dynamic coupling of kilauea and mauna loa, hawai’idgeist/chapman/...dynamically links kilauea and...

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H. M. Gonnermann 1 , J. H. Foster 2 , B. A. Brooks 2 , M. P. Poland 3 , C. J. Wolfe 2 1 Rice University ([email protected]), 2 University of Hawai’i, Manoa, 3 Hawai’i Volcano Observatory, USGS Dynamic coupling of Kilauea and Mauna Loa, Hawai’i KOSM AHUP UWEV 5 cm 2.5 km Year: 2006.3−2007.3 c d 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Relative frequency Long period earthquakes at >20 km beneath Mauna Loa A much simplified representation of a complex natural system demonstrates the feasibility of an asthenospheric partial melt zone that dynamically links Kilauea and Mauna Loa volcanoes. Asthenospheric pore pressure diffusion between both volcanoes results in dynamical coupling on time scales of 1/2 year. The results are consistent with compositionally distinct magma supplied to each volcano. Deformation at Kilauea and Mauna Loa can be explained simultaneously, including the perplexing 1/2 year delay in the onset of inflation at Mauna Loa in 2002, relative to Kilauea. Conclusions Amelung et al., Science, 316, 1026–1030 (2007). Cervelli, P. F. & Miklius, A., U.S. Geol. Surv. Prof. Pap., 1676, 149–163 (2003). DePaolo, D. J. & Stolper, E. M., J. Geophys. Res. 101, 11643–11654 (1996). Farnetani, C. G. & Hofmann, A. W., Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 295, 231–240 (2010). Holtzman, B. K. et al., Geochem. Geophys. Geosys. 4, doi: 10.1029/2001GC000258 (2003). McKenzie, D., J. Petrol. 25, 713–765 (1984). Wang, H. F. Theory of linear poroelasticity with applications to geomechanics and hydroge- ology (Princeton University Press, 2000). References Modeled time series (left). a, Prescribed rate of flow into the porous zone (Q I , black), to the east rift zone (Q ERZ , red) and into the deep rift zone (Q DRZ , red dashed). Changes of Q I and Q ERZ , relative to the pre-2002 steady state are determined by model calibration. b, Modeled change in pressure of Mauna Loa's summit reservoir (blue) and Kilauea's Halema'uma'u reservoir (red solid) and south-caldera reservoir (red dashed). c, Modeled change in volume of magma stored in Mauna Loa's (blue) and Kilauea's (red) summit reservoirs. d, Long period earthquakes at 45 km beneath Mauna Loa. e, Measured (blue dots) and modeled (blue line) change in distance between GPS stations MOKP and ELEP on either side of Mauna Loa's summit, as well as measured (red dots) and modeled (red line) change in distance between GPS stations AHUP and UWEV on either side of Kilauea's summit. Observed and modeled GPS displacements (right). a, Measured (blue) and modeled (red) horizontal change in the position of Mauna Loa GPS stations MOKP, MLSP and ELEP (small black circles) during the time period between 2001 and 2011. The black line shows the orientation and length of the dike modeled as a rectangular dislocation source. The black circle indicates the location and diameter of the magma chamber modeled as a Mogi source. b-d, Measured (blue) and modeled (red) horizontal change in the position of Kilauea GPS stations UWEV, KOSM and AHUP (small black circles). The large black circle indicates the location and diameter of the south-caldera Mogi source, whereas the medium-size black circle indicates the the location and diameter of the Halema'uma'u Mogi source. The modeled displacements at UWEV, KOSM and AHUP include a component due to slip on the decollement beneath Kilauea's south flank. b, GPS displacements during the time interval magma flow to the east rift zone is thought to have been blocked, resulting in a backup and inflation of the Halema'uma'u reservoir. c, GPS displacements when magma was entering the south-caldera reservoir. A better fit to GPS displacements at station KOSM would require a more complex deformation source beneath the southern caldera and upper southwest rift zone. d, GPS displacements during the deflation of Kilauea's summit. During this time there was additional magma flow into the east rift zone from the south-caldera reservoir. 