dave fullbrook - green built environment - evolution or revolution

8/13/2019 Dave Fullbrook - Green Built Environment - Evolution or Revolution

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Green Built Environment

Evolution to Revolution

David Fullbrook


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Baby Boomers Legacy

1957-Born

1973-Started Work

1995-Moved to NZ

1962-Silent Spring

1975-Global Warming

1989- Montreal Protocol

2020?- Retirement

2037?-Death

1992-Rio Earth Summit

1973-Oil Crisis

2012-Rio+20 2nd

Earth Summit

1979-2ndOil Crisis

2020?-Peak oil and

irreversible climate

change


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Weve become lazy,

We live in high energy use homes,

We drive to work in air-conditioned carsWe work in sealed office buildings,

All of which respond to our most slovenly instincts

And disconnect us from the environment.

Its time to reconnect and re-engage.


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Short History of Sustainable

Design

Low Energy Design

Passive Design

Sustainable Design

Green Rated Design

Regenerative Design


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Current Level of Environmental

Sustainability for the Built Environment

Environmental

SocialEconomic

Cultural

Equitable

Viable

Livable

CivilisedSustainable


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Future Level of Environmental

Sustainability for the Built Environment

EnvironmentCulturalSocialEconomic

Resilient CivilisedEquitable Livable


7/30

Baby Boomer at the crossroads


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At the current rate of emissions we

only have 3 decades of available

carbon budget left.(IPCC 2013)


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Revolution not Evolution


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19 C Industrial revolution.

20 C Technological and consumer revolution

21 C Environmental revolution


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Our current approach of

concentrating on flash new

buildings will not get us thereLevel of

Sustainability

%New

Build to

Existingpa.

%of new

build to

thisstandard

Saving

on GHGs

by thisstandard

% of GHG

Emissions

attributableto Buildings

Cumulative

effect on NZ

GreenhouseGas

emissions pa

Green Star 3% 10% 50% 20% 0.03%

Living Building

Challenge

3% 0.01% 100% 20% 0.006%


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Fit

Out

Fit

Out

Fit

Out

Fit

Out

Fit

Out

MainServices

Upgrade

WholeBuilding

Upgrade

10 Yrs. 20 Yrs. 30 Yrs. 40 Yrs. 50 Yrs.

T i m e l i n e

We need to incentivize major upgrading ofthe great unwashed existing building

stock over 30 years


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Design

Controls

Commissioning

and Fine

Tuning

Behaviors and

Aftercare

Third Third Third

Relative impact on sustainability


14/30

Scale Jumping

Think Big / Not Small

Neighbourhoods

Districts

Campuses

Portfolios

Production processes

Cities

Regions

NZ Inc


15/30

People - The catalyst for change


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People not buildings

control climate change


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Lifestyle and ecological footprint

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

NumberofEarthsR

equired

Lifestyles and Ecological Footprint

8 Tribes Lifestyles


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Changing patterns of consumption

Economic Human

Self Interested, Price Driven

Price Signals

Predictably Irrational

Bias, Self Image, Status,

Emotional

Target better alternatives,

Make sustainability more sexy

Locked in

Socio Economic Barriers,No choice, Technological

Construct environments that

support sustainable living

Socially Organised

Way of Life, ValuesSustainable/Green Lifestyles

Grassroots activation

After Paul C Stern


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What will the future look like?


20/30

Bullitt Centre

Highly efficient faade

Shallow floor plan and

high floor to floor height.

High levels of natural light

and mixed mode

ventilation

Heavy timberConstruction

Irresistible stair

No Red List Materials


21/30

Bullitt Centre

Net Zero energy

Rooftop PV

Ground source heat pump

heating and cooling Mixed mode ventilation

Net Zero Water

composting toilets,

greywater treatment and

rainwater

harvesting/treatment.


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Wynyard Quarter

New sustainabledevelopment framework

High Density Mixed Use

5 Star/7Star with hurdles80/30kWh/m

Exemplars 6

star/8star/Living Building

Challenge

Ground Lease/Sky Lease

$6m PV array across

innovation Precinct


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What will it cost and whats the

value?


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Potential economic impacts of

climate change Stern report predicted loss in Global GDP of 5-20% every year

due to future climate change effects.

Global costs of natural disasters aggravated by climate

change could double to 150 billion euros per year in ten

years. Insurance cost equivalent to a World Trade Centreattack every year. (Source Swiss Re.)

In New Zealand the flooding and storms of 2004 cost over

$400m.

The 2007-2008 Draught - $2.3 bn.

The 2012-2013 Draught - $3bn. 0.51.0% GDP


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What do we invest in?

$120-150bn of largelypublically owned

infrastructure assets

although reducing by

asset sales

$15bn of infrastructureinvestment in 3 year

cycles.

$6.2bn of roading

investment

$0.3bn of public

transport andcycling/walking

infrastructure


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The value case for different levels

of sustainability


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Individual

Global

Consensus

Climatechange

agreements

Buildings

Infrastructure

Land use

/planning

Energy security of

supply

Local

Government

Regional

Government

National

Government

Kyoto 2

Sustainability

Frameworks

Personal

choice

Climate Changecommitments

and policies

Environment

Regulation

Infrastructure

Land use

/planning

Sustainability

Frameworks

Personal

actions

Taxation

Rates

Rates

Community

commitment

Environmental

movement

Joining the dots


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Getting Involved

Environmentally Significant Behaviour

Environmental Activism

Support for

environmentalmovement.

Household behaviour

Workplace andprofessional behaviour

Community Action

dave fullbrook - green built environment - evolution or revolution

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