demographic trends and projections in texas and collin county...cottle taylor coryell bowie motley...
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Demographic Trends and Projections in Texas and Collin County
Collin Baptist Association ReVision Team MeetingJune 11, 2020
@TexasDemography
Demographic Overview
• Texas is experiencing significant growth.
• Migration is the primary source of growth for metropolitan areas in Texas.
• For the third year in a row, the Dallas‐Fort Worth‐Arlington metro area added more people between 2017 and 2018 than any other metro in the country.
• About 60% of population change in the DFW metro area can be attributed to net migration.
• Internally, the DFW metro has significant population reallocation, impacting the principal core counties of Dallas and Tarrant in very different ways.
• International migration plays a key role in population growth in the DFW metro area.
• A young and growing workforce could be a competitive edge for Texas and its growing metro areas.
• Demographic shifts may have serious implications for maintaining inclusive and equitable economic growth in the state.
2
Population Growth of Select States, 2000‐2019
3
2000Population
2010Population
2019 Population
NumericChange
2010‐2019
PercentChange
2010‐2019
United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 32,823,9523 19,481,418 6.3%
Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 28,995,881 3,849,790 15.3%
California 33,871,648 37,253,956 39,512,223 2,257,704 6.1%
Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 21,477,737 2,673,173 14.2%
Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 10,617,423 928,694 9.6%
North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 10,488,084 952,333 10.0%
Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 7,614,893 890,353 13.2%
Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 7,278,717 886,429 13.9%
Colorado 5,029,196 5,029,196 5,758,736 729,417 14.5%Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2019 Population Estimates.
4
Texas added 367,215 people between July 1, 2018 and July 1, 2019.
• About 1,006 people per day added to our population.
• About 483 persons per day from natural increase (more births than deaths)
• About 523 per day from net migration (178 international and 345 domestic migrants per day).
Natural Increase48%Domestic
Migration34%
International Migration
18%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 Population Estimates.
Estimates of Components of Population Change, Texas, 2011‐2019
5Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Vintage population estimates
213,651 208,964 205,795 213,541 214,380 212,021 209,690 190,951 175,878
70,535 76,954 82,44995,661 110,155 111,983 110,417
104,976
65,044
117,615145,513
110,614
163,160174,200
125,80079,163
82,569
125,660
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Natural Increase International Migration Domestic Net Migration
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
Presidio Terrell
Reeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Duval
Harris
Hill
Frio
Bell
Kenedy
Kerr
Starr
Polk
Clay
Jeff Davis
Irion
Uvalde
Sutton
Hall
Ellis
Dallam
Gaines
Bexar
Hidalgo
Leon
Hale
Bee
Hartley
Upton
Kinney
Erath
Brazoria
King
Oldham
Zavala
Dimmit
Jack Kent
Gray
Cass
Kimble
Lynn Wise
Lamb Floyd
Andrews
Terry
Coke
Llano Milam
Travis
Ector
Knox
Falls
Collin
Nueces
Ward
Bowie
Kleberg
Foard
Culberson
Edwards
La Salle
Tyler
Medina
Hunt
Rusk
Liberty
Smith
Mills
Lee
Matagorda
Jones
Burnet
Nolan
Potter
Zapata
Cottle
Taylor
Coryell Reagan Houston
Motley
Brown
Young
Maverick
Lamar
Real
Martin
Coleman
Garza
Dallas
Jasper
Fisher
Tom Green
Moore
Cameron
Baylor
Deaf Smith
Archer
