delineating high crash locations with the use of gis

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SUNIL GYAWALI PLANNING WITH GIS DELINEATING HIGH CRASH LOCATIONS WITH THE USE OF GIS

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Page 1: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

SUNIL GYAWALI

PLANNING WITH GIS

DELINEATING HIGH CRASH LOCATIONS WITH THE USE OF GIS

Page 2: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

OBJECTIVE

• To delineate the high crash locations in GIS map

• To do the exploratory analysis about the relationships between crash characteristics (frequency, severity) with causal factors using GIS maps.

• To develop a model showing the relationship of frequency of crash with these causal factors.

Page 3: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

LITERATURE REVIEW

LITERATURES

GENERAL TRANSPORTATION

· Planning, design, safety, operation, environmental management, construction managemnt, right of way managemnt, etc.

· Data integration, cash referencing, mapping and spatial analysis capabilities of GIS made it useful for transportation.

HIGH CRASH LOCATIONS

· Crash referencing, querrying, mapping

· Critical crash rate

· Model can Be used to forecast crash.

· Integration of GIS with Crash Analysis Tool (Example :CARE)

Page 4: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

DATA SOURCES

• City of Lincoln

Data Type Source Institution URL

Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT)

City of Lincoln, Public Works Department Engineering Services Div.Traffic Operation Section

http://www.lincoln.ne.gov/city/pworks/engine/traffic/adtv/pdf/map/city2010.pdf

High Crash Data 2010 Crash Study, City of Lincoln, Prepared by

ITERIS

http://www.lincoln.ne.gov/city/pworks/engine/crash/pdf/2010-crash-report.pdf

GIS Road Shape FileCity of Lincoln and Lancaster County Geographic

Information Systems

http://www.lincoln.ne.gov/city/pworks/engine/crash/pdf/2010-crash-report.pdf

Page 5: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

DATA SOURCES

AADT

CITY REPORT

Page 6: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

CRASH DATA

1= F+I, 2= PDO, 3=NRTotal No. of Crashes = 937

Page 7: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

2771322976141016717458106951286632

PPROPERTY DAMAGE ONLY CRASH

26242220181614121086420

PDO

22

2120

19

1817

16

1514

13

1211

10

9

87

6

54

3

21

0

878121377612118695257363515645

FATAL AND INJURY CRASHES

26242220181614121086420

F+I

13

12

11

10

9

8

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

CRASH DATA

Count: 68Minimum: 3Maximum: 55Sum: 937Mean: 13.779412Standard Deviation:

10.285406

Count: 68Minimum: 1Maximum: 13Sum: 303Mean: 4.45Standard Deviation: 3.20

Count: 68Minimum: 0Maximum: 22Sum: 387Mean: 5.69Standard Deviation: 4.35

Count: 68Minimum: 0Maximum: 20Sum: 247Mean: 3.63Standard Deviation: 3.88

Page 8: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

METHODOLOGY

1.GIS Files (Road Data)

Source: City of Lincoln and Lancaster County

Geographic Information Systems)

1. High Crash DataSource: 2010 Crash Study,

City of Lincoln

2. Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) Information

Source: City of Lincoln, Public Works Department Engineering Services Div.Traffic Operation Section

ARC GIS 1. Geo-Coding

2. Joining Tables3. Selection methods

Modelling

OUTPUT 1

Different GIS Maps Relating Crash frequency, Crash Characteristics and

Crash Causal Factors

OUTPUT 2

Crash Frequency Poisson Model

Page 9: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS
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Major MinorMin 15550.00 2500.00Max 75500.00 65100.00

Average 47875.56 27905.77

Page 13: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

Minimum Speed Maximum Speed Mean of Total STD. Dev.

20 70 43.12 11.24

Page 14: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

Major MinorMin 0.03 0.04Max 0.76 0.59

Average 0.21 0.21

Page 15: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

MODELLING

Code Decsription

M_AADT Total AADT on the approaches of major street segement.

C_AADT Total AADT on the approaches of minor street segement.

M_SPEED Average speed on major street segment

C_SPEED Average speed on minor street segment

M_L Length of major street segment

C-L Length of minor street segment

CONTROL 0= Stop Control, 1= Signal Control

Independent Variables

Page 16: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

MODELLING

Model Equation: Log (Number of crashes on High Crash Locations) = 0.125 *10-4 *M_AADT+0.864*10-5 * C_AADT + 0.054*M_SPEED -1.565 *M-L +0.506* CONTROL

Page 17: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

DISCUSSION ON THE RESULTS•AADT of the major street approach is positively affecting the number of crashes. It can be said that the number of crashes will increase with the increment in AADT of the major street approach. This is in harmony with the observation in GIS Map.

•AADT of the minor street approach is positively affecting the number of crashes. It can be said that the number of crashes will increase with the increment in AADT of the minor street approach. This is in harmony with the observation in GIS Map.

•The average speed of major street segment is positively affecting the number of crashes. It can be said that the number of crashes will increase with the increment in the average speed of major street segment.

•The length of major street segment is negatively affecting the number of crashes. It can be said that the number of crashes will decrease with the increment in the length of major street segment.

•The presence of signal as the control of intersection is affecting the number of crashes positively. It can be said that the number of crashes will increase when there is signal control than stop control. This is in harmony with the observation in GIS Map.

Page 18: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

CONCLUSION• High Crash Locations were delineated in the GIS Maps.

• Some of the inferences obtained from GIS Maps about the relationship between frequency of crash and causal factors were harmonious.

• Statistical modeling showed POISITIVE REALTIONSHIP between crash frequency and

AADT Speed Signal Control

• Statistical modeling showed NEGATIVE REALTIONSHIP between crash frequency and

Length of Major Street Segment Length

Page 19: Delineating high crash locations with the use of GIS

Thank You !!