Download - WP5.3 Model Simulations Eskisehir
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My`lmblt# X}t`m|
Yx}h| ylxm hmxjlcy
Xbm My`lmblt yx}h| ylxm ly cnijxmh lk xbm wmyxmtk ujtx na xbm imkxtjc Jkjxncljk Ucjxmj}# jx lxy kntxbmtkgjtolk# jkh ujtxljcc| jx xbm acnnt na j xbtn}ob'onlko hmutmyylnk# ijccmh xbm My`lmblt Djylk+
Innthlkjxmy6Cjxlx}hm6 9
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My`lmblt# X}t`m|
Djymclkm Yimkjtln
UMYMTJ djymclkm t}k
Xbm djymclkm t}k icmjtc| ybnwy hlyxlkix mtnylnk tjxmy ant
xwn jtmjy6 xbm gn}kxjlk ycnumy jkh xbm ucjlky+ Ymqmtjc
qjccm|acnnty jcyn bjqm cnw mtnylnk tjxmy+ Tn}obc| 25- na
xbm jtmj bjy ylg}cjxmh mtnylnk tjxmy na nqmt : xnk.bj.|t#
d}x nkc| j qmt| ygjcc jtmj mrumtlmkimy mtnylnk tjxmy na
nqmt :5 xnk.bj.|t+ Dlngjyy utnh}ixlnk n}xu}x ybnwy j
icmjt i}x hlaamtmkim dmxwmmk ht|cjkh ajtglko "gnyxc|
=55':555 `o.bj, jkh lttlojxmh ajtglko "x|ulijcc| cjtomt
xbjk 9=55 `o.bj,+ Ujyx}tmy nii}u| xbm lkxmtgmhljxm
tjkomy+
Ynlc mtnylnk
Dlngjyy utnh}ixlnk
Cjkhantgy
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My`lmblt# X}t`m|
Xmibkncno| Yimkjtln6
Inkxn}t ucn}oblko "MXB89,
Xnxjc numtjxlnk inyxy }khmt hlaamtmkx utjixlimy6' xtjhlxlnkjc ucn}oblko 421 XT\.bj "4:1,
' inkxn}t ucn}oblko 421 XT\.bj "4:1,
Xbm jdnqm numtjxlnk inyxy lkic}hm tmkxlko namz}lugmkx xn lgucmgmkx mjib utjixlim
J bjtqmyx lkhmr ant otjlky na 8=- na xnxjc dlngjyy wjyjyy}gmh
KUQ wjy ijci}cjxmh nk 45 |mjt umtlnh djyly jx :5-hlyin}kx tjxm
Xbm utlim na otjlky ly 5+928 XT\.`o "5+:1,
Juuclijdlclx|
Xbm xmibkncno| ly juuclijdcm nk jtjdcm cjkh wlxbycnumy dmxwmmk 4 jkh 9=- "knx lk ucjlky jkh qjccm|
acnnty,+
Dlnub|ylijc lgujix6 ynlc mtnylnk
]khmt xtjhlxlnkjc ucn}oblko ]khmt inkxn}t ucn}oblko
Juuclijdlclx|
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Dlnub|ylijc lgujix6 ibjkom lk dlngjyy
Minkngli qljdlclx|
Kmx utnalx }khmt xtjhlxlnkjc ucn}oblko Kmx utnalx }khmt inkxn}t ucn}oblko
KUQ }khmt xtjhlxlnkjc ucn}oblko KUQ }khmt inkxn}t ucn}oblko
Inkxn}t ucn}oblko ly utnalxjdcm jy lx hnmy knx tmz}ltm mrxtj inyxy d}x lkitmjymy utnh}ixlnk+
Dlngjyy ibjkom Umtimkxjom dlngjyy ibjkom
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7/31/2019 WP5.3 Model Simulations Eskisehir
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My`lmblt# X}t`m|
Xmibkncno| Yimkjtln6
_nqmk amkim jkh inkxn}t ucn}oblko "X]T5=,
Xnxjc numtjxlnk inyxy }khmt hlaamtmkx utjixlimy6' xtjhlxlnkjc ucn}oblko 421 XT\.bj "4:1,
' wnqmk amkim jkh inkxn}t ucn}oblko 421 XT\.bj
"4:1wlxb jk lklxljc lkqmyxgmkx inyx na 4=55
XT\.bj ":5:8 altyx |mjt nkc|,# jkk}jc
gjlkxmkjkim inyx na =- na lkqmyxgmkx inyx
Xbm jdnqm numtjxlnk inyxy lkic}hm tmkxlko namz}lugmkx xn lgucmgmkx mjib utjixlim
J bjtqmyx lkhmr ant otjlky na 8=- na xnxjc dlngjyywjy jyy}gmh
