dom development sa presentation of 4th quarter 2007 consolidated results (meeting
TRANSCRIPT
Dom Development SAPresentation of 4th Quarter 2007
Consolidated Results
http://inwestor.domdevelopment.pl/information-for-investors/presentations
(Meeting with investors and analysts – 27 February 2008)
2
Evaluation of the Warsaw real estate market
Neutral / Positive
Positive
Neutral / Positive
Positive
Positive
EVALUATION:FACTOR:
Demand for flats and houses
Households’ financial condition
Availability of mortgage facilities
Macroeconomic conditions
Demographic environment
3
8,6597,354
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
December 2006 December 2007
average price per sqm in Warsaw
Price increase dynamics in 2007
Average price per sq m (PLN)
December 2006
December 2007
Change of price per sqm
Warsaw 7,354 8,659 17.7%
Source: redNet Property Consulting
Increase of 17.7 %
In 2007,over the whole year, prices increased by 17.7%. The 4th quarter saw a stabilization in prices of flats. In January 2008, flat prices in Warsaw increased again, by 2.2%.
4
Our customers’ creditworthiness – rate of wage increase is higher than flat prices increase
Number of sqm. which an average family (2+2) can afford to buy if both parents receive the average wage or salary for a given region - quarterly changes
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q4 2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Jan 2008
Warsaw
Cracow
Poznań
Wrocław
Gdańsk
52.73
35.13
42.9045.32
52.42
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Warsaw Cracow Poznań Wrocław Gdańsk
data as of the end ofJanuary 2008
Source: Expander Analyses
5
Basic financial results in 2006 and 2007 (mPLN)
Q4 2007/Q4 2006 Stabilization of levels of revenues and net profit.
2007/2006 revenues increased by 20.4 % a net profit increase of 48.4 %
Q4 2006 Q4 2007 Change%
Revenues 207.5 204.2 - 1.6
Gross sales profit
73.2 78.5 + 7.2
EBITDA 51.9 52.9 + 1.9
Net profit 43.8 43.1 - 1.6
2006 2007 Change %
Revenues 729.8 878.8 + 20.4
Gross sales profit
232.9 333.1 + 43.0
EBITDA 166.6 243.2 + 46.0
Net profit 135.2 200.6 + 48.4
Quarterly financial results Yearly financial results
6
121
228
173
208
172
230
273
204
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q12006
Q22006
Q32006
Q42006
Q12007
Q22007
Q32007
Q42007
Revenues
Quarterly financial resultsQ1 2006 – Q4 2007 (mPLN)
15
4337
55
65
43
63
88
103
78
34 44
56
7371
33
0
20
40
60
80
100
Q12006
Q22006
Q32006
Q42006
Q12007
Q22007
Q32007
Q42007
Net profit Gross sales profit
Quarterly profits:Quarterly revenues:
Revenues and profits in the 4th quarter of 2007 were at a similar level to the 4th quarter of 2006.
7
Quarterly margins (%) Q1 2006 – Q4 2007
21.124.023.8
19.3 21.821.1
12.7
18.7
38.438.4 37.836.6
32.131.027.7
35.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007
Net profit (% )
Gross sales profit (% )
In spite of a significant increase in costs in 2007, our company has maintained high levels of gross sales profit and net profit margin, resulting from the performance of projects that launched before the jump in costs.
Quarterly margins:
8
Balance sheet data Q1 2006 – Q4 2007 (mPLN)
Quarterly assets and equity
1028 1010
1252
585652 696
569 635 683
924 977
492
225192149
532
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Q12006
Q22006
Q32006
Q42006
Q12007
Q22007
Q32007
4Q2007
Assets
Equity
Quarterly net debt
-105
3
-130-144
-26
9091
217
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q12006
Q22006
Q32006
Q42006
Q12007
Q22007
Q32007
4Q2007
Net debt
9
Assets’ structure (mPLN)
Other 77.8
Cash and cash equivalents
202.1
Fixed assets 34.4
Inventory 695.8
Fixed assets 21.9
Inventory 862.4
Cash and cash
equivalents 275.5
Other 92.3
Advances on land 67.3
Work in progress
143.0
Finished goods 90.2
Land for projects in the
course of preparation
395.3
3rd quarter 2007 4th quarter 2007
Work in progress 138.7
Finished goods 99.8
Advances on land 150.9
Land for projects in the
course of preparation
473.0
INVENTORYINVENTORY
10
Flat sales and completion
Q4 2006 Q4 2007 Change
Popular flats 379 292 - 87
Superior apartments
71 51 - 20
Luxury apartments
0 0 0
Houses 1 0 - 1
Total 451 343 - 108
The decrease in sales in 2007 resulted from longer procedures relating to obtaining building permits, and consequently, delays to the launches of 3 projects planned for 2007 launch.
