december 1, 2016 rethinking u.s. national security€¦ · a new role for international development...

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December 1, 2016 Rethinking U.S. National Security A New Role for International Development J. Brian Atwood and Andrew Natsios U.S. NAVY / MASS COMMUNICATIONS SPECIALIST 2ND CLASS CASEY H. KYHL / HANDOUT / REUTERS A U.S. helicopter carrying humanitarian assistance and disaster relief supplies in the Philippine Sea, south of Japan, March 2011. Much of the United States' focus on national security involves dealing with great powers, especially China and Russia, and terrorist groups, such as the Islamic State, or ISIS. But there is a growing consensus among foreign-policy makers that instability in the developing world complicates these challenges, and produces others, too. The refugee crisis, fed

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Page 1: December 1, 2016 Rethinking U.S. National Security€¦ · A New Role for International Development J. Brian Atwood and Andrew Natsios U.S. NAVY / MASS COMMUNICATIONS SPECIALIST 2ND

December 1, 2016

Rethinking U.S. NationalSecurity

A New Role for International Development

J. Brian Atwood and Andrew Natsios

U.S. NAVY / MASS COMMUNICATIONS SPECIALIST 2ND CLASS CASEY H. KYHL / HANDOUT / REUTERSA U.S. helicopter carrying humanitarian assistance and disaster relief supplies inthe Philippine Sea, south of Japan, March 2011.

Much of the United States' focus on national security involvesdealing with great powers, especially China and Russia, andterrorist groups, such as the Islamic State, or ISIS. But thereis a growing consensus among foreign-policy makers thatinstability in the developing world complicates thesechallenges, and produces others, too. The refugee crisis, fed

Page 2: December 1, 2016 Rethinking U.S. National Security€¦ · A New Role for International Development J. Brian Atwood and Andrew Natsios U.S. NAVY / MASS COMMUNICATIONS SPECIALIST 2ND

by instability in the Middle East and North Africa, is oneexample: it has driven apart European nations even as theymust work together to deal with a resurgent Russia. The 2008crisis in global food prices is another. It played a significantrole in the political uprisings in the Middle East and NorthAfrica and continues to threaten the stability of manydeveloping countries today. Terrorist and criminal groups usefailed and fragile states as launching pads, since they canrecruit more easily from suffering populations that lacksupportive communities and reliable institutions. Diseasessuch as Ebola, AIDS, SARS, and Zika often emanate from lessdeveloped nations with weak governments incapable ofpreventing their spread. All of these challenges affect thenational security of the United States.

Left unaddressed, these problems will probably worsen in thecoming decades, thanks in part to the pressures populationgrowth will place on food, water, and energy resources indeveloping countries. The world adds around 80 millionpeople each year, and conservative estimates suggest that theglobal population will exceed nine billion by 2050. Much ofthis growth is occurring in unstable regions in Latin America,the Middle East, South Asia, and sub-Saharan Africa, wherethe combination of swelling ranks of young people and limitedeconomic opportunities creates breeding grounds for terroristgroups and criminal gangs. Until population growth rateslevel off, which is expected to occur around the middle of thiscentury, developing countries will continue to come underincreasing stress. This could contribute to a cycle of violenceand migration that will accelerate the breakdown of fragilestates.

We write as former officials who have served four U.S.administrations from different political parties, but we share aview of how the United States can better manage theseproblems. Washington urgently needs to consolidate itsfragmented international development programs so that it can

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better address the transnational challenges that arebeginning to overwhelm U.S. national security institutions.The most effective way to do so is to empower the U.S.government’s development and humanitarian-reliefinstitutions with the resources and status of a cabinetdepartment. The department should have the capacity todevise and recommend a government-wide plan to supportinternational development cooperation, post-conflicttransitions, and relief operations. It should guide the UnitedStates' efforts to reform the international organizations thatspecialize in related missions, such as the UN voluntaryagencies and the Bretton Woods development banks. And thedepartment should have a permanent seat at the principal’slevel in the National Security Council, independent of theDepartments of Defense and State.

