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© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved. Hannover Messe 2014
Life in 2050 – Megatrends shape our future
Dr. Ulrich Eberl
Siemens Future Forum @ HANNOVER MESSE 2014
© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved. © Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved.
2014-04-07 Page 2 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
What do we know about the decades to come?
Megatrends:
• Demographic change (growing and aging population)
• Urbanization
• Globalization
• Climate change and resource scarcity
• Ubiquity of IT / communication / software
Our future begins now
© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved. © Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved.
2014-04-07 Page 3 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
Demographic change
• Approx. 9.5 billion people in 2050
• Three times as many people over 65
• One billion more retirees than today
© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved. © Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved.
2014-04-07 Page 4 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
Urbanization
In 2050:
• Almost as many people in cities as on the whole earth today
• Cities in the developing and emerging countries will have three billion more inhabitants than today
© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved. © Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved.
2014-04-07 Page 5 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
Digital transformation
By 2035:
• The computing power, storage capacity, and data transmission rate of microchips will be 1,000 times higher than today
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2014-04-07 Page 6 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
Resource scarcity / climate change
By 2050:
• Resource and energy consumption could double if business continues as usual – we would need three earths instead of one!
© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved. © Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved.
2014-04-07 Page 7 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
Resource scarcity / climate change
We need to pursue a new categorical imperative:
"Always act in such a way that future generations will have a decent world to live in."
Urban land
Crop land
Grazing land
Forest land
Carbon
footprint
Source: Ministry of Environment, New Zealand
Fishing
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2014-04-07 Page 8 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
What does this mean for life in 2050 ?
Huge challenges, huge opportunities
High-voltage direct-current transmission
Energy efficiency Gas turbines
Renewables: Wind, water, solar, biomass, geothermal
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2014-04-07 Page 9 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
Sustainable, secure and affordable energy systems
The German “Energiewende”
Nine action fields for the energy systems of the future!
© Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved. © Siemens AG 2014. All rights reserved.
2014-04-07 Page 10 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
What does this mean for life in 2050 ?
Huge challenges, huge opportunities
Electromobility / smart cars
Complete mobility Smart buildings in smart grids Personalized healthcare
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2014-04-07 Page 11 Dr. Ulrich Eberl
Contact
Dr. Ulrich Eberl
CC MC PR PU
Otto-Hahn-Ring 6 81739 Munchen
+49-89-636-33246