e pw w - agro-alimentarias · 2016. 10. 31. · benin 104 507 83 112 - 20.5 % saudi arabia 90 220...
TRANSCRIPT
DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 28.10.2016
Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA,
Last update:
Period:2015 2016 % Chg
EU-28 951 388 1 039 710 + 9.3 %South Africa 131 525 176 791 + 34.4 %
Philippines 61 708 85 132 + 38.0 %
Benin 104 507 83 112 - 20.5 %
Saudi Arabia 90 220 79 796 - 11.6 %
Hong Kong 56 079 79 354 + 41.5 %
Ukraine 48 795 65 233 + 33.7 %
Ghana 46 784 50 105 + 7.1 %
Other 411 769 420 187 + 2.0 %
POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Aug
Pri
ces
Wo
rld
Qu
ota
tio
ns
Pro
du
ctio
nTr
ade
EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2015 / 16 )
Wo
rld
Tra
de
- 0.2%
3 9
42
4 1
81
4 0
75
3 3
97
1 4
13
1 4
04
1 1
87
1 1
22
681
640
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
2014 2015
In 1
000
ton
ne
s P
W
World Main EXPORTERS( 89% of Total Exports )
Brazil United States EU Hong Kong & China Thailand
2014 : 12 798
2015 : 12 093 1 5
67
1 3
21
900
948
881
839
791
808
393 478
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2014 2015
In 1
000
ton
ne
s P
W
World Main IMPORTERS( 69% of Total Imports )
Hong Kong + China Japan Mexico EU South Africa
2014 : 6 895
2015 : 6 378
Ove
rall
Po
ult
ry M
eat
Pla
cin
gs B
roile
r
- 1.3% - 5.0%
Period: 2015 2016 % Chg
EU-28 579 294 616 029 + 6.3%
Brazil 329 068 343 388 + 4.4 %
Thailand 188 951 200 982 + 6.4 %
Ukraine 25 156 30 065 + 19.5 %
Chile 12 895 22 199 + 72.2 %
China 11 922 11 193 - 6.1 %
Argentina 5 916 4 335 - 26.7 %
Switzerland 1 706 1 558 - 8.7 %
Other 3 681 2 310 - 37.3 %
POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Aug
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2015 / 16 )
11
35
4
11
65
5
12
12
1
12
35
1
12
68
3
12
78
9
13
26
1
13
75
7
13
99
3
11
33
0
11
58
6
11
76
7
11
89
2
12
21
7
12
28
7
12
73
2
13
25
8
13
50
9
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4 000
8 000
12 000
16 000
20 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 2016f
10
00
To
nn
es
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2015 and 2016 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)
EUW E E K P R I C E S 42
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
Broiler80%
Turkey15%
Duck5%
Forecast and Production of poultry meat
2015 - Consumption per capita in retail => 22.5 (kg)
174.82
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
g
BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg 2011-15
2015
2016
174.82
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
| 14 | 15 | 16 |
€/ 100 k
g
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
120.8
174.82
131.98
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
PL2 01115%
FR1 71813% UK
1 68912%
DE1 51111%
ES1 44311%
IT1 295
9%
Other4 03729%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)
Year 2015Total = 13 704
(+3.8% over 2014)
6 MSs =
71% of total production
51
58
51
48
47
64
53
24
58
55
10
86
54
40
12
53
33
49
55
10
68
50
87
57
53
00
98
52
86
57
39
94
58
49
92
26
53
28
98
50
28
50
55
56
26
57
34
64
55
56
20
54
03
23
59
50
75
53
62
72
53
74
38
57
08
81
47
06
13 5
54
33
4
51
69
01
52
18
76
55
69
82
56
83
15
55
73
67
49
20
23
24
87
85
0 0 0 0 0
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2014 2015 2016
56
6 7
16 6
70
71
6
68
5 5
71
64
3 8
49
70
2 3
25
73
3 2
78
71
7 2
19
70
7 2
12
73
2 0
92
67
3 4
43
70
2 5
93
70
13
49
52
7 4
13
66
4 0
78
71
4 0
85
67
0 5
25
73
7 4
88
76
1 1
72
73
1 9
54
72
3 2
84
78
9 2
26
70
8 3
27
71
4 2
17
75
60
88
62
1 2
89 7
30
42
0
69
2 7
04
69
6 1
98
74
1 2
10
76
2 0
83
71
3 4
35
68
6 2
28
34
6 7
28
0 0 0
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Forecast and Production of broiler( Tonnes )
2014 2015 2016
88
7
82
1
85
5
80
7 84
6
87
2
57
9
61
6
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan-Aug15
Jan-Aug16
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1 0
16
1 2
65 1 4
31
1 4
28
1 5
04
1 4
91
95
1
1 0
40
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan-Aug15
Jan-Aug16
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2014 2015 2016
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2014 2015 2016
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
back to DashboardNext
Pric
es
- 0.2% - 1.3% - 5.0%
EUW E E K P R I C E S 42
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
174.82
€/ 100 k
g
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)
170
175
180
185
190
195
€/ 100 k
gBROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION
Avg 2011-15
2015
2016
174.82
back to Dashboard
Broiler
80%
Turkey15%
Duck
5%
Forecast and Production of poultry meat
2015 - Consumption per capita in retail => 22.5 (kg)
Source: MSs notifications – Expert group
PreviousPage
Next
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
| 14 | 15 | 16 |
€/ 1
00 k
g
E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S
EU
US
BR
120.8
174.82
131.98
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source: ECB (European Central Bank)
1,00
1,10
1,20
1,30
Sep
t.