Creating such a department would build on previousadministrations' emphasis on defense, diplomacy, anddevelopment—the “3 Ds"—as the essential elements of U.S.national security. It would also introduce an important changethat would appeal to policymakers in both political partiesand to a new president seeking to shake up the federalgovernment.

Page 4: December 1, 2016 Rethinking U.S. National Security€¦ · A New Role for International Development J. Brian Atwood and Andrew Natsios U.S. NAVY / MASS COMMUNICATIONS SPECIALIST 2ND

Wolfgang Rattay / REUTERSPreparing U.S. aid for an airlift after Typhoon Haiyan, Manila, the Philippines, November 2013.

EMPOWERING THE THIRD “D”

The United States' first line of defense against transnationalthreats should be its development and humanitarian-reliefprograms, particularly in countries that are struggling tomanage instability. These programs are preventive in naturewhen they help host societies build resilient and sustainablecommunities. When states fail as a result of natural ormanmade disasters, they save lives and help recovery efforts.

Despite its importance, the United States’ developmentexpertise is underappreciated and often misused. Military anddiplomatic officials are frequently asked to take ondevelopment-related roles that distract them from theirprimary responsibilities and for which for they are illprepared. In recent years, U.S. military personnel have beenasked to oversee the stabilization of Afghanistan’s and Iraq’ssocieties, for example, and diplomats have been entrustedwith managing relief and reconstruction operations thatwould be better left to development or humanitarian-reliefspecialists.

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The United States' defense, diplomatic, and developmentinstitutions are built for different tasks, and each has its owntools, rules, and traditions. Development and humanitarian-relief professionals share some competencies with StateDepartment diplomats, such as language skills and culturalknowledge. In their focuses on program management andlong-term planning and in their tendency to work indangerous environments, development and humanitarian-relief professionals have more in common with members ofthe U.S. military.

The United States' first line of defense againsttransnational threats should be its development andhumanitarian-relief programs.

On the whole, however, development and humanitarian-reliefspecialists are a breed apart. Professionals in these fields aretrained to work not only with foreign government officials butalso with the private sector and community organizations.They approach societies holistically and try to build long-termtrust with local partners—an approach that diplomatic andmilitary personnel are hard-pressed to emulate given theirpursuit of more immediate objectives. Whether developmentprofessionals can achieve meaningful results depends on thesuccess of their foreign associates.

Government organizations such as the U.S. Agency forInternational Development (USAID) not only respond tocrises; they also help societies prevent them, building localcapacity and approaching natural and man-made disasters aspart of a broader continuum involving relief, postconflictreconciliation, and development. What is missing in theUnited States’ current institutional lineup is a body that isadequately empowered to pursue these essential tasks.

THE FOUNDATION FOR A NEW DEPARTMENT

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Since its inception during the administration of John F.Kennedy, USAID has housed the United States' internationaldevelopment and humanitarian-relief missions. It has made agreat deal of progress over its 50-plus years, in part by doingmore to measure the results of its efforts and by linking itsprograms with the development strategies of host societies.Today, thanks to a congressional initiative, the agency is moretransparent than ever: citizens and government staff, forexample, can view information on unclassified programs andbudgetary issues online. USAID's procurement processeshave been automated and streamlined, making the best of thefederal government’s rigid and time-consuming acquisitionregulations.

These steps represent progress, but they are not enough. Onearea in need of further reform is USAID's personnelregulations, which are now controlled by the StateDepartment. Too often, USAID staff are required to cycle outof positions in fragile states after tours of only one year, thusrupturing the personal relationships that hold developingsocieties and their weak governance systems together.Similarly, USAID has little leverage to resist demands fromthe Defense and State Departments for the short-termprograms those organizations favor, despite the well-documented frequency with which such programs fail infragile environments. Over the past decade, for example, theDefense and State Departments called on USAID to undertakeineffective, short-term development projects in Pakistan thatUSAID officers warned would fail—and often did, according toa recent audit by USAID’s inspector general. In Afghanistan,as Nancy Linborg, a former senior USAID executive and thecurrent president of the U.S. Institute for Peace, has noted,the United States has effectively had 15 one-yearreconstruction programs instead of a single, sustainableprogram lasting 15 years.

