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Driven by: DRIVEN BY: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel Engineers Australia Arjan Rensen Thursday, 28 July 2016 SUBJECT TO USAGE AGREEMENT PROVISIONS

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Page 1: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:DRIVEN BY:

Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travelEngineers Australia

Arjan Rensen

Thursday, 28 July 2016

SUBJECT TO USAGE AGREEMENT PROVISIONS

Page 2: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Questions

What will change with the introduction of driverless vehicles?

Do we drive this change?

Page 3: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

When will the technology be available?

Page 4: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Building blocks for automation already available

Automatic transmission systems

Electronic stability control Electronic power steering Adaptive Cruise Control Autonomous emergency

braking Electronic Stability Control Lane Departure Avoidance Lane Keeping Assist

Automatic Emergency Braking

Blind spot Monitoring Pedestrian Detection Fatigue Alert Night Vision Speed Sign Recognition Automated parking ……… Not: connectivity

Page 5: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Changing cities

YouTube: Drive Me Eng

Page 6: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Where does Australia fit

Australians recorded the highest positive public attitudes towards driverless cars – 62%

Early adopters of innovations and new technologies

Well-regarded internationally for being at the cutting edge of innovation

More young people without a drivers license

Page 7: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

What is a driverless vehicle?

A driverless vehicle is a fully connected and automated vehicle that replaces the human driver in the management of all dynamic driving tasks.

Page 8: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

5 levels of automation

Level 0: No automation

Level 1: Driver assistance

Level 2: Partial automation

Level 3: Conditional Automation

Level 4: High Automation

Level 5: Full Automation

Page 9: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Why driverless vehicles?

The Potential Benefits

~90 % reduction in crashes

30% productivity improvement for drivers

Accessibility and mobility for disadvantaged

Reduced congestion and reduced emissions

Creation of flexible and adaptive public transport services

Increased economic competitive-ness to stimulate the Australian industry

Improved air quality and other environment benefits

30% productivity

improvement for drivers

Accessibility and mobility for disadvantaged

Reduced congestion and

reduced emissions

Creation of flexible and

adaptive public

transport services

~90 % reduction in

crashes

Increased economic

competitiveness to stimulate the

Australian industry

Improved air quality and

other environmental

benefits

Page 10: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Options to improve road safety

Without technology:– Improve road network

– Rationalise speed limits

– Enforcement (speed, RBT, etc.)

– Rethink our cities

– Resolve distraction issues

With Technology:

MUARC, September 2014, TfNSW press release 20 April 2015

Page 11: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Australian Driverless Vehicle Initiative (ADVI)

ADVI Vision

“Accelerate the safe and successful introduction of driverless vehicles onto

Australian roads”.

ADVI is a collaboration between government, industry and academia

Page 12: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

ADVI PARTNERSHIP | 5 July 2016

Page 13: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

ADVI Structure

Page 14: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Phase 1

Goal: raise awareness

Page 15: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Phase 1 | Key activities

National media launch

Partner workshops and conferences

Media interviews and articles

Two international conferences

Awareness raising activities including

Autonomous vehicle demonstrations in Adelaide and elsewhere

Establishment of the ADVI Centre of Excellence

Page 16: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Adelaide Demonstrations, Sat Nov 7

Page 17: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Phase 2

Goal: to explore the issues in a truly Australian context

Page 18: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

STATE OF THE NATIONNational

ADVI

NTC Discussion Paper

Activities across industry groups egMining code of practice

Western Australia

ADVI

RAC intellibus trials

South Australia

ADVI

DPTI Autonomous vehicle demonstration 2015

Legislation passed

South Australian Government support

Defence Science and Technology Group

Road User ?? pilot

AddInsight Bluetooth app

Queensland

EOI by TMR for connected vehicles

ITS pilot projects 2018-2020

Northern Territory

Interest shown in trials

Australian Capital Territory

ADVI

Legislation changes to be announced shortly

Plans to undertake trial

New South Wales

ADVI

Premiers Challenge

Future Transport Initiative

C-ITS Freight Priority Trial

Transport and Roads Technology Hub

CITI trial

TMC upgrade

Smart Transport Technology Centre Announcement

Victoria

ITS World Congress

Bosch Automated Vehicle Research Centre

EOI for Victorian Government ITS innovation projects

Tasmania

??

Page 19: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Potential issues to be explored

SafetyCommunications and architecture

Infrastructure and operations

Human factors

Liability, risk and insurance

Energy and environment

Driver, public and stakeholder perceptions

Shared mobility and public transport

Security and privacy

Economic competitiveness

Testing, certification and

licensing

Vulnerable Road Users

Commercial business models

Page 20: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Next ADVI trial projects

Page 21: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Knowledge sharing and dissemination

Page 22: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Public and industry engagement

Page 24: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

The human factor

Driving is a Complex Activity: route finding route following velocity control collision avoidance rule compliance vehicle monitoring

Vehicle automation is not yet 100% reliable in performing all driving activities.

Page 25: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

The human factor

Distrust Over-trust Transition of control Skill loss Workload Loss of human cooperation Driver acceptance Public acceptance Motion sickness

Page 26: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

The infrastructure

Lane width

Pavement deterioration

Width of parking spaces

Radius of curves

Line marking

Traffic control devices

…………

Page 27: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Challenges

No car manufacturing in Australia Australia is fragmented, with states competing Limited budget available:

– Queensland– Victoria– RAC WA– Industry

Insufficient harmonisation:– Legislation– Design practices (traffic control devices, etc.)

Page 28: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

We want to drive the change!

Improved freight

productivity

Cleaner more

liveable cities

Spawning and

growth of high

tech industries

90% Reduction

of injuries and

deaths

Promotion of

NSW

Mobility that

supports

resolving social

exclusion

Recognition of education and knowledge base (Universities)

National

harmonisation

on legislation

and liability

Page 29: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

Thank you

Arjan Rensen MSc MBA

Regional Manager NSW and ACT

[email protected]

+ 61 2 9282 4407

[email protected]

https://www.advi.org.au

Page 30: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

The Tesla crash

Is it ethical that the whole world is talking about it and that all details, including personal details, are shared publicly?

Or is this how it should be with every single fatal crash, like in aviation?

Page 31: Driverless cars will revolutionise the way we travel · industry Improved air quality and other environment benefits 30% productivity improvement ... Premiers Challenge Future Transport

Driven by:

The Tesla crash: some observations

A level 2 automated car was driven like a level 3 automated car.

Learning by doing is part of the deployment process.

Is it acceptable that machines could cause a fatal accident?