Scurry
Mason
Cooke
Navarro
Parker
Castro
Brooks
Atascosa
Hardin
DeWitt
Lavaca
Bailey
Donley
Bosque El Paso
Denton
Goliad
Wharton
Fannin
Runnels
Concho
Tarrant
Hays Fayette
Carson
Schleicher
Crosby
Crane
Borden
Calhoun
Gillespie
Haskell
Newton
Live Oak
Jefferson
McMullen
Jim Hogg
Randall
Sterling
Briscoe
Shelby
Mitchell
Parmer
Victoria
Wilson
Roberts
Menard
San Saba
Howard
Wood
Panola
Grayson
Trinity
Bastrop
Walker
Midland
Gonzales
Hockley
Anderson
Dickens
Swisher
Winkler
Dawson
Cherokee
Wheeler
Willacy
Grimes
Harrison
Colorado
Red River
Eastland
Lubbock
Williamson
Hemphill
Refugio
Karnes Jackson
McCulloch
Ochiltree
Wilbarger
Austin
Sherman
McLennan
Hansford
Blanco
Callahan Loving
Yoakum
Angelina
Lipscomb
Stephens
Hopkins
Palo Pinto
Stonewall
Montague
Hamilton
Bandera
Jim Wells
Cochran
Limestone
Fort Bend
Kaufman
Armstrong
Freestone Comanche
Montgomery
Glasscock
Kendall
Henderson
Galveston
Comal
Johnson Van Zandt
Wichita
Chambers
Titus
Robertson
Brazos
Hutchinson
Sabine
Upshur
Waller
Shackelford Hood
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Collingsworth
Lampasas
Throckmorton
Hardeman
Guadalupe Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Delta
Orange
Rains
Gregg
San Augustine
Morris
Franklin
Somervell
Rockwall
Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2019
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Population Estimates
169 - 10,000
10,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 500,000
5000,001 - 2,000,000
2,000,001 - 4,713,325
Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2019
7
104 counties lost population over the 9 year period.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Population Estimates
-3,663 - 0
1 - 5,000
5,001 - 25,000
25,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 620,149
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
Presidio Terrell
Reeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Duval
Harris
Hill
Frio
Bell
Kenedy
Kerr
Starr
Polk
Clay
Jeff Davis
Irion
Uvalde
Sutton
Hall
Ellis
Dallam
Gaines
Bexar
Hidalgo
Leon
Hale
Bee
Hartley
Upton
Kinney
Erath
Brazoria
King
Oldham
Zavala
Dimmit
Jack Kent
Gray
Cass
Kimble
Lynn Wise
Lamb Floyd
Andrews
Terry
Coke
Llano Milam
Travis
Ector
Knox
Falls
Collin
Nueces
Ward
Bowie
Kleberg
Foard
Culberson
Edwards
La Salle
Tyler
Medina
Hunt
Rusk
Liberty
Smith
Mills
Lee
Matagorda
Jones
Burnet
Nolan
Potter
Zapata
Cottle
Taylor
Coryell Reagan Houston
Motley
Brown
Young
Maverick
Lamar
Real
Martin
Coleman
Garza
Dallas
Jasper
Fisher
Tom Green
Moore
Cameron
Baylor
Deaf Smith
Archer
Scurry
Mason
Cooke
Navarro
Parker
Castro
Brooks
Atascosa
Hardin
DeWitt
Lavaca
Bailey
Donley
Bosque El Paso
Denton
Goliad
Wharton
Fannin
Runnels
Concho
Tarrant
Hays Fayette
Carson
Schleicher
Crosby
Crane
Borden
Calhoun
Gillespie
Haskell
Newton
Live Oak
Jefferson
McMullen
Jim Hogg
Randall
Sterling
Briscoe
Shelby
Mitchell
Parmer
Victoria
Wilson
Roberts
Menard
San Saba
Howard
Wood
Panola
Grayson
Trinity
Bastrop
Walker
Midland
Gonzales
Hockley
Anderson
Dickens
Swisher
Winkler
Dawson
Cherokee
Wheeler
Willacy
Grimes
Harrison
Colorado
Red River
Eastland
Lubbock
Williamson
Hemphill
Refugio
Karnes Jackson
McCulloch
Ochiltree
Wilbarger
Austin
Sherman
McLennan
Hansford
Blanco
Callahan Loving
Yoakum
Angelina
Lipscomb
Stephens
Hopkins
Palo Pinto
Stonewall
Montague
Hamilton
Bandera
Jim Wells
Cochran
Limestone
Fort Bend
Kaufman
Armstrong
Freestone Comanche
Montgomery
Glasscock
Kendall
Henderson
Galveston
Comal
Johnson Van Zandt
Wichita
Chambers
Titus
Robertson
Brazos
Hutchinson
Sabine
Upshur
Waller
Shackelford Hood
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Collingsworth
Lampasas
Throckmorton
Hardeman
Guadalupe Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Delta
