electrolux capital markets day 2012 - presentation keith mcloughlin and tomas eliasson
DESCRIPTION
Electrolux Capital Markets Day. November 14, 2012, Stockholm, Sweden. Together with senior management, the President and CEO of Electrolux, Keith McLoughlin will present the Group’s strategy to create further sustainable economic value at today’s capital markets day.TRANSCRIPT
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SESSION 1 Keith McLoughlin, President and CEO 09:00 – 10:30 Tomas Eliasson, CFO
10:30 – 10:45 Break
SESSION 2 Jan Brockmann, Chief Technology Officer 10:45 – 11:45 Alberto Zanata, Head of Professional Products
SESSION 3 11:45 – 12:15 Q&A
12:15 – 13:00 Buffet lunch
SESSION 4 The Innovation Triangle 13:00 – 16:30 MaryKay Kopf, Chief Marketing Officer Jan Brockmann, Chief Technology Officer Stefano Marzano, Chief Design Officer
Electrolux Grand Cuisine Carina Malmgren Heander, SVP Electrolux Grand Cuisine and team
Product Launches in Europe Jonas Samuelson, Head of Major Appliances Europe, Middle East and Africa and team
SESSION 5 16:30 – 17:00 Q&A and Wrap-up
Agenda Electrolux Capital Markets Day, November 14, 2012
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Key takeaways
• In a difficult environment, we are delivering on all objectives that were communicated at last year’s Capital Markets Day: top-line growth, launches of new products, leverage from the Innovation Triangle and operational excellence.
• In the afternoon workshops, you will get tangible evidence on how Electrolux has changed over the last years: how the Innovation Triangle operates, leverage from our Professional heritage through the launch of Grand Cuisine and discover the new range of high-end Electrolux products for the European market.
Walk the talk
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Capital Markets Day Stockholm, November 14, 2012
Keith McLoughlin, President and CEO Tomas Eliasson, CFO
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Electrolux Group presentation
• Business update • Strategic review • How to maximize and sustain our cash flow generation
Growth Organic Acquisitions
Gross margin Product innovation Operational excellence
Asset velocity Working capital improvement Capex
Tax and financial net
• Summary
5
1
2
3
4
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6
Business update
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This is what we said in the beginning of the year
• Less headwind from commodities
• Price increases • Product launches (mix) • CTI + Olympic Group
Full Year
• Volatility / Uncertainty • Currency fluctuations • Weak core markets
• Global Operations / Modularization • Investing in profitable growth (CapEx) • Investing in Marketing, Design and R&D • Maintain Balance Sheet Strength
7
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2012 so far (Jan-Sept)
8
Organic growth above our target: 4.6% • Strong volume
growth in Latin America and Asia
• Price increases in North America
• Negative organic growth in Europe
EBIT increased to SEK 3,554m • 5 of 6 sectors
≥6% margin in Q3 • Europe: Lower
prices and negative country mix
Intensive launch period • Europe: high-
end appliances under the Electrolux brand
• Globally: launch of Electrolux Grand Cuisine in London
Solid cash flow
3,333 SEKm
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9
Our six business areas
North America
Latin America
Asia/Pacific
Professional Products
Europe
Small Appliances
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10
Executing in a tough environment
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Weak demand in North America… Full year expectation flat to down 1%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
US quarterly volume growth y-o-y
11
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
-2% YTD 2012
-4% FY 2011
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…but earnings improvement for Electrolux
12
• Price • Market share
• Currency • Mix
• Commodities • Transportation
and sourced products
0
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Negative demand in Europe… Full year expectation of flat to down 2%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Quarterly volume growth y-o-y
