Development of NWS Satellite User Readiness

Development of NWS Satellite User Readiness

Mike Johnson

NWS/OST

November 4, 2009

Mike Johnson

NWS/OST

November 4, 2009

OverviewOverview

• Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal

• Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products

• NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R

• Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal

• Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products

• NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R

Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 1)Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 1)

• Strategic Goal: Develop a fully integrated observation system (e.g., satellite, radar, upper air, etc), along with (automated?) analysis tools to fully exploit data and enable strategic warn-on-forecast stretch goals

– Forecaster increasingly won’t have time to analyze growing amounts of observational & model data

– Need to assimilate observations from multiple platforms into products that directly address forecast & warning needs (e.g. convective initiation giving specific convective threat, icing threat, flood potential - versus – perceptible water observation, surface moisture & snow cover observations, freezing level observation)

– End-State Objective: System automatically analyzes the data and determines when the forecaster needs to react

• Strategic Goal: Develop a fully integrated observation system (e.g., satellite, radar, upper air, etc), along with (automated?) analysis tools to fully exploit data and enable strategic warn-on-forecast stretch goals

– Forecaster increasingly won’t have time to analyze growing amounts of observational & model data

– Need to assimilate observations from multiple platforms into products that directly address forecast & warning needs (e.g. convective initiation giving specific convective threat, icing threat, flood potential - versus – perceptible water observation, surface moisture & snow cover observations, freezing level observation)

– End-State Objective: System automatically analyzes the data and determines when the forecaster needs to react

Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 2)Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 2)

• Strategic Goal is end-state objective – We will likely not be there at Day-1 GOES-R

But….

• We need to be moving in that direction

• There are things we should be pursuing now and the satellite community can and should be leading the way!

• Strategic Goal is end-state objective – We will likely not be there at Day-1 GOES-R

But….

• We need to be moving in that direction

• There are things we should be pursuing now and the satellite community can and should be leading the way!

Near-Term Satellite ChallengesNear-Term Satellite Challenges

• Bandwidth – How and what satellite products will be available to Users?

– Push-Pull, Product integration, AWIPS development. How will GAS work (details)?

– How do requirements differ between WFO’s, Centers

– How do requirements differ regionally, seasonally, how to handle localized products

• Training – How do we prepare users for this explosion of data and implications to warning processes near term (day 1)

• How do we systematically progress towards our strategic goal

• Bandwidth – How and what satellite products will be available to Users?

– Push-Pull, Product integration, AWIPS development. How will GAS work (details)?

– How do requirements differ between WFO’s, Centers

– How do requirements differ regionally, seasonally, how to handle localized products

• Training – How do we prepare users for this explosion of data and implications to warning processes near term (day 1)

• How do we systematically progress towards our strategic goal

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Calendar Year

Dail

y-M

ean

Data

Rate

(M

bp

s)

Other

Satellite

Radar

Model

NWS AWIPS SBN Data Rate Projections

w/NPP

w/NPOESS C1

w/GOES-R

w/NPOESS C2

w/GOES-S

w/MPAR

Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products

Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products

• GOES-R Proving Ground (PG) Activities guided by Proving Ground Plan

• NWS User-Readiness & Infrastructure Planning Studies

• NWS User Readiness Working Group Formed to develop user-readiness – feed back to PG activities

– Initially, group is small internal NWS member group which will grow incrementally as topic matures & user coordination expands

• GOES-R Proving Ground (PG) Activities guided by Proving Ground Plan

• NWS User-Readiness & Infrastructure Planning Studies

• NWS User Readiness Working Group Formed to develop user-readiness – feed back to PG activities

– Initially, group is small internal NWS member group which will grow incrementally as topic matures & user coordination expands

Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products (NWS User Readiness Working Group)

Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products (NWS User Readiness Working Group)

• Formed to address NWS User Readiness Risk associated with impact that GOES-R, NPOESS, other-satellites, AWIPS development, rapid increases in data volume, & changes to data delivery will have on NWS Users.

