election debate visualisation project - pcrg talk

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The Election Debate Visualisation (EDV) project is funded by the UK’s Engineering & Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC). This joint 3 year project kicked off Oct. 2013, conducted by the University of Leeds (Institute of Communications Studies) and the Open University (Knowledge Media Institute). EDV is investigating how British citizens experienced the televised Prime Ministerial Debates in 2010, with a view to understanding how the 2015 debates might be experienced in new ways to give greater insight and engagement. These requirements will inform the use of novel computational approaches to representing what takes place in the debates, through novel replay interfaces. The project team brings a unique combination of Information Science, Political Communication and Design (University of Leeds) with Computer-Supported Argument Modelling & Visualisation (The Open University).

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Page 1: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Election Debate Visualisation Project

edv-project.net

Page 2: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Simon Buckingham Shum

Professor

Learning Informatics

Anna De Liddo

Research Associate

Collective Intelligence

Brian Plüss

Research Associate

Debate Analytics

Paul Wilson

Lecturer

Design

Giles Moss

Lecturer

Media Policy

Stephen Coleman

Professor

Political Communication

Page 3: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Leeds & OU research

on the 2010 Election Debates

Page 4: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Univ. Leeds prior research into

public response to the

televised 2010 Election

Debates

Page 5: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Impact of the 3 debates on

voter intentions

Page 6: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Key findings…

• the British public appreciated the debates

• 2/3 said they’d learnt something new

• they seemed to energise first-time voters

• people would talk about them afterwards

(esp. younger voters)

• media coverage shifted from focusing on

the ‘game’ to the substance

Page 7: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Mapping the UK election TV debates at the OU

http://people.kmi.open.ac.uk/sbs/2010/04/

debate-replay-with-map

Page 8: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The EDV Project

2013-2016

Page 9: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Main project objectives

1. Political Communication Research:

understand how election debates

connect with and may enable

democratic citizenship

2. Computing/Informatics/Design

Research: develop an election debate

replay web platform that will provide

new ways for citizens to experience

and evaluate election debates

edv-project.net

Page 10: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Qualitative research: citizens’

perceptions of election

debates

12 focus groups conducted at Leeds:

• Disengaged Voters

• Committed Party Supporters

• Undecided Voters

• First-time Voters

• Active Users of the Internet

• (Performers)

Male/Female; 8~10 people per group

Page 11: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Democratic capabilities &

entitlements

1. Be respected as a rational and independent

decision-maker

2. Be able to evaluate political claims and

make an informed decision

3. Feel part of the debate as a democratic

cultural event

4. Be able to communicate with and be

recognized by the leaders who want to

represent me

5. Be able to make a difference to what

happens in the political world

Page 12: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

New Modes of Engagement with

Televised Political Debate through

Audience Feedback

Page 13: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Setting the Problem

The way people engage with televised

political debates today is progressively

shifting form “passive” viewing of a

television programme, to “active”

participation to a multiple media event

Page 14: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The past….

Page 15: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The present…

The past….

Page 16: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The present…

The past….

?The Future?

Page 17: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Research Questions:

• Is this new “participation experience” really informative? And to

what extent does it improve citizens’ confidence about the issues

discussed?

• Do social media voices truly capture the richness of citizens’

reactions to political debates?

• What could we learn about the audience of political election

debate, and about the debate as media event, if we had better

analytical tools to scrutinize audience’s understanding and

reactions?

Page 18: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Collective Intelligence cycle

2

1

3

4

5

2

Data Aggregation Annotation and

structuring

Analytics Identifying interesting

Patterns

Augmented Media and

VisualizationsCommunities

Social Media & Ubiquitous

Computing and Audience

Feedback

Page 19: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Harnessing Audience Reactions

• Controlled and nuanced

• Voluntary and non-intrusive

• Enabling analytics and

visualisations

‘Soft’ Feedback:

Page 20: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Audience Feedback Objectives

• promoting active engagement by enabling the audience to

react to the televised debates in new non-intrusive, yet

expressive, and timely manner;

• harnessing and analysing viewers’ reactions to better

understand the audience and their debate experience;

• providing new metrics to assess the debate as media event

in terms of its capability to engage the audience aesthetically,

emotionally, intellectually and critically.