Orange
Rains
Gregg
San Augustine
Morris
Franklin
Somervell
Rockwall
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
Presidio
Culberson
Terrell
Reeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Duval
Harris
Hill
Frio
Bell
Kenedy
Kerr Edwards
Starr
Polk
Clay
Jeff Davis
Irion
Uvalde
Sutton
Hall
Ellis
Dallam
Gaines
Bexar
Hidalgo
Leon
Hale
Bee
Hartley
Upton
Kinney
Erath
Brazoria
King
Oldham
Zavala
Dimmit
Jack Kent
La Salle
Tyler
Gray
Cass
Medina
Kimble
Lynn Wise Hunt
Rusk
Lamb Floyd
Andrews
Liberty
Terry
Coke
Llano Milam
Travis
Ector
Smith
Knox
Mills
Lee
Falls
Collin
Nueces
Jones
Ward
Burnet
Nolan
Potter
Cottle
Taylor
Coryell
Bowie
Motley
Young
Lamar
Real
Martin
Garza
Dallas Fisher
Moore
Kleberg
Cameron
Baylor
Deaf Smith
Archer
Scurry
Mason
Cooke
Navarro
Parker
Castro
Hardin
Donley
El Paso
Denton
Goliad
Fannin
Schleicher
Gillespie
Shelby
Menard
Foard
Wood
Panola
Harrison
Eastland
Bandera
Matagorda
Zapata
Reagan Houston
Brown
Maverick
Coleman
Jasper
Tom Green
Brooks
Atascosa DeWitt
Lavaca
Bailey
Bosque
Wharton
Runnels
Concho
Tarrant
Hays Fayette
Carson
Crosby
Crane
Borden
Calhoun
Haskell
Newton
Live Oak
Jefferson
McMullen
Jim Hogg
Randall
Sterling
Briscoe
Mitchell
Parmer
Victoria
Wilson
Roberts
San Saba
Howard
Grayson
Trinity
Bastrop
Walker
Midland
Gonzales
Hockley
Anderson
Dickens
Swisher
Winkler
Dawson
Cherokee
Wheeler
Willacy
Grimes
Colorado
Red River
Lubbock
Williamson
Hemphill
Refugio
Karnes Jackson
McCulloch
Ochiltree
Wilbarger
Austin
Sherman
McLennan
Hansford
Blanco
Callahan
Loving
Yoakum
Angelina
Lipscomb
Stephens
Hopkins
Palo Pinto
Stonewall
Montague
Hamilton
Jim Wells
Cochran
Limestone
Fort Bend
Kaufman
Armstrong
Freestone Comanche
Montgomery
Glasscock
Kendall
Henderson
Galveston
Comal
Johnson
Van Zandt
Wichita
Chambers
Titus
Robertson
Brazos
Hutchinson
Sabine
Upshur
Waller
Shackelford Hood
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Collingsworth
Lampasas
Throckmorton
Hardeman
Guadalupe
Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Washington
Delta
Orange
Rains
Gregg
San Augustine
Morris
Franklin
Camp
Somervell
Rockwall
Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2019
8Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Population Estimates
-33% - -5%
-4% - 0%
1% - 15%
16% - 31%
32% - 106%
Top 15 Metros in Numeric Growth, 2010 to 2019
Rank Name April 1, 2010 July 1, 2018 July 1, 2019NumericChange
Percent Change
1 .Dallas‐Fort Worth‐Arlington, TX 6,366,537 7,455,756 7,573,136 1,206,599 19.0
2 .Houston‐The Woodlands‐Sugar Land, TX 5,920,487 6,976,147 7,066,141 1,145,654 19.4
3 .Phoenix‐Mesa‐Chandler, AZ 4,193,129 4,849,209 4,948,203 755,074 18.0
4 .Atlanta‐Sandy Springs‐Alpharetta, GA 5,286,718 5,945,303 6,020,364 733,646 13.9
5 .Washington‐Arlington‐Alexandria, DC‐VA‐MD‐WV 5,649,688 6,247,841 6,280,487 630,799 11.2
6 .Miami‐Fort Lauderdale‐Pompano Beach, FL 5,566,274 6,143,837 6,166,488 600,214 10.8
7 .Seattle‐Tacoma‐Bellevue, WA 3,439,808 3,935,179 3,979,845 540,037 15.7
8 .Austin‐Round Rock‐Georgetown, TX 1,716,323 2,165,497 2,227,083 510,760 29.8
9 .Orlando‐Kissimmee‐Sanford, FL 2,134,399 2,574,838 2,608,147 473,748 22.2
10 .Riverside‐San Bernardino‐Ontario, CA 4,224,948 4,612,542 4,650,631 425,683 10.1
11 .Denver‐Aurora‐Lakewood, CO 2,543,608 2,931,665 2,967,239 423,631 16.7
12 .Tampa‐St. Petersburg‐Clearwater, FL 2,783,485 3,154,649 3,194,831 411,346 14.8
13 .San Antonio‐New Braunfels, TX 2,142,520 2,512,379 2,550,960 408,440 19.1
14 .San Francisco‐Oakland‐Berkeley, CA 4,335,593 4,726,314 4,731,803 396,210 9.1
15 .Charlotte‐Concord‐Gastonia, NC‐SC 2,243,963 2,592,950 2,636,883 392,920 17.5
9Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates
County U.S. Rank
