energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental

26
KIT – University of the State of Baden-Wuerttemberg and National Laboratory of the Helmholtz Association 1 Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU), KIT Campus Alpine, Bavaria 2 Institute of Geography and Geoecology (IFGG), KIT Campus South www.kit.edu Energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection Some insights on air quality and urban systems – Potential cooperation between Shandong and Bavaria Dr. Peter Suppan 1 PD Dr. Stefan Norra 2

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KIT – University of the State of Baden-Wuerttemberg and National Laboratory of the Helmholtz Association

1Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU), KIT Campus Alpine, Bavaria2Institute of Geography and Geoecology (IFGG), KIT Campus South

www.kit.edu

Energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protectionSome insights on air quality and urban systems – Potential cooperation between Shandong and BavariaDr. Peter Suppan1

PD Dr. Stefan Norra2

2 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

- Centres

KIT Portfolio

Nano and Micro Scale Science

Climate and Environment

Astroparticle Physics

Energy

260 km

3 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

KIT Center Energy

Energy Storage and Distribution

Efficient Energy Use

Fusion Technology

Nuclear Energyand Safety

Energy Systems Analysis

EnergyConversion

Renewable Energies

4 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

KIT Center Climate and Environment

Risk and Risk Management

Urban Systems

Technology- induced Material Flows

Processes in the

Underground

Water Resources and Water

Management

Atmospheric Processes

Climate Change

5 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Topic: Urban Systems within the Center ofClimate and EnvironmentSpeaker PD Dr. Stefan Norra & Dr. Peter Suppan

Infrastructure Social Vulnerability Urban Development Scenarios

Health impact

Climate Change, Natural Disasters, Environmental Pollution

Ecosystems Atmosphere and Urban Climate Management of Water Resources,

Material Flows, and Energy Flows

6 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

mortality

hospital admissions

emergency room visits

physician office visits

reduced physical performance

medication use

symptomsimpaired pulmonary function

Sub-clinical (subtle) effects

severity ofeffect

Proportion of population affected

Health Impact Pyramid

Driving Force: Health Impact

7 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Source: PAN American Health Organization, 2005

Region Percentage change Reference

Asia 0.49% (0.23-0.76) HEI, 2004

Europe 0.60% (0.40-0.80) Katsouyanni, 2001

Latin America 0.61% (0.16-1.07) PAHO, 2005*United States 0.21% (0.09-0.33) Dominici, 2003

Worldwide 0.65% (0.51-0.76) Stieb, 2002

Mortality rates on PM10 increase

* Based on studies in Mexico City, São Paulo, Santiago de Chile

8 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

AQ level

Annual average PM10 concentrations (µg/m³)

Economical Benefit

Reduction benefit is 10 times higher as for ozone, e.g. Mexico City about $2 Bill.

Molina and Molina, 2002

M. Krzyzanowski, H-G. Mucke, WHO

9 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Bogotá

São Paulo

Jakarta

Jakarta

Santiago de Chile

Mumbai

Beijing

Santiago de ChileMexico City

Living space

Social structure

Land use

Mobility

Environment

Energy

Air quality

Well-Being / Health

Reasons & Risks

Climate Change

severe flooding (1999, 2005)

10 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Energy demand development Key system drivers: population and economic growth World energy demand until 2030: 50 % increase APEC (Asia Pacific Region) energy demand until 2030: 100 % increase Breakdown to national level demands

Development of energy supply Supply security Decrease in CO2 emissions Focus on renewable energies

Problem area: Energy

11 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Large hydropower3.0 % Power generation

0.8 %

Traditional biomass13 %

Hot water / Heating1.3 %

Biofuels0.3 %

Fossil fuels79%

Nuclear3%

Renewables18%

Source: REN21, Renewables 2007, Global Status Report

Global final energy consumption

12 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

0 10 20 30 400,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

CO

2-Eq-

Bioe

nerg

y / C

O2-S

avin

gs

Plant N content [g N kg-1 DW]

Sugar cane

RapeseedWheat/BarleyMaize/root crops etc.

