development of an integrated earth system model at frcgc taroh matsuno michio kawamiya hisashi sato...
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Development of an Integrated Earth System Model at FRCGC
Taroh MATSUNO
Michio KAWAMIYA
Hisashi SATO
Kengo SUDO
Frontier Research Center for Global Change
(FRCGC)
Kyousei2 Project:Development of an Integrated Earth System Model at
FRCGC
PI: T. Matsuno
M. Aita, A. Abe-Ouchi***, A. Ito, S. Emori, T. Oikawa**, R. Ogaito, M. Kawamiya M. Kishi*,N. Kuba, T. Kohyama*, H. Kondo, H. Sato, Ta. Suzuki, Ts. Suzuki, K. Sudo, T. Segawa, K. Takata, M. Takahashi***, M. Takigawa, K. Tanaka, Y. Tsushima, Y. Yamanaka*, C. Yoshikawa, S. Watanabe (FRCGC)
M. Kimoto, K. Suzuki, T. Nakajima, H. Hasumi (CCSR/Univ. of Tokyo)
T. Nagashima, T. Nozawa (NIES)
T. Takemura (Kushu Univ.)
Double affiliates of FRCGC researchers: *Hokkaido Univ., **Univ. of Tsukuba, ***CCSR/Univ. of Tokyo
FRCGC Carbon Cycle Component Models: Terrestrial model
•Sim-CYCLE by Itoh & Oikawa (2002)
•20 PFTs without dynamic vegetation
•5 compartments for each PFT
“DGVMization” of Sim-CYCLE
Individual basis model, which explicitly treat 3D forest-structure within 30m x 30m patches
Foliage : biomass, crown diameter, crown depth Stem : biomass, height, sapwood & heartwood diameter Root : biomass
Individual characteristics
--- Shape of crown and stem are approximated by cylinder
DGVM: Dynamical Global Vegetation Model
-> Incorporation of the effect of biome-shift into Sim-CYCLE
FRCGC Carbon Cycle Component Models: Oceanic model
•4-compartment ecosystem model (Oschlies & Garcon, 1998)
•Treatment of carbonate system as recommended by OCMIP
•MIROC 3.2 Intermediate Resolution Version (no flux adjustment)
“borrowed” from the K-1 project
•Atmosphere:
CCSR/NIES/FRCGC AGCM 5.7
T42L20
Online aerosol
•Ocean:
COCO3.4 (developed by CCSR, Univ. of Tokyo)
(0.5-1.0)°×1.4°, 43 Layers + BBL
Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Model
Participation in C4MIP
• C4MIP: Coupled Carbon Cycle Climate Model Intercomparison Project– Strongly IPCC-conscious– Participants: Hadley (UK); IPSL (France); MPI
(Germany); LLNL, NCAR, Berkeley, Maryland, GFDL (US); CSIRO (Australia); FRCGC (Japan)
– Our “pacemaker”
Kyousei Integrated Synergetic System Model of the Earth
KISSME!
C4MIP Phase 1 Experiment
• Land-atmosphere coupled run– Do not really focus on climate-carbon cycle
interaction– CO2 as a simple tracer with sources and sinks
at the surface (including land use change)– Results due in Feb. 2005
Net Primary Production
NPP ( ISLSCP 17 model ave )
NPP ( Model; 1990-1999 ave )
0
5
10
15
0
5
10
15
[MgC/ha/yr] [MgC/ha/yr]
C4MIP Phase 2 Experiment
• Experiments with full coupled model including the ocean (like KISSME)
• In parallel with Phase 1• Protocol yet to be firmly established• “Flying leap” experiments can be its prototype.
– 1%/yr increase of CO2 emission– Experiments w/ and w/o interactions between climate
and carbon cycle– Results due to Feb. 2005?
Preliminary results from a “climate of 20th century” run with the full
coupled model
w/ interactions
w/o interactions
Obs.
Intrusion of anthropogenic CO2Obs. (Sabine et al., 2004) Model
Atlantic
Pacific
60S Eq. 60N
60S Eq. 40N
Summary for Carbon Cycle Modeling
• Preliminary results with land-atmosphere and land-atmosphere-ocean coupled models
• Collaboration with the “sister project” K-1-> tune-up of the coupled climate model
• Participation in C4MIP-> Contribution to IPCC AR4
• Fine-tuning of the carbon cycle components is now being carried out --- Stay tuned!