dr julio friedmann - the next decade of ccs projects and technology
DESCRIPTION
This presentation was delivered at the Global CCS Institute's Global Status of CCS: 2014 event in Abu Dhabi on 5 November.TRANSCRIPT
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Dr. S. Julio Friedmann
Dep. Asst. Sect., Clean Coal & Carbon Mgmt, Office of Fossil Energy, US DOE
The next decade of CCS projects and technologyGlobal CCS Institute Annual MeetingNovember 5th, Abu Dhabi, UAE
This is a time of fossil energy abundance
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Once in a generation opportunity to build
In coal, oil and gasSupports economic growth
Creates jobs and wealth
US Energy Picture: Abundant Coal, Gas, and Oil
CCS/CCUS is the key technology for this era of fossil energy
abundance
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Nuclear8%
Power generation efficiency 3%Renewables
21%End-use fuel switching
12%CCS
14%End-use fuel & elec. efficiency42%
CCS
“All of the above” required
CCS/CCUS is the key technology for this era of fossil energy abundance
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Technical findings (2008-present) IPCC WG1 report: must read policy summary! Continued GHG accumulations Challenges will all energy scale-ups
Policy drivers President’s Climate Action Plan EPA: NSPS (draft) and ESPS (pending)
Global economic context Investors speak Global coal increase
A $6B climate mitigation program at DOE
Large integrated projects world-wide matter for deployment
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Operate Execute DefineEvaluate Cum. Volume
Num
ber
of
Pro
ject
sVolu
me C
O2 (m
tpa)
Data from Global CCS Institute
Port Arthur, TX: : 1.1 M tons/y CO2Air Products, 2013
VSA Vessels
VSA Vessels
Co-Gen Unit
Blowers
CO2 Compressor & TEG Unit
CO2 Surge Tanks
Existing SMR
Operational! 1.4M tons stored so far
Kemper County, MS: 2.7M tons/y CO2Southern Co., 2013
(Anticipated start late 2014 or early 2015)
Decatur, ILADM 2013
300,000 tons/y today; Over 900,000 tons to date
1 M tons/y shortly
CO2 Pipe to Injection Well
Final class VI permit
Skyonic “Skymine” project, San Antonio, TXOperational !!
75,000 tons/y CO2 captured - >200,000 tons avoided
Boundary Dam, : 1.1M tons/y CO2Saskpower, Saskatchewan
Operational last week
W.A. Parrish, TX: 1.4M tons/y CO2NRG/PetraNova project
Broke Ground Sept. 5th! Operational in 2016
Counterfacing projects under CCWG/S&ED
Includes three large-scale CCS-EOR projects
Projects involve UKY, WVU, UWYOOther recent developments:• New projects: Sinopec, CNPC, & Yanchang• Pending CO2 pipeline deals• Central govt. invitations to US independents
Must go farther and faster
Advanced CO2 capture technologiesMany pathways to success
Novel Solvents New concepts
Solid sorbentsAdvanced membranes
Pathway for Technology CommercializationTRL 2 Successes
from FWP, SBIR/STTR, ARPA-E
Transfer to Office of Major Demonstrations
Scope of Capture Program
“Valley of Death” for Technologies
We need more 2nd generation pilots!
Pre-combustion Capture Center
Pilot Solvent Test Unit (PSTU)
0.5 Mwe (10 tpd CO2)
National Carbon Capture Center (NCCC)
Goal Test technologies under realistic conditions to reduce the cost of CO2 capture
Advantages• National resource to validate
performance and operations • Consistent testing procedures and
data • Very good safety and
environmental record • Platform for international
partnership and sharing
Status• New 5 year commitment to
operator (Southern Company)• >20 technologies tested• 100’s of technologies screened
Longer than expected: EOR volumes estimates have grown• Many 10’s of billions producible
(just US)• 100’s of billions worldwide• Provide revenues: break even
for capital retrofit costs in 7-8 years!
