emergy & complex systems day 4, lecture 8 …. emergy and environmental impact assessment emergy...
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Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy and
Environmental Impact Assessment
Emergy and
Environmental Impact Assessment
Oil spill, phosphate mining, transformity and toxicity, transformity and ecosystem health
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Environmental Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystems...
Environmental Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystems...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Environmental Impacts on Marine Ecosystems...Environmental Impacts on Marine Ecosystems...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Local Non- renewable sources
EnvironmentalSystems
Economic Use
N LocalRenewable Sources
R
Purchased Resources
Services
Yield
F
Y
Yield (Y) = R+N+F%Renew = R/ (R+N+F)Nonrenewable to Renewable Ratio = (N+F)/ REmergy Yield Ratio = Y/ FEmergy Investment Ratio = F/ (R+N)Environmental Loading Ratio = (F+N)/ R
Emergy Ratios for Assessing Environmental
Impact
Emergy Ratios for Assessing Environmental
Impact
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Alternate
Potential
EnvSource Original Use
to bediverted
New Use
R
R2
R1
F1
F2
Importsfrom MainEconomy
F2
R3
R1*ELR
R1
P1
P2
P3
P4
Comparison of Development Alternatives
Comparison of Development Alternatives
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy Evaluation of Exxon Valdez Oil Spill
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
On March 24, 1989, the Exxon Valdez grounded on Bligh Reef, and spilled nearly 11 million gallons of oil into the biologically rich waters of Prince William
Sound.
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Map of Alaska showing the Trans-Alaska pipeline...Map of Alaska showing the Trans-Alaska pipeline...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Map showing the extent of the oil spill in Gulf of Alaska...
Map showing the extent of the oil spill in Gulf of Alaska...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Percent of the total losses
Two estimates of damages resulting from the oil spill...
Two estimates of damages resulting from the oil spill...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Distribution of the loss estimates...
Distribution of the loss estimates...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Oil spill losses compared to regional emergy budgets...Oil spill losses compared to regional emergy budgets...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Net benefits from prevention alternatives…
Net benefits from prevention alternatives…
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
The role of information in Exxon-Valdez oil spillThe role of information in Exxon-Valdez oil spill
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
I. Phosphate Mining and Reclamation
Description, historical perspective, phosphate facts...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Summary of Phosphate Mining SystemSummary of Phosphate Mining System
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Main phosphate formation…the “bone valley”(1.3 million acres)
Secondary area of mining(50,000 acres)
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Mining began in late 1800’s
Mined Peace River bottom
Until late 1930’s small scale - wide spread
Large scale mining began in 1950’s
Currently about 5000 acres /year are mined
Historical Perspective
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Mined area to date………………….320,000 acres
Mining rate…………………...5 - 6,000 acres/yr
Total to be mined…….….700,000 acres
Investment in facilities………...$10 billion
Yearly wages…………………………….$300 million/yr
Taxes paid………………………………..$800 million/yr
Operating expenses (2001)
Equip and supplies……….$990 million
Electricity…………………….$100 million
Services………………………..$178 million
Phosphate mining facts...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Phosphate Mining vs. Everglades Restoration
Phosphate Reclamation
Everglades Restoration
Total Area 0.7 million Acres 1.5 million acres
Total cost $3.6 billion $7.8 billion
Yearly Op. Costs $0.0 $182 million
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
II. Quick Photographic Overview
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Emergy Evaluation of Phosphate Mining and
Reclamation
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
AcidH2O
PVegetationO. M.
gd.H2O
P
Rain P
PO5
CalciumCarbonate
Sun
Mining
3.8 E19 sej
6,000 Mt/ac
1.3 E22 sej
Transpiration
160 acres
AcidH2O
PVegetationO. M.
gd.H2O
P
Rain P
PO5
CalciumCarbonate
Sun
Mining
3.8 E19 sej
6,000 Mt/ac
1.3 E22 sej
Transpiration
160 acres
Systems View and Emergy of Mining
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
PlantMaterial
EarthMoving
Infor.Services
Spoil Structure
Soils
EcosystemsSun
(assumes 100 years) E 18 sej
160 acres
12.0
1.53.0 1.2
EcosystemServices
PlantMaterial
EarthMoving
Infor.Services
Spoil Structure
Soils
EcosystemsSun
(assumes 100 years) E 18 sej
160 acres
12.0
1.53.0 1.2
EcosystemServices
Emergy in Restoration...Emergy in Restoration...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
.
AcidH2OPVegetation O. M.
gd.H2OP
RainP
PO5CalciumCarbonate
SunMining
3.8 E19 sej
6,000 Mt/ac1.3 E22 sej
Transpiration
160 acres
0 100 200 300 400 500
Years
Mining Occurs 3.0 E14 sej/ac/yr
3.0
1.5
0
Production withoutReclamationProduction with
Reclamation
.
