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EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in schools? Dr. Jonathan Brentnall

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Page 1: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

EALAW Conference29th March 2011

Newport

Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle?

What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in schools?

Dr. Jonathan Brentnall

Page 2: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

1. Big PictureContext

Inform work with individuals

In the stats – every child matters

At a social level – every child matters

Statistics influence expectations – use them carefully

Page 3: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

2. Potential v Attainment

Grouped attainment statistics are NOT a measurement of POTENTIAL (group or individual)

Only tell you what pupils ATTAINED measured against a particular level at a certain time – not what they’re CAPABLE of

Page 4: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

3. Achievement v Attainment

A child may ACHIEVE much but NOT ATTAIN a set target level

A child may make great progress but still not ATTAIN the level of their peers

Page 5: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

4. Assessments contain bias

Socially constructed

Culturally framed

Biased towards those who share a similar social and cultural framework of experience

Certain kinds of knowledge, understanding and skills are valued more than others

Built-in disadvantage for some

Page 6: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

5. Working within the system

Curriculum & testing need to be addressed at a political, policy level

Some room for professional discretion

Tacit acceptance of working within the statutory framework

Ultimately – children & people are judged by their level of success in the education system – as it is

Page 7: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

6. Racial/ethnic differences or inequalities?

Gender pay gap = Unequal Pay

Underlying principle – men and women are equal

All equal – equal entitlements – equal opportunities – equal access – equal outcomes

Different educational/assessment outcomes impact on …

further & higher education uptake, career options, earnings, social mobility, quality of life …

Page 8: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

7. Explaining the statistics

Pupil population divided up by race/ethnicity

Ethnic identities - intermediate categories

Small numbers = less reliable statistics

Aggregated 2005-2010 = more robust statistics

Attainment – CSI (Eng, Maths, Sci) KS1-4

Gender KS4 (2005-09), Free School Meals (2009/10), Exclusions (2003-09), EAL Stages (2010)

Page 9: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

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Distribution of attainment in norm-based assessment

Level of attainment

Number of people

Page 10: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

High target level of attainment (few can achieve)

Level of attainment

Number of people

Page 11: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

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Lower target level of attainment (more can achieve)

Level of attainment

Number of people

Page 12: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

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Low target level of attainment (most can achieve)

Level of attainment

Number of people

Page 13: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

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In an EQUAL system - % people attaining the target / expected level

Comparison of different groupings

%

Page 14: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

NC Assessment & exams

The statistics represent:

All pupils recorded in PLASC on roll & assessed

Combined figures for 6 years from 2005-2010 drawn from Statistical bulletins SB 16/2008 (2005-2007) and SB 24/2011 (2008-2010)

Page 15: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10, Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

L2 L4 L5 A*-C

Page 16: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Page 17: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

81.575.9

60

43.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

White British background

Page 18: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

81.8 79.5

72.768.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Chinese or Chinese British

Page 19: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

85.2 85

72.6

51

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Mixed White and Asian background

Page 20: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

84.6

73.4

60.4

51.4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Any other Asian Background

Page 21: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

82.9

75.3

60.8

50.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Indian heritage

Page 22: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

81.777.5

60.9

45.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Any other Mixed Background

Page 23: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

71.4 69.5

56.6

45.4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Any other White background

Page 24: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

73.970

54.6

41.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Pakistani heritage

Page 25: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

72.969.3

51.5

35.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Bangladeshi heritage

Page 26: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

73.968.8

54.1

44.4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Any other ethnic group

Page 27: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10, Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

8074.2

53.3

30.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

White and Black Caribbean background

Page 28: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

78.7

67

51.6

34

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Black Caribbean heritage

Page 29: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

72.6

64.2

47.9

31.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Any other Black background

Page 30: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.1

67.560.9

43.5

29.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Black African heritage

Page 31: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.142.3

28.222

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Traveller background

Page 32: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils attaining CSI KS1-4 2005-10 agg. Wales

8175.6

59.9

43.136.3

32.3

7.5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Gypsy/Gypsy Roma

Page 33: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

5 groups' figs. start KS1 & end KS4 above ave. 05-10, Wales

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Chinese or Chinese British

Indian heritage

Any other Asian Background

Mixed White and Asian background

Any other Mixed Background

Page 34: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

3 groups' figs start below & end KS4 above ave. 05-10, Wales

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Any other White background

Any other ethnic group

Mixed White and Black African background

Page 35: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

2 groups' figs. start below & narrow gap by KS4, 05-10, Wales

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Pakistani heritage

Bangladeshi heritage

Page 36: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

4 groups' figs. start below & don't narrow gap, 05-10, Wales

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupils

Black African heritage

Any other Black background

Black Caribbean heritage

Mixed White and Black Caribbean background

Page 37: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

2 groups' figures are unacceptably low. 05-10, Wales

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

KS1 KS2 KS3 KS4

All pupilsTravellerGypsy/Gypsy Roma

Page 38: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

KS4 CSI by ethnicity, Wales, 2005-10 agg.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Page 39: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

What do the attainment statistics tell us?

Higher proportions of pupils from several minority ethnic groupings attain expected levels:Chinese, Indian, Mixed White & Asian, Any other Asian background, Any other Mixed background

In several minority groupings, the proportion of pupils attaining the expected level increases from KS1-4 compared to the national figure: Any other white background, Any other ethnic group, Mixed White and Black African, Pakistani, Bangladeshi

Page 40: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

What do the attainment statistics tell us?

Some groupings start at a disadvantage: Gypsy/Roma, Traveller, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Black African, Black Caribbean, Mixed White & Black Caribbean, Any other Black background, Mixed White & Black African, Any other White and Any other ethnic group.

