elections - siar consultsiar-consult.com/wp-content/uploads/iri-poll... · 2016-06-01 ·...

Elections

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections?

51

21%

25%

27%

52%

51%

53%

16%

14%

10%

6%

4%

6%

5%

6%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

18-29 years old

30-49 years old

50 years and older

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Have you registered your biometric data?

52

95%

5%

Yes No

If not registered biometric data, what was the reason? Respondents, who have not registered their biometric data, N=77

53

25%

18%

18%

17%

9%

3%

3%

8%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Had no time

Had no passport

I did not want

I was abroad

I could not

I was younger than 18 years

Other

Don't know/No answer

Do you plan to register your biometric data?Respondents, who have not registered their biometric data, N=77

54

21%

8%

19%

13%

22%

17%

Yes, I plan to register

Very likely to register

Somewhat likely to register

Somewhat unlikely to register

Very unlikely to register


Do you feel you have sufficient information on recent changes to Electoral Code and voting processes?

55

20%

46%

72%

51%

8%

3%

Feb-15

Mar-16

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Do you feel you have sufficient information on recent changes to Electoral Code and voting processes?

56

46%

60%

49%

40%

51%

38%

48%

57%

3%

2%

3%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

ALL RESPONDENTS

Bishkek

North

South

REG

ION


In your opinion, does your financial situation depend on the results of elections in general?

57

14%

15%

11%

18%

77%

76%

83%

71%

9%

9%

6%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Oct-14

Feb-15

Jul-15

Mar-16


Thinking about the last parliamentary elections in Kyrgyzstan in October 2015, do you believe those were free and fair elections?

58

44%

45%

11%

Mar-16

Yes, free and fair

No, not free and fair


If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, for which party would you vote?

If, for some reason, the party you previously mentioned as your first voting choice does not participate in the elections, for which other party would you vote?

59

22%

22%

6%

4%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

11%

6%

19%

10%

6%

7%

5%

3%

2%

4%

1%

0%

1%

3%

7%

5%

46%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

“Respublica-Ata-Jurt” party

Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan

“Onuguu-Progress” party

“Ata-Meken” party

“Kyrgyzstan” party

“Butun Kyrgyzstan” party

“Bir Bol” party

“Zamandash” party

Republican People’s party of Kyrgyzstan

“Uluttar Birimdigi” party

Other

None

Will not vote

Don’t know/No answer

First choice Second choice

Which of the parties would you vote for if the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday?

60

24%

22%

6%

4%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

0%

2%

9%

3%

20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%



“Onuguu-Progress” party




“Bir Bol” party




Other

None

Will not vote


Likely voters, N=1,153

For which parties would you never vote?

61

19%

17%

15%

14%

14%

14%

12%

12%

12%

11%

11%

10%

10%

8%

8%

6%

6%

6%

5%

4%

32%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


“Ar-Namys” party

“Democratic Alliance” party

Party of Greens of Kyrgyzstan

“Ak Shumkar” party

“Adilettuu Kyrgyzstan” party


None

“Bir Bol” party

Party of Communists of Kyrgyzstan

“Meken Yntymagy” party


“Reforma” party

“Emgek” party




"Onuguu-Progress" party




Politicians

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?

63

31%

22%

11%

7%

7%

6%

5%

5%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

12%

1%

29%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

A. Atambaev

O.Babanov

K.Tashiev

O.Tekebaev

B.Torobaev

T.Sariev

M.Myrzakmatov

A. Madumarov

R.Otunbaeva

A.Keldibekov

K.Bakiev

Ch.Tursunbekov

A.Sulaimanov

T.Zulpukarov

Other

Do not trust anybody


Ratings of political leaders

64

86%76%

68%59%

52%47%

46%46%

42%41%

39%38%

35%35%

33%31%30%29%29%29%

25%24%

22%21%20%19%

16%15%14%

13%20%

26%31%46%

29%21%

41%20%

40%49%

43%29%

62%37%

39%33%

30%35%

56%48%

24%42%

54%25%

40%37%

28%24%

1%4%

6%10%

2%24%

33%13%

38%19%

12%19%

36%3%

30%30%

37%41%

36%15%

27%52%

36%25%

55%41%

47%57%

62%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Almazbek Atambaev

Omurbek Babanov

Roza Otunbaeva

Temir Sariev

Askar Akaev

Iskhak Masaliev

Melis Myrzakmatov

Kamchibek Tashiev

Bakyt Torobaev

Adakhan Madumarov

Omurbek Tekebaev

Akhmatbek Keldibekov

Ismail Isakov

Kurmanbek Bakiev

Akylbek Japarov

Isa Omurkulov

Chynybay Tursunbekov

Altynbek Sulaimanov

Ravshan Jeenbekov

Felix Kulov

Tursunbai Bakir uulu

Kanatbek Isaev

Nariman Tuleev

Azimbek Beknazarov

Kanybek Imanaliev

Emilbek Kaptagaev

Edil Baisalov

Alikbek Jekshenkulov

Asanbek Kultaev

Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard

International Relations

How would you assess the current relations between Kyrgyzstan and the following countries?

66

98%

89%

67%

62%

54%

47%

31%

29%

26%

4%

6%

14%

25%

14%

49%

53%

40%

1%

7%

27%

24%

21%

39%

20%

18%

34%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Russia

Kazakhstan

European Union

Turkey

China

Japan

Tajikistan

Uzbekistan

USA

Good Bad Neither good nor bad

Which of these countries do you think are the most important economic partners and which do you think pose the greatest

economic threats to Kyrgyzstan?

67

94%

67%

35%

24%21%

11%

5% 5% 4%2% 1%0%

3%

10%8%

27%

43%

5%

35%

51%

15%

6%

Russia Kazakhstan EuropeanUnion

Turkey China Uzbekistan Japan Tajikistan UnitedStates

None Don'tknow/Noanswer

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Partner Threat

Do you support Kyrgyzstan joining the Customs Union with Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus and Armenia?*

68

36%

38%

39%

41%

26%

33%

42%

44%

37%

37%

23%

29%

8%

6%

11%

9%

14%

11%

4%

2%

3%

7%

21%

10%

10%

10%

10%

6%

16%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Mar-16

Jul-15

Feb-15

Oct-14

Feb-14

Feb-13

Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know/No answer

*In surveys conducted before 2016 the wording of the question was: “Do you support Kyrgyzstan joining the Customs Union with

Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus?”

Do you think you have sufficient information on the process and outcomes of Kyrgyzstan’s accession to the Customs Union?

69

35%

42%

59%

51%

6%

7%

Jul-15

Mar-16

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Yes No Don’t know/No answer

Do you think you have sufficient information on the process and outcomes of Kyrgyzstan’s accession to the Customs Union?

70

42%

47%

37%

44%

51%

52%

55%

47%

7%

1%

8%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

ALL RESPONDENTS

Bishkek

North

South

REG

ION


In your opinion, what outcomes (both positive and negative) will Customs Union membership have for Kyrgyzstan?

71

12%

11%

11%

10%

7%

7%

5%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

11%

35%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Inflation /High prices

Benefits for migrants in Russia

Positive result/Life will improve

Free movement

Economic development

Trade development/Import-export

Useful for agriculture

Crisis will come to Kyrgyzstan

No advantages / no benefits

Investments will come to Kyrgyzstan

More jobs

Prices for goods and products will drop

Russia is helping Kyrgyzstan

There are pros and cons/We must wait

Positive impact on business

Other

Don't know / No answer

elections - siar consultsiar-consult.com/wp-content/uploads/iri-poll... · 2016-06-01 ·...

Documents