Download - Dialogic Design for Foresight : DwD Workshop
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PAIN CONSULT
Concept design workshop
Peter Jones, OCAD University Sept 12, 2012
Imagining Future Urban Challenges
A Dialogic Design Workshop
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Social Sciences & Humanities Research Council
• Across Canada - 6 Regional panel sessions OCADU led with York, Ryerson, UOIT, Windsor
• Based on large foresight / scan project “Shaping Tomorrow” 3500 trends, 70K insights, initial set > 200 trends
• We proposed a focused panel on a well-framed issue to derive challenges in response to a single major trend: Urbanization
• 18 members selected from S. Ontario for STEEP/CI + diversity Requisite Variety
Imagining Canada’s Future 2030
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Sampling approach based on Ashby’s systems principle
• STEEP CI Criteria: Social, Technology, Economy, Ecology, Political, Culture / Intellect
• Diversity: Age cohort, Academic, Professional, ethnicity, gender
• Smaller groups that meet stricter stakeholder criteria
• Invested in the future problem, sufficient care, action
Requisite Variety
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• “Co-laboratory of Democracy” approach – Strongly democratic
• Multi-staged, progressive reasoning process
• Cogniscope software (Root Cause Mapping)
• Multi-Facilitated
• Canonical, rigorous
• Guides dialogue toward effective action
• Employed as action research
• Well published in social & systems literatures
Structured Dialogic Design
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• Cyprus Reunification Dialogues (1990 – 2011) EU project for Israeli-Palestinian dialogues
• WHO Elimination of Lymphatic Filariasis Partners, Clinicians, Villagers & Pharma from multiple agencies (1999)
• Transnational Indigenous Leaders Dialogue on Globalization: 40 Indigenous leaders from Americas and New Zealand & experts
• US Forest Service - Forest Service Priority Setting (2003)
• Alternative Energy Future Planning, Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance
Democratic - For complexity & power
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Deliberative co-created design of an envisioned social system
Diagnosing Problematique
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Clarifying Challenges
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Clustering Challenges
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“Obamavision” Wiki
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Constructing Challenges into Influence Map
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ICF Influence Map – 12 Challenges
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• “When concurrence-seeking becomes so dominant in a cohesive in-group that it tends to override realistic appraisal of alternative courses of action. (Janis, 1971)
• Spreadthink: Unable to reach any genuine consensus, or even majority view toward component aspects of a complex issue
• Clanthink: When like groups maintain concurrence within group
• Linkthink: When people “link” like ideas in concurrence
Warfield: “Facilitators who try to bring groups to a consensus without the aid of some methodology that resolves the difficulties caused by Spreadthink may well be driving the group to Groupthink, and thus helping to arrive at a decision that lacks individual support and, usually, lacks substance.
Resolves Groupthink
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Triggering Question
“In the face of increasing urbanization worldwide, what future challenges do we anticipate for Southern Ontario, now through 2030?"
Clarify the meaning, and co-create the TQ so we
own it as a group.
Triggering Question
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Triggering Question
“In the face of increasing urbanization worldwide, what future challenges do we anticipate for Southern Ontario, now through 2030?"
Your response: Write 3 challenge statements on single sheet. Short phrase that distills the essence of a complex problem as a challenge
Not a solution “create alternative transportation systems” Or an outcome “Better regional government”
Pair up & workshop all 3, & refine. Then read one each in turn. Write your chosen challenge (or 2) one per sheet and post.
Generation
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Triggering Question
Read one challenge, in turn around circle. Questions for clarification – quickly – taken in this round.
Rapid Clarification
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Triggering Question
Group of 4-5 – Go to wall & cluster together / name categories Group 1 - 5 Minutes Group 2 – 4 Minutes Group 3 – 3 Minutes Group 4 – 2 Minutes
Based on Delphi & iterative refinement.
Clustering Challenges
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Triggering Question
Mark an X on up to 3 different challenges Order challenges in cluster by votes.
Voting
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Triggering Question
Make 5 DIVERSE groups of 5-6 Each group selects one item from each category. You can copy! Construct at least one scenario describing the future relationship of these challenges, their co-evolution together & their possible resolutions.
Position sheets in a narrative order Sketch images of the possible relationships, influences, outcomes Present each in 5 min rapid round
Scenarios