economic reforms -07-02-2011
TRANSCRIPT
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` In this chapter we propose a broad profileof the Indian economy as it will help us inunderstanding the scope forbusinessactivity in the country.
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` India is the second largest country inthe world, both in terms of
population and area.` India has 16% of the worlds
population and roughly 12% of the
worlds land.
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` India is also the sixth largesteconomy in terms of Gross
Domestic Product (GDP).` India is, without doubt, a keyplayer in the world economy.
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`Agricultural activityin Indiacontributes only 23% to the GDP, but
employs approximately 65% of thework force. This places a burden onthe Indian economy.
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`ON the other hand, India has thecomparative advantage in terms-------
----- of the considerable command ofthe English language and thetechnological abilities in certain
sections of the population.
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` SOMEof the problems faced by theeconomy like--------- inadequateinadequate
employment opportunities,employment opportunities,inequalities in the socio economicinequalities in the socio economic
status and povertystatus and povertycan prove
disastrous to any globalizingeconomy.
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`SOMEof the other concerns
regarding the Indian economy
are---------- poor infrastructure,poor infrastructure,fiscal deficit and a large amount offiscal deficit and a large amount of
Non Performing Assets (NPA).Non Performing Assets (NPA).
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` India has changed from publicsector domination in industries
to an --------increasinglyliberalized system, with bothdomestic and foreign players.
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` It has also changed from a sellers marketwith limited competition --------to a buyersmarketwith increased competition,
` from a country with QuantitativeRestrictions(QR) and tariffs to Quota-free andopen economy and from a restrictedrestrictedfinancial marketfinancial marketto ato a liberalized financialliberalized financialmarketmarketwith prudential norms.
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`THESE changes are atestimony to the dynamic
nature of the Indian economy.
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` SOMEkey strengths that India canleverage upon in creating its ownindigenous industries can be its --------------
-----vast pool of human resources,vast pool of human resources,natural resources and entrepreneurialnatural resources and entrepreneurial
talent.talent.
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` It should be noted that the countryhas a rich pool of skilled workers
with the worlds third largestreservoir of engineers and ahandful of quality educational
institutions.
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` The Indian economy achieved a growth rate of
above 7% in the recent past.
` This robust performance of the economy was
due to high growth rates in service sectorand aworld economic environment that providedconducive to the Indian economy.
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`A strong Balance of Payment(BOP) position in recent years
has resulted in a steadyaccumulation of foreign exchangereserves.
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`The term Balance of Paymentsrefers -----------------------to the
yearly financial statement of acountry for the transactions in theexternal sectorwith the rest of
the world.
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` THE BOP table has got two sides(i.e.) credit and debit, hence it can be
conceptualized asbalance sheet ofthe country with the rest of the world.
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` The economic survey of the year 2004-05had hinted that the BOP appears to beresilient and strong even after the
increase in the imports.
` The sustained momentum of themanufacturingsectorhas helped
greatly in the growth of exports.
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` The exports of services like---------------------------
------------------- software, business and othercommercial services has also been playing a
significant role in adding to theB
alance ofPayments.
` The reserves position is also very comfortabledue to the increasing capital inflows into the
country.
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` THE current account of BOP has been insurplus since 2001-02.
` While the trade deficit increased, thedeficit was neutralized by a higher surplusin the invisibles contributed mainly by -------------software service exports and
private transfers.
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`Growth momentum in exports hasbeen maintained;
` India has registered a growth of20% in exports in the last fewyears.
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` DESPITE a higher value of total importsin the last few years mainly due to thepetroleum and oil imports,
` India did not suffer a negative tradebalance as it was highly compensated bythe service exports.
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` THE main contributors to capitalaccount surplus were ---------------------
------------------------------------------------the banking capital inflows, foreigninstitutional investments and othercapital inflows.
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` Indian Economy is considered as a developingeconomy based on its characteristic features.
` But it is also called an underdeveloped
economy mainly because of the country's lowper capita income, low literacy rate and rapidpopulation growth.
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`THE salient features of Indianeconomy can be specified as -
---------------
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` 1.Predominance of agriculture.
` 2.Rapid population growth.
` 3.Low per capita income (GDP per capita).
` 4.Unemployment.` 5.Capital scarce economy.
` 6.Technological Backwardness.
` 7.Lack of Entrepreneurs.
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`Pressures generated by the largeand persistent fiscal deficits and
foreign exchange crisis.
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`Adverse global developments in1990-91 .
`
i.e., the slowdown in world tradefollowing recession in the industrialworld, the Gulf crisis ofAugust 1990
aggravated the crisis.
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`The current account deficitsoared to a level of 3.2% of GDP
in 1990-91.`There was a massive shortage
of the foreign exchange
reserves.
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` It was in this backdrop that India launched the New Economic Policyannounced in Dr.Manmohan Singhs June 1991 budget.
` Broadly, the measures taken can be classified into two:
` 1.A short-term stabilization programme to bring the economy backon rails.
` 2.Amedium to long-term structural rigidities and bottlenecks in theeconomy.
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` The aim of this programme was to control inflationand remove the balance of payment deficit.
` It consisted of four distinct areas of action-
Fiscal policy, Monetary policy,
Exchange rate policy, and
Social sector reforms
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` Fiscal deficit:` The objective was to reduce the Govts expenditure on the one hand
and increasing the tax base, on the other.
` An ambitious target of lowering the fiscal deficit from 8.4 per cent in
1990-91 to 5% of GDP in 1992-93 was fixed.` A review of food and fertilizer subsidies was undertaken.
` The Chelliah Committee was appointed to look into the taxationstructure and suggest measures to augment(generate) revenue.
` As a result of these measures, fiscal deficit fell to 5.6% in 1992-93.
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` Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate:` In monetary policy credit was tightened by increasing interest rates.
` Narasimham Committee was appointed to recommended measures forfinancial sector reforms.
` RBI was given more autonomy and the automatic monetisation ofgovernments deficit was given up.
` In order to control the exchange rate, Rupee was devalued by 23%.
` In February 1992, government announced the Liberalised Exchange RateManagement System (LERMS) to promote trade, and in the next stagerupee was made convertible on current account in the 1994-95 budget.
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` Social sector:` In social sector the experience of countries in Latin America andAfrica,
which had undertaken stabilisation programmes in the 1980s had shownthat due to ----------
` the regid public expenditure control, and demand compression whichaccompanied stabilisation, the poor suffered disproportionately.
` Drastic cuts in subsidies and increase in taxation impoverished the weakerand Vulnerable sections in those countries.
` International financial institutions like the World Bank and IMF, whichrecommended stabilisation measures, became unpopular on this account.
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` It was UNICEF, which undertook a systematic study ofthe social sector of stabilisation and structuraladjustment in late 1980s and recommended adoption ofa humane face for adjustment.
` Indian reformers had built the reform package measuresto protect the vulnerable sections from the fall out ofmacroeconomic adjustment.
` Indian reforms had built into the reform package
measures to protect the venerable sections from thefall out of macroeconomic adjustment.
` A social safety net programme was launched consistingof EAS,PMRY and NSAP and PDS was revamped fortargeting the deserving beneficiaries.