Bringing a cabinet-level development official into the National

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Security Council could make the United States’ preventiveactions more effective, since development officials can offer aclose examination of the factors that undermine stability inthe long term, from demographic pressure to pandemics. Thiswould help shift the focus of high-level national securityconversations from crisis management to crisis prevention. Itwould also allow the United States to reclaim its position as aglobal leader in development, a role from which it haswithdrawn in recent years because of the organizationalfragmentation of Washington's development bodies. (Morethan 20 agencies and bureaus now carry out the UnitedStates’ aid programs.)

Hans Deryk / REUTERSWaiting for a U.S. Navy helicopter to land in Port-au-Prince, Haiti, January 2010.

The good news is that, thanks in part to the United States'past efforts, U.S. development professionals have maintaineda conversation with donors and partners (including new onesfrom Brazil, China, and India) about the transnationalchallenges that threaten global security. Consider the case ofthe UN’s Sustainable Development Goals. The approach todevelopment that the SDGs enshrine is far from perfect, but ifit were successfully implemented, it would do much to

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strengthen the world’s capacity to mitigate the effects oftransnational challenges such as pandemic disease, conflict-driven migration, and terrorism. Perhaps most important, theSDGs have created accountability, putting pressure onnational leaders to achieve results through sound policies.They show how much progress is possible when developmentexperts work together, independently of diplomats andmilitary officials.

A new cabinet department for international developmentcouldbuild on similar strengths to create a national strategy fordevelopment, ending the fragmentation that has undercut theUnited States’ traditional leadership role. It wouldincorporate U.S. development programs such as theMillennium Challenge Corporation, an independent U.S.agency, and the U.S. President’s Emergency Plan for AIDSRelief, an initiative that is now inappropriately led by theState Department. It would consolidate emergencyhumanitarian-relief programs and stabilization and transitionoperations, bringing in the State Department’s Bureau ofConflict and Stabilization Operations and its Bureau ofPopulation, Refugees, and Migration. Marrying these bureauswith USAID’s Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance,Office of Transition Initiatives, and Food for Peace programwould eliminate redundancies and help the United Statesbetter coordinate its assistance to refugees and displacedpeople and to nations undergoing postconflict transitions. Itwould also obviate the bureaucratic disputes that havehampered the United States' responses to crises such as theEbola outbreak. A consolidated government department couldserve as the first responder to pandemics and other disasters,building on the expeditionary capacity of USAID's Bureau forDemocracy, Conflict, and Humanitarian Assistance todispatch personnel to unstable regions and failed states. Andit could fund and oversee the United States’ participation inthe governance of UN agencies responsible for development

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and humanitarian relief, such as the Food and AgricultureOrganization, the UN Development Program, the WorldHealth Organization, the UN Refugee Agency, and UNICEF,among others.

The new department should also have authority overWashington’s funding to and oversight of the World Bank andthe regional development banks. For too long, policymakershave viewed these institutions as public versions of privatebanks instead of as development-focused bodies. Thedevelopment banks now receive funding replenishments thatare channeled through the Treasury Department, but theycarry out development programs that Treasury officials are illequipped to evaluate. To make the development banks moreeffective, Washington will need to increase its leverage overtheir reform by placing its funding for them under theoversight of officials with deep knowledge of internationaldevelopment. Those officials should come from a departmentthat has a field presence in developing countries around theworld, as USAID does today. (The Treasury Department isbetter equipped to manage the financial operations of theInternational Monetary Fund and should continue to do so.)