• Effort to examine in an integrated way:

– the products that GOES-R, NPOESS, and other satellite programs are expected to deliver to NWS & when.

– Corresponding development of communications pathways and AWIPS Extended

– User guided discussions on push-pull trades and optimum achievable product deliveries.

– Identify systematic high-level pathway to achieve strategic goals (merged observing system)

• User-coordinated / senior approved initial position / roadmap available late Spring 2010

– Expectation to present to May 10 SRSST Meeting

• Formed to address NWS User Readiness Risk associated with impact that GOES-R, NPOESS, other-satellites, AWIPS development, rapid increases in data volume, & changes to data delivery will have on NWS Users.

• Effort to examine in an integrated way:

– the products that GOES-R, NPOESS, and other satellite programs are expected to deliver to NWS & when.

– Corresponding development of communications pathways and AWIPS Extended

– User guided discussions on push-pull trades and optimum achievable product deliveries.

– Identify systematic high-level pathway to achieve strategic goals (merged observing system)

• User-coordinated / senior approved initial position / roadmap available late Spring 2010

– Expectation to present to May 10 SRSST Meeting

ConclusionConclusion

• GOES Users’ Conference offers a great opportunity to get user feedback on the transition to the GOES-R era

– Breakout sessions are specifically focused on this

• We plan to take the results of these breakout sessions to

– Help define the framework and milestones for the way ahead

• GOES Users’ Conference offers a great opportunity to get user feedback on the transition to the GOES-R era

– Breakout sessions are specifically focused on this

• We plan to take the results of these breakout sessions to

– Help define the framework and milestones for the way ahead

Backup SlidesBackup Slides

Strategic Goal: Strategic Goal: Integrated Observation/Analysis Integrated Observation/Analysis

SystemSystem

Strategic Goal: Strategic Goal: Integrated Observation/Analysis Integrated Observation/Analysis

SystemSystem

Analysis

Inventory systems,and metadata Standards

Assess interdepend-encies, oversampling, gaps, levels of criticalit

Current

Individual Systems Public Private Universities

RadarSatelliteSurface; in-SituUpper AirEtc

StrategiesNational Mesonet

Network of networks

Integrated Radar (Lidar, gap-fillers, MPAR)

Global Systems

Multisensor platforms

Optimization with OSEs, OSSEs

Standards, Architectures, Protocols

Maximize value of investment

Future

Weather Information

Database

Open Architecture

System B

System C

System A

MADIS

IOOS

Integrated Radar System

Rawindsones

Satellites

System B

System C

System A

MADIS

IOOS

Integrated Radar System

Rawindsones

Satellites

GOES Data

NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite

Missions Task

NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite

Missions Task

• NWS/OST Systems Engineering Center leading this task

• The goal of this task is to design an architecture that will support future mission data and to develop a roadmap for implementing this design

• The new series of GOES satellites (GOES-R) and POES satellites (NPOESS) will have increased data rates, new data formats, and new products

• NWS/OST Systems Engineering Center leading this task

• The goal of this task is to design an architecture that will support future mission data and to develop a roadmap for implementing this design

• The new series of GOES satellites (GOES-R) and POES satellites (NPOESS) will have increased data rates, new data formats, and new products

NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite

Missions Task

NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite

Missions Task

• This task will investigate the impact of GOES-R and other future environmental data by:

– Finalizing the “as is” architecture and data products for NCEP, NWSTG and AWIPS

– Support the development of requirements for the end-state architectures

– Finalize architectures based on these requirements

– Develop a road-map for the evolution of moving from current state to the end-state architectures

• Completion in September 2010

• This task will investigate the impact of GOES-R and other future environmental data by:

– Finalizing the “as is” architecture and data products for NCEP, NWSTG and AWIPS

– Support the development of requirements for the end-state architectures

– Finalize architectures based on these requirements

– Develop a road-map for the evolution of moving from current state to the end-state architectures

• Completion in September 2010