Some groupings - proportions decline over time:Gypsy/Roma, Traveller, Black Caribbean, Black African, Mixed White and Black Caribbean, Any other Black backgd.

Issues at all Key Stages – most gps decline highest in KS3

Page 41: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Gender & Attainment

Are there any differences between boys’ and girls’ attainments?

Page 42: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Boys and Girls attaining KS4 CSI Wales 2005-09 High attainment groupings

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

All pupils White - British Any other Mixedbackground

Any other Whitebackground

Any other ethnicgroup

Any other Asianbackground

White and Asian Indian Chinese orChinese British

6.1

8.5

8.8 5.4 6.11.1

8.9

6

9.8

Page 43: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Boys and Girls attaining KS4 CSI, Wales, 2005-09 low attainment groupings

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

Gypsy/Roma Traveller of IrishHeritage

Black African Black Caribbean White and BlackCaribbean

Any other Blackbackground

Bangladeshi White and BlackAfrican

Pakistani All pupils

1.8

29.2 2.71.5 1.8

11.7 0.6

10.2 6

4.8

Page 44: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Gender gap

Several groupings with low numbers of attainers - smaller gap between boys and girls.

Several groupings with high numbers of attainers - larger gap between boys and girls.

Pakistani & Bangladeshi heritage boys behind.

Chinese, Indian, Any other Asian, Any other Mixed background boys behind.

Page 45: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

EAL Stage

How significant is EAL proficiency?

Page 46: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Proportion of EAL pupils at each EAL Stage, Wales 2009/10

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

All pupils

E

D

C

B

A

Page 47: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

EAL Pupils by EAL Stage and Age Group, Wales 2009/10

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Under 5 5 to 10 11 to 15 16 and over

E

D

C

B

A

Page 48: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils on each EAL Stage by Gender, Wales 2009/10

18.0

16.7

18.4

16.5

19.6

19.6

13.3

14.7

30.7

32.4

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Boys

Girls

A

B

C

D

E

Page 49: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Pupils on EAL Stages by racial group, Wales 2009/10

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

White Mixed Chinese Black Otherethnicgroup

Asian

not EAL

E

D

C

B

A

Page 50: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

FSM eligibility

How significant is socio-economic background?

Page 51: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils eligible for FSM by racial group, Wales 2009/10

47.1

24.521.5

17.5 16.9

5.1

17.8

0.05.0

10.015.020.025.030.035.040.045.050.0

Black Mixed Any otherethnicgroup

White Asian Chinese All pupils

Page 52: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

% pupils eligible for FSM by ethnicity, Wales 2009/10

17.8

67.6

59.8

52.1

32.6 32.129.8

27.121.9 21.5 20.4 20.3 20.3

17.5

11.2 9.86.1 5.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Tota

l

G

ypsy / R

om

a

Tra

veller of Iris

h H

erita

ge

Bla

ck A

fric

an

W

hite a

nd B

lack C

aribbean

Any o

ther Bla

ck b

ackgro

und

W

hite a

nd B

lack A

fric

an

Bla

ck C

aribbean

Pakis

tani

Any o

ther eth

nic

gro

up

Bangla

deshi

Any o

ther m

ixed b

ackgro

und

W

hite a

nd A

sia

n

W

hite B

ritish

Any o

ther Asia

n b

ackgro

und

Any o

ther W

hite b

ackgro

und

In

dia

n

Chin

ese

Page 53: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Exclusions

Do exclusion rates tell us anything about race equality in schools in Wales?

Page 54: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Rates of permanent exclusion, ratio above or below national figure, by racial group - 2003-2009

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

AnyOther

Black NotKnown

Mixed White Asian Chinese Total

ratio to 1

Page 55: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Rates of exclusion of 6 days or more, ratio above or below national figure, by racial group - 2003-2009

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

NotKnown

Black AnyOther

Mixed White Asian Chinese Total

ratio to 1

Page 56: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Rates of exclusion of 5 days or fewer, ratio above or below national figure, by racial group - 2003-2009

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

NotKnown

Black AnyOther

Mixed White Asian Chinese Total

ratio to 1

Page 57: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Conclusions

Equal educational outcomes are not a reality for pupils of all ethnic backgrounds in Wales.

Some of the inequalities are unacceptable.

Girls & boys attainment differs between groups.

In some groupings pupils make very good progress.

Page 58: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Conclusions

A disproportionate number of pupils from several minority ethnic groupings experience socio-economic disadvantage.

Pupils from certain ethnic backgrounds experience a disproportionate number of exclusions.

EAL proficiency appears significant for some but not all attainment patterns

Page 59: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

What can we do?

Identify the reasons for low attainment: the factors contributing to low achievement

Identify the best practice strategies for tackling the negative factors and supporting achievement

Define what needs to be done to improve current policy and practice

Page 60: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Focus Groups

Travellers & Gypsy/Roma

Mixed White and Black Caribbean & Mixed White and Black African

Black African

Black Caribbean

Page 61: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Focus Groups

Late Arrivals into Secondary

Pupils in Welsh-medium and bilingual schools

EU migrants (Any other White)

Pakistani & Bangladeshi

Page 62: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

Focus Group Tasks

Task 1 – Prioritise good practice strategies

Task 2 – What needs to be done to make policy and practice more effective?

Facilitated task-based discussions.

Written up and put up on EALAW website.

Page 63: EALAW Conference 29 th March 2011 Newport Minority Ethnic Achievement: Myth or Miracle? What do the statistics for Wales tell us about Race Equality in

End