2019 Population Estimate
PopulationChange
2018‐2019
Percent of Change from
Natural Increase
Percent of Change from Domestic Migration
Percent of Change from International Migration
Harris 3 4,713,325 33,280 116.5% ‐91.5% 74.8%Collin 4 1,034,730 30,423 20.8% 65.6% 13.5%Denton 5 887,207 28,466 19.8% 74.0% 5.8%Travis 6 1,273954 27,382 32.7% 51.0% 15.7%
Williamson 9 590,551 24,088 15.3% 81.0% 3.3%Fort Bend 10 811,688 23,607 24.4% 57.1% 18.5%Bexar 11 2,003,554 22,367 56.0% 33.5% 10.5%Tarrant 12 2,102,515 21,069 65.1% 12.1% 23.0%
Montgomery 16 607,391 17,621 18.3% 76.2% 5.3%Comal 46 156,209 8,068 4.3% 94.2% 1.1%
Kaufman 49 136,154 7,875 9.4% 90.5% ‐0.1%Bell 53 362,924 7,527 48.3% 49.8% 1.5%Hays 54 230,191 7,485 19.9% 76.8% 2.8%
Hidalgo 74 868,707 6,409 147.6% ‐47.4% ‐0.3%Dallas 77 2,635,516 6,166 345.9% ‐395.5% 149.9%
Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2018‐2019
Harris, Dallas, and Hidalgo Counties had negative net migration.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 Population Estimates
Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2018‐2019
County100 U.S. Rank 2019 Population Estimate
Population Change
2018‐2019
Percent PopulationChange
2018‐2019
Percent of PopulationChange from
Natural Increase
Percent of Population Change from Domestic Migration
Percent of Population Change from International Migration
Kaufman 2 136,154 7,875 6.1% 9.4% 90.5% ‐0.1%Comal 4 156,209 8,068 5.4% 4.3% 94.2% 1.1%
Rockwall 6 104,915 4,369 4.3% 9.8% 88.6% 1.5%Williamson 9 590,551 24,088 4.3% 15.3% 81.0% 3.3%Kendall 14 47,431 1,828 4.0% 0.6% 97.9% 1.5%Andrews 18 18,705 694 3.9% 14.0% 84.0% 2.0%Chambers 20 43,837 1,610 3.8% 17.8% 80.1% 2.2%Parker 25 142,878 4,808 3.5% 8.2% 90.9% 0.7%Hays 28 230,191 7,485 3.4% 19.9% 76.8% 2.8%
Denton 32 887,207 28,466 3.3% 19.8% 74.0% 5.8%Ellis 34 184,826 5,820 3.3% 16.0% 83.2% 0.7%
Waller 36 55,246 1,734 3.2% 20.0% 78.4% 1.4%Gaines 37 21,492 672 3.2% 46.0% 43.9% 10.0%Collin 49 1,034,730 30,423 3.0% 20.8% 65.6% 13.5%
*Among counties with populations of 10,000 or more in 2018.Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Population Estimates
Rank Geographic AreaPopulation Estimate Change, 2018 to 2019
July 1, 2018 July 1, 2019 Number Percent
1 Leander, TX 55,924 62,608 6,684 12.02 Apex, NC 53,859 59,300 5,441 10.13 Chico, CA 94,342 103,301 8,959 9.54 Doral, FL 60,762 65,741 4,979 8.25 Bentonville, AR 51,103 54,909 3,806 7.46 Meridian, ID 106,464 114,161 7,697 7.27 Georgetown, TX 74,275 79,604 5,329 7.28 Buckeye, AZ 74,339 79,620 5,281 7.19 New Braunfels, TX 84,495 90,209 5,714 6.810 Redmond, WA 67,436 71,929 4,493 6.711 Frisco, TX 188,452 200,490 12,038 6.412 Fort Myers, FL 82,229 87,103 4,874 5.913 Lehi, UT 65,958 69,724 3,766 5.714 Castle Rock, CO 65,000 68,484 3,484 5.415 Milpitas, CA 80,208 84,196 3,988 5.016 Goodyear, AZ 82,873 86,840 3,967 4.817 Maricopa, AZ 50,028 52,127 2,099 4.218 Wylie, TX 51,003 53,067 2,064 4.019 Conroe, TX 87,578 91,079 3,501 4.020 Lacey, WA 50,600 52,592 1,992 3.921 Bonita Springs, FL 57,398 59,637 2,239 3.922 McKinney, TX 191,748 199,177 7,429 3.9
12Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Vintage Population Estimates; Note: places with populations of 50,000 or more in 2018
Fastest‐Growing Large Cities and Towns between 2018 and 2019*
Population of Select Cities in Collin County, 2010‐2019
13
U.S. Rank
TX Rank Place Census
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
70 9 Plano, TX 259,841 267,035 272,329 274,708 278,226 283,887 287,269 287,715 288,747 287,677
116 14 Frisco, TX 116,989 123,515 128,445 136,794 144,965 154,390 164,176 177,730 188,452 200,490
121 16 McKinney, TX 131,117 137,928 143,510 149,207 157,143 163,612 173,577 182,104 191,748 199,177