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 Magma flux (km 3 /yr) a Q i = flow rate into porous layer Q ERZ = flow rate to east rift zone Q DRZ = flow rate to deep rift zone ELEP MLSP MOKP Year: 2001−2011 10 cm 2.5 km a KOSM AHUP UWEV 5 cm 2.5 km Year: 2004−2005.8 b KOSM AHUP UWEV 10 cm 2.5 km Year: 2007.9−2009.5 d ERZ backup ERZ surge ERZ surge ERZ diking 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 Year Change in baseline length (m) e Mauna Loa (MOKP−ELEP) Kilauea (AHUP−UWEV) 0 10 20 30 Change in pressure (MPa) b Mauna Loa Halema‘uma‘u South Caldera 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 Change in stored magma (km 3 ) c Mauna Loa Kilauea Model results Q I Q ERZ Mauna Loa Halema’uma’u East rift zone Asthenospheric porous zone Deep rift zone South caldera Lithospheric plumbing p M p K P M Q DRZ P S P K Q S Q M Q K 54 km 90 km A finite difference & lumped element model The governing equation for the finite difference model of the asthenospheric high-permeability zone: Here p(x,t) is reduced pore pressure, t is time and x is the two-dimensional cartesian coordinate. c = 10 2 m 2 s -1 is pore-pressure diffusivity (Wang, 2000) and corresponds to a permeability within the range of empirical predictions for partially molten mantle (Holtzman et al., 2003). q(x,t) accounts for the local change in pore pressure associated with the volumetric melt flux in or out of the porous layer. Boundary conditions are no flow along the perimeter and magma supply from below, Q I , modeled as a Gaussian distribution of 30 km diameter southwest of Kilauea (e.g., DePalolo & Stolper,1996; Farnetatin & Hofmann, 2010). Q K and Q M are outflow from the porous layer. They are calculated using a conductance formulation Q K (t) = α {p(x K ,t) -P K (t)} and Q M (t) = α {p(x M ,t) -P M (t)}, respectively, where α = 0.018 km 3 MPa -1 yr -1 . Magma flux to the south-caldera reserovir is given by Q S (t) = β {P K (t) -P S (t)}, where β depends on P S to account for the opening of magma pathways. The value of P M changes with changing volume of the combined dike and Mogi source due to magma flux Q M . The values of P K and P S depend on the change in volume of the Mogi source as a result of the difference in magma influx and outflux. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Reduced pore pressure (MPa) i Asthenospheric porous zone Deep rift zone storage, Q DRZ Modeled streamline Modeled streamlines Q K Q M Lithospheric plumbing systems ELEP MLSP MOKP Dike Mogi 5 km Mauna Loa summit 5 km KOSM AHUP UWEV E a s t ri f t z o n e Kilauea summit Halema’uma’u 5 km South Caldera N Oblique northeastward view of the Island of Hawai'i underlain by modeled reduced pore pressure (pressure above magma-static) in an asthenospheric melt zone of high permeability, the consequence of melt accumulation by compaction (McKenzie, 1984). Magma inflow, Q I , is based on the model of DePaolo & Stolper (1996). Streamlines (thin red arrows) show that Mauna Loa and Kilauea capture different parts of the melt source. Thick red arrows above the porous zone schematically represent vertical magma flow through Mauna Loa's and Kilauea's lithospheric plumbing system. Inserts show aerial view of Mauna Loa's (left) and Kilauea's (right) summits. Blue dots with labels indicate the locations of continuous GPS stations used to calibrate the model. Location and size of modeled deformation sources are indicated by black circles for spherical (Mogi) sources and a line for a dike beneath Mauna Loa’s summit (Amelung et al., 2007). Magma rising through Kilauea's lithospheric plumbing system is mostly stored in the deep rift zone (DRZ) or erupts at the east rift zone (ERZ), with the remainder stored in shallow crustal reservoirs, modeled as Mogi sources labeled Halema'uma'u and South Caldera (Cervelli & Miklius, 2003). The porous flow model is coupled to kinematic deformation models through pressure dependent magma flow rates and conservation of mass. Conceptual model Deep rift zone storage, Q ERZ Summary In May 2002, almost two decades after its last eruption, Mauna Loa, Hawai’i, began to inflate rapidly. Six months prior a similar inflation began at neighboring Kilauea. A numerical model that integrates GPS measurements of volcano deformation with asthenospheric and crustal magma flow demonstrates that Mauna Loa and Kilauea may be dynamically linked through an asthenospheric porous melt zone extending beneath both volcanoes. At each volcano shallow crustal magma storage reservoirs are connected to the asthenosphere by a lithospheric magma plumbing system through which changes in magma pressure are transmitted. In the asthenospheric melt zone pore pressure can diffuse between both volcanoes, resulting in the six-month delay in inflation of Mauna Loa relative to Kilauea. Since 2002, the magma added to Mauna Loa's crustal reservoir is comparable in volume to historical eruptions of Mauna Loa.