Xbm clam na xbm xmibkncno| ly 45 |mjty+ Xbm utlim na otjlky ly 5+928 XT\.`o "5+:1, :5- hlyin}kx tjxm wjy }ymh ant ijci}cjxlko KUQJuuclijdlclx|
Xbm xmibkncno| ly juuclijdcm nk jtjdcm cjkh wlxb ycnumydmxwmmk 9 jkh 9=- "knx lk ucjlky jkh qjccm| acnnty,+
Dlub|ylijc lgujix6 ynlc mtnylnk
]khmt xtjhlxlnkjc ucn}oblko ]khmt wnqmk amkim jkh inkxn}t ucn}oblko
Juuclijdlclx|
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Dlnub|ylijc lgujix6 ibjkom lk dlngjyy
Minkngli qljdlclx|
KUQ }khmt xtjhlxlnkjc ucn}oblko KUQ }khmt wnqmk amkim jkh inkxn}t ucn}oblko
Xbm xmibkncno| bjy# jiinthlko xn xbm gnhmc ylg}cjxlnky# xbm unxmkxljc xn hn}dcm |lmchy jitnyy g}ib na xbm
juuclijdlclx| jtmj+ Kmqmtxbmcmyy# xbm kmx utmymkx qjc}m na wnqmk amkimy jkh inkxn}t ucn}oblko ly kmojxlqm h}m
xn xbm y}dyxjkxljc lklxljc lkqmyxgmkx inyxy+ ]khmt xbmym ilti}gyxjkimy# xbm xmibkncno| ly }kcl`mc| xn dm jhnuxmh
}kcmyy uncli| lkimkxlqmy tmh}im xbm lklxljc inyxy+ Jcyn# xbm xmibkncno| bjy dmmk jyy}gmh xn tmz}ltm jkk}jc
gjlkxmkjkim inyxy mz}jc xn =- na xbm lkqmyxgmkx inyxy+ Utnh}ixlqlx| lkitmjymy jtm y}ib xbjx xbmym ijk dm
mjylc| inqmtmh+ J xblth ndymtqjxlnk wblib ijk dm gjhm ly xbjx xtjhlxlnkjc ucn}oblko jcyn ybnwy kmojxlqm
tmx}tky lk gnyx na xbm jtmj inkylhmtmh+ Xbly in}ch lkhlijxm xbjx ajtgmty jiimux cnwmt tmx}tk xn cjdn}t xbjk xbm
nuuntx}klx| inyx }ymh lk xbm ylg}cjxlnky+
Dlngjyy ibjkom Umtimkxjom dlngjyy ibjkom
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My`lmblt# X}t`m|
Uncli| Yimkjtln6
Y}dylhlylko wnqmk amkim "X]T5=,
H}m xn j blob lkqmyxgmkx inyx ant d}lchlko xbm wnqmk
amkim# wlxbn}x mrxmtkjc alkjkiljc lkimkxlqm lk jcc ujtxy
na xbm yx}h| jtmj wlhmyutmjh jhnuxlnk na xbm
xmibkncno| ly qmt| }kcl`mc|+ Lk xbly yimkjtln xbm maamixy
na j y}dylh| mz}jc xn =5- na xbm lkqmyxgmkx inyxy nk
utnalxjdlclx| na xbm xmibkncno| jkh xbm unxmkxljc ant
glxlojxlko cjkh hmotjhjxlnk jtm mrucntmh+
=5-
Utnalxjdlclx|6
Inyx'maamixlqmkmyy lkhlijxnty6
Xbm lkxtnh}ixlnk na =5- y}dylh| hnmy knx bjqm yloklalijkx lgujix jy xbm utnuntxlnk na xbm yx}h| jtmj wkmojxlqm minkngli ojlk tmgjlky xbm yjgm wlxb jkh wlxbn}x xbm y}dylh|+
Xbm xmibkncno| wjy tjk`mh altyx lk xbm yxj`mbnchmt mqjc}jxlnk djymh nk lxy umtantgjkim lk xbm mrumtlgmkx#wblib ly jcyn y}uuntxmh d| gnhmc n}xu}x+ Bnwmqmt# xbm lkqmyxgmkx inyxy wmtm lk xbm mrumtlgmkxjc ijym knxdntkm d| xbm cjkh }ymt# jkh jy y}ib lx in}ch bjqm dmmk jyy}gmh d| xbm ujtxlilujkxy xbjx xbmym wn}ch dm
y}dylhlymh+ Xbly yimkjtln ybnwy xbjx y}ib y}dylhlmy wn}ch dm tmz}ltmh xn yxlg}cjxm jhnuxlnk# jy mqmk j =5-
tmh}ixlnk lk lkqmyxgmkx inyx hnmy knx f}yxla| xbm lkqmyxgmkx+ Jk jhhlxlnkjc z}myxlnk wn}ch dm la y}ib blob
tjxmy na y}dylhlmy wn}ch yxlcc dm inyx'maamixlqm lk tmh}ilko mkqltnkgmkxjc hmotjhjxlnk+
_lxbn}x y}dylh| _lxb y}dylh|
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My`lmblt# X}t`m|
Ocndjc Yimkjtln6
Annh utnh}ixlnk