AcidH2OPVegetation O. M.
gd.H2OP
RainP
PO5CalciumCarbonate
SunMining
3.8 E19 sej
6,000 Mt/ac1.3 E22 sej
Transpiration
160 acres
0 100 200 300 400 500
Years
Mining Occurs 3.0 E14 sej/ac/yr
3.0
1.5
0
Production withoutReclamationProduction with
Reclamation
Benefits of Restoration...Benefits of Restoration...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
0 100 200 300 400 500Years
Mining Occurs 3.0 E14 sej/ac/yr3.0
1.5
0
Production withoutReclamationProduction withReclamation
Net Benefit of Reclamation:
Loss without Reclamation = 3.0 E14 sej/ ac/ yr * 160 ac * 500 yr * 0.5
= 12.0 E18 sej
Loss with Reclamation = 3.0 E14 sej/ ac/ yr * 160 ac * 100 yr * 0.5
= 2.4 E18 sej
Net benefit reclamation = 12.0 E18 sej - 2.4 E18 sej
= 9.6 E18 sej
PlantMaterial EarthMoving Infor.Services
Spoil StructureSoils
EcosystemsSun
(assumes 100 years) E 18 sej160 acres
12.0
1.53.0 1.2
EcosystemServices
0 100 200 300 400 500Years
Mining Occurs 3.0 E14 sej/ac/yr3.0
1.5
0
Production withoutReclamationProduction withReclamation
Net Benefit of Reclamation:
Loss without Reclamation = 3.0 E14 sej/ ac/ yr * 160 ac * 500 yr * 0.5
= 12.0 E18 sej
Loss with Reclamation = 3.0 E14 sej/ ac/ yr * 160 ac * 100 yr * 0.5
= 2.4 E18 sej
Net benefit reclamation = 12.0 E18 sej - 2.4 E18 sej
= 9.6 E18 sej
PlantMaterial EarthMoving Infor.Services
Spoil StructureSoils
EcosystemsSun
(assumes 100 years) E 18 sej160 acres
12.0
1.53.0 1.2
EcosystemServices
Benefits of Restoration...Benefits of Restoration...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
0 100 200 300 400 500Years
Mining Occurs 3.0 E14 sej/ac/yr3.0
1.5
0
Production withoutReclamationProduction withReclamation
Net Benefit of Reclamation:
Reclamation costs = 1.5 + 3.0 + 1.2 = 5.7E18 sej
Reclamation benefits = 9.6 E18 sej
Net benefit ratio = 9.6 / 5.7 = 1.68/ 1
PlantMaterial EarthMoving Infor.Services
Spoil StructureSoils
EcosystemsSun
(assumes 100 years) E 18 sej160 acres
12.0
1.53.0 1.2
EcosystemServices
0 100 200 300 400 500Years
Mining Occurs 3.0 E14 sej/ac/yr3.0
1.5
0
Production withoutReclamationProduction withReclamation
Net Benefit of Reclamation:
Reclamation costs = 1.5 + 3.0 + 1.2 = 5.7E18 sej
Reclamation benefits = 9.6 E18 sej
Net benefit ratio = 9.6 / 5.7 = 1.68/ 1
PlantMaterial EarthMoving Infor.Services
Spoil StructureSoils
EcosystemsSun
(assumes 100 years) E 18 sej160 acres
12.0
1.53.0 1.2
EcosystemServices
Net Benefits Ratio...Net Benefits Ratio...
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Transformity and Toxicity
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Transformity and Toxicity
Transformities of selected metals as global flows to atmosphere and storages within a river ecosystem
Annual releases to atmosphere River ecosystem
(seJ/J) (seJ/J)
Aluminum 9.65E+06 3.30E+07Iron 8.46E+07 6.19E+07Chromium 2.59E+10 1.99E+10Arsenic 8.56E+11 --Lead 2.39E+12 3.59E+10Cadmium 1.52E+13 8.78E+10Mercury 6.85E+14 --
a - Not including human releaseb - Genoni et al. 2003
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Transformity and Toxicity
As transformities (emergy intensities) increase their potential effect within ecosystem increases.
Effects can be both positive and negative.
Transformity does not suggest the outcome that might result from the interaction of a stressor within an ecosystem, only that with high transformity, the effect is greater.
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Transformity and Toxicity
The ultimate effect of a pollutant or toxin is not only related to its transformity, but more importantly to its concentration or empower density (emergy per unit area per unit time, i.e. seJ/m2*day) in the ecosystem. Where empower density of a stressor is significantly higher than the average empower density of the ecosystem it is released into, one can expect significant changes in ecosystem function.
The ultimate effect of a pollutant or toxin is not only related to its transformity, but more importantly to its concentration or emergy density (emergy per unit area, i.e. seJ/m2) in the ecosystem.
Where emergy density of a stressor is significantly higher than the average emergy density of the ecosystem it is released into, one can expect significant changes in ecosystem function.
