Draft Transportation 2035 Plan for the San Francisco Bay Area

ACTFebruary 24, 2009

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Transportation 2035

Long-range transportation plan for investing $226

billion in projected revenue expected to flow to the

Bay Area over next 25 years

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• REDUCE CONGESTION

• IMPROVEMAINTENANCE

& SAFETY

Defining the Vision

IMPROVEAFFORDABILITY

REDUCE EMISSIONS

& VMT

InfrastructureInfrastructure

EconomyEconomy EnvironmentEnvironment EquityEquity

GOALS

TARGETS

Pricing & Pricing & Focused Focused GrowthGrowth

STRATEGIES

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Extensive Transportation 2035 Public Outreach & Involvement

• “Bay Area on the Move” Regional Forum (700 participants)

• 9 MTC advisory committee workshops

• 2 roundtable discussions with key “Three E” leaders

• 13 workshops around the region (650 participants)

• 2 statistically valid telephone surveys, offered in three languages (5,400 respondents)

• 2 Web surveys (over 3,000 completed surveys)

• 200+ person-on-the-street multilingual interviews

• 9 focus groups, one per county (some 100 residents)

• 10 multilingual focus groups with non-profits in low-income communities and communities of color (150 residents)

• 3 Tribal consultations and one with federal and state resource agencies

Two-year planning effort allows thousands to shape Bay Area transportation priorities:

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Snapshot of Bay Area in 2035

• 2 million more people, 2 million more jobs

• Daily auto trips grows by 32 percent

• Vehicle miles travel grows by 33 percent

• Carbon dioxide emissions reduced by 14 percent

• Particulate matter emissions increase up to 30 percent

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$226 Billion Transportation 2035 Budget

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Investing in Change

Local Roadway MaintenanceChange in Motion$7 billion to prevent further deterioration of local streets and roads

$11 Billion Shortfall Remains

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Investing in Change

Transit Maintenance

$16 Billion Shortfall Remains

Change in Motion$6.4 billion for transit capital expenses

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Investing in ChangeTransportation Climate Action Campaign

Change in Motion

$400 million for regional Transportation Climate Action Campaign

$45 million to Goods Movement Emissions Reduction Program

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Change in Motion

$1.6 billion to Freeway Performance Initiative to manage freeway congestion

Investing in Change

Freeway Performance Initiative

Investing in Change

Regional HOT Network

Change in Motion

Creates an 800 mile Regional High-Occupancy Toll (HOT) Network on Bay Area freeways

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Change in Motion

$400 million for Lifeline Transportation Program

$1 billion for Regional Bicycle Network

$2.2 billion for Transportation for Livable Communities Program

Investing in Change

Lifeline, Bikes, TLC, & FOCUS

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Change in MotionFocuses on delivering $18 billion in key transit expansion projects

Investing in ChangeResolution 3434

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Assessing the DifferenceReduce CO2 40% below 1990 levels

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

To

ns

per

day

of

CO

2 (

x100

0)

Trend**

Transportation 2035

2035 Objective

Add Pricing and Land Use

Prior Trend*

* Assumes lower fuel economy

**Assumes higher fuel economy

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Assessing the DifferenceReduce VMT per person 10% below today’s levels

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18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Veh

ile M

iles

Tra

vele

d p

er C

apit

a

Trend

Transportation 2035

2035 Objective

Add Pricing and Land Use

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Assessing the DifferenceReduce congestion 20% below today’s levels

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10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

VH

D p

er C

apit

a

Trend

Transportation 2035

2035 Objective

Add Pricing and Land Use

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Assessing the DifferenceReduce by 10% the share of income spent by lower- and moderate-

low-income households on transportation and housing combined*

* Includes households with annual income less than $70,000

** Reflects updated gas prices

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Assessing the Difference

Transit MaintenanceDecrease average age of all assets to 50% of useful life

Target: Decrease mileage in poor condition to no more than 13%*z

Local Streets and Roads MaintenanceDecrease mileage in poor condition to no more than 13%*

* This is equivalent to the adopted objective to increase the averagepavement condition index to 76

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What Did We Learn?

Infrastructure projects alone are not nearly enough

Road pricing has a much bigger effect in short-term

Focused growth helps us reach targets in longer term

Technology innovations can get us even closer to closing the gap

Shifts in individual behavior ultimately drive change

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Transportation 2035: Next Steps

• Public Comment Period for Draft Transportation 2035 Plan Extends through 4 p.m., Monday, March 2

• March 13 Planning Committee Action

• March 25 Full Commission Action

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For More Information

Transportation 2035 Plan:

http://www.mtc.ca.gov/planning/2035_plan