A MORE COST-EFFECTIVE APPROACH

USAID would form the core of the new department, but itcould not do so with the number of personnel it now has at itsdisposal. Only 3,223 U.S. citizens manage an agency with anannual budget of $22.7 billion. (Foreign Service nationalemployees, who are not U.S. citizens, support Americans inUSAID's overseas missions.) By comparison, the U.S. SmallBusiness Administration, which was designated a cabinet-level agency during the Obama administration, has 3,293 U.S.employees and an annual budget of only $710 million.Transferring career officers from the State and TreasuryDepartment programs that would fall under the managementof the new department would augment USAID’s staff and

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improve its oversight capacity.

Creating a unified department for development wouldeliminate staffing redundancies, as well. Consider the factthat in many developing countries, there are now missiondirectors for both USAID and the Millennium ChallengeCorporation. Similarly, in most African countries, there is aUSAID program director for public health and infectiousdisease who manages the same kinds of projects that the localdirector of the U.S. Center for Disease Control and Preventionhandles. Eliminating these inefficiencies would make theUnited States’ overseas assistance more effective and saveWashington money that it could invest in other aid anddevelopment programs.

Trump’s administration could pursue a cost-cuttingconsolidation, setting an example of effective bipartisancooperation.

Under the president’s foreign policy powers, and with theguidance of the secretary of state, the new department wouldhave the authority to review the overseas initiatives of otherU.S. cabinet departments to ensure that they fit into theUnited States' strategy for each developing country, bringingmore coherence to U.S. policy and further ensuring thatmoney and time are not wasted. For its part, the StateDepartment should retain its Economic Support Fund, whichprovides the aid resources needed to support its diplomaticfunctions; a new development department would work withU.S. diplomats to manage the fund at the country level, asUSAID does now.

One does not have to look far to find evidence thatconsolidating development agencies under a single cabinet-level department works well. Over the past few decades, theUnited Kingdom's Department for International Development

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has been run both under the oversight of the Foreign andCommonwealth Office and as its own cabinet-leveldepartment. Now ensconced in Whitehall as a full-fledgeddepartment, DFID has become arguably the most effectivedonor agency in the world and has gained a budget to match.DFID’s soft-power programs augment the policies developedby the Foreign and Commonwealth Office; at the same time,DFID’s cabinet-level perch allows its officials to weigh in ondomestic policies that affect developing countries. Thedepartment has warned against tying foreign aid to domesticspecial interests, for example, and although its arguments(such as those against certain agricultural subsidies) haveprevailed infrequently, they have at least been made clear tothe United Kingdom’s political leaders.

The same should be the case in the United States. The onlyway the necessary reforms will be politically successful is ifPresident-elect Donald Trump acts in the first days of hisadministration, before new cabinet secretaries are confirmedand consolidate their authority. With the president’s support,the U.S. Congress, which has been calling for reforms of thecountry’s development policies and has already implementeda few of them, could participate in shaping the reforms andapprove them on a bipartisan basis. Kennedy consolidated anumber of competing aid programs in the federal governmentin 1961, when he created USAID. Trump’s administrationcould pursue a further cost-cutting consolidation, setting anexample of effective bipartisan cooperation.

The United States’ national security depends on much morethan countering the hard- and soft-power efforts of majoradversaries. Today, underdevelopment in a number ofessential regions is among the country’s central challenges.Development, postconflict-transition, and humanitarian-reliefprograms are not the only counterweights Washington candeploy against the chaos that seems to be overwhelmingmany Western governments. But they are among the most

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effective and least costly, and they serve as an importantcrisis-prevention tool. The creation of a cabinet-leveldepartment for development would mean an institutionempowered to more effectively carry out an established,bipartisan strategy to support global and U.S. security.

J. BRIAN ATWOOD is a Senior Fellow at Brown University’s Watson Institute forInternational and Public Affairs and Professor Emeritus and former Dean of the Universityof Minnesota’s Humphrey School of Public Affairs. He was Administrator of USAID from1993 to 1999. ANDREW NATSIOS is an Executive Professor at Texas A&M University’sBush School of Government and Public Service, Director of its Scowcroft Institute ofInternational Affairs, and the author of Sudan, South Sudan, and Darfur: What EveryoneNeeds to Know. He was Administrator of USAID from 2001 to 2006.

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