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FMD Preparedness and Response: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins NIAA FMD Symposium, April 18, 2013 Jon Zack, DVM USDA APHIS Veterinary Services Emergency Management and Diagnostics

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Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins - Dr. Jon Zack, Director, Preparedness and Incident Coordination Staff at USDA – APHIS-VS, from the 2013 NIAA Merging Values and Technology conference, April 15-17, 2013, Louisville, KY, USA. More presentations at http://www.trufflemedia.com/agmedia/conference/2013-niaa-merging-values-and-technology

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Page 1: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

FMD Preparedness and Response:

Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and

Private Sector Agency Begins

NIAA FMD Symposium, April 18, 2013

Jon Zack, DVM

USDA APHIS Veterinary Services

Emergency Management and Diagnostics

Page 2: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Planning for an FMD Outbreak is Complex

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Page 3: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

The goals of an FMD response are to

(1) detect, control, and contain FMD in animals as

quickly as possible;

(2) eradicate FMD using strategies that seek to

stabilize animal agriculture, the food supply, the

economy, and protect public health; and

(3) provide science- and risk-based approaches and

systems to facilitate continuity of business for non-

infected animals and non-contaminated animal

products.

APHIS FMD Response Goals

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Page 4: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

.

APHIS FMD Response Goals

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• If at any point in the response it becomes

apparent that stamping-out will not achieve

control, containment, and eradication of

FMD, alternative strategies will be

immediately considered

• Choosing one strategy or multiple response

strategies in an FMD outbreak is a complex

and important decision process, based on

many factors.

Page 5: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

FMD response strategies—strategies are not

mutually exclusive:

• Stamping-out

• Stamping-out with vaccination to slaughter

• Stamping-out with vaccination to live

• Vaccination to live without stamping-out.

FMD Response Strategies

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Page 6: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

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Common Operating Picture - FMD

Page 7: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Conjectured Status of FMD

Intermediate, sporadic

Endemic

Free

Free. Virus present in game parks

Free with vaccination

Countries with multiples zones:

FMD-free, free with vaccination or not free

WRLFMD®

Page 8: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Intermediate, sporadic

Endemic FMD -Free

Free. Virus present in game parks

Free with vaccination

Countries with multiples zones:

FMD-free, free with vaccination or not free

China

O

Turkey

O, A & Asia 1

Vietnam

O

Iran

O, A & Asia 1

Chinese Taipei

O

Thailand

O & A

25 countries

~650 samples

~ 300 positive

South Africa

SAT 2

FMD Outbreaks 2012~ 650 Samples from 25 Countries

Afghanistan

O, A & Asia 1

Kazakhstan

O & A

Russia

O

Bahrain

O & SAT 2

Libya

O & SAT 2

Malaysia

O & A

Israel

O

Kuwait

O Egypt

O, A & SAT 2

Ethiopia

O Namibia

SAT 1

PAT

SAT 2

Kenya

O, SAT 1 & SAT 2

Zambia

SAT 2

KSA

O

Sudan

O, A & SAT 2UAE

O

Eritrea

O

Tanzania

O, A, SAT 1

& SAT 2

Pakistan

A & Asia 1

Hong Kong

O

Page 9: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

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Common Operating Picture - FMD

Page 10: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Common Operating Picture for North America

92.6

12.5

21.5

64.9

11.9 9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

United States

Canada Mexico

Cows (millions)

Pigs (millions)Exports to Canada:

Dairy, Red Meat ~$1.9

Billion

Exports to Mexico:

Dairy, Red Meat ~$2.6

Billion

Inventory Import and Export Value

Imports from Mexico:

Dairy, Red Meat ~$336

Million

Imports from Canada:

Dairy, Red Meat ~$2.2

Billion

Source: USDA FAS, 2011 (2010 data)10

Page 11: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Bovine Population by County

Source: NASS, 200711

Page 12: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Interstate Movement of Bovines

Source: ERS, 2001

Page 13: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Slaughter—Bovine (Animals by State)

Source: NASS, 2009

Multiple Facilities

Single Facility

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Page 14: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Swine Population by County

Source: NASS, 200714

Page 15: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Interstate Movement of Swine

Source: ERS, 200115

Page 16: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Slaughter—Swine (Animals by State)

Source: NASS, 2009

Multiple Facilities

Single Facility

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Page 17: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Sheep Population by County

Source: NASS, 2007

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Page 18: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Goat Population by County

Source: NASS, 2007

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Page 19: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Interstate Movement of Sheep and Goats

Source: ERS, 200119

Page 20: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

.

Consequences of an FMD Outbreak

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• Disruptions to interstate commerce

• International trade halted

• Commodity prices impacted

• Collateral markets impacted (grains, products)

• Stakeholder impacts: economic losses, other

damages

Page 21: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

.

Challenges of an FMD Outbreak

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Page 22: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

.

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Lessons Learned

Page 23: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

.

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Lessons Learned - Continued

• High expectations for response requires:

– Rapid scale-up of resources and trained personnel

– Capability to quickly address competing interests

before or during an outbreak.

• Early FAD detection and rapid tracing is

essential for the effective and timely control of

outbreaks

Page 24: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Public – Private – Academic - Industry

Mitigate

Prepare For

Respond To

Recover From

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Page 25: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

The FAD PReP Mission is….

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…to raise awareness, define expectations, and

improve capabilities for FAD preparedness and

response.

https://fadprep.lmi.org

Page 26: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

What Are Your

FMD Response Goals?

What are Your FMD Preparedness

Goal?

FMD Response Goals

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Page 27: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Continuity of Business Planning:

Other National Initiatives for FMD

• Secure Milk Supply: for milk and milk

movement in an FMD outbreak, to avoid

and mitigate interruptions in movement.

• Secure Pork Supply: for pork and pork

products, to avoid and mitigate

interruptions in movement.

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Page 28: Dr. Jon Zack - Government Preparedness Role and Response Framework: Where Animal Health Authority Leaves Off and Private Sector Agency Begins

Response Planning for FMD

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