• Conventional EOR uses 2-3 tons CO2 /bbl
Bill
ion
Bar
rels
88.1
47.4
2.30
20
40
60
80
100
TechnicallyRecoverable
EconomicallyRecoverable*
AlreadyProduced/
Proven
Domestic Oil Resources
ARI, 2008
Mill
ion
Met
ric T
ons
Total U.S.CO2 Demand
NewLower-48
CO2 Demand
Net Lower-48From CapturedCO2 Emissions
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,00012,500
9,700
7,500
2,800* 2,200**
Market CO2 demand
>25B tons storage potential from conventional EORThat’s ½ the US coal fleet for ~20 years
Longer than expected: Residual oil zones
• 2x-3x recovery potential and storage potential (12-18 Gt in ROZ vs. 6.4 for main pay zones, PB)
• Possibility for carbon-negative HC
Main Pay Zone (MPZ)
Transition Zone (TZ)
Residual Oil Zone (ROZ)
Base of Ultimate OWC
Base of Producing OWC
4900
4950
4800
4850
5000
5050
5400
5350
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5250
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OWC
100 0Oil Saturation %
“State of the Art” “Next Generation”
(millions) (millions)
CO2 Storage (tonnes) 19 109
Storage Capacity Utilization 13% 76%
Oil Recovery (barrels) 64 180
% Carbon Neutral (“Green Oil”) 80% 160%
ARI, 2008
ARI, 2008
Sources: MIT, 2010; ARI 2007 and 2010; NETL 2008
Steve Melzer’s Expert Analysis of CO2 for EOR in an Actual Texas Oilfield:
Production in Red Circle = Total Barrels of Oil from CO2
Production of “T” = Barrels from Tertiary CO2 Recovery in Main Pay Zone
“Q” = Barrels from “Quaternary” CO2 Recovery in Residual Oil Zone
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New study shows huge potential for
ROZ fairways
Partition 1
Partition 2
Partition 3
Partition 5
Fairw
ay B
ound
ary
NW Shelf
Central Basin Platform
San Simon Channel
SeminoleW. Seminole
AdairTLOC
Cedar Lake
GMK & GMK So.
Robertson
Fairway
Boundary
Hanford
ODCRussell So.Havemeyer
N
Seminole E
S
Carm-Ann
Jenkins
Black Watch
Homann
Middle San Andres Shelf Margin
Lower San Andres Shelf Margin
Partition 4
ROZ “1”
ROZ “2”
121 wells in 4 counties, Permian Basin109 Billion OOIP (!) 20-30% est. recovery60-100B tons CO2 storage potential (ROZ)
Negative C oil is real
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• Conventional EOR uses 6000-7000 scf CO2/barrel
• On molecular and mass-balance basis, this = 82-95% of C
• At roughly 7500-8000 scf/bbl, this is carbon neutral
• Some EOR today uses >9000 scf/bbl: NEGATIVE C
• ROZ production requires 10,000-15,000 scf/bbl: NEGATIVE C
One can claim GHG reductions either from the source (e.g., power plant) OR from the
produced oil. While both can’t be counted, one must be.
Co-produced freshwater as utilization
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Ready to pilot! Seeking partners and possibilities
Bourcier et al., 2011
Below 80,000 TDS, costs ~50% of conv. desal.
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Ready to pilot! Seeking partners and possibilities
Bourcier et al., 2011
Advanced manufacturing brings new materials into
being and new utility
Additive manufacturing Microfluidics Carbon Winding
Middle Fluid
Injection TubeInner Fluid
Outer Fluid
Collection Tube500 m
Additive manufacturing has arrived
Projection Microstereolithography Direct Ink Writing
Laser sintering and net shapingElectrophoretic Deposition
50% less time; up to 90% less material; small supply chains
International partnerships required
Partnerships in Commerce
– Joint ventures– International investment– “Showcase” projects
Accelerated deployment– Data sharing– International Science
Projects
Many platforms– Clean energy ministerial– APEC, G7, COP20, COP21– WEC; Boao Forum
11th CSLF MinisterialNov. 2013
Minister’s visit to Kemper projectNov. 2013
Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum: the global marquis platform for CCS partnership
CSLF: Multinational platform
– 22 countries + E.C.– 11 years in practice– Productive technical and
policy working groups
Pending actions– Data sharing– International Science
Projects
Pending meetings– 22 countries + E.C.– 11 years in practice– Productive technical and
policy working groups
MissionAn international initiative focused on improved cost-
effective technologies for the separation and capture of
carbon dioxide for its utilization and long-term safe storage
Key unit of innovation – global engines of discovery
White RosePeterhead (UK)
Uthmaniyah (KSA)
Lula (BRA)
Quest (CAN)
ESI (UAE)
Gorgon (AUS)
GreenGen (PRC)ShenliYanchang
The next decade of projects = policy infrastructure
This is why we’ve rejoined the Institute
Central secretariat– Global projects– Data gathering and sharing– Industrial and governmental
perspectives
Convening authority– Fora and meetings– International initiatives
Non-governmental agent– Neutral platform– 5 years in practice– Productive technical and
policy working groups