dialogic design for foresight : dwd workshop

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Peter Jones, OCAD University Sept 12, 2012 Imagining Future Urban Challenges A Dialogic Design Workshop

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Page 1: Dialogic Design for Foresight : DwD Workshop

PAIN CONSULT

Concept design workshop

Peter Jones, OCAD University Sept 12, 2012

Imagining Future Urban Challenges

A Dialogic Design Workshop

Page 2: Dialogic Design for Foresight : DwD Workshop

Social Sciences & Humanities Research Council

• Across Canada - 6 Regional panel sessions OCADU led with York, Ryerson, UOIT, Windsor

• Based on large foresight / scan project “Shaping Tomorrow” 3500 trends, 70K insights, initial set > 200 trends

• We proposed a focused panel on a well-framed issue to derive challenges in response to a single major trend: Urbanization

• 18 members selected from S. Ontario for STEEP/CI + diversity Requisite Variety

Imagining Canada’s Future 2030

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Sampling approach based on Ashby’s systems principle

• STEEP CI Criteria: Social, Technology, Economy, Ecology, Political, Culture / Intellect

• Diversity: Age cohort, Academic, Professional, ethnicity, gender

• Smaller groups that meet stricter stakeholder criteria

• Invested in the future problem, sufficient care, action

Requisite Variety

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• “Co-laboratory of Democracy” approach – Strongly democratic

• Multi-staged, progressive reasoning process

• Cogniscope software (Root Cause Mapping)

• Multi-Facilitated

• Canonical, rigorous

• Guides dialogue toward effective action

• Employed as action research

• Well published in social & systems literatures

Structured Dialogic Design

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• Cyprus Reunification Dialogues (1990 – 2011) EU project for Israeli-Palestinian dialogues

• WHO Elimination of Lymphatic Filariasis Partners, Clinicians, Villagers & Pharma from multiple agencies (1999)

• Transnational Indigenous Leaders Dialogue on Globalization: 40 Indigenous leaders from Americas and New Zealand & experts

• US Forest Service - Forest Service Priority Setting (2003)

• Alternative Energy Future Planning, Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance

Democratic - For complexity & power

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Deliberative co-created design of an envisioned social system

Diagnosing Problematique

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Clarifying Challenges

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Clustering Challenges

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“Obamavision” Wiki

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Constructing Challenges into Influence Map

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ICF Influence Map – 12 Challenges

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• “When concurrence-seeking becomes so dominant in a cohesive in-group that it tends to override realistic appraisal of alternative courses of action. (Janis, 1971)

• Spreadthink: Unable to reach any genuine consensus, or even majority view toward component aspects of a complex issue

• Clanthink: When like groups maintain concurrence within group

• Linkthink: When people “link” like ideas in concurrence

Warfield: “Facilitators who try to bring groups to a consensus without the aid of some methodology that resolves the difficulties caused by Spreadthink may well be driving the group to Groupthink, and thus helping to arrive at a decision that lacks individual support and, usually, lacks substance.

Resolves Groupthink

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Triggering Question

“In the face of increasing urbanization worldwide, what future challenges do we anticipate for Southern Ontario, now through 2030?"

Clarify the meaning, and co-create the TQ so we

own it as a group.

Triggering Question

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Triggering Question

“In the face of increasing urbanization worldwide, what future challenges do we anticipate for Southern Ontario, now through 2030?"

Your response: Write 3 challenge statements on single sheet. Short phrase that distills the essence of a complex problem as a challenge

Not a solution “create alternative transportation systems” Or an outcome “Better regional government”

Pair up & workshop all 3, & refine. Then read one each in turn. Write your chosen challenge (or 2) one per sheet and post.

Generation

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Triggering Question

Read one challenge, in turn around circle. Questions for clarification – quickly – taken in this round.

Rapid Clarification

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Triggering Question

Group of 4-5 – Go to wall & cluster together / name categories Group 1 - 5 Minutes Group 2 – 4 Minutes Group 3 – 3 Minutes Group 4 – 2 Minutes

Based on Delphi & iterative refinement.

Clustering Challenges

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Triggering Question

Mark an X on up to 3 different challenges Order challenges in cluster by votes.

Voting

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Triggering Question

Make 5 DIVERSE groups of 5-6 Each group selects one item from each category. You can copy! Construct at least one scenario describing the future relationship of these challenges, their co-evolution together & their possible resolutions.

Position sheets in a narrative order Sketch images of the possible relationships, influences, outcomes Present each in 5 min rapid round

Scenarios