
Winsway Coking Coal Holdings Ltd 1733 HK Equity HKD 0.243 0.00 -4.71 40.3 118.27 0.55 0.24 7.75
MoEnCo 276 HK Equity HKD 0.420 0.00 5.00 13.4 91.51 1.06 0.38 7.75
SouthGobi Resources 1878 HK Equity HKD 4.020 0.00 4.15 28.9 113.43 6.20 3.49 7.75
Central Asia Metals PLC CAML LN Equity GBp 149.250 1.53 -18.44 6,131.2 252.20 190.00 138.75 0.66
Mongolia Investment Group Ltd 402 HK Equity HKD 0.285 0.00 -14.93 514.2 247.07 0.38 0.16 7.75
Mongolia Growth Group YAK CN Equity CAD 0.700 0.00 -5.41 3.4 20.16 3.07 0.68 1.21
North Asia Resources Holdings Ltd 61 HK Equity HKD 0.128 0.00 -13.51 0.0 100.42 0.21 0.10 7.75
Guildford Coal Ltd GUF AU Equity AUD 0.038 -1.32 4.17 14.2 28.10 0.11 0.03 1.22
Origo Partners PLC OPP LN Equity GBp 6.125 0.00 0.00 0.0 33.09 8.25 6.13 0.66
Entree Gold Inc ETG CN Equity CAD 0.235 9.30 14.63 10.4 28.55 0.52 0.18 1.21
Aspire Mining Ltd AKM AU Equity AUD 0.033 0.00 0.00 1.1 18.96 0.07 0.03 1.22
Prophecy Coal Corp PCY CN Equity CAD 0.060 0.00 20.00 9.4 12.49 0.11 0.04 1.21
FeOre Ltd FEO AU Equity AUD 0.029 11.54 11.54 1.5 12.53 0.08 0.02 1.22
Petro Matad Ltd MATD LN Equity GBp 3.625 31.82 70.59 11,511.0 15.35 9.50 2.00 0.66
Xanadu Mines Ltd XAM AU Equity AUD 0.095 -5.00 -5.00 0.5 28.19 0.18 0.03 1.22
Haranga Resources Ltd HAR AU Equity AUD 0.013 0.00 -7.14 0.2 3.63 0.09 0.01 1.22
Wolf Petroleum Ltd WOF AU Equity AUD 0.035 0.00 -22.22 1.6 8.55 0.08 0.03 1.22
Manas Petroleum Corp MNAP US Equity USD 0.090 0.00 0.07 15.4 15.03 0.17 0.04 1.00
Khan Resources Inc. KRI CN Equity CAD 0.420 -2.33 -13.40 4.2 23.65 0.49 0.21 1.21
East Asia Minerals Corp EAS CN Equity CAD 0.010 -33.33 0.00 36.9 0.98 0.11 0.01 1.22
Erdene Resource Development Corp ERD CN Equity CAD 0.115 0.00 9.52 4.0 7.86 0.26 0.09 1.21
Modun Resources Ltd MOU AU Equity AUD 0.003 0.00 0.00 0.7 4.35 0.01 0.00 1.22
Kincora Copper Ltd KCC CN Equity CAD 0.025 -16.67 0.00 2.8 6.40 0.09 0.02 1.21
General Mining Corp Ltd GMM AU Equity AUD 0.004 -20.00 -20.00 0.3 0.44 0.02 0.00 1.22
Draig Resources Ltd DRG AU Equity AUD 0.015 0.00 15.38 10.7 0.81 0.04 0.01 1.22
Newera Resouces Ltd NRU AU Equity AUD 0.002 0.00 0.00 0.5 1.99 0.01 0.00 1.22
Blina Minerals NL BDI AU Equity AUD 0.001 0.00 0.00 1.1 1.31 0.00 0.00 1.22
Source: Bloomberg
MONGOLIAN STOCK MARKET
20 January 2015 21 JSC's 5,050 shares worth 12.84 mln MNT have been traded.
TOP20 index was 14,426.63 -1.21% YTD -2.88%
Company name Trade volumeTrade value
'000Last Chg day Chg day % Buy volume Buy price Sell price Sell volume
APU 223 826 3703 -47 -1.25% 100 3500 3700 202
DHU 50 250 5000 0 0.00% 0 0 5000 20
EER 500 1,175 2350 -30 -1.26% 10 2024 2350 375
ETR 20 2 95 -1 -1.04% 1674 90 95 1980
GOV 54 391 7245 -120 -1.63% 64 7200 7340 17
GTL 650 6,175 9500 -100 -1.04% 5 9600 11000 483
HGN 20 2 99 0 0.00% 200 98 99 5138
JTB 100 9 88 0 0.00% 50 88 89 2201
KEK 20 180 9000 0 0.00% 0 0 9000 180
MBG 50 400 8000 0 0.00% 0 0 8000 50
MIE 12 168 14000 0 0.00% 1 13600 14500 189
MMX 2 7 3497 -53 -1.49% 0 0 3497 98
MNH 5 20 4000 -100 -2.44% 3 3500 4000 23
MSH 30 18 600 10 1.69% 70 600 678 12
OLL 140 18 126 16 14.55% 10 111 170 1164
RMC 70 7 93 -2 -2.11% 50 90 93 9830
SOR 350 725 2070 0 0.00% 0 0 2380 20
TTL 46 189 4100 -200 -4.65% 139 4100 4300 922
UBH 50 740 14800 700 4.96% 5 14100 0 0
UID 2,650 1,511 570 20 3.64% 100 485 580 20
ECV 8 32 4000 0 0.00% 42 4000 0 0
Change day
30 day graphic
3
-1
2014.09 2702.1
2013.06 7591
13606.65
3250
89.93
21 January 2015
Disclaimer This document has been prepared by the investment banking division of Golomt Bank for information purpose only. The views expressed are the views of the analyst and are subject to change based on market and other conditions and factors. The information provided does not constitute investment advice or other recommendations and should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security or to pursue any trading or investment strategy. All material, including information sourced from or attributed to Golomt Bank, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee for future results. Accordingly you must independently determine, with your own advisors, the appropriateness for you of the securities/transactions before investing or transacting.
Investment Banking Division of Golomt Bank The principal activities of Investment Banking Division constitute structuring, sourcing, negotiating and closing debt and equity financings as well as the provision of incisive advisory services for private and public companies as well as institutions, public sector agencies and authorities. Our vision is to fuel the profitable growth of our valued clients by providing the highest-quality investment banking services, and in so doing create an environment which will lead to long term, mutually beneficial relationships. We strive to achieve these lasting relationships by matching each client assignment with the collaborative expertise of the Bank’s team of seasoned banking and investment professionals. Contact Sukhbaatar Square, Ulaanbaatar 210620A, Mongolia Fax: +976-70117676 /1402/ E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.golomtbank.com