13 Market Development %
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
W. Eur. +4 +1 +1 +5 +1 +1 -1 -5 -4 -4 -5 -8 -9 -9 -4 -2 +1 0 0 0 -2 -2 -3 -3 -2 -4 -2
E. Eur. +1 +9 +6 +7 +14 +5 +5 +10 +6 +5 +4 -15 -31 -30 -26 -17 -7 +1 +5 +13 +13 +12 +7 +9 +5 +3 +2
2012
-2% YTD 2012
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…and price/mix is down for Electrolux
14
• Operational Excellence
• Market share
• Volume • Price/mix • Commodities
0
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14%
2%
5%
15
Latin America Strong organic growth of 20.4% YTD
Mix
Price
Volume
Positive customer and product mix
YTD
Price increases in Brazil
Strong volume growth mainly due to incentive program in Brazil
Strong development in Latin America with positive contribution from CTI acquisition
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Business areas
16
Professional Products • Stable margin in a
tough market
Asia/Pacific • Continued strong
growth in China and Southeast Asia
• Solid margins in Australia, soft demand
Small Appliances • Weak start of the year
• Seasonally stronger in Q4
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Strong momentum - YTD +10% Top line
- YTD +40% Bottom line
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Bridge of sales and EBIT YTD 2012
18
SEKm Nine
months 2011
Net organic development Currency Acquisitions/
Divestments
Sale of assets
and other
Nine months
2012
Net sales 73,229 3,355 190 4,035 80,809
Net sales % 4.6 0.3 5.5 10.4
EBIT 2,539 969 -80 266 -140 3,554
EBIT % 3.5 28.9 -42.1 6.6 4.4
Dilution/ Accretion % 1.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.2
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19
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
2011 Price/mix Volume Raw material Cost saving Organic development
Currency Acquisition Divestment 2012
(SEKm)
EBIT bridge 2012 YTD
2,500
3,500 3.5%
4.6% 4.4%
YTD YTD Efficiency
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Cash flow YTD
SEKm 9 months
2011 9 months
2012
Operations 4,185 5,338
Change in operating assets and liabilities 653 1,257
Capital expenditure -3,070 -3,262
Cash flow from operations 1,768 3,333
20
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Will momentum continue next year?
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2013 over 2012 In accordance with forward-looking statements around Q3 earnings release and previous official statements
22
2013 Comments
Market volumes Positive Growth in emerging markets and North America. Great uncertainty in Europe and Australia weak.
Price/Mix Positive Product launches in all business units.
Raw-material costs Tailwind Steel: Positive Plastics: Negative
R&D and marketing Higher Increased R&D spend Group-wide. Electrolux launches continue in Europe. Launches in China.
Cost savings SEK >1bn Global operations, manufacturing footprint and overhead reduction.
Transportation and logistics Higher Cost increases for logistics and transportation.
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The core strategy is the same…
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A consumer marketing driven company
24
Consumer marketing
driven company
Manufacturing engineering
company
Growth Innovation
Operational Excellence
People
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Four strategic pillars
25
Profitable growth
Operational excellence
Innovation – Product – Brand – Design
People
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Addressing drivers and trends in our offering is imperative
26
Neo-urbanization Changing lifestages Growing middle class Connectivity Sustainability
DRIVERS
TRENDS
ELECTROLUX IMPLICATIONS
The smart home Eco for the masses
Professional consumers Co-consumption
Time, experience, tradition are luxury
A new quality standard
Hyper-ersonalization
The modern consumer is tech-savy, empowered, socially conscious, and consequently demanding. The companies that succeed in addressing the empowered lifestyle stand to set themselves apart from competition. Capturing the prevailing trends in its product and service offerings will help make Electrolux a customer-centric company.