Q4 2006 Q4 2007 Change
Total 518 570 + 52
Quarterly completions delivered to clients
Quarterly sales
2006 2007 Change
Popular flats 1 227 1 404 + 177
Superior apartments
459 296 - 163
Luxury apartments
40 0 - 40
Houses 29 4 - 25
Total 1 755 1 704 - 51
2006 2007 Change
Total 1 522 1 442 - 80
Yearly sales
Yearly completions delivered to clients
11
Projects – high land bank
Number of units
As at 12 November
2007
As at 26 February
2008
Change
Completed projects
9,866 10,770 + 904
Projects under construction and offered for sale
2,869 2,692 - 177
Controlled land / projects in the course of preparation
8,545 8,173 - 372
Total 21,280 21,635 + 355
The Company has so far completed projects comprising over 10,700 flats and houses.
At present the Company is in the process of constructing almost 2,700 flats and apartments having a value of around PLN 1.6 billion.
Dom Development also has a further 8,173 flats and houses under preparation. The value of these projects amounts to approx PLN 3.7 billion.
Dom Development is also currently negotiating the purchase of land for a further 9,500 units
12
Houses
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Model project life cyclePopular flats
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Q1 Q2 Q3
Sales progress
ConstructionLand purchase
80%
Preparation period After construction completion
Superior apartments
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q1 2Q Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Q7 Q1 Q2 Q3
Land purchase Preparation period Construction After construction
75%
Preparation period
Construction After construction
Land purchase 40%
Final building permit
Final building permit
Construction completion
Occupation permit
Construction completion
Occupation permit
Final building permit
Construction completion
Occupation permit
13
Projects offered for sale (as of 26/02/2008)
Projects under construction
LocationNumber of
units
Sales progress *
(in quantity)
Construction progress *
Commencement date
Completion date
Popular flats
Derby 15 Białołęka 277 92 % 73% Q1 2007 Q2 2008
Olbrachta 1 i 2 Wola 448 60% 43% Q2 2007 Q4 2008
Olimpia 2 ph 5 Ursynów 63 81% 38% Q2 2007 Q4 2008
Regaty stage 1 i 2 Białołęka 390 40% 21% Q3 2007 Q4 2008
Derby 17 Białołęka 185 87% 40% Q2 2007 Q3 2008
Derby 13 Białołęka 174 3% 4% Q4 2007 Q3 2009
Derby 18 Białołęka 82 0% 0% Q1 2008 Q2 2009
Róża Wiatrów Targówek 184 0% 0% Q1 2008 Q4 2009
Superior apartments
Bruna Mokotów 247 70% 72% Q2 2006 Q1 2008
Zawiszy 1 i 2 Wola 355 71% 58% Q4 2006 Q2 2008
Grzybowska Śródmieście 287 0% 0% Q1 2008 Q2 2010
Completed projects
Location Number of units
Sales progress *
(in quantity)
Construction progress *
Commencement date
Completion date
Popular flats
Olimpia 2 ph 4 Ursynów 282 90% 100% Q3 2006 Q4 2007
Derby 7 ph 1 Białołęka 127 0% 100% Q4 2005 Q2 2007
Superior apartments
Patria 1 i 2 Śródmieście 242 91% 100% Q3 2005 Q3 2007
Gdański Śródmieście 260 85% 100% Q1 2006 Q3 2007
* As of 31/12/2007
14
Controlled land / projects in course of preparation (as of 26 February 2008)
Popular flats Location Number of units Commencement date Project value (m PLN)
Derby 9 Białołęka 192 Q2 2008
Derby 11 Białołęka 148 Q1 2009
Derby 14 Białołęka 696 Q1 2009
Derby 16 Białołęka 234 Q2 2008
Derby 20 Białołęka 52 Q3 2008
Winnica 1 (ph 1-3) Białołęka 840 Q2 2008
Regaty 3-6 Białołęka 678 Q1 2008
Akacje 10 ph 2 Białołęka 63 Q1 2010
Akacje 11 Białołęka 77 Q1 2008
Górczewska Wola 355 Q2 2008
Regaty 2 stage 1 Białołęka 196 Q2 2009
Rondo Wiatraczna Praga Południe 624 Q1 2010
Winnica 2 ph 1 Białołęka 125 Q2 2009
Gocław Praga Południe 1,596 Q2 2009
Klasyków Białołęka 543 Q4 2008
Jugosłowiańska Praga Południe 717 Q1 2009
Wrocław – Nyska Krzyki 490 Q3 2008
Wrocław – Nyska 2 NEW Krzyki 246 Q4 2009
Subtotal 7,872
Luxury apartments
Opera 2 Śródmieście 11 Q4 2008
Razem 11
Houses
Laguna 2 Ursynów 26 Q1 2008
Malwa 4 Białołęka 16 Q1 2010
Regaty 2 stage 1 Białołęka 88 Q1 2008
Klasyków Białołęka 74 Q3 2009
Józefosław NEW Józefosław 86 Q2 2009
Subtotal 290
TOTAL 8,173 3.7