Xbm annh utnh}ixlnk yimkjtln ymcmixy xbm xmibkncno|
wlxb xbm blobmyx jotli}cx}tjc utnh}ixlqlx| "dlngjyy,
ant mjib imcc wbmtm j blobmt utnh}ixlqlx| xbjk lk xbm
djymclkm yimkjtln ly jiblmqmh+ Xbm lgucmgmkxjxlnk
inyxy ant xbm xnxjc yx}h| jtmj jtm ijci}cjxmh jkh inyx'
utnh}ixlqlx| tmcjxlnky jyymyymh+ Xn ajilclxjxm
ingujtlynk dmxwmmk hlaamtmkx yx}h| ylxmy# jcc inyxy
jtm mrutmyymh lk M}tn+
+ ?22 `o.bj
+ 15? `o.lkbjdlxjkx
Yinum ant lkitmjymh utnh}ixlnk
\lmch hlaamtmkim Umtimkxjom |lmch hlaamtmkim
Dlnub|ylijc lgujix6 |lmch hlaamtmkim
Xbm lgucmgmkxjxlnk na xbm gnyx utnh}ixlqmxmibkncno| lk mjib cnijxlnk wn}ch ymm |lmch
lkitmjym lk
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Yinum ant lkitmjymh utnh}ixlnk }khmt MXB89
\lmch hlaamtmkim Umtimkxjom |lmch hlaamtmkim
Dlnub|ylijc lgujix6 |lmch hlaamtmkim
Xbm lgucmgmkxjxlnk na tmh}imh xlccjom wn}ch ymm |lmch lkitmjym lk
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7/31/2019 WP5.3 Model Simulations Eskisehir
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My`lmblt# X}t`m|
Ocndjc Yimkjtln6
Glklglvlko cjkh hmotjhjxlnk
Xbm glklglvlko cjkh hmotjhjxlnk yimkjtln ymcmixy xbm
xmibkncno| wlxb xbm blobmyx glxlojxlko maamix nk cjkh
hmotjhjxlnk nt knkm la xbm djymclkm ylx}jxlnk
hmgnkyxtjxmy xbm cnwmyx tjxm na cjkh hmotjhjxlnk+
Xbm lgucmgmkxjxlnk inyxy ant xbm xnxjc yx}h| jtmj jtm
ijci}cjxmh jkh inyx'utnh}ixlqlx| tmcjxlnky jyymyymh+
Xn ajilclxjxm ingujtlynk dmxwmmk hlaamtmkx yx}h|
ylxmy# jcc inyxy jtm mrutmyymh lk M}tn+
'51 xnk ynlc.bj
:182.xnk ynlc
Yinum ant tmh}imh mtnylnk
Tmh}ixlnk na mtnylnk "kmojxlqm qjc}my, Umtimkxjom na mtnylnk tmh}ixlnk "kmojxlqm qjc}my,
Dlnub|ylijc lgujix6 mtnylnk tmh}ixlnk
Tmh}ixlnk na mtnylnk lk
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Yinum ant tmh}imh mtnylnk }khmt MXB89
Tmh}ixlnk na mtnylnk "kmojxlqm qjc}my, Umtimkxjom na mtnylnk tmh}ixlnk "kmojxlqm qjc}my,
Dlnub|ylijc lgujix6 mtnylnk tmh}ixlnk
Tmh}ixlnk na mtnylnk lk
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My`lmblt# X}t`m|
Inkic}hlko tmgjt`y
Djymclkm ylg}cjxlnky ybnw xbjx xbm yx}h| ylxm mrumtlmkimy inkylhmtjdcm mtnylnk# myumiljcc| lk xbm ycnulkojtmjy0 tn}obc| 25- na xbm jtmj bjy mtnylnk tjxmy na nqmt : xnk.bj.|t# jcxbn}ob nkc| j qmt| ygjcc jtmjmrumtlmkimy mtnylnk tjxmy na nqmt :5 xnk.bj.|t+
Xbm xmibkncnolmy ylg}cjxmh jtm xbm xmibkncnolmy ant wblib almch mrumtlgmkxy wmtm inkh}ixmh+ Xbmymxmibkncnolmy wmtm a}txbmt yumilalijxlnky na tmgmhljxlnk nuxlnky ymcmixmh d| yilmkxlyxy jkh cnijc
yxj`mbnchmty xn jhhtmyy wjxmt mtnylnk utndcmgy+ Xbm xmibkncno| yimkjtln ybnwy xbjx inkxn}t ucn}oblko
"MXB89, onmy yngm wj| lk tmh}ilko xbm jtmj wlxb mtnylnk tjxmy otmjxmt xbjk 4 xnk.bj.|t atng jdn}x ?5 xn
15- na xbm juuclijdcm jtmj+ Gntm lgutmyylqm ly lxy maamix nk dlngjyy utnh}ixlnk# omkmtjxlko j gntm xbjk
:55- lkitmjym lk jdn}x