292 38 Allen, TX 84,246 87,680 89,812 92,173 94,215 98,344 99,742 101,214 103,577 105,623
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019 Vintage Population Estimates
Collin CountyIn‐Flows Net Migration
Dallas County 17,837 3,606
Denton County 7,605 ‐3,556
Asia 5,491
Tarrant County 2,632 432
Africa 1,256
Harris County 1,131 251
Central America 1,024
Los Angeles, CA 1,020 510
Bexar County 805 265
Grayson County 507 ‐948
Hunt County 238 ‐759
County to County Migration Flows, Collin County, 2013‐2017
14Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013‐2017 ACS County to County Migration Flows
Texas continues to diversify.
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2010 and 2018
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2018 Population Estimates 11
NH White, 45%
NH Black, 12%
NH Asian, 4%
NH Other, 2%
Hispanic, 38%
2010
White, NH42%
Black, NH12%
Asian, NH5%
Other, NH2%
Hispanic40%
2018
484,211 541,760 1,907,928 473,193 149,192
13.6% 15.2%
53.6%
13.3%
4.2%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian NH Other
Percent Contribution by Race/Ethnicity to Total Population Change, 2010 to 2018
Race/Ethnicity Composition, DFW Metro Area, Collin County and Select Cities, 2018
17
Hispanic NH White NH Black NH Asian NH Other
Collin County 15.4% 55.9% 10.1% 15.7% 2.8%
Allen 10.5% 60.5% 9.4% 17.2% 2.4%
Frisco 11.0% 59.0% 7.7% 18.8% 3.5%
McKinney 17.9% 61.0% 11.5% 6.6% 3.0%
Plano 15.2% 53.1% 8.2% 20.3% 3.1%Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 Population Estimates
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 American Community Survey 1‐YearEstimates
DFW Metro Area
Hispanic29%
NH White46%
NH Black15%
NH Asian7%
NH Other3%
Numeric and Percent Change by Race/Ethnicity, Select Cities in Collin County, 2010‐2018
18
Allen Frisco McKinney Plano
Num Chg % Chg Num Chg % Chg Num Chg % Chg Num Chg % Chg
Total 15,009 17.8% 48,711 41.6% 42,343 32.3% 24,738 9.5%
NH White 5,393 9.9% 19,265 24.5% 21,248 25.1% ‐531 ‐0.4%
NH Asian 6,285 58.3% 19,528 168.8% 6,222 118.6% 14,166 32.4%
Hispanic or Latino 962 10.2% 4,148 29.3% 6,689 27.4% 5,136 13.5%
NH Black 2,463 35.7% 3,568 38.9% 6,501 48.5% 4,216 22.0%
NH Other ‐94 ‐3.8% 2,202 62.6% 1,683 48.0% 1,751 24.4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Summary File 1; 2018 American Community Survey 1‐Year Estimates
Age Distribution for Select Cities in Collin County, 2018
Allen Frisco McKinney Plano
Under 5 years 5,931 10,105 13,095 15,332
5 to 17 years 22,716 42,230 37,457 49,466
18 to 24 years 7,803 10,112 13,418 23,000
25 to 44 years 26,485 48,710 51,935 81,003
45 to 64 years 28,235 41,770 40,310 79,688
65 plus 8,085 12,773 17,245 36,090
Total 99,255 165,700 173,460 284,579
Median Age 37.2 36.9 35.4 38.6
19Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 American Community Survey 5‐Year Estimates
Percent Change by Age Group for Select Cities in Collin County, 2010‐2018
20Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Summary File 1; 2018 American Community Survey 1‐Year Estimates
‐20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
Allen Frisco McKinney Plano
Under 5 years 5 to 17 years 18 to 24 years 25 to 44 years45 to 64 years 65 plus Total Median Age
Marital Status, Select Cities in Collin County, 2018
Married Widowed Divorced SeparatedNever Married
Allen 60.3% 3.0% 9.3% 0.9% 26.6%Frisco 65.6% 3.1% 7.8% 0.8% 22.7%McKinney 58.8% 3.9% 9.7% 1.6% 26.0%Plano 57.3% 4.2% 9.5% 1.3% 27.7%
21Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Summary File 1; 2018 American Community Survey 1‐Year Estimates
Language Spoken at Home, Select Cities in Collin County, 2018
Allen Frisco McKinney Plano
Speak English less than very well 7.9% 6.0% 7.5% 12.8%
