disruption ball
TRANSCRIPT
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DISRUPTIONBALLPREDICTION/ STRATEGY TOOLby MIIKKA LEINONEN
Please edit,
adopt, modify, share…
BETA
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PROBLEM:EVERYTHING WILL BE DISRUPTED.BUT WHEN AND WHY?
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Unique maps.
Cheap maps.
Digital maps.
Free digital maps.
IOT integrated
maps.
DISRUPTIONS CAN BE MODELED AND PREDICTED
EXAMPLE
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SOLUTION:DISRUPTION BALL IS A PREDICTION AND STRATEGY TOOL.
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EXAMPLEHow digital technology disrupted the camera industryFirst digital camera is
invented by Eastman Kodak.
Sony Mavica. First commercial
electronic camera.
1975
1981
Apple Quicktake100. First consumer level
camera with USB connection.
1994
Apple iPhone
2007
Samsung SCH-V200
First camera phone.
2000
Casio QV-10 First camera with an LCD display.
1995
1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
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DISRUPTION BALLTHIS IS HOW IT WORKS.
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DISRUPTION BALLAdd a product or service here.
1
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DISRUPTION BALL
Goal is to see when will it “burst out”.
2
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DISRUPTION BALL
And to wich direction.
3
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DISRUPTION BALLTHIS IS HOW TO USE IT.
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DISRUPTION BALL
CULTURE VALUE
TECH COSTS
Disruption ball consists of four sectors.
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DISRUPTION BALL
CULTURE VALUE
TECH COSTS
Experienced value. How valuable something is to us on an emotional level and how willing
are we to replace it with something else.
How much it costs to manufacture and how expensive is it
to buy or use.
Our social and cultural ties to the old and our willingness to accept new ways of doing things.
New production and delivery methods that create unforeseen possibilities.
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DISRUPTION BALLEvery sector has 4 levels of disruption.
CULTURE
TECH COSTS
1234 High probability
Some changes
Fairly steady
Status Quo
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DISRUPTION BALL
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new f lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des autquo mo te?
WINNER
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new f lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des autquo mo te?
WINNER
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new f lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des autquo mo te?
YES NO
WINNER
Each sector gets a disruption number based on a 20 question form.
Technology
PU
LL
PU
SH
LOREM IPSUMIs there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new f lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lossunda des aut veliquod quo mo te?
Is there a new form of lorem ipsum dorot Hit eossunda des autquo mo te?
YES NO
WINNER
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DISRUPTION BALL
Is there a big hype around something new in the business?
Example questions:
Are there new reports of health risks concerning the product/service?
Are there many new companies entering the business?
Are companies testing new partnership models?
Is it possible to achieve same results without paying anything?
Are people tired of the same old thing?
Has the industry seen a surge in R&D funding?
Are people spending less time with the product/service?
Is this considered trendy?
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DISRUPTION BALLGo though all sectors and you are able to predict when and where your business is moving.
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DISRUPTION BALLOne sector alone is not enough to cause a disruption…
…but if more than one is
showing signs of change you
should prepare for disruption.
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DISRUPTION BALL“This is just a
Now I need your help to make it a real tool.”
Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International
Miikka Leinonen
prototype.
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DISRUPTION BALLTest the Disruption Ball for old and new cases.
Create questions that work for your business.
Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International
You’ll find a free Google Sheet template here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eUDY3x2_PXF17u9AZRV3EZQVRHEjJ3HfRtOmUzio4zg/edit?usp=sharing
1 2
And tell me how you did.
3
@miikkaleinonen
(Feel free to download this presentation and use it anyway you wish.)
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Thanks!– Miikka