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Page 1: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

3

PowerPoint presentation to accompany

Heizer and Render

Operations Management, Eleventh Edition

Principles of Operations Management, Ninth Edition

PowerPoint slides by Jeff Heyl

DESIGN OF GOODS

AND SERVICES

Page 2: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

► Global market

► 3-dimensional CAD system

► Reduced product development time

► Reduced problems with tooling

► Reduced problems in production

► Assembly line production

► JIT

Regal Marine

Page 3: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society

Great products are the key to success

Top organizations typically focus on core products

Customers buy satisfaction, not just a physical good or particular service

Fundamental to an organization's strategy with implications throughout the operations function

GOODS AND SERVICES SELECTION

Page 4: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Goods or services are the basis for an organization's existence

Limited and predicable life cycles requires constantly looking for, designing, and developing new products

New products generate substantial revenue

GOODS AND SERVICES SELECTION

Page 5: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

The higher the percentage of sales from the last 5 years, the more likely the firm is to be a leader.

50% –

40% –

30% –

20% –

10% –

0% – Industry leader

Top third

Middle third

Bottom third

Position of firm in its industry

Perc

en

t o

f sale

s f

rom

n

ew

pro

du

cts

GOODS AND SERVICES SELECTION

Page 6: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

The objective of the product decision is to develop and implement a product

strategy that meets the demands of the marketplace with a competitive

advantage

PRODUCT DECISION

Page 7: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

PRODUCT STRATEGY OPTIONS

Differentiation

► Shouldice Hospital

Low cost

► Taco Bell

Rapid response

► Toyota

Page 8: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

PRODUCT LIFE CYCLES

May be any length from a few days to decades

The operations function must be able to introduce new products successfully

Page 9: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Negative cash flow

Introduction Growth Maturity Decline

Sale

s,

cost,

and c

ash f

low

Cost of development and production

Cash flow

Net revenue (profit)

Sales revenue

Loss

PRODUCT LIFE CYCLES

Page 10: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Life Cycle and Strategy

Introductory Phase

Fine tuning may warrant unusual expenses for

1. Research

2. Product development

3. Process modification and enhancement

4. Supplier development

Page 11: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Growth Phase

Product design begins to stabilize

Effective forecasting of capacity becomes necessary

Adding or enhancing capacity may be necessary

Life Cycle and Strategy

Page 12: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Maturity Phase

Competitors now established

High volume, innovative production may be needed

Improved cost control, reduction in options, paring down of product line

Life Cycle and Strategy

Page 13: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Decline Phase

Unless product makes a special contribution to the organization, must plan to terminate offering

Life Cycle and Strategy

Page 14: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Product Life Cycle Costs

Costs incurred

Costs committed

Ease of change

Concept Detailed Manufacturing Distribution,

design design service,

prototype and disposal

Perc

ent

of

tota

l cost

100 –

80 –

60 –

40 –

20 –

0 –

Page 15: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Product-by-Value Analysis

Lists products in descending order of their individual dollar contribution to the firm

Lists the total annual dollar contribution of the product

Helps management evaluate alternative strategies

Page 16: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

5 - 16 © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

Produk yang dihasilkan perusahaan, dalam perjalanannya tentunya mengalami tahapan seperti

yang sesuai siklus hidupnya, sehingga pemilihan produk, pendefinisian produk maupun desain produk

perlu secara terus menerus diperbaharui

RANCANGAN PRODUK

Page 17: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

5 - 17 © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

Product Strategi Options Support Competitive Advantage

Manajemen mempunyai berbagai pilihan dalam hal seleksi, ketentuan, dan desain atas barang dan jasa yang akan dijual perusahaan.

Seleksi produk adalah kegiatan pemilihan barang atau jasa yang akan digunakan untuk memenuhi kebutuhan konsumen atau klien perusahaan.

Hasil keputusan produk dari seleksi yang dilakukan merupakan hal yang fundamental dan mempunyai implikasi yang besar pada fungsi operasi.

Keputusan produk akan mempengaruhi biaya peralatan modal, desain tata letak, kebutuhan ruang, keahlian orang-orang yang dipekerjakan dan yang harus diberi pelatihan, bahan mentah, dan proses yang digunakan.

Page 18: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

5 - 18 © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

Ada enam faktor yang mempengaruhi peluang pasar, yaitu perubahan:

1. Selara konsumen,

2. Ekonomi,

3. Sosial dan demografi,

4. Teknologi,

5. Politik dan hukum,

6. Perubahan yang lain seperti: Praktek di pasar

Standar profesi

Supplier

Distributor

New Product Opportunities

Page 19: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

5 - 19 © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc.

