data analysis competition 2014 applying statistics to explore indonesia's economy [final]

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  • 5/27/2018 Data Analysis Competition 2014 Applying Statistics to Explore Indonesia's Economy [Final]

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    Alfred AndryGo Felix

    Institut Teknologi Bandung

    DATA ANALYSIS COMPETITIONAPPLYING STATISTICS TO EXPLORE INDONESIASECONOMY

  • 5/27/2018 Data Analysis Competition 2014 Applying Statistics to Explore Indonesia's Economy [Final]

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  • 5/27/2018 Data Analysis Competition 2014 Applying Statistics to Explore Indonesia's Economy [Final]

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    PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK DI JAWA TIM

    Correlations: Penduduk, Tahun

    Pearson correlation of Penduduk and Tahun = 1.000P-Value = 0.000

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    KONSUMSI BERAS PER KAPITA DI JAWA TIM

    201220112010200920082007

    98

    96

    94

    92

    90

    88

    Tahun

    Kg/Kapita

    Scatterplot of Kg/Kapita vs Tahun

    Correlations: Tahun, Kg/Kapita

    Pearson correlation of Tahun and Kg/Kapita = 0.754P-Value = 0.084

  • 5/27/2018 Data Analysis Competition 2014 Applying Statistics to Explore Indonesia's Economy [Final]

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    KONSUMSI PER KAPITA

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    BENARKAH?

    Beras merupakan komoditas inelastis.

    Uji Korelasi antara Kenaikan Harga Beras dengan Konsumsi Beras Per K

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    UJI KORELASI

    90008000700060005000

    98

    96

    94

    92

    90

    88

    H Beras

    Kg/Kapita

    Scatterplot of Kg/Kapita vs H Beras

    Correlations: H Beras, Kg/Kapita

    Pearson correlation of H Beras and Kg/Kapita = 0.716

    P-Value = 0.109

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    HASIL UJI KORELASI

    -Value > 0.1 : = 0

    Artinya, tidak ada korelasi antara Kenaikan Harga Beras dan Beras Per Kapita.

    Benar bahwa beras merupakan komoditas inelastis.

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    BERAS : KOMODITAS INELASTISP

    Q

  • 5/27/2018 Data Analysis Competition 2014 Applying Statistics to Explore Indonesia's Economy [Final]

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    KORELASI TAHUN DENGAN PRODUKTIVITAS B

    Correlations: Tahun, Produktivitas

    Pearson correlation of Tahun and Produktivitas =-0.639

    P-Value = 0.025

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    SARAN Menambah produksi beras dengan cara:

    - Meningkatkan produktivitas produksi beras.

    Caranya: Spesialisasi.

    - Meningkatkan angka konversi GKP ke GKG maupun

    beras.

    Caranya : Teknologi.

  • 5/27/2018 Data Analysis Competition 2014 Applying Statistics to Explore Indonesia's Economy [Final]

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  • 5/27/2018 Data Analysis Competition 2014 Applying Statistics to Explore Indonesia's Economy [Final]

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    FAKTA

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    UJI KORELASI IMPOR TERHADAP NTP

    Correlations: NTP Tanaman Pangan, Jumlah Import

    Pearson correlation of NTP Tanaman Pangan andJumlah Import = 0.792

    P-Value = 0.060

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    HASIL

    -Value < 0.1 : = 0

    Artinya, terdapat korelasi antara Impor Beras

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    BUKTI ADANYA INFLASI

    201220112010200920082007

    150

    140

    130

    120

    110

    100

    Tahun

    IndeksditerimaTanamanPangan

    Scatterplot of Indeks diterima Tanaman Pangan vs Tahun

    200920082007

    160

    150

    140

    130

    120

    110

    100

    Tahun

    IndeksdibayarTanamanPangan

    Scatterplot of Indeks dibayar Tan

    Correlations: Tahun, Indeks dibaPangan

    Pearson correlation of Tahun anTanaman Pangan = 0.996

    P-Value = 0.000

    Correlations: Indeks diterima Tanaman Pangan,Tahun

    Pearson correlation of Indeks diterima TanamanPangan and Tahun = 0.978

    P-Value = 0.001

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    SURPLUS BERAS

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    SARAN Impor beras tetap dilakukan walaupun terdapat surplus be

    diimbangi dengan inflasi sehingga petani terlindungi.

    SAAT FREE TRADE:

    Pencerdasan untuk tetap mengonsumsi beras lokal dibanddengan beras impornaikkan bea cukai pada komodita

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