De
c.
Ma
r.
Jun
e
Sep
t.
De
c.
Ma
r.
Jun
e
EUR / USD
3,00
3,50
4,00
4,50
Sep
t.
De
c.
Ma
r.
Jun
e
Sep
t.
De
c.
Ma
r.
Jun
e
EUR / BRL
EUR / USD EUR / BRL
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2014 2015 2016
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
Jan
Ap
r
Jul
Oct
2014 2015 2016
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
52
1 8
42
48
9 8
41
53
8 5
88
55
4 2
71
54
9 2
22
53
8 3
48
55
4 6
33
51
5 8
43
53
4 0
13
52
9 1
37
40
8 0
65
50
7 1
92
53
2 8
98
50
2 8
50
55
5 6
26
57
3 4
64
55
5 6
20
54
0 3
23
59
5 0
75
53
6 2
72
53
7 4
38
57
0 8
81
47
0 6
13 5
54
33
4
51
6 9
01
52
1 8
76
55
6 9
82
56
8 3
15
55
7 3
67
49
2 0
23
24
8 7
85
#N
/A
#N
/A
#N
/A
#N
/A
#N
/A
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )
2014 2015 2016
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008
566
716 67
0 71
6
685
571
643
849
702
325
733
278
717
219
707
212
732
092
673
443
702
593
701
349
527
413
664
078
714
085
670
525
737
488
761
172
731
954
723
284
789
226
708
327
714
217
756
088
621
289 73
0 42
0
692
704
696
198
741
210
762
083
713
435
686
228
346
728
#N/A
#N/A
#N/A
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Forecast and Production of broiler( Tonnes )
2014 2015 2016
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source: Eurostat
PL2.01115%
FR1.71813% UK
1.68912%
DE1.51111%
ES1.44311%
IT1.295
9%
Other4.03729%
EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes PW )
Year 2015Total = 13 704
(+3.8% over 2014)
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
11.3
54
11.6
55
12.1
21
12.3
51
12.6
83
12.7
89
13.2
61
13.7
57
13.9
93
11.3
30
11.5
86
11.7
67
11.8
92
12.2
17
12.2
87
12.7
32
13.2
58
13.5
09
100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
125%
0
4.000
8.000
12.000
16.000
20.000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 2016f
1000
Tonn
es
EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2015 and 2016 based on estimations )
EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)
Source: Eurostat
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
3.94
2
4.18
1
4.07
5
3.39
7
1.41
3
1.40
4
1.18
7
1.12
2
681
640
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
2014 2015
In 1
000
tonn
es P
W
World Main EXPORTERS( 89% of Total Exports )
Brazil United States EU Hong Kong & China Thailand
2014 : 12 798
2015 : 12 093
Source: GTA
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
1.56
7
1.32
1
900 948
881
839
791
808
393 47
8
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2014 2015
In 1
000
tonn
es P
W
World Main IMPORTERS
( 69% of Total Imports )
Hong Kong + China Japan Mexico EU South Africa
2014 : 6 895
2015 : 6 378
Source: GTA
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
1 0
16 1
26
5 1 4
31
1 42
8
1 50
4
1 49
1
951
1 04
0
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
2009 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan-Aug15
Jan-Aug16
EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source: Eurostat
EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2015 /16 )
Period:2015 2016 % Chg
EU-28 951 388 1 039 710 + 9.3 %South Africa 131 525 176 791 + 34.4 %
Philippines 61 708 85 132 + 38.0 %
Benin 104 507 83 112 - 20.5 %
Saudi Arabia 90 220 79 796 - 11.6 %
Hong Kong 56 079 79 354 + 41.5 %
Ukraine 48 795 65 233 + 33.7 %
Ghana 46 784 50 105 + 7.1 %
Other 411 769 420 187 + 2.0 %
EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2015/16)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Aug
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
887
821 85
5
807 84
6
872
579
616
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan-Aug15
Jan-Aug16
EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)
Source: Eurostat
back to DashboardPrevious
Source: Eurostat
EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2015 /16 )
Period: 2015 2016 % Chg
EU-28 579 294 616 029 + 6.3%
Brazil 329 068 343 388 + 4.4 %
Thailand 188 951 200 982 + 6.4 %
Ukraine 25 156 30 065 + 19.5 %
Chile 12 895 22 199 + 72.2 %
China 11 922 11 193 - 6.1 %
Argentina 5 916 4 335 - 26.7 %
Switzerland 1 706 1 558 - 8.7 %
Other 3 681 2 310 - 37.3 %
EU-28 Imports (Main partners in 2015/16)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)
Jan-Aug