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Electrolux competitive advantages
27
Glocal presence Consumer insight Design Professional legacy
Scandinavian heritage Wide product range People & culture Sustainability leadership
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Growth will come from value share in core markets and expanding in emerging markets, new channels and adjacencies
28 PRODUCTS
Existing New
MA
RK
ETS
/ CH
AN
NE
LS
New
E
xist
ing
Electrolux 2011
Emerging Markets Channels
New / Adjacent Products Categories
New Products and Markets / Channels
Enhance Products/ Ranges
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PREMIUM
NICHE
MASS
EU NA LA AP
Will pursue the alignment of our brand architecture, connecting business models to brand, product and distribution
29
(Brazil)
Tactical Brands
(Australia)
(Australia)
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Will pursue our dual business model while leveraging global scale and operational synergies
30
Focus on differentiated branded product offer
Low cost, lean go-to-market Market set price
Sharp customer focus Shared global strength Premium
Mass
Benefits of scale in: • Manufacturing • R&D • Purchasing • Modularization • Common processes
and shared services
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Recognition of sustainability leadership
31
Sustainability sector leader in the world (2006–2012)
Component of the World’s Most Ethical Companies (2011–2012)
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Attracting, retaining and developing the best people is fundamental in realizing our strategic objectives
32
Drive for Results Passion for Innovation Customer Obsession Values
Foundation Ethics & Integrity Respect & Diversity Safety & Sustainability
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Four strategic pillars
33
Profitable growth
Operational excellence
Innovation – Product – Brand – Design
People
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How will Electrolux create sustainable economic value?
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Value creation potential
35
EBIT Margin
>6%
Capital Turnover
4x
ROIC
>20% GROWTH
4%
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1990-2011 Total shareholder return: 15%
Source: BCG
Cash flow productivity
Multiple
Margin
Top line
36
13%
1%
0.5%
0.5%
TSR 15% CAGR
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A strong track record in generating a solid cash flow
37
SEKm Operating cash flow (rolling 12 months)
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2009 2010 2011 2012
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1 Growth; organic and acquisition
38
Even in a tough environment we are able to sustain a strong cash flow
Rolling 12 month cash flow statement (SEKbn)
Sales 109
EBITDA 8.3
Change in working capital 1.7
Other 0
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS (CFO) 10.0
Capex -4.7
Financial net and tax -2.2
CFO AND INVESTMENTS 3.1
2 Gross margin: Product innovation
and operational excellence
3 Asset velocity: Further potential to improve WC and capex
4 Optimizing our tax position and leveraging from being a BBB+ company
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Growth strategy Organic growth
- Emerging markets - Core markets - Product launches
Acquired growth
1
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Electrolux strategic growth initiatives
Growth
Geographic expansions
M&A
Product expansion
Segments/channels
EMEA NA LA APAC Prof. SA
40
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Organic growth Emerging markets
Core markets
41
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Growth history
42
Net organic sales growth (in comparable currencies)
-5%
0%
5%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
4% Target
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Emerging markets
43
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Growth in emerging markets
44
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Profitable growth Electrolux exposure to emerging markets
45
50
40
30
20
10
0 2006
35%
2012 YTD
15%
Emerging markets % of
Group sales
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0
16 000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Electrolux growth in Brazil
46
2,858
14,633
CAGR: 20%
Electrolux Net sales in Brazil (SEKm)
2012 YTD +22%
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Electrolux growth in Southeast Asia
47
Electrolux Net Sales Southeast Asia (SEKm)
CAGR: 11%
2012 YTD +21%
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Fully utilizing organic growth opportunity – more than half of our sales could be in emerging markets by 2017
48 Note: Estimated figures
Today Growth 2017
Mature markets
65%
Emerging markets 35%
1-2%
7-10%
Mature markets
50%
Emerging markets ~50%
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Core markets
49
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US recovery?
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Recovery in North America
51
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
45 000
50 000
55 000
60 000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Market volumes in North America k units
Down 25% from peak
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USA: Financial obligations and inventory of unsold homes
52
18
17
16
15
14
13
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12
Household financial obligations ratio (Debt payments to disposable personal income)
Source: Reuters EcoWin
% United States, Inventory of unsold homes months
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
14
12
10
8
6
4
Existing- home sales, months supply of homes on market
New home sales, ratio of houses for sale to houses sold
2
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USA: Low interest rates
53 Source:FRB, Haver Analytics, Blomberg Finance LP, DB Global Markets Research
2004 2005 2006
US mortgage rates at record lows %
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Conventional 30yr mortgage rate
Home mortgage 30yr Jumbo national average
8
7
6
5
4
3
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Index
USA: Homebuilder sentiment
54
84
46
27
8
65
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
7
5
4
2
6
3
Homebuilder sentiment index suggests that housing could add 1.5% to GDP over the next 12 months
Share of GDP, %
NAHB: Homebuilder sentiment index (12 m lead, Is)
Residential investment as a share of GDP (rs)
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USA: Unemployment
Source: Reuters EcoWin 55
%
10
9
7
5
4
3
8
6
Total unemployment
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12
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Recovery in Europe?
