delta dental analysis
TRANSCRIPT
Edan Carignan, Caroline Rashidi, Shane Nath
Enterprise Resource Planning Computer System Upgrade
Sponsor: Mr. Gary Radine
Agenda❖ Company Summary
❖ Project Summary
❖ Project Constraints
❖ Financing The Project Using 100% Cash
❖ Maximum Debt
❖ Delayed Completion
❖ Delayed Layoffs
❖ Re-Upgrade of Project
❖ Possible Outcomes
❖ Recommendation
❖ Q&A
Company Summary❖ Non-profit organization founded in 1954
❖ Largest dental plan system in the US
❖ 39 members covering all 50 states
❖ Enrollment and gross revenues doubled by CEO Mr. Gary Radine
Project Summary❖ Best method of implementing ERP system
❖ 35 page report
❖ 5 detailed scenarios
❖ Possible outcomes of each scenario
❖ Recommendation to Delta Dental
Delay of ERP Implementation
Edan
All Cash Max Debt Delayed Layoffs
Shane
Re-Upgrade Possible Outcomes
Caroline
Project Constraints❖ Cash surplus cannot go below $200
million
❖ Only method of raising capital is a 3-year loan
❖ Loan amount limited to $80 million
❖ $20 million annual cash inflow
❖ Management prefers the funding to be from cash flow from operations and borrowings from the bank
Financing using 100% Cash❖ Policy to not go below $200
million in cash reserves
❖ $106 million project cost
❖ Risks
❖ Leverage will decrease $75
$150
$225
$300
Cash Su
rplus
Project C
ost
Cash SurplusProject CostCash Reserve Limit
Financing using 100% Cash
Comparable Companies Leverage Ratio (L/A)United Healthcare (UNH) 0.61Wellpoint (WLP) [acquired by Anthem] 0.63Aetna (AET) 0.72CIGNA Corp. (CI) 0.80Humana (HUM) 0.60Centene Corp. (CNC) 0.70Health Net, Inc. (HNT) 0.71WellCare Health Plans (WCG) 0.67Healthspring (HS) [acquired by Cigna] 0.47Molina Healthcare (MOH) 0.77
Average 0.67
0.18
0.35
0.53
0.70
Delta Dental Top 10
0.670.54
Maximum DebtPros
❖ More Liquid Cash
❖ Current Low Interest Rates
Cons
❖ Risk of Default
❖ Drop in Credit Rating
Maximum Debt
A.M Bests’ BCAR Model
❖ Business Profile
❖ Operating Performance
❖ Balance Sheet Strength
Delayed Completion of Project
59%41%
Exceed Budget
53% 47%
Take Longer
49% 51%
Receive Anticipated Benefits
Delayed Completion of Project
ERP Evaluation TeamPoorly Defined Requirements
Change in Management During Implementation
Choosing a Vendor Based Solely On Sales Pitch
Lack of Employee Training
Reason Solution
Involve more employees than ERP Evaluation Team
Spend time understanding your specific needs
Invest in comprehensive training programs
Delayed LayoffsScenario ❖ Originally 400 layoffs in
year 4❖ Delay of 200 employees
for 2 extra years
Reasons ❖ Project delayed❖ System is not as efficient
❖ Employee adjustment time
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6Cash Surplus $300,000 $397,850 $417,850 $369,500 $403,750 $433,250Cash from Operations $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 $20,000Borrowed Capital $33,216 -$33,216FTE Reductions $9,500 $14,250 $9,500 $4,750
Total $353,216 $417,850 $414,134 $403,750 $433,250 $458,000
Delayed LayoffsShort Term Effects ❖ Pay extra $28.5 million
Long Term Effects ❖ Fear of layoffs❖ Employee Morale
Decreases❖ Workplace Productivity
Decreases
Outcome ❖ Layoffs are necessary❖ Extra money is spent❖ Fear within employees is set
$28.5 million
Re-Upgrade of ProjectTechnological Revolution ❖ Significant investments in computer upgrades ❖ Opportunities in infrastructure and application development
To Stay Competitive ❖ Keep and increase market share ❖ Appropriate response to competitors
Possible Outcomes❖ Invest in marketing❖ Invest in mobile platform❖ Invest in research and risk management❖ Lower insurance premiums❖ Invest in money-market securities
Recommendation❖ Balloon payment and FTE
layoffs happen concurrently
❖ Strict layoff policy
❖ ERP Evaluation Team
❖ After successful project, Delta Dental should invest in the previously mentioned possible outcomes
68%
32%
Debt Cash
Questions?
Thank You