Increase ofGHG-emissions (N2O)

Crutzen et al., 2008

Bioenergy from N+Plants

Reduction ofGHG-emissions (N2O)

13 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Source: APERC 2007, Shobhakar Dhakal (2004). Urban Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in East Asian Mega-cities

Industry

Transport

Residential

Com

mercial

Beijing 62% 8% 17% 13%

Shanghai 80% 10% 7% 3%

Seoul 18% 25% 37% 20%

Tokyo 11% 37% 22% 30%

Urban energy distribution

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

TOE

per P

erso

n

Beijing Shanghai Seoul Tokyo

14 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Emission Data

Integrated Approach

0 30000 60000-500

500

1500

2500

U

O

U [

]

P1P2

P3P4

P5

P6P7

P8

-

1

2

Measurement Data

Air Quality

Indicator

Scenario

StakeholderHealth Impact

Mortality

……………

………………….

Subclinical Effects

Chem

Chem

Traffic Data

Urban Development

15 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

First

Second

Third

The Badaling m

otorway

Münkel, C., “Mixing height determination with lidar ceilometers -results from Helsinki Testbed,” Meteorol. Z. 16, 451-459 (2007).

Emeis, S., Schäfer, K., Münkel, C.: Observation of the structure of the urban boundary layer with different ceilometers and validation by RASS data. Meteorol. Z. 18, 2, 149-154 (2009)

Sampling Strategies

Optical remote sensing:Ceilometer von Vaisala LD40 or CL31wave length: 855 or 910 nmrange: 4000 mResolution: 15 or 5 m

16 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

passive: Sigma 2 for particles between 2.5 and 80 µm active: MV-Sampler for PM2.5

Sampling Strategies

17 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

10 km

1

CUG

2

34

5

CRAES

Sampling Sites

18 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

NW SE

Spatial distribution – PM2.5 and BC (soot)

City Center

19 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Fly ash

Halite

Kali-Feldspar

Soot sphere

SEM ImagesGeogenic particles

Anthropogenic particles

Connected particles

20 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Air Quality Modelling in the greater area of Beijing (in co-operation with CAS-IAP)

Measurements of Mixing layer height based on a Ceilometer (IMK-IFU, Vaisala) at

CAS-IAP

Measurements / Simulations

21 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Emission Reduction Strategies

Olympic Games Beijing

Olympic Games Beijing

Time Period:15.10.2007 – 01.02.2009

22 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Agricultural areas and woodland

Construction Changes, bright metal roofs

PM10 over the City Center of Augsburg in April 2007

PM10 over Augsburg in April 2007

Integrated Measurement / Simulation concept

Master-Thesis: Stefanie Schrader

23 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Air quality issues need an holistic and interdisciplinary approach

In order to understand the complex system of a mega city, further process studies have to be done in each discipline

Link between the fields of land-use, energy, transportation, air quality, climate change and health demonstrates the interaction and tackles central problems in a mega city

Air quality and health impact assessment studies are essential prerequisites for mitigation and adaptation strategies and for reducing e.g. environmental risks (air pollution, congestion, waste, ...) social risks (spatial segregation, health problems, …) costs (healthcare system, transportation, production, ...)

Conclusions

24 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), BeijingProf. Yuesi WangDr. Xin Jinyuan

China University of Geosciences (CUG), BeijingProf. Cen Kuang

China University of Mining and Technology, Beijing(CUMTB)

Prof. Longyi Shao

Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences (CRAES), Beijing

Prof. Chai FaheProf. Chen Yizhen

German Meteorological Service (DWD), FreiburgDipl.-Ing. Volker DietzeDipl.-Ing. Mathieu Fricker

Helmholtz Center Munich (HMGU)Prof. Dr. Annette PetersDr. Jürgen Schnelle-Kreis

Qingdao Research Academy of Environmental Sciences (QRAES)Prof. Sun Hekun

Co-operations and Partners

25 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

in cooperation with Prof. Longyi Shao (CUMTB) and Prof. Yuesi Wang (CAS-IAP)

Rongrong Shen, full CSC PhD Student (4 years)• aerosol measurements with the focus on source

apportionment

Ruiguang Xu, full CSC PhD Student (4 years)• air quality modeling with the focus on aerosol composition and

distribution

Ling Hong, sandwich (IAP-CSC-HGF) PhD Student (4 years)• air quality measurements with the focus on remote sensing

techniques (SODAR, contactless)

Yu Yang, full CSC PhD Student (1 year)• aerosol measurements with the focus on source

apportionment / optical depth

Capacity Building

26 29.04.2010 Sino-German Cooperation Qingdao Summit, April 29th, 2010Sub-meeting B:Meeting on energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection

Dr. Peter SuppanPD Dr. Stefan Norra

Thank you very much for your attention

….and thank you for the invitation and welcome to GermanyInternational Bureau (IB) of the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) of Germany

Qingdao Research Academy of Environmental Sciences