dapple december 2003 d ispersion of a ir p ollutants & their p enetration into the l ocal e...
TRANSCRIPT
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Dispersion of
Air
Pollutants & their
Penetration into the
Local
Environment• Background
• Activities to date
• Results - tracer & wind tunnel
• Future plans
EPSRC Infrastructure & Environment Programme
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Consortium University of Surrey Alan Robins
Imperial College Roy Colvile
University of Bristol Dudley Shallcross
University of Cambridge Rex Britter
University of Leeds Margaret Bell
University of Reading Stephen Belcher
A 4 year EPSRC funded project, supported by:London -> ALG/APRIL/EA/Local Government/TfL
DEFRA, AEQ Division
DSTL (Porton Down), HSE
Meteorological Office
DAPPLEDecember 2003
DAPPLE aims: to enhance understanding of pollutant dispersion and individual exposure to pollutants in urban areas to improve predictive ability to enable better planning and management of urban air quality and ‘incidents’
Background
“… We do not yet have the understanding needed to answer fundamental questions about pollution behaviour over short distances in the urban environment. …”
DAPPLEDecember 2003
The basic understanding gained will be used:
in the evaluation and development of appropriate decision support tools and risk assessment methodologies in the evaluation and development of best practice guidelines for their application in assessing the inherent uncertainty in their use in assessing their contribution to the sustainable development of safer, more pleasant cities.
As far as possible, DAPPLE deliverables will be of generic value and applicable both within UK urban areas and others overseas.
Output
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Street intersections - the urban environment
100
100
49 56Relative flow rates at the intersection; off-set 0.6H
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Intersection modelling
LDA mean velocity measurements within canyons
Highly unsteadyexchanges
Block size:
4H x 6H x H
Orientation 10degs
1:1
C measured
C predicted
Regulatory models (ADMS) don’t model intersections -CFD does a reasonable job for a simple 4 block geometry.
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Classic street canyons
Measured Street Canyon Pollution Levels in Jagtvej
0 90 180 270 360 Wind Direction, degrees
800
600
400
200
0
Jagtvej
NOxppb
N 300 degs
receptor
DAPPLEDecember 2003
How do we predict the movement of pollutants in & over a street network?
What are best practices in the urban context?
How much detail is necessary?
What area needs to be modelled and to what resolution?
How do we best go about managing & improving local urban air quality?
What tools are needed to deal with these matters?
How should these be developed for incident management?
In an urban setting:
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Activities
Vehicle movement analysis
Emissions modelling
Tracer experiments
Individual dose
measurement
Air quality monitoring
Wind tunnel studies
Model evaluation & development Marylebone Rd - Gloucester Place intersection
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Key times
2002 April: project start
2003 Spring: initial field trials
Monitoring studies: 28 April to 23 May
Tracer study: 15th May
Summer: results analysis, interim output & workshop
2004 Spring: main field trials
19th April to 28th May
2005 Continued analysis; results, workshop, dissemination
2006 March - project end; final reports and workshops
DAPPLEDecember 2003
York Street
LibraryBickenhall St.
Gloucester Place
Thornton Place
Bickenhall Mansions
Baker Street
Marylebone Road Marylebone Road
WU roofnot accessible due to pair of nesting falcons!
SITE 1SITE 2
SITE 3
SITE 4
SITE 5
SITE 6
SITE 7
SITE 8 Super-siteWCC
WCC INDOORS
•VOC - basement, reception & 4th floor rooms•particles - basement & first floor room
sonics street boxes
AWS
lamp post direction of bracket
EXTERNAL EQUIP
Schematic site plan
DAPPLEDecember 2003
York Street
LibraryBickenhall St.
Gloucester Place
Thornton Place
Bickenhall Mansions
Baker Street
Marylebone Road
X tracer release tracer samplers (10)
Marylebone Road
x
Super-site
WCC
sonics street boxes
AWS
EXTERNAL EQUIP
Schematic site plan
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Trial achievements
• Meteorology - 7 Sonic anemometers
- at 4 and 8m on lamp posts
- 4, 12 and 15m on WCC Hall)
- logged at 20Hz or 5Hz
- 3 Automatic Weather Stations
- 30 secs wind, temperature and humidity
- synoptic - forecasts & back trajectories (Met Office)
- meso-scale model output, data for tracer release
• Pollution - 10 Street boxes (CO & NO2)
- 4 & 7m giving 5 minute averages; along
Marylebone Rd between Super-site & WCC Hall
- ITS instrumented vehicle
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Trial achievements
• AURN Super-site - CO, PM10, PM2.5, NO2, O3, SO2, Wind, etc.
