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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
A new Tricolor: are we prepared?A new Tricolor: are we prepared?
Valérie DulièreValérie Dulière
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Erika (1999)Erika (1999)
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Prestige (2002)Prestige (2002)
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Source : US Coast Guards
DeepWater Horizon (2010)DeepWater Horizon (2010)
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Source : ESA
In Belgium?
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
1990-2009 20 oil pollution accidents
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Tricolor (2002-2003)Tricolor (2002-2003)
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
> 500 tons of heavy fuel
20.000 oiled birds
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
What is at stake?
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
We have a lot to loose!
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
We need to be We need to be prepared
For what? For what?
To limit the damageTo limit the damage
How?How?
By being able to take quick and efficient actions!By being able to take quick and efficient actions!
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
1. Notification
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
1. Notification2. Evaluation
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
1. Notification2. Evaluation3. Decision
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
1. Notification2. Evaluation3. Decision4. Operations
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
1. The national response structure
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
A new Tricolor: are we prepared?A new Tricolor: are we prepared?
http://www.mumm.ac.be
Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Need for adequate planning and preparedness
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
• Assessment of the riskAssessment of the risk
• Response strategyResponse strategy
• Appropriate ready-to-use equipmentAppropriate ready-to-use equipment
• Well organized and clear structureWell organized and clear structure
• Man power Man power
• Exercise drillsExercise drills
• International and regional agreementsInternational and regional agreements
Planning and preparedness are better than ever!
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
http://www.mumm.ac.be
Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
1.1. The national response structureThe national response structure2. MUMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
A new Tricolor: are we prepared?A new Tricolor: are we prepared?
http://www.mumm.ac.be
Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Role and responsibilities of MUMM in case of a major oil spill
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
Aerial surveillanceAerial surveillance
Oil spill behavior and fateOil spill behavior and fate
MonitoringMonitoring
Scientific expertise onScientific expertise on• Toxicity and effectToxicity and effect• Sensitivity of the marine environment and coastal areasSensitivity of the marine environment and coastal areas• Beached animalsBeached animals
Decision on dispersant useDecision on dispersant use
MUMM is more prepared than ever!
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
1.1. The national response structureThe national response structure2.2. MUMMMUMM3. MUMM’s oil spill model
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
A new Tricolor: are we prepared?A new Tricolor: are we prepared?
http://www.mumm.ac.be
Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
Each oil spill situation is UNIQUE!
source : http://www.TeAra.govt.nz
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
MUMM’s oil spill model
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
OSERIT, a new response tool
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
3D oil spill drift and fate model
• Includes all the main oil processes• Uses the latest 3D met-ocean forecasts• Automatically generates maps and charts!
A web-interfaceA web-interface
new
new
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
• Maintain our level of preparednessMaintain our level of preparedness
• Further contingency planningFurther contingency planning
• Test model as we use it and further developmentTest model as we use it and further development
• Risk planning for 1000 m³ (not 3000 m³ as recommended)Risk planning for 1000 m³ (not 3000 m³ as recommended)
• No dedicated response vessel on stand-byNo dedicated response vessel on stand-by
• Bottleneck of waste disposalBottleneck of waste disposal
Conclusions :
We are better prepared than ever but
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
The Flaminia :Real test-case and upcoming challenges
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
The Flaminia :Real test-case and upcoming challenges
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
The best way to limit the damage is The best way to limit the damage is
to avoid the spill!to avoid the spill!
Our seas of tomorrow
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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
Our seas of tomorrowOur seas of tomorrow
http://www.mumm.ac.be
Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012
Our seas of tomorrowOur seas of tomorrow
http://www.mumm.ac.be
Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM
Many thanks toMany thanks to
Geneviève Lacroix, Ruth Lagring, Sébastien Legrand, Patrick Geneviève Lacroix, Ruth Lagring, Sébastien Legrand, Patrick Luyten, Sigrid Maebe, Fabrice Ovidio, José Ozer, Patrick Roose, Luyten, Sigrid Maebe, Fabrice Ovidio, José Ozer, Patrick Roose, Ronny Schallier, Serge Scory, Dimitry Van Der Zande, Quinten Ronny Schallier, Serge Scory, Dimitry Van Der Zande, Quinten
Vanhellemont, Ward Van Roy, Laurence Vigin, Jean-Pierre VogtVanhellemont, Ward Van Roy, Laurence Vigin, Jean-Pierre Vogt
and…and…
Georges PichotGeorges PichotOur seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012