STRATEGI PENGENALAN PRODUK BARU

Ada 3 cara dasar untuk proses pengenalan produk baru:

1. Menarik-pasar (Market-Pull) Menurut pandangan ini, “Anda harus membuat apa yang dapat dijual”. Produk baru

ditentukan oleh pasar berdasarkan kebutuhan pelanggan. Jenis produk baru ditentukan

melalui penelitian pasar& umpan balik pelanggan, dgn sedikit perhatian terhadap

teknologi.

2. Mendorong-teknologi (Technology Push) Pandangan ini menyarankan“Anda harus menjual apa yang dapat anda buat”. Produk

baru diperoleh dari teknologi produksi, penggunaan teknologi yang canggih dan

kemudahan operasi, dengan sedikit perhatian terhadap pasar.

3. Antarfungsional(Interfunctional) Produk baru memerlukan kerjasama diantara pemasaran, operasi, keterampilan teknik,

dan fungsi lainnya sehingga menghasilkan produk yang memenuhi kebutuhan pelanggan

dengan penggunaan teknologi yang memberikan manfaat terbaik.

Page 20: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Generating New Products

1. Understanding the customer

2. Economic change

3. Sociological and demographic change

4. Technological change

5. Political and legal change

6. Market practice, professional standards, suppliers, distributors

Page 21: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Scope of

product

development

team

Product Development Stages

Scope for design and engineering

teams

Evaluation

Introduction

Test Market

Functional Specifications

Design Review

Product Specifications

Customer Requirements

Feasibility

Concept

Figure 5.3

Page 22: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Quality Function Deployment

1. Identify customer wants

2. Identify how the good/service will satisfy customer wants

3. Relate customer wants to product hows

4. Identify relationships between the firm’s hows

5. Develop customer importance ratings

6. Evaluate competing products

7. Compare performance to desirable technical attributes

Page 23: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

QFD House of Quality

Relationship matrix

How to satisfy customer wants

Interrelationships

Com

petitive

assessm

ent

Technical evaluation

Target values

What the customer

wants

Customer importance

ratings

Weighted rating

Page 24: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

House of Quality Example

Your team has been charged with designing a new camera for Great Cameras, Inc.

The first action is to construct a House of Quality

Page 25: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

House of Quality Example

Customer Importance rating

(5 = highest)

Lightweight 3

Easy to use 4

Reliable 5

Easy to hold steady 2

High resolution 1

What the customer wants

What the

Customer

Wants

Relationship

Matrix

Technical

Attributes and

Evaluation

How to Satisfy

Customer Wants

Interrelationships

An

aly

sis

of

Co

mp

eti

tors

Page 26: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

What the

Customer

Wants

Relationship

Matrix

Technical

Attributes and

Evaluation

How to Satisfy

Customer Wants

Interrelationships

An

aly

sis

of

Co

mp

eti

tors

Low

ele

ctr

icity r

equirem

ents

Alu

min

um

com

ponents

Auto

fo

cus

Auto

exposure

Hig

h n

um

ber

of pix

els

Erg

onom

ic d

esig

n How to Satisfy

Customer Wants

House of Quality Example

Page 27: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Lightweight 3

Easy to use 4

Reliable 5

Easy to hold steady 2

High resolution 1

What the

Customer

Wants

Relationship

Matrix

Technical

Attributes and

Evaluation

How to Satisfy

Customer Wants

Interrelationships

An

aly

sis

of

Co

mp

eti

tors

High relationship

Medium relationship

Low relationship

Relationship matrix

House of Quality Example

Page 28: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

House of Quality

Example

Low

ele

ctr

icity r

equirem

ents

Alu

min

um

com

ponents

Auto

fo

cus

Auto

exposure

Hig

h n

um

ber

of

pix

els

Erg

on

om

ic d

esig

n

Relationships between the things we can do

What the

Customer

Wants

Relationship

Matrix

Technical

Attributes and

Evaluation

How to Satisfy

Customer Wants

Interrelationships

An

aly

sis

of

Co

mp

eti

tors

Page 29: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Weighted rating

Lightweight 3

Easy to use 4

Reliable 5

Easy to hold steady 2

High resolution 1

Our importance ratings 22 9 27 27 32 25

What the

Customer

Wants

Relationship

Matrix

Technical

Attributes and

Evaluation

How to Satisfy

Customer Wants

Interrelationships

An

aly

sis

of

Co

mp

eti

tors

House of Quality

Example

Page 30: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Com

pany A

Com

pany B

G P

G P

F G

G P

P P

Lightweight 3

Easy to use 4

Reliable 5

Easy to hold steady 2

High resolution 1

Our importance ratings 22 5

How well do competing products meet customer wants

What the

Customer

Wants

Relationship

Matrix

Technical

Attributes and

Evaluation

How to Satisfy

Customer Wants

Interrelationships

An

aly

sis

of

Co

mp

eti

tors

House of Quality

Example

Page 31: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

What the

Customer

Wants

Relationship

Matrix

Technical

Attributes and

Evaluation

How to Satisfy

Customer Wants

Interrelationships

An

aly

sis

of

Co

mp

eti

tors

Target values (Technical attributes)