56
k units
50 000
55 000
60 000
65 000
70 000
75 000
80 000
85 000
90 000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Market volumes in Western Europe
Down 16% from peak
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Germany: Consumer confidence
57
Index
110
100
90
80
70
96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12
Germany, consumer surveys, ICON consumer confidence index, SA, Index 90
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Euro area: No growth in disposable income
58
%, yoy 3
2
1
0
-1
-2 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Euro area real household income and spending
Real disposable income
Real consumption spending
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Launching new products
59
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Electrolux Inspiration Range
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Electrolux Inspiration Range
61
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Zanussi Quadro
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AEG Neue Kollektion
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Frigidaire
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UltraPower
65
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Electrolux Grand Cuisine launch
66
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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD
Above the target in 2012
67
Net organic sales growth (in comparable currencies)
Financial target 4% 4.6% YTD
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Acquired growth
68
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Acquisitions = integrated part of the growth strategy
69 PRODUCTS
Existing New
MA
RK
ETS
/ CH
AN
NE
LS
New
E
xist
ing
Electrolux 2011
Emerging Markets Channels
New / Adjacent Products Categories
New Products and Markets / Channels
Enhance Products/ Ranges
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Whirlpool
Electrolux
Haier
BSH
LG
Midea
Samsung GE
Indesit Panasonic Arçelik
Sharp Mabe
Sanyo
Others
Global major appliance market still very fragmented
70
>40% are smaller
companies
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Key success factors
71
Deal flow • Short term you can
slow down if there are too many – but short term it is difficult to accelerate if there are too few...
In house M&A key competencies • Be in control
Ownership • Don’t mix up
corporate expertise in M&A processes with future ownership of acquired companies
What to pay • Up-front, earnout,
firepower
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Acquisitions of CTI and Olympic Group
72
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Acquisition of Olympic Group – Egypt
73
Olympic Group’s position
• Normalized sales of around SEK 2.5bn
• Leading in Egypt, North Africa and Middle East
• Complementary product portfolios and strong position in water heaters
• 30 years of cooperation with Electrolux
• 7,000 employees
• Strategic fit
• Financial fit
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Acquisition of CTI – Chile and Argentina
74
Maipú
Cerrillos Rosario
Curitiba São Carlos
Juárez
Manaus
Snapshot of Combined Business
Combined Electrolux sales in Latin America of SEK 20bn
Leading in Brazil and Southern Latin America
Strong brands and complementary product portfolios
Seven manufacturing facilities
>12,000 employees
Strategic fit
Financial fit
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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD
Total growth YTD 2012
75
Net sales growth (in comparable currencies)
Financial target 4%
Total 10% YTD
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Gross margin
2
Product innovation Operational excellence
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Product innovation
77
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Accelerate innovation and time to market
Increased focus on the Innovation Triangle, new members of Group Management
1. Develop best-in-class products 2. Speed up product innovation 3. Continue investing in premium
brands
78
Innovation Triangle
R&D
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Develop best-in-class products
• Identify consumer needs and segments • Develop products with innovative design
and relevant functionality • 70% preference rule
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Speed up product innovation
• Accelerate consumer insight-driven differentiation
• Front-end loading and parallel development
• Modularization
70% consumer preference
80
Commercial Launch Process
Commercial launch preparation
Intent
Product Creation Process
Consumer opportunities
Primary development
Concept development
Product development
Launch execution
Range management
Phase- out
Strategic market plan
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Investments in premium brands
81
• Align Electrolux brand architecture and position globally
• Invest in premium brands across all markets
• Leverage our expertise in the professional business
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Operational excellence
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Operational excellence Presented November 2011
83
Savings from Overhead
costs