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Page 1: Dynamic coupling of Kilauea and Mauna Loa, Hawai’idgeist/Chapman/...dynamically links Kilauea and Mauna Loa volcanoes. Asthenospheric pore pressure diffusion between both volcanoes

H. M. Gonnermann1, J. H. Foster2, B. A. Brooks2, M. P. Poland3, C. J. Wolfe2

1Rice University ([email protected]), 2University of Hawai’i, Manoa, 3Hawai’i Volcano Observatory, USGS

Dynamic coupling of Kilauea and Mauna Loa, Hawai’i

KOSMAHUP

UWEV

5 cm

2.5 kmYear: 2006.3−2007.3

c

d

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

Rel

ativ

e fre

quen

cy

Long period earthquakes at >20 km beneath Mauna Loa

A much simplified representation of a complex natural system demonstrates the feasibility of an asthenospheric partial melt zone that dynamically links Kilauea and Mauna Loa volcanoes.

Asthenospheric pore pressure diffusion between both volcanoes results in dynamical coupling on time scales of 1/2 year.

The results are consistent with compositionally distinct magma supplied to each volcano.Deformation at Kilauea and Mauna Loa can be explained simultaneously, including the perplexing 1/2 year delay in the onset of inflation at Mauna Loa in 2002, relative to Kilauea.

Conclusions

Amelung et al., Science, 316, 1026–1030 (2007). Cervelli, P. F. & Miklius, A., U.S. Geol. Surv. Prof. Pap., 1676, 149–163 (2003).DePaolo, D. J. & Stolper, E. M., J. Geophys. Res. 101, 11643–11654 (1996).Farnetani, C. G. & Hofmann, A. W., Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 295, 231–240 (2010).Holtzman, B. K. et al., Geochem. Geophys. Geosys. 4, doi: 10.1029/2001GC000258 (2003).McKenzie, D., J. Petrol. 25, 713–765 (1984).Wang, H. F. Theory of linear poroelasticity with applications to geomechanics and hydroge- ology (Princeton University Press, 2000).

References

Modeled time series (left). a, Prescribed rate of flow into the porous zone (QI, black), to the east rift zone (QERZ, red) and into the deep rift zone (QDRZ, red dashed). Changes of QI and QERZ, relative to the pre-2002 steady state are determined by model calibration. b, Modeled change in pressure of Mauna Loa's summit reservoir (blue) and Kilauea's Halema'uma'u reservoir (red solid) and south-caldera reservoir (red dashed). c, Modeled change in volume of magma stored in Mauna Loa's (blue) and Kilauea's (red) summit reservoirs. d, Long period earthquakes at 45 km beneath Mauna Loa. e, Measured (blue dots) and modeled (blue line) change in distance between GPS stations MOKP and ELEP on either side of Mauna Loa's summit, as well as measured (red dots) and modeled (red line) change in distance between GPS stations AHUP and UWEV on either side of Kilauea's summit.

Observed and modeled GPS displacements (right). a, Measured (blue) and modeled (red) horizontal change in the position of Mauna Loa GPS stations MOKP, MLSP and ELEP (small black circles) during the time period between 2001 and 2011. The black line shows the orientation and length of the dike modeled as a rectangular dislocation source. The black circle indicates the location and diameter of the magma chamber modeled as a Mogi source. b-d, Measured (blue) and modeled (red) horizontal change in the position of Kilauea GPS stations UWEV, KOSM and AHUP (small black circles). The large black circle indicates the location and diameter of the south-caldera Mogi source, whereas the medium-size black circle indicates the the location and diameter of the Halema'uma'u Mogi source. The modeled displacements at UWEV, KOSM and AHUP include a component due to slip on the decollement beneath Kilauea's south flank. b, GPS displacements during the time interval magma flow to the east rift zone is thought to have been blocked, resulting in a backup and inflation of the Halema'uma'u reservoir. c, GPS displacements when magma was entering the south-caldera reservoir. A better fit to GPS displacements at station KOSM would require a more complex deformation source beneath the southern caldera and upper southwest rift zone. d, GPS displacements during the deflation of Kilauea's summit. During this time there was additional magma flow into the east rift zone from the south-caldera reservoir.