Page 21: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

A paper prototype: the flashcard experiment

• 18 flashcards in 3 categories

• Emotion

• Trust

• Information need

• 15 participants watched the

second Clegg-Farage debate live

• Video annotations in Compendium

(and YouTube!)

Page 22: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Trust Cards

designed to provide insights on the main motivations for audience’s

trust/distrust.

….with the goal in mind to

distinguish between trust on the speaker, the debate content, and pre-existing

beliefs.

Page 23: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Emotion Cards

Designed to provide insights on audience’s emotional reactions to the debate

and can be used as proxy to assess people engagement with the speakers and

the debated topics.

Page 24: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Questions Cards

Designed to provide insights on audience’s information needs.

..to inform the type of information analysis and visualizations to be implemented

in the EDV replay platform, in order to make the audience viewing experience

more informative.

Page 25: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

A paper prototype: the flashcard experiment

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Coding and Annotation of the Video

- Quantitative analysis- Frequently used/unused cards- Most used categories- Do the dimensions make sense?

Page 27: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Clegg’s VS

Farage’s

Reactions triggers

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Page 31: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Explore in

details one

of the

speakers

perceived

performance

Page 32: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Explore in

details one

of the

speakers

perceived

performance

Page 33: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Farage: “…actually sixty-two percent of the people that were surveyed in that British car manufacture interview they want serious reform within the European Union if they're gonna stay as

members. So, far from the top line being true, two-thirds of them are saying unless we get reform then the time has come to leave the EU.”

Farage: “You can't do that. You haven't got this power. You haven't got this control.” Clegg: “Yes, you do. Yes, you do.”

Farage: “We do not have that power as members of the European Union and that's the truth of it.”Clegg: “Yes, you do. Yes.”

Who to TRUST?

Is this TRUE?Where can I find more info on this?

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Who are the outliers?

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Self- Reflection: How do I differ/comply with the

GROUP?

Me VS the Group

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Self- Reflection: How do I differ/comply with the

GROUP?

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Twitter sentiment analysis

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Google searches sparked by the debates

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2010 BBC replay site

• Second debatehttp://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/

election_2010/8635098.stm

• Final debate:http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/

election_2010/8652884.stm

Page 40: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Soft Feedback Mobile App

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Next Steps

• Enabling soft feedback during the live

broadcasting of the political debate

• Design flashcards for the democratic

entitlements identified

• Replicate the soft feedback gathering

experiment with flashcards in a virtual

distributed setting by using the mobile

and face-to-face

Page 42: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Next Steps

• Guidelines will be provided on how to

use soft feedback, flashcard methods

and tools, to harness audience

reactions to political debates in

different contexts, and with different

audience’s size.

Page 43: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Democratic capabilities &

entitlements

1. Be respected as a rational and independent

decision-maker

2. Be able to evaluate political claims and

make an informed decision

3. Feel part of the debate as a democratic

cultural event

4. Be able to communicate with and be

recognized by the leaders who want to

represent me

5. Be able to make a difference to what

happens in the political world

Page 44: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The debate-viewing

experience today

Page 45: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The Clegg-Farage 2014 debates on UK-EU relations