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
For instance, using the transformity of mercury in the previous Table and the exergy of mercury (Szargut et al. 1988) one can convert the transformity to a specific emergy of 3.7 E17 sej/g.
Using this specific emergy, and a mercury concentration of 0.001 ppb (the level the EPA considers to have chronic effects on aquatic life) the emergy density of the mercury in a lake would be 3.7 E12 sej/m2.
Transformity and Toxicity
Emergy Density of Florida Ecosystems is about 1.0 E9 sej/m2
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Landscape Development Intensity (LDI) Index
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
System Diagram of Landscape Development
Impacts
System Diagram of Landscape Development
Impacts
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Independent measure of disturbance using land use/land cover, aerial photographs, and ground observations
Landscape Development Intensity…
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0
Human Disturbance Gradient
Wetland Condition Index
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Based on intensity of human use
Intensity measured by nonrenewable energy flow.
Energy expressed in the same quality.
Energy flow characteristics determined per hectare of various land use types.
Landscape Development Intensity…
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Land Use Development Intensity Coefficients...
Land Use, Non-Renewable Empower Density, and Resulting LDI Coefficients
Non-Renewable LDI
Land Use Empower Density Coefficients
(E14 sej/ha/yr)
Natural EcoSystem 0.00 1.00
Natural Open water 0.00 1.00
Pine Plantation 5.10 1.58
Recreational / Open Space (Low-intensity) 6.55 1.83
Woodland Pasture (with livestock) 8.00 2.02
Pasture (without livestock) 17.20 2.77
Low I ntensity Pasture (with livestock) 33.31 3.41
Citrus 44.00 3.68
High I ntensity Pasture (with livestock) 46.74 3.74
Row crops 107.13 4.54
Single Family Residential (Low-density) 1,077.00 6.79
Recreational / Open Space (High-intensity) 1,230.00 6.92
High I ntensity Agriculture (Dairy farm) 1,349.20 7.00
Single Family Residential (Med-density) 2,175.00 7.47
Single Family Residential (High-density) 2,371.80 7.55
Mobile Home (Medium density) 2,748.00 7.70
Highway (2 lane) 3,080.00 7.81
Low I ntensity Commercial 3,758.00 8.00
I nstitutional 4,042.20 8.07
Highway (4 lane) 5,020.00 8.28
Mobile Home (High density) 5,087.00 8.29
I ndustrial 5,210.60 8.32
Multi-f amily Residential (Low rise) 7,391.50 8.66
High I ntensity Commercial 12,661.00 9.18
Multi-f amily Residential (High rise) 12,825.00 9.19
Central Business District (Average 2 stories) 16,150.30 9.42
Central Business District (Average 4 stories) 29,401.30 10.00
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Representative LDI Coefficients
Land use LDI-Coeff.
Natural landscape 1.0Tree plantation 1.6Pasture 3.0 - 3.7Agriculture 4.0 - 5.0Residential uses 6.0 - 8.3Roadways 7.8 - 8.5Commercial/Industrial uses 8.0 - 10.0
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
LDI = (LDIj * %LUj)
Where,
LDI = Landscape Development Intensity Index
LDIj = LDI coefficient for land use “j”
%LUj = Percent area of the wetland drainage basin occupied by land use “j”
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
TN (kg/ha-yr)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
TN (kg/ha-yr)
Total Nitrogen Load
Total Nitrogen Load
Landscape Development Intensity…
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
TP (kg/ha-yr)
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
TP (kg/ha-yr)
Total Phosphorus Load
Total Phosphorus Load
Landscape Development Intensity…
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
TSS ( kg/ha/yr )
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
TSS ( kg/ha/yr )
Total Suspended Solids LoadTotal Suspended Solids Load
Landscape Development Intensity…
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
WRAP Agricultural
Reference
Urban
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
WRAP Agricultural
Reference
Urban
LDI and Wetland Rapid Assessment “Score”
LDI and Wetland Rapid Assessment “Score”
Landscape Development Intensity…
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
Florida WCI
ReferenceAgriculturalUrban
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LDI
Florida WCI
ReferenceAgriculturalUrban
Landscape Development Intensity…
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
Global Ecosystem Health as a Function of Landscape Development Intensity??
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….
9 - 10 90%
L D I % Impaired
8 - 9 80%5 - 7 60%4 - 5 50%3 - 4 40%2 - 3 30%1 - 2 20%1.0 0 - 10%
Global Estimate of Ecological Health
Landscape Development Intensity
9 - 10 90%
L D I % Impaired
8 - 9 80%5 - 7 60%4 - 5 50%3 - 4 40%2 - 3 30%1 - 2 20%1.0 0 - 10%
Global Estimate of Ecological Health
Landscape Development Intensity
Emergy & Complex SystemsDay 4, Lecture 8….