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Management Unit of the North Sea Mathematical ModelsMUMM | BMM | UGMM

A new Tricolor: are we prepared?A new Tricolor: are we prepared?

Valérie DulièreValérie Dulière

Our seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012



Erika (1999)Erika (1999)




Prestige (2002)Prestige (2002)




Source : US Coast Guards

DeepWater Horizon (2010)DeepWater Horizon (2010)




Source : ESA

In Belgium?


1990-2009 20 oil pollution accidents



Tricolor (2002-2003)Tricolor (2002-2003)


> 500 tons of heavy fuel

20.000 oiled birds




What is at stake?



We have a lot to loose!


We need to be We need to be prepared

For what? For what?

To limit the damageTo limit the damage

How?How?

By being able to take quick and efficient actions!By being able to take quick and efficient actions!




1. Notification




1. Notification2. Evaluation




1. Notification2. Evaluation3. Decision




1. Notification2. Evaluation3. Decision4. Operations



1. The national response structure





Need for adequate planning and preparedness


• Assessment of the riskAssessment of the risk

• Response strategyResponse strategy

• Appropriate ready-to-use equipmentAppropriate ready-to-use equipment

• Well organized and clear structureWell organized and clear structure

• Man power Man power

• Exercise drillsExercise drills

• International and regional agreementsInternational and regional agreements

Planning and preparedness are better than ever!



1.1. The national response structureThe national response structure2. MUMM





Role and responsibilities of MUMM in case of a major oil spill


Aerial surveillanceAerial surveillance

Oil spill behavior and fateOil spill behavior and fate

MonitoringMonitoring

Scientific expertise onScientific expertise on• Toxicity and effectToxicity and effect• Sensitivity of the marine environment and coastal areasSensitivity of the marine environment and coastal areas• Beached animalsBeached animals

Decision on dispersant useDecision on dispersant use

MUMM is more prepared than ever!



1.1. The national response structureThe national response structure2.2. MUMMMUMM3. MUMM’s oil spill model






Each oil spill situation is UNIQUE!

source : http://www.TeAra.govt.nz




MUMM’s oil spill model



OSERIT, a new response tool


3D oil spill drift and fate model

• Includes all the main oil processes• Uses the latest 3D met-ocean forecasts• Automatically generates maps and charts!

A web-interfaceA web-interface

new

new




• Maintain our level of preparednessMaintain our level of preparedness

• Further contingency planningFurther contingency planning

• Test model as we use it and further developmentTest model as we use it and further development

• Risk planning for 1000 m³ (not 3000 m³ as recommended)Risk planning for 1000 m³ (not 3000 m³ as recommended)

• No dedicated response vessel on stand-byNo dedicated response vessel on stand-by

• Bottleneck of waste disposalBottleneck of waste disposal

Conclusions :

We are better prepared than ever but




The Flaminia :Real test-case and upcoming challenges




The best way to limit the damage is The best way to limit the damage is

to avoid the spill!to avoid the spill!

Our seas of tomorrow




Our seas of tomorrowOur seas of tomorrow



Many thanks toMany thanks to

Geneviève Lacroix, Ruth Lagring, Sébastien Legrand, Patrick Geneviève Lacroix, Ruth Lagring, Sébastien Legrand, Patrick Luyten, Sigrid Maebe, Fabrice Ovidio, José Ozer, Patrick Roose, Luyten, Sigrid Maebe, Fabrice Ovidio, José Ozer, Patrick Roose, Ronny Schallier, Serge Scory, Dimitry Van Der Zande, Quinten Ronny Schallier, Serge Scory, Dimitry Van Der Zande, Quinten

Vanhellemont, Ward Van Roy, Laurence Vigin, Jean-Pierre VogtVanhellemont, Ward Van Roy, Laurence Vigin, Jean-Pierre Vogt

and…and…

Georges PichotGeorges PichotOur seas of tomorrow, Brussels 2012

http:// management unit of the north sea mathematical models mumm | bmm | ugmm a new tricolor: are...

Documents

management unit

seas of tomorrow

responsibilities of

notification slide

decision slide

evaluation slide

dispersant use mumm

mumms oil spill model