BBC, 2 AprilLBC Radio, 26 March

Page 46: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The Clegg-Farage 2014 debates on UK-EU

relations

Page 47: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The Clegg-Farage 2014 debates on UK-EU

relations

Page 48: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The Clegg-Farage 2014 debates on UK-EU

relations

Page 49: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The Clegg-Farage 2014 debates on UK-EU

relations

Page 50: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The Clegg-Farage 2014 debates on UK-EU

relations

Page 51: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The Clegg-Farage 2014 debates on UK-EU

relations

Page 52: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

BBC Live site

Page 53: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

BBC Replay site

Page 54: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

2010 BBC replay site

• Second debatehttp://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/

election_2010/8635098.stm

• Final debate:http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/

election_2010/8652884.stm

Page 55: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

The Future of

Election Debate Replays

Page 56: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Computing & Informatics research objectives

• Debate Analytics and Visualizations

• Feedback Channels

• Debate Replay Platform

• Open Source Tools and Open Data Archive

Page 57: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Debate Analytics and

Visualisations

• Argument Maps

• Rhetoric and Rules of the Game

Collaborations might make possible:

• Social Media Analytics

• Fact-Checking

Page 58: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Argument Mapping and

Visualisation

http://compendiuminstitute.net

Page 59: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Argument Maps

• First 15 minutes of second Clegg-Farage debate

• Claims being made and by whom

• Support/challenge connections

• Time of contributions is less influential

• Is this the best way to show it to end-users?

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Argument Maps

Page 61: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

Page 62: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

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Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

• Rules of the game in terms of discourse obligations

• Coding scheme for manual annotation of transcripts

• Method for classifying annotated speaker

contributions wrt the rules of the game

Page 64: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

• Rules of the game in terms of discourse obligations

• Coding scheme for manual annotation of transcripts

• Method for classifying annotated speaker

contributions wrt the rules of the game

Page 65: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Dialogue Act

Initiating Responsive

Init-Inform Init-InfoReq Resp-Inform Resp-Accept Resp-Reject

Objective Subjective

On-Topic Off-Topic

Accurate Inaccurate

New Repeated

Neutral Loaded

On-Topic Off-Topic

Reasonable Unreasonable

New Repeated

Objective Subjective

Relevant Irrelevant

Accurate Inaccurate

New Repeated

Complete Incomplete

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

• Rules of the game in terms of discourse obligations

• Coding scheme for manual annotation of transcripts

• Method for classifying annotated speaker

contributions wrt the rules of the game

Page 66: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

Annotation Tool

Page 67: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

• Rules of the game in terms of discourse obligations

• Coding scheme for manual annotation of transcripts

• Method for classifying annotated speaker

contributions wrt the rules of the game

Page 68: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

Output of the

method

Page 69: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

Page 70: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

Page 71: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

Page 72: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Rhetoric and Rules of the Game(Non-Cooperation in Dialogue)

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Social Media Analytics

Page 74: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Fact-checking

• https://fullfact.org/

• Knowledge base

• Live fact-checking

• …

Full Fact (@FullFact)

Independent fact checking organisation

Page 75: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Debate Replay Platform

• Uniformly organise diverse sources

of information

• Support user preferences in terms

of:

• Visualisation channels

• Media navigation and indexing

• Allow for different kinds of audience

response

Page 76: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Generation of:

- Web content

- Analytics

- Open data

- ...

Repository

Replay Website

GO!

Argument Mapping

Open Data

Video TranscriptsTwitter Feeds

SoftFeedback System

Rhetoric and Rules Checking

DebateRules

TopicsNon-Cooperation

Arguments Fact checking

Open Data

Sentiment Analysis

PartyManifestos

Topic Analysis

Soft FeedbackAnalysis

Fact-Checking

Soft Feedback

EDV Architecture Sketch

• Gather data from sources

• Analyse data and produce visualisations

• Tailor augmentations to audiences and purposes

• Publish open data and replay interface

• Provide access to citizens and give them a ‘voice’

Features and functionalities:

Page 77: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk
Page 78: Election Debate Visualisation Project - PCRG Talk

Thanks for your time!

Brian Plüss

Anna De Liddo

Simon Buckingham Shum

Knowledge Media Institute

The Open University, UK

http://edv-project.net/