0.7
Savings from Global
Operations
3.0
Total annual savings: SEK 5.3bn
One-time costs: SEK 5.1bn
Full effect 2016
Savings from Manufacturing
footprint
1.6
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Manufacturing footprint
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Status
• Total costs: SEK 9.1bn
– Booked as items affecting comparability
– Cash out: SEK 6.1bn – Write downs: SEK 3.0bn
• Annual savings of SEK 3.2bn (since 2004)
• 65% of capacity in low cost areas
Electrolux journey since 2004 Current status • 19 factories closed • 5 factories downsized • 9 new factories • Approximately 35% of
production moved • 10,000 employees has left • 7,000 new employees hired
85
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1,700
2,500400
400400
1,600
1,100 501,000
9,150
0
10,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD
Total
Restructuring timeline – Costs
SEKm
Revin, France Mariestad, Sweden Schwanden, Switzerland
Greenville, US
Nuremberg, Germany
Webster City, US Alcalà, Spain
L'Assomption, Canada
86
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Restructuring timeline – Savings
1,700
200
500
600250
3,250
0
3,500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 TotalForecast
87
SEKm
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Restructuring timeline – Manufacturing in low cost areas
Percentage of Capacity in LCC
28% 31%
39% 43%
51% 53% 55% 62%
65%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
88
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New production centers
• Reducing global manufacturing costs • Supporting strategic growth areas
South America
North America
Middle East Africa
Eastern Europe Asia
89
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Manufacturing footprint by 2015
Manufacturing footprint High Cost Areas
Efficient and competitive
15% Regionally specific products
10%
Declining segments 5%
30% Low Cost
Areas 70%
90
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HCA LCA
Need to increase current capacity utilization
0%
85%
Capacity utilization
HCA LCA
Today Future Growth Decrease capacity Shift capacity to
Low Cost Areas
75%
91
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Global Operations – an update
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Stick to our plan
• Rigorous plan - confident in delivery
• Visible results, now – Bottom-line impact from
purchasing – Roll-out of modularization
accelerated – Globalized governance
in R&D
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Global Operations
3 SEKbn
Total savings
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Savings from Global Operations
50% 30%
20%
Modularization
Purchasing
Manufacturing
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0,1
0,5
0,7 0,8
0,9
-0,5 -0,5
-0,2
96
Savings (y-o-y) Investments SEKbn
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
IT investments etc.
Savings from Global Operations
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Asset velocity
3
Working capital Capital expenditure
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Working capital
Accounts receivable • Terms and conditions • Thorough credit risk control Accounts payable • Terms and conditions Inventory • Supply chain efficiency • Product range optimization
98
Net operating working capital (NOWC) Average assets/ net sales Net Assets
8,%
9,%
10,%
11,%
12,%
13,%
14,%
15,%
16,%
10 000
11 000
12 000
13 000
14 000
15 000
16 000
17 000
18 000
2009
08
2009
10
2009
12
2010
02
2010
04
2010
06
2010
08
2010
10
2010
12
2011
02
2011
04
2011
06
2011
08
2011
10
2011
12
2012
02
2012
04
2012
06
2012
08
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Structural change of capex
0%
100%
2008 Current
35%
65%
• Going forward, capital expenditure will structurally change
• Capital expenditure will be more related to launching new products
99
Process/ Factories
Product
Other
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Optimizing our financial cost and tax rate
4
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Financial net (SEKm) ~650
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Tax rate ~25%
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Strong track record in generating a solid cash
flow…
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Historical cash flow development
104
SEKm Operating cash flow (rolling 12 months)
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2009 2010 2011 2012
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…and there is opportunity for further expansion
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Cash flow statement
Sales
EBITDA
Change in working capital
Other
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS (CFO)
Capex
Financial net and tax
CFO AND INVESTMENTS
Turn investment more towards launching new products and create top-line growth and gross margin expansion
106
Grow organically by more than 4% and carry out additional profitable acquisitions
4%
Expand EBIT margin by more than through launching new innovative products and continue to deliver on operational excellence
6%
Continue to improve working capital to keep capital turn-over rate above
4x
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