Technical evaluation

Company A 0.7 60% yes 1 ok G

Company B 0.6 50% yes 2 ok F

Us 0.5 75% yes 2 ok G

2 c

ircuits

Failu

re 1

per

10,0

00

Panel ra

nkin

g

0.5

A

75%

2’ t

o ∞

House of Quality

Example

Page 32: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Completed House of Quality

Low

ele

ctr

icity r

equirem

ents

Alu

min

um

com

ponents

Auto

focus

Auto

exposure

Hig

h n

um

ber

of pix

els

Erg

onom

ic d

esig

n

Com

pany

A

Com

pany

B

Lightweight 3

Easy to use 4

Reliable 5

Easy to hold steady 2

High resolution 1

Our importance ratings

G P

G P

F G

G P

P P

Target values (Technical attributes)

Technical evaluation

Company A 0.7 60% yes 1 ok G

Company B 0.6 50% yes 2 ok F

Us 0.5 75% yes 2 ok G

0.5

A

75

%

2’ t

o ∞

2 c

ircu

its

Failu

re 1

pe

r 1

0,0

00

Pa

ne

l ra

nkin

g

22 9 27 27 32 25

House of Quality

Example

Page 33: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

House of Quality Sequence

Deploying resources through the organization in response to customer requirements

Pro

duction

pro

cess

Quality plan

House 4

Specific

com

ponents

Production process

House 3

Desig

n

chara

cte

ristics

Specific components

House 2

Custo

mer

requirem

ents

Design characteristics

House 1

Page 34: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Organizing for Product Development

Traditionally – distinct departments

► Duties and responsibilities are defined

► Difficult to foster forward thinking

A Champion

► Product manager drives the product through the product development system and related organizations

Page 35: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Team approach

► Cross functional – representatives from all disciplines or functions

► Product development teams, design for manufacturability teams, value engineering teams

Japanese “whole organization” approach

► No organizational divisions

Organizing for Product Development

Page 36: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

MANUFACTURABILITY AND VALUE ENGINEERING

Benefits:

1. Reduced complexity of the product

2. Reduction of environmental impact

3. Additional standardization of components

4. Improvement of functional aspects of the product

5. Improved job design and job safety

6. Improved maintainability (serviceability) of the product

7. Robust design

Page 37: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Cost Reduction of a Bracket via Value Engineering

Page 38: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Issues for Product Design

Robust design

Modular design

Computer-aided design (CAD)

Computer-aided manufacturing (CAM)

Virtual reality technology

Value analysis

Sustainability and Life Cycle Assessment (LCA)

Page 39: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Product Development Continuum

Product life cycles are becoming shorter and the rate of technological change is increasing

Developing new products faster can result in a competitive advantage

Time-Based Competition

Page 40: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Internal Cost of product development Shared

Lengthy Speed of product development Rapid and/

or Existing

High Risk of product development Shared

External Development Strategies

Alliances

Joint ventures

Purchase technology or expertise by acquiring the developer

Internal Development Strategies

Migrations of existing products

Enhancements to existing products

New internally developed products

Product Development Continuum

Page 41: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Purchasing technology by acquiring a firm

► Speeds development

► Issues concern the fit between the acquired organization and product and the host

Joint Ventures

► Both organizations learn

► Risks are shared

Product Development Continuum

Page 42: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Through Alliances

► Cooperative agreements between independent organizations

► Useful when technology is developing

► Reduces risks

Product Development Continuum

Page 43: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Defining a Product

First definition is in terms of functions

Rigorous specifications are developed during the design phase

Manufactured products will have an engineering drawing

Bill of material (BOM) lists the components of a product

Page 44: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Engineering drawing ► Shows dimensions, tolerances, and

materials ► Shows codes for Group Technology

Bill of Material ► Lists components, quantities and where

used ► Shows product structure

Product Documents

Page 45: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Parts grouped into families with similar characteristics

Coding system describes processing and physical characteristics

Part families can be produced in dedicated manufacturing cells

GROUP TECHNOLOGY

Page 46: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Group Technology Scheme

Figure 5.10

(a) Ungrouped Parts (b) Grouped Cylindrical Parts (families of parts)