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

Mag

ma

flux

(km

3 /yr)

aQi = flow rate into porous layerQERZ = flow rate to east rift zoneQDRZ = flow rate to deep rift zone

ELEPMLSP

MOKP

Year: 2001−2011

10 cm

2.5 km

a

KOSMAHUP

UWEV

5 cm

2.5 kmYear: 2004−2005.8

b

KOSMAHUP

UWEV

10 cm

2.5 kmYear: 2007.9−2009.5

dERZ

back

up

ERZ

surg

e ERZ

surg

e ERZ

diki

ng

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

Year

Cha

nge

in b

asel

ine

leng

th (m

) eMauna Loa (MOKP−ELEP)Kilauea (AHUP−UWEV)

0

10

20

30

Cha

nge

in p

ress

ure

(MPa

)

bMauna LoaHalema‘uma‘uSouth Caldera

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

Cha

nge

in s

tore

d m

agm

a (k

m3 ) cMauna Loa

Kilauea

Model results

QI

QERZ

Mauna LoaHalema’uma’u

East rift zone

Asthenosphericporous zone

Deep rift zone

South caldera

Lithospheric plumbing

pM pK

PM QDRZ

PSPK QS

QM QK

54 km90 km

A finite difference & lumped element model

The governing equation for the finite difference model of the asthenospheric high-permeability zone:

Here p(x,t) is reduced pore pressure, t is time and x is the two-dimensional cartesian coordinate. c=102 m2 s-1 is pore-pressure diffusivity (Wang, 2000) and corresponds to a permeability within the range of empirical predictions for partially molten mantle (Holtzman et al., 2003). q(x,t) accounts for the local change in pore pressure associated with the volumetric melt flux in or out of the porous layer. Boundary conditions are no flow along the perimeter and magma supply from below, QI, modeled as a Gaussian distribution of 30 km diameter southwest of Kilauea (e.g., DePalolo & Stolper,1996; Farnetatin & Hofmann, 2010). QK and QM are outflow from the porous layer. They are calculated using a conductance formulation QK(t) = α {p(xK,t) -PK(t)} and QM(t) = α {p(xM,t) -PM(t)}, respectively, where α = 0.018 km3 MPa-1 yr-1. Magma flux to the south-caldera reserovir is given by QS(t) = β {PK(t) -PS(t)}, where β depends on PS to account for the opening of magma pathways. The value of PM changes with changing volume of the combined dike and Mogi source due to magma flux QM. The values of PK and PS depend on the change in volume of the Mogi source as a result of the difference in magma influx and outflux.

0 10 20 30 40 50 60Reduced pore pressure (MPa)

i

Asthenospheric porous zone

Deep rift zone storage, QDRZ

Modeled streamline

Modeled streamlines

QKQM

Lithospheric plumbing systems

ELEPMLSP

MOKPDike

Mogi

5 kmMauna Loa summit

5 km

KOSM AHUP

UWEV

East rift zone

Kilauea summit

Halema’uma’u

5 km

South Caldera

N

Oblique northeastward view of the Island of Hawai'i underlain by modeled reduced pore pressure (pressure above magma-static) in an asthenospheric melt zone of high permeability, the consequence of melt accumulation by compaction (McKenzie, 1984). Magma inflow, QI, is based on the model of DePaolo & Stolper (1996). Streamlines (thin red arrows) show that Mauna Loa and Kilauea capture different parts of the melt source. Thick red arrows above the porous zone schematically represent vertical magma flow through Mauna Loa's and Kilauea's lithospheric plumbing system. Inserts show aerial view of Mauna Loa's (left) and Kilauea's (right) summits. Blue dots with labels indicate the locations of continuous GPS stations used to calibrate the model. Location and size of modeled deformation sources are indicated by black circles for spherical (Mogi) sources and a line for a dike beneath Mauna Loa’s summit (Amelung et al., 2007). Magma rising through Kilauea's lithospheric plumbing system is mostly stored in the deep rift zone (DRZ) or erupts at the east rift zone (ERZ), with the remainder stored in shallow crustal reservoirs, modeled as Mogi sources labeled Halema'uma'u and South Caldera (Cervelli & Miklius, 2003). The porous flow model is coupled to kinematic deformation models through pressure dependent magma flow rates and conservation of mass.

Conceptual model

Deep rift zone storage, QERZ

Summary

In May 2002, almost two decades after its last eruption, Mauna Loa, Hawai’i, began to inflate rapidly. Six months prior a similar inflation began at neighboring Kilauea. A numerical model that integrates GPS measurements of volcano deformation with asthenospheric and crustal magma flow demonstrates that Mauna Loa and Kilauea may be dynamically linked through an asthenospheric porous melt zone extending beneath both volcanoes. At each volcano shallow crustal magma storage reservoirs are connected to the asthenosphere by a lithospheric magma plumbing system through which changes in magma pressure are transmitted. In the asthenospheric melt zone pore pressure can diffuse between both volcanoes, resulting in the six-month delay in inflation of Mauna Loa relative to Kilauea. Since 2002, the magma added to Mauna Loa's crustal reservoir is comparable in volume to historical eruptions of Mauna Loa.