Speak Spanish 29.4% 28.7% 35.7% 41.0%
Speak Asian and Pacific Island languages 37.5% 22.2% 37.4% 41.2%
Speak Other languages 23.0% 16.5% 19.7% 25.4%
22Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Summary File 1; 2018 American Community Survey 1‐Year Estimates
Texas economic indicators
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
Total Hispanic NHWhite
Black Asian Total Hispanic NHWhite
Black Asian
Texas DFW Allen Frisco McKinney Plano
Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, DFW Metro, and Select Cities in Collin County, 2018
24Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 American Community Survey 5‐Year Estimates
High School Degree and above
Bachelor’s Degree and above
Educational attainment in Collin County cities is generally higher than that of the state and the metro. However, educational disparities by race/ethnicity are still evident.
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
Total NH White Hispanic Black Asian
Texas DFW Allen Frisco McKinney Plano
Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, DFW Metro, and McKinney, 2018
25Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 American Community Survey 5‐Year Estimates
Median household incomes in Collin County citiestend to be higher than the state and DFW for all race/ethnic groups, but disparities by race/ethnicity remain.
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
Total NH White Hispanic Black Asian Total NH White Hispanic Black Asian
Texas DFW Allen Frisco McKinney Plano
Unemployment and Poverty Rates by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, DFW Metro, and Select Cities in Collin County, 2018
26
The unemployment and poverty rates in Collin County cities tend to be lower than the state and DFW rates, but racial disparities are still evident especially for African Americans.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 American Community Survey 5‐Year Estimates
Poverty Rate
Unemployment Rate
Uninsured Rates by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, DFW Metro, and Select Cities in Collin County, 2018
27
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
Total NH White Hispanic Black Asian
Texas DFW Allen Frisco McKinney Plano
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2018 American Community Survey 5‐Year Estimates
Uninsured rates tend to be lower in Collin County cities than in Texas or DFW. However, large racial/ethnic disparities are still evident.
opulation Projections
Projected Population, 2010‐2050, Texas
29
31.2
40.5
54.4
47.3
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Millions
Zero Migration
0.5 Migration
1.0 Migration
2010‐2015 Migration
Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 and 2018 Population Projections
Projected Population by Race and Ethnicity, Texas 2010‐2050
30Source: Texas Demographic Center 2018 Population Projections
13.5
6.0
20.2
5.8
1.80
5
10
15
20
25
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Millions
NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian NH Other
Population Projections, DFW Metro Largest Counties, 2010‐2050
31Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2018 Population Projections
0.8
2.42.4
3.9
0.7
2.3
1.8
3.2
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Millions
Collin Dallas Denton Tarrant
6,366,542
9,264,580
13,173,646
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Projected Population by Race/Ethnicity, Collin County, 2010‐2030
32
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian NH Other
Projected Population by Age Group, Collin County, 2010‐2030
33
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Under 18 18‐44 45‐64 65 plus