• WCC Hall Site - NO, NO2, PM10 + Opsis
• Traffic - SCOOT data (TfL)
- Leeds instrumented vehicle and traffic counts
• Tracer - SW winds from York Street (15TH May)
- 10 sampling boxes deployed within 2-3 blocks
• Exposure - 4 people, 3 times a day (particulates & CO)
- different routes & modes of transport, 40 minute exposure
- indoor/outdoor VOC & particles (MSc students)
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Example day - 15 May
AWS mean 30s data for wind speed, direction, temp & humidity
WCC Rooftop AWS
Tracer exp. started at 5pm
DAPPLEDecember 2003
SCOOT
DAPPLE
5 mins, hourly & daily average traffic flows
Verification by manual counts
Emission estimates
Traffic flow modelling
2 w
ay d
ata
netw
ork
I/O
pro
gs
Onlinetraffic model
Optimiser
Signal timingssignal
controllers
trafficdetectors
Operator
DAPPLEDecember 2003
CO box data
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
Week of 12th May 03
1 (C 3m)
1 (C 7m)
Mon. Tues. Wed. Thurs. Fri. Sat. Sun.
Morning & eveningrush hour peaks
Night timelows
CO at 7m
= 0.77
CO at 3m.
DAPPLEDecember 2003
CO box data - 15 May
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Time on 15th May 03
4 (S)
3 (N)
2 (C)
Light winds Stronger SSW winds
NS
CO, 4 (S)
CO, 2 (C)
CO, 3 (N)
Circulation:
high CO to S
----
low CO to N
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Wind field - SSW winds
Site 1
Site 2
Site 3
Typical 10Hz wind direction data for SSW winds
SSW winds
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Wind field
Marylebone - Rd Gloucester Place intersection
Street wind conditions
‘roof’ level wind from SSW
Generally:
Wind channelling and direction switching:
e.g.
Gloucester Place wind direction changes by 180 degrees depending on above roof wind having north or south component.
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Wind channelling dominates horizontal motion
Weak vortex-like motion driven by cross-flow only apparent in time averaged results.
Vertical mixing - other processes
Analysis continues
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Comparison between field data and wind tunnel simulation
(reference velocity is roof level d=51.35 o
)
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Site number
simulation mean (83 puffs)
PDF band of simulation
maximum of one field measurement
Cumulative PDF from 10% to 90%
DAPPLEDecember 2003
OBJECTIVES
a) CAMPAIGN1 – Collect co-ordinated data-set of traffic flow (SCOOT data and manual counts for verification purposes) and air quality data (Learian streetboxes);
b) Verify the SCOOT data using manual count data and automatic count site data;
c) Process and average the SCOOT data into 5, 15 and 60 minute time intervals;
d) Calculate Emissions using NAEI factors;
e) Implement ETEM (Enhanced Traffic Emission Model – uses SCOOT data, congestion algorithm and ADMS-Urban to predict roadside concentrations);
f) Implement microscopic traffic simulation model in the study area using as demand input, the raw SCOOT detector data. The simulations will predict emissions using the transient CMEM emission factor database; working with TfL staff
Conduct an integrated analysis of traffic activity, emission prediction, meteorology and ambient concentrations.
DAPPLEDecember 2003
We have developed, and attempted to justify a “simple correlation” for dispersion in urban areas for use on the neighbourhood and city scales ( see DAPPLE web site). This was used in the design of the first field tracer experiment.
We have compared the “simple correlation” with the experimental data from the first field tracer experiment (only PMCH tracer). The correlation overpredicts by about a factor of two.
We have compared the baseline dispersion model for urban areas developed in Hanna, Britter and Franzese (2004) with the experimental data from the first field tracer experiment (only PMCH tracer). The correlation overpredicts by about a factor of two.
DAPPLEDecember 2003
We have worked with Bristol to review the tracer experimental data collected in the first DAPPLE study to quality assure them and then to archive them on the DAPPLE web site.
This has been completed for the PMCH tracer release and the data should appear in an archived for on the DAPPLE web site imminently.
A problem was found with the SF6 data, ascribable to an unsuspected non-linear response at high concentrations. The results are currently being recalculated.
DAPPLEDecember 2003
The PM2.5 and ultra-fine particle count personal exposure databases are now complete and are undergoing final post-processing checks. They have been constructed by Surbjit Kaur in MS Excel and will be available to the consortium via the ftp site at the beginning of February 2004. Accompanying transcripts for the real-time data will also be made available. The construction of the CO database has started; estimated date for availability of the preliminary database is end of February 2004. Statistical analysis in progress.