Grooved Slotted Threaded Drilled Machined

Page 47: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

1. Improved design

2. Reduced raw material and purchases

3. Simplified production planning and control

4. Improved layout, routing, and machine loading

5. Reduced tooling setup time, work-in-process, and production time

Group Technology Benefits

Page 48: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

PRODUCT LIFE-CYCLE MANAGEMENT (PLM)

Integrated software that brings together most, if not all, elements of product design and manufacture

Product design

CAD/CAM, DFMA

Product routing

Materials

Assembly

Environmental

Page 49: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

SERVICE DESIGN

Service typically includes direct interaction with the customer

Process – chain – network (PCN) analysis focuses on the ways in which processes can be designed to optimize interaction between firms and their customers

Page 50: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

PROCESS-CHAIN-NETWORK (PCN) ANALYSIS

Page 51: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Direct interaction region includes process steps that involve interaction between participants

The surrogate (substitute) interaction region includes process steps in which one participant is acting on another participant’s resources

The independent processing region includes steps in which the supplier and/or the customer is acting on resources where each has maximum control

PROCESS-CHAIN-NETWORK (PCN) ANALYSIS

Page 52: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

All three regions have similar operating issues but the appropriate way of handling the issues differs across regions

Service operations exist only within the area of direct and surrogate interaction

PCN analysis provides insight to aid in positioning and designing processes that can achieve strategic objectives

PROCESS-CHAIN-NETWORK (PCN) ANALYSIS

Page 53: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Adding Service Efficiency

Service productivity is notoriously low partially because of customer involvement in the design or delivery of the service, or both

Complicates product design

Page 54: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Limit the options

▶ Improves efficiency and ability to meet customer expectations

Delay customization

Modularization

▶ Eases customization of a service

Adding Service Efficiency

Page 55: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Automation

Reduces cost, increases customer service

Moment of truth

Critical moments between the customer and the organization that determine customer satisfaction

Adding Service Efficiency

Page 56: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Documents for Services

High levels of customer interaction necessitates different documentation

Often explicit job instructions

Scripts and storyboards are other techniques

Page 57: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

Application of Decision Trees to Product Design

Particularly useful when there are a series of decisions and outcomes which lead to other decisions and outcomes

Page 58: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

1. Include all possible alternatives and states of nature - including “doing nothing”

2. Enter payoffs at end of branch

3. Determine the expected value of each branch and “prune” the tree to find the alternative with the best expected value

Procedure

Application of Decision Trees to Product Design

Page 59: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

(.6)

Low sales

(.4)

High sales

(.6) Low sales

(.4)

High sales

Decision Tree Example

Purchase CAD

Hire and train engineers

Do nothing

Page 60: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

(.6) Low sales

(.4)

High sales Purchase CAD

(.6)

Low sales

(.4)

High sales

Hire and train engineers

Do nothing

$2,500,000 Revenue – 1,000,000 Mfg cost ($40 x 25,000) – 500,000 CAD cost

$1,000,000 Net

$800,000 Revenue – 320,000 Mfg cost ($40 x 8,000) – 500,000 CAD cost

– $20,000 Net loss

EMV (purchase CAD system) = (.4)($1,000,000) + (.6)(– $20,000)

Decision Tree Example

Page 61: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

(.6) Low sales

(.4)

High sales Purchase CAD

(.6)

Low sales

(.4)

High sales

Hire and train engineers

Do nothing

$2,500,000 Revenue – 1,000,000 Mfg cost ($40 x 25,000) – 500,000 CAD cost

$1,000,000 Net

$800,000 Revenue – 320,000 Mfg cost ($40 x 8,000) – 500,000 CAD cost

– $20,000 Net loss

$388,000

EMV (purchase CAD system) = (.4)($1,000,000) + (.6)(– $20,000)

= $388,000

Figure 5.13

Decision Tree Example

Page 62: DESIGN OF OODS AND SERVICES · Organizations exist to provide goods or services to society Great products are the key to success Top organizations typically focus on core products

(.6)

Low sales

(.4)

High sales

(.6) Low sales

(.4)

High sales Purchase CAD

$388,000

Hire and train engineers $365,000

Do nothing $0

$0 Net

$800,000 Revenue – 400,000 Mfg cost ($50 x 8,000) – 375,000 Hire and train cost

$25,000 Net

$2,500,000 Revenue – 1,250,000 Mfg cost ($50 x 25,000) – 375,000 Hire and train cost

$875,000 Net

$2,500,000 Revenue – 1,000,000 Mfg cost ($40 x 25,000) – 500,000 CAD cost

$1,000,000 Net

$800,000 Revenue – 320,000 Mfg cost ($40 x 8,000) – 500,000 CAD cost

– $20,000 Net loss

Figure 5.13

Decision Tree Example