Currently, pollutant concentration fluctuations at a fixed receptor have been modelled for these steady emissions from a single point source. This indicates that much of the short-term exposure variability (on a timescale of seconds to minutes) is attributable to the unsteadiness of the flow field under constant meteorological conditions, provided real traffic sources are not so homogeneous as to remove much of the variability by spatial averaging.
Regulatory and exposure use of ADMS etc
Exposure modelling - empirical
DAPPLEDecember 2003
good data capture levels throughout
SCOOT calibration needs further attention to allow for loops that cross two lanes which can give ambiguous data when heavily congested - statistical methods being developed
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Personal exposure
5 modes of transport:
bus, taxi, car, cycle, foot
3 x 40 minute ‘trips’ per day
measuring:
CO, Fine particles & PM2.5
plus
video & voice records
DAPPLEDecember 2003
EquipmentCO T15 Langan
Measures carbon monoxide every 10 seconds
TSI P-Trak
Measures ultra-fine particles every second
Casella Ultraflow Pump + Filter
Measures average PM2.5 concentration for the route
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Tracer study
Tracers: PMCH, SF6
15 minute release
SF6 1.5 minute offset
10 sampling units
10x5L tedlar bags per unit
3 min samples
NICI mass spectrometry
negative ionchemical ionisation
perfluorocarbon
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Tracer study
York Street
Library
Bickenhall Street
WestminsterCouncil House
Gloucester Place
Thornton Place
Bickenhall Mansions
Baker Street
Marylebone Road
x 1
3 2
6 7
8
5
4
9
10
Distance ~ 125m
Time of flight ~ 4.5min
Travel speed ~ 0.5m/s
Reference wind, 3m/s
Source
0.14
0.160.24
0.06
0.11 failed
0.07
0.02 ~ 0
~ 0
CUHH2/Q
114 mgrelease
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Tracer study
Conclusions from an ensemble of one
For R/H between 3.4 and 20:
Maximum concentration, CmaxUH/Q ~ 5/R2
Travel time, TUH/H ~ 30 to 41
- 3.6 to 5 minutes
Travel speed, U/UH ~ 1/10 to 1/3
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Tracer study
Enhancements for next trials:
Capability for releasing three different perfluorocarbon tracers from three locations
Development of 1 minute real time instrumentation
Ditto for SF6
Improved logistics
Greater freedom in choice of source locations (limited by traffic and other concerns) and sampler deployment
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Wind tunnel study
18 channelair samplingsystem
FIDsystem
Flowcontrolsystem
Chilled watersupply ~ 10oC
Inlet and heater section - 15 layers400 kW capacity; ambient to ~ 100oC
20 x 3.5 x 1.5 m working section0 - 4 m/s
Mechanicalsimulation devices
Twin fans
Heat exchanger
Cooled rough wall ~ 10oC
Gassupplies
Heatercontrol
Source
Rough wall not cooled
Computerised control, data collection & data analysis
Thermo-couplesystem
Speed control
Traverse and turntable control
traverse system
turntable
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Wind tunnel study
Scale 1:200
Reference wind speed 2.5m/s, direction SW
Source in York Street
Ground level concentration data
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Wind tunnel study
Block averaging
T, s c/<C> c99/<C>0.005 0.55 3.80.5 0.38 2.35 0.18 1.4
3 0.22 1.6
raw data
3 s blockaverage
Concentration - Time
300 secs
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Wind tunnel study
Short duration emissions 0.5 to 10s
Determine travel, rise and decay time scales, dilution rate
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Wind tunnel study
Uadvection ≈ UH/4
R is straight line separation
Field: R/H = 3.4 to 12.5, Tnon = 30 to 41
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Wind tunnel study
Conclusions
Plumes: CmaxUH/Q ~ 50/R2
Significant variations across streetsPuffs: Uadvection ≈ UH/4
Rise time/Travel time ≈ 1/3; ditto decay timePeak/Mean ≈ 3.5 - 4
Future work: • detailed mapping of flow and concentration fields• flux exchange at intersection• exchanges with flow above roof level• effects of modelling detail
DAPPLEDecember 2003
Computer modelling
Themes:Simulations of field and wind tunnel exp; Urban Air Quality and Accidental releases Evaluation of model performance - sensitivity studies - best practice
Models: Simple rules of thumb Operational models (e.g UDM, ASUDM, ESUDM, ADMS-URBAN) CFD models (e.g. RANS, LES)
Purposes: Prediction/forecasting Design of response strategies
DAPPLEDecember 2003
State of play
First field trials a complete success - all data on web site for project members (not yet publicly available)
Data analysis still in progress
Important wind tunnel results on travel and decay times, dilution rates and fluctuations
Second field trials: 19th April to 28th May 2004 - open for collaborative third party work
Current news and project updates